Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/5/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/8)-(6/5/8)-(6/5/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/8)-(4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/7)-(4/7) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/7)-(1/5)-(8/9/3/1) 16 $0.50 $8.00 
BTP-3   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(8/9/3/1)-(10/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (8/9/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/3/1)-(8/9/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/3/1)-(8/9/3/1)-(8/9/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/9/3/1)-(10/6/5)-(1/2/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (10/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/6/5)-(10/6/5/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/6/5)-(10/6/5/4/2)-(10/6/5/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-6   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (1/2/5)-(9/3/2/5)-(6/7/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-7   WIN (9/3/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/3/2/5)-(9/3/2/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (9/3/2/5)-(9/3/2/1/5)-(9/3/2/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
BTP-8   WIN (6/7/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/8)-(6/7/3/8/11)-(6/7/3/8/11) 48 $0.50 $24.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/19/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($15K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMED OUT Jun27 May31 Apr27 Mar28 Mar17 (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 123 5.00    
SCR  ATLAS FALLS Jun14 Apr10 Dec19 Nov16   (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 3.50    
SCR  RADIO SILENT Jun26 Jun01 May15 May01 Oct28 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 15.00    
GOT ZIP Jun27 Jun14 May22 May04 Aug15 (fletcher kevin)HESS SARA 113 2.50    
LINO'S KID Jun27 Jun08 May22 Feb24 Feb14 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
MR. BALI Jun27 May31 Feb14 Jan25 Jan12 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 123 10.00 32% 2.10    
PAYMASTER GENERAL Jun27 Jun07 May23 Jan10 Dec13 (barker scot)JIMENEZ J 123 4.00    
WHISKEY HELPS Jun27 May31 May15 Mar28 Jan24 (salcedo ra)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-2   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAPE MARCO DRIVE Jul10 Oct24 Sep28 Sep20 Sep07 (lopez jose)BATISTA X 123 12.00    
SCR  ETERNAL BLISS Jun27 Apr23 Mar27 Feb28 Jan27 (klopp randy)BURGOS ALBERTO 123 4.50    
SHAMMAH Jun06 May23 Feb17 Feb04 Jun14 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 4.00    
CRONUS Jun08 May30 Dec06 Oct17 Sep12 (medina tomas)TERRAZA GERMAN 123 2.00 52% 0.90    
THISPOINTINTIME Jul03 Jun13 May16 May02 Apr25 (figueroa cesar )SERPA ANGEL 123 6.00    
SCR  JAHEZ Jun22 May23 May15 Apr26 Mar27 (fernandez e)BLANCHE RISHAWN 118 3.50    
MOONLIGHT JOKER Jun27 Jun01 May18 May11 May04 (evans mic)CORREA L 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-3   07/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JARETH Jun14 May25 Apr26 Mar27 Mar09 (smith larry)OUZTS W 122 2.00 72% 0.40    
BEACH FRONT Jun21 May23 May10 Apr13 Mar17 (haehn terry)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 3.50    
SCR  KEEN ON YOU Jun26 Jun12 May30 May23 Apr27 (figueroa cesa)CANUTO THIAGO 122 4.00    
LOCK ON Jul12 Jun26 May23 May09 Apr27 (haehn r)BUSH V 122 8.00    
FRISCO LINE Jun26 Jun15 May29 Aug12 Jul26 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 4.50 5% 19.00    
RIDING IN THE WIND Jul04 Jun19 Jun06 May23 Jul24 (dalton mic)BATISTA X 122 4.50    
 
BTP-4   07/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIRE WIRE Jun29 Jun19 Jun01 May19 Apr23 (morelos mateo)CANUTO THIAGO 119 6.00 5% 19.00    
DOOQ Jun21 Jun08 May17 Apr26 Mar06 (hernandez d)MIRANDA ROGELIO 123 12.00    
WILDERZAR Jul06 Jun19 Jun07 May24 May10 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 123 8.00 6% 16.30    
SCR  ROCKY'S EXPRESS Jun08 May02 Mar25 Mar07 Feb07 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 8.00    
SERPA Jul04 Mar02 Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 (corrigan jim)LEZCANO ABEL 123 3.50    
PAST IMPERATIVE Jun29 Jun01 Feb17 Jan11 Dec06 (sandy s)MURGIA A 123 4.00    
SCR  EL GUNNER Jun28 Jun13 May15 Apr25   (ennis john)DOYLE SOPHIE 121 2.50    
MONJE SOLAIA Jul11 Jun29 May23     (aguirre jua)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 4.50 49% 1.10    
KOLTEN'S PRIDE Jun29 Jun19 May23 May11 Apr27 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 119 5.00 18% 4.60    
 
BTP-5   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Horizon Purse ($75K) 3 ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAY MAYHEM Jun22 May18 Apr24 Apr11 Mar27 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 118 8.00    
  (by MOBIL out of MENDASSITY by TOUCH GOLD)
MOMMA K'S BOY Jun26 Jun05 May21 May01 Aug12 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 116 5.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SURVIVING NEW YORK by SURVIVALIST)
SCR  GUESS AGAIN Jun26 May18 Oct11 Jul06 Jun23 (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 116 15.00    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of PANKHURST by ARTIE SCHILLER)
KELLEHER Jul04 May30 May01 Apr11 Mar08 (tooley jennifer)AVILES YAN 118 4.00    
  (by CORFU out of HOOSIER HONEY by KEY TO THE KINGDOM)
VILLIAN Jun05 May21 Dec21 Nov30 Nov15 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 116 2.50 9% 9.90    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  TOUGH CAT May18 Oct28 Sep22 Aug15 Jun30 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 116 4.50 18% 4.60    
  (by TOUGH IT UP out of BARN CAT by BLUEGRASS CAT)
LUCKY VICTOR Jun26 Jun05 May06 Apr22 Dec18 (urieta j)FERNANDEZ R 116 12.00    
  (by ITSMYLUCKYDAY out of JADE by GILDED TIME)
KENNEDY'S CAMELOT Jun26 Jun05 Apr11 Mar07 Feb07 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 116 15.00    
  (by KENNEDY out of PREACHINTOTHECHOIR by UNUSUAL HEAT)
DREAMINGABOUTTIME Jun26 Jun12 May29 May13 Apr13 (galloway khadeem)PEREZ A 116 10.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of SHOWTIME GIRL by WEST ACRE)
10  SCHOOL'S OUT Jun19 May31 May15 May04   (navarrete anna)MCKEE J 118 3.50 51% 0.90    
  (by KETTLE CORN out of SCHOOL LASS by PRIVATE SCHOOL)
11  TEMPERED DREAM Jun27 Jun05 May13 Apr10   (fernandez edward)MURGIA A 116 12.00    
  (by DREAMLINER out of TOTAL TEMPER by EXCHANGE RATE)
 
BTP-6   07/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Hoover Purse ($75K) 2 ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FORTISSIMO May29         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 1.60 47% 1.10    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of MUSIC AND LYRICS by FED BIZ)
1A  COASTLAND Jun26         (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 1.60    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of MOTHER NATURE by WINSLOW HOMER)
1X  LIVE A LITTLE Jun14         (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 1.60    
  (by NATIONAL FLAG out of BOURGEOIS by AWESOME AGAIN)
BOOTS MALONE Jul08         (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 118 3.00 33% 2.10    
  (by GORMLEY out of WAKEETA by WARRIOR'S REWARD)
BLESSEDNOTLUCKY         (farrior anthony)RIVERA R 116 3.50    
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of KIPLEY by WILL TAKE CHARGE)
TRUTH N SOUL Jun14 May29       (douglass devarus)MCKEE J 116 6.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of SAYITRIGHT KAT by SURF CAT)
RONNIS SECOND WIND Jul03 Jun14       (cline robert )BRACHO A 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by INDY WIND out of RONNI'S SECRET by SUN KING)
 
BTP-7   07/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Jim Morgan Memorial Tah Dah Purse ($75K) 2 F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HOLLABACK May03         (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 118 4.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of ORIENTATE TO LUV by ORIENTATE)
1A  TOASTMASTER Jul04 Jun17       (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 118 4.00    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of CHAMPAGNE ALL DAY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
1X  GOOSEBUMPS Jun15 May25       (hamm timothy)JIMENEZ ALBIN 118 4.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of CALLISTO by MALIBU MOON)
FORTHELOVEOFBONNIE Jul01         (fadlovich me)HALDAR J 118 3.50 21% 3.70    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of LOVE SPUN by HARD SPUN)
LA ARTISTA Jun26         (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
  (by KLIMT out of EYE'LL BE FINE by MONTBROOK)
LADY LOVES MONEY Jul03 Jun05 May29     (bourke john)STANLEY O 116 12.00    
  (by MR. MONEY out of MERRY LADY by KEYED ENTRY)
ELOPEDATTHEDERBY Jun07         (cline robert )ZONETT KEYNER 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by EVENT DRIVEN out of BELLE DU SUD by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
MALEAH         (anderson susa)BRACHO A 116 20.00    
  (by MITOLE out of WINDSAIL by GRAND APPOINTMENT)
TAMPA TEACHER Jun29         (navarrete anna)SANJUR SANTO 116 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SCHOOL BOARD PREZ by COURAGEOUS CAT)
BE KOZY Jun20         (reed r)OLIVEROS CHARLE 118 8.00    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
SILVER KISS Jun17         (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 118 1.80 31% 2.30    
  (by BLOFELD out of JUSTGIMMEAKISS by CONGRATS)
 
BTP-8   07/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC11 FIRM Vivacious Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MISSION GIRL Jun19 Jun05 May18 Jan04 Dec04 (rivera nestor)DIAZ I 123 10.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of BRIER HILL GIRL by DARK KESTREL)
DELIGHTFUL CAT Jun29 Jun12 May17 May04 Feb24 (jarvis kath)OLIVEROS CHARLE 123 12.00    
  (by MINESHAFT out of HAP CAT by VAN NISTELROOY)
DISTINCTIVE FLOWER Aug18 Jul27 Jun29 Jun01 Aug16 (peach a)OUZTS W 125 6.00 10% 8.70    
  (by FLOWER ALLEY out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
MARKET SUCCESS Jun27 Jun03 May09 Apr29 Oct28 (rivera nestor)FELICIANO R 123 15.00    
  (by GIANT OAK out of STREET SUCCESS by STREET CRY (IRE))
MISS BUMBUM Jun22 Jan10 Nov21 Oct05 Aug30 (conto kevin)BUSH V 119 20.00    
  (by WE MISS ARTIE out of BUMBA BUMBA by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
I RECALL Sep26 Aug12 Jul22 Jun19 May22 (bourke john)STANLEY O 125 5.00 44% 1.30    
  (by MISREMEMBERED out of REAL DISTINCTIVE by WITH DISTINCTION)
BUCKEYE BELLE Jun07 May09 Sep22 Aug26 Aug09 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 123 8.00 18% 4.50    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of LION BELLE by LION HEART)
CHANEL SPIRIT Jun24 Jun03 May09 Jan08 Dec21 (cline c)GONZALEZ A 125 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of LATIN TUDOR by YES IT'S TRUE)
GOODNESS SAKES Jun22 Apr25 Feb08 Dec12 Nov16 (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 125 12.00    
  (by COWTOWN CAT out of SWEETNESSNGOODNESS by CUVEE)
SCR  HERE'S THE SPIDER Jun29 Jun07 May22 Nov25 Oct28 (fernandez edward)MCKEE J 120 4.50    
  (by TAPITURE out of RICHMOND SPIDER by UNION RAGS)
11  GENEROUS LOVER Jun15 May02 Mar21 Feb29 Jan26 (sharp joe)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of HULA SKIRT by DIXIE UNION)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.