Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Friday - July 05, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (11/7/8/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/7/8/1)-(11/7/8/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (11/7/8/1)-(11/7/8/1)-(11/7/8/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (11/7/8/1)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(5/3/2)-(5/2/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
BTP-3   WIN (5/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/2)-(5/3/2)-(5/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/3/2)-(5/2/1)-(4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
BTP-4   WIN (5/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/1)-(5/2/1)-(5/2/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (5/2/1)-(4/6)-(5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-5   WIN (4/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/6)-(4/6) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-6   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (5)-(5/1) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
BTP-7   WIN (3/2/1/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7)-(3/2/1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
BTP-8   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($9.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CORTADO Jun20 Jul13 Jun21 May26 May16 (salas felipe)HESS SARA 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
HULAH JAY Jun12         (clark robert )CANUTO THIAGO 124 12.00    
MISS PLA Jun13 May11 Nov12     (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 113 30.00    
VOSTRA Jun13 May22 May12 May02 Oct04 (jones s)SOSA LAUREANO 124 10.00    
SCR  DESPERATE TIMES May31 Mar15 Feb23 Jan24 Jan10 (bright derrick)MURGIA A 118 8.00    
SCR  BLUEGRASS GODDESS         (kelley jame)PETERSON FERRIN 118 12.00    
LAST CHANCE DANCE Jun19 May29 May16 Apr26 Mar22 (morelos mat)LAGUNES GABRIEL 124 6.00 26% 2.90    
LITERATI Jun20 May23 Apr26 Mar30 Mar10 (morey e)MCKEE J 118 4.00 20% 3.90    
SCR  SECORD Jun20 May29 Apr26 Mar27 Feb23 (esquivel jesu)PANAIJO JORGE 118 30.00    
SCR  BINGO'S DREAM Jun20 Jun06 May23 Apr17 Feb24 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 118 8.00    
11  BLUE VORTEX Jun07 Apr11 Mar08 Feb09 Jan11 (cahill f)BUSH V 118 2.50 32% 2.10    
12  TOP HAT TIGRESS Jun01 May16 May03 Apr25 Mar20 (adams l)SERPA ANGEL 124 4.50    
SCR  METANOIA Jun24 Jun08 May06 May12 Apr26 (uhacz wendy)SERPA ANGEL 124 15.00    
 
BTP-2   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUKE OF VERVE         (royal ma)LAFRANCEJR DOUGLAS 120 8.00 27% 2.70    
LIBERTY HALL Jun15 Jun07 May25 May09 Apr27 (cook k)MURGIA A 125 3.00    
SHOTGUN PRO Oct24 Aug26 Jun04 May13   (royal madelyn)CANUTO THIAGO 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
MANSION PARTY Jun12 May10 Apr25 Mar09 Jan25 (short thoma)OLIVEROS CHARLE 120 1.80 40% 1.50    
LITTLE BANKER MAN Jun22 Jun12 Nov14 Oct19 Oct04 (barrett gra)BLANCHE RISHAWN 120 4.50    
BENITO Jun22 Jun12 Sep28 Sep14 Jul14 (dailey ronald)BUSH V 125 3.50    
 
BTP-3   07/05/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($24.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ROCKET LAUNCHER Jun27 May30 Aug08     (kerr n)MOJICA JR 125 4.00    
  (by FACTUM out of AUNT SIS by STRAVINSKY)
DISCO MUSIC Jun27 May15 Oct06 Sep29 Sep07 (helmbrecht william)BUSH V 125 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of MENE by HOLY BULL)
MR. HIGH POCKETS Jun27         (helmbrecht wi)CANUTO THIAGO 125 2.00 14% 6.20    
  (by MUSIC CITY out of GO GO BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
PLAYFULASITGETS Jun05 May15 Dec18 Oct28 Sep13 (reed r)MCKEE J 120 3.50    
  (by TENKOZ out of BE PLAYFUL by PURE PRIZE)
CARSON N SPENCE Jun05 May15 May04     (cline robert )LEBRON VICTOR 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
  (by DYNAMIC RACER out of SWEET ANGEL ROAN by STREET HERO)
 
BTP-4   07/05/2024 3630ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LORDHEARMYPRAYER May30 May23 May02 Apr10 Apr02 (suarez javi)JIMENEZ J 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
LI'L MISS CAMILLE Jun21 Jun08 May25 May16 Apr24 (mendieta al)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 3.50 19% 4.40    
BEL ARIA Apr27 Mar29 Mar09 Feb21 Feb07 (townley steve)MOJICA JR 121 4.00    
BEACH KITTEN Jun21 May25 May10 Apr23 Mar15 (grubbs jamie )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 2.50    
INNER HARBOR Jun14 May25 May11 Jan27 Jan04 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
FRANKLY MY DEAR Jun18 May08 Apr11 Mar28 Mar05 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 121 4.50    
 
BTP-5   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 MUDDY Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ATTA BOY ANTHONY May15 May03 Nov24 Sep13 Aug22 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 123 10.00    
SCR  INDOCUMENTADO Jun20 May29 Dec13 Nov29 Oct26 (jurado luis)MURGIA A 123 30.00    
SCR  JURA Jun21 Feb03 Dec20 Dec07 Oct24 (meah m)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 4.00    
BRILLIANT JOURNEY Jun07 May17 Oct04 Sep13 Aug18 (smith larry)COLON H 123 2.00 49% 1.00    
NEED TO KNOW BASIS May15 Dec04 Nov15 Sep20 Aug29 (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 123 6.00    
EL AHIJADO May12 Apr17 Feb28 Jan10 Dec08 (guerrero sal)RIQUELME J 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS May23 Mar13 Feb10 Jan17 Dec20 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 118 5.00    
SCR  EDEN PARADISE Jun23 Jun15 Aug23 Aug15 Jul27 (james gera)BATISTA X 123 20.00    
SCR  NOBRAG JUSTFACT May13 Feb13 Aug25 Aug17 Jul21 (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 123 3.50    
 
BTP-6   07/05/2024 5280ft DIRT RC10 MUDDY Allowance Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FEELING IT Jun14 Sep26 Sep02 Aug10 Jul21 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 118 2.00    
SCR  SARGEANT BARGER May29 May16 Apr26 Mar22 Feb16 (alessi james)CANUTO THIAGO 123 2.50    
CONSTITUTION COAL Jun19 Jan25 Dec28 Dec14 Nov27 (chain pear)BATISTA X 123 4.50    
SCR  FOLLOW YOUR DREAM Dec13 Nov03 Oct03 Sep15 Aug30 (johnston rebecc)MOJICA JR 123 3.50    
FIXITWITHFORWARD May25 Sep20 Sep02 Aug20 Jul07 (cook k)MURGIA A 123 4.00 38% 1.60    
 
BTP-7   07/05/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 MUDDY Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MR CLINE Jun01 May10 Aug18 Jul19 Jun15 (cline c)BUSH V 123 5.00 10% 9.30    
EL PEJE Jun20 Jun08 May23 Aug04 Jul12 (locker timothy)MURGIA A 121 3.50 20% 4.10    
KING OF KENTUCKY Jun20 May23 May10 Mar27 Mar14 (brownfield cl)JIMENEZ ALBIN 125 1.60 50% 1.00    
ORB OF THE BORO Jun08 Sep01 Aug15 Jul26 Jun22 (crozier jeff)CANUTO THIAGO 121 10.00    
FALCONS FURY Jun12 May29 May10 Feb23 Jan27 (ocasio osv)BATISTA X 121 4.00    
KICK ROCKS KID Jun08 May23 May04 Apr25 Mar27 (adams na)MARTINEZ LUIS 121 6.00    
KINGDOM FORCE Jun21 Jun06 May12 Apr13 Mar30 (williams colb)LEBRON VICTOR 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-8   07/05/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 MUDDY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CAT'S SYMPHONY Jun04 May04 Apr13 Feb14   (oliver v)RODRIGUEZ A 119 4.50    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of CATRAGEOUS by D. J. CAT)
MISS TEN K Jan26 Dec23       (caramori c)VILLARREAL OSCAR 120 15.00    
  (by AMIRA'S PRINCE out of IMPERIAL LANE by IMPERIALISM)
SCR  COLORMECAIRO Jun08 May08 Mar28     (morey william)JIMENEZ ALBIN 119 5.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of WATERCOLORS by THEATRICAL (IRE))
SCR  KATE'S CONCERTO Jun19 May14 Apr27 Mar07 Jan25 (lucas wayne)MURGIA A 125 20.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of ALLUDE by ORIENTATE (GB))
SCR  DONA WITCH Jun04 Feb29 Feb01     (correas ignac)ALVARADO JR 125 2.50    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
HEDGE THESE BETS Jun19 May23 May03 Apr18   (seglin e)RIQUELME J 125 12.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of LET'S PARLAY by POMEROY)
SCR  JOYFUL CROWN (IRE)         (ramos rafae)BLANCHE RISHAWN 114 20.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  FRACING WILDCAT Jun23 Jun03 Apr27     (reed r)LAGUNES GABRIEL 125 6.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of K P WILDCAT by INCLUDE)
SCR  ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) Jun08 May04 Apr13 Mar30 Mar09 (reed r)MCKEE J 125 3.50    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
SCR  ALL ABOUT ALICE Jun06 May11       (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 119 15.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of ABSOLUTELY CINDY by ARCH)
SCR  JANKA Jun08 May04 Mar29 Sep02 Aug04 (danner kelsey)MOJICA JR 119 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of SMARTLY AGREE by SMART STRIKE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.