Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Tuesday - September 17, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(2/7/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/7/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/6)-(2/7/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/6)-(2/7/4/6)-(2/7/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/6)-(6/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-3   WIN (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/3)-(6/4/3)-(6/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/3)-(5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-4   WIN (5/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/4)-(5/2/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/4)-(5/2/1/4)-(5/2/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/2/4)-(1/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/5)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FL-6   WIN (6/2/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8)-(6/2/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/4/8)-(3/7/4/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/7/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5)-(3/7/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/5)-(7/2/11/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
FL-8   WIN (7/2/11/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/11/9/5)-(7/2/11/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/11/9/5)-(7/2/11/9/5)-(7/2/11/9/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEN TEN Jul18 Jun27 Jun15 May18 Apr18 (noda orland)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50    
2  BARONESS BOURBON Sep02 Aug03 Jul17 Jun23 May16 (beg)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00    
3  MAIZE LOVED LAFFY Aug14 Jul29 Jul15 Jul01 Jun17 (marino jo)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.00    
4  BEAUTY'S BANGLE Aug19 Jul23       (baratta patri)DAVILA A 124 6.00 48% 1.10    
5  SKY'S WINNING BID Aug14 Jul15 Jun25 May29 May13 (ferraro anth)COA J 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
6  LET'S CONNECT Aug25 Jul21 May25 Apr05 Mar15 (mann m)IORIO MELISSA 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-2   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANCINWITHJAKE Aug28 Aug07 Jul23 Jul09 Jun25 (progno michael )ROHENA JR 120 15.00    
2  VENGE May25 Apr26 Mar01 Feb09 Jan06 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  KING KHALI Aug06 Jul09 May29 Nov21 Oct19 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 2.50    
4  HAY HAY HARRY Aug28 Aug20 Aug06 Jun24 May02 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 121 5.00 ★    
5  MANNY PENNY Sep02 Jul28 Jun29 May25 Apr21 (coffey mariali)ALVARADO R 121 10.00    
6  PARTY NEWS Aug14 Jul31 May22 May04 Dec26 (maver edu)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
7  I'M JUST Jul09 Jun22 Apr19 Aug30 Jul04 (breed ro)DAVIS A 124 3.50 22% 3.60    
 
FL-3   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIVOLI GARDENS Sep02 Jul22 Jul02 Nov15 Oct23 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 121 10.00    
2  GONE AND FORGOTTEN Sep02 Aug02 Jun15 May25 Apr19 (dixon k)COA J 121 2.00    
3  EASY PLAY Sep02 Aug18 Jul25 Jul02 Jun10 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  TRUE EMPRESS Aug28 Jul22 Jun15 May24 May05 (ferraro michael)PEREZ E 124 5.00 13% 6.50    
5  GOLDEN MOONLIGHT Aug29 Jul22 Jul11 May24 May07 (acquilan)DAVIS A 121 6.00    
6  CUZ UR PRETTY Jul22 Jun10 May07 Aug16 Jun27 (ree)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 3.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  EROS'S GIRL Jul02 Jun10 May07 Mar10 Feb19 (ferraro m)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 121 6.00    
 
FL-4   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BERT BERT BERT Aug27 Aug13 Jul29 Jul17 Jul04 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 6.00 ★    
2  DON'T POKE THE CAT Sep10 Jul15 Jul08 Jun26 Jun11 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
3  BROTHER JEREMIAH Aug19 Jul22 Jul08 Jun19 Sep25 (buckley )DAVIS A 122 3.00    
4  CENTRAL LOVE Sep02 Aug21 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (lopez arc)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  CURLIN'S WISDOM Sep03 Aug01 May09 Mar21 Dec29 (rice linda)COA J 122 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  WINNING DRIVE Aug27 Aug06 Jun26 Jun04 May14 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 120 4.00    
7  REINER Aug13 Jul16 Jul01 Jun03 Feb11 (tasso mark)CRUZ JOEL 122 8.00    
 
FL-5   09/17/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCLE MARTY Aug18 Apr26 Feb04 Dec17 Oct20 (rice linda)COA J 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
SCR  ANOINTED SPIRIT Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jun25 (fun)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 3.00    
3  OVER THE CAP Jun25 Nov15 Oct23 Oct02 Sep18 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
4  REUNION TOUR Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (d'alessan)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 20.00    
5  TAKE THE EDGE Sep03 Aug20 Aug05 Jul23 Jul09 (babcock edward)FRET STEVEN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  SEATIGER Aug27 Aug20 Jul29 Jul09 Jun25 (loaiza ilmar)HARKIE K 122 5.00    
7  PAPI ON ICE Sep04 Jul25 Jun22 May17 May02 (henry n)BROWN DALTON 124 5.00    
 
FL-6   09/17/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DELTA RIDGE Aug27 Aug07 Jul22 Jul04 Jun18 (rice kevin)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 8.00    
2  GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS Aug14 Jul20 Jun23 May16 Apr13 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 118 5.00 25% 3.10    
3  CRYPTO CAUSEWAY Aug28 Aug13 Jul29 Jul16 Jun12 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 6.00    
4  JOE'S HAD ENOUGH Aug21 Aug13 Jul31 Jul17 Jul02 (loaiza ilmar)PEREZ E 124 8.00 13% 7.00    
5  BREW PUB Aug01 Jun27 Dec07 Nov15 Sep21 (englehart )DE EMANUEL 124 3.50    
6  CIVIL SERVICE Sep03 Aug19 Jul22 Jul10 Nov15 (ferraro michael)VIVES SOFIA 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
7  UNION LIGHTS Sep03 Aug19 Jul29 Jun28 May18 (d'a)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 4.00    
8  MO TRUMP Aug27 Aug13 Jul16 Jun12 Nov14 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-7   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($10K) Purse ($25K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARGE NURSE Jul25 Jul11 Jun15 Nov15 Oct24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 6.00    
2  WAITWAITDONTTELLME Sep09 Aug14 Jul18 Jun18 Nov08 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 5.00    
3  DARN THAT SONG Sep04 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
4  ISLE STORM Aug14 Jul31 Jul02 Jun05 May20 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
5  SHESAWILDJOKER Jul30 Jul04 Jun03 Sep01 Jul31 (bartlett)DAVIS A 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  EMBRACEABLE GAL Aug14 Jul22 Jun18 May22 Apr11 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 3.00    
7  KAZ MUSIC Sep02 Aug13 Jul17 Jul04 Jun18 (murphy timoth)DAVILA A 124 4.00 27% 2.60    
 
FL-8   09/17/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRENNAN'S WAR Aug28 Jul07 Jun22 Jan06 Aug31 (sells rachel)ALVARADO R 124 20.00    
2  B C GLORY DAYS Sep03 Aug21 Aug12 Jul31 Jul17 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 6.00 17% 4.80    
3  SHE SPEAKS WELL Sep02 Aug19 Jul31 Jul23 Jun25 (maver eduardo)PENA LUIS 124 20.00    
4  NOAH'S DESTINY Sep03 Aug12 Jul17 Jun25 May14 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 8.00    
5  PEANUTBUTTERTOAST Sep04 Aug20 Jul24 Jun24 Jun03 (shaffer rich)HARKIE K 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  FIVE ACES Aug28 Aug20 Jul24 Jul01   (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 121 10.00    
7  QUINCY MARKET Aug18 Jul27 Jun22 May18 Apr19 (davis edm)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 3.00 40% 1.50    
8  BET THE PALACE Sep03 Aug12 Jul31 Jul10 Jun24 (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 121 5.00    
9  MACDONOUGH Aug21 Jul24 Jul10 Jun26 Jun17 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 4.00 7% 12.60    
10  BOTTOMLESS REFILL Sep03 Aug22 Jul11 Jun07 May25 (murphy tim)DE EMANUEL 121 8.00    
11  GO GET THE BAG Aug21 Jul10 Jun24 Nov22 Nov01 (barrow paul)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 5.00 13% 7.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.