Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Presque Isle Downs
Monday - May 27, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PID-1   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/5)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5)-(3/5/1)-(3/1/7/9) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-2   WIN (3/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/1)-(3/5/1)-(3/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/5/1)-(3/1/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1)-(3/1/7/9)-(5/6/3/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-3   WIN (3/1/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/7/9)-(3/1/7/9) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (3/1/7/9)-(3/1/7/9)-(3/1/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/7/9)-(5/6/3/1) 16 $2.00 $32.00 
    PK3 (3/1/7/9)-(5/6/3/1)-(4/5/7) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PID-4   WIN (5/6/3/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1)-(5/6/3/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/3/1)-(4/5/7) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/1)-(4/5/7)-(5/6) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-5   WIN (4/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/7)-(4/5/8/7) 9 $2.00 $18.00 
    TRI (4/5/7)-(4/5/8/7)-(4/5/8/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/5/7)-(5/6) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7)-(5/6)-(2/5/1/8) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
PID-6   WIN (5/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/6)-(5/6/1/3) 6 $2.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6)-(5/6/1/3)-(5/6/1/3) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/6)-(2/5/1/8) 8 $2.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/6)-(2/5/1/8)-(7/5/4/9/1) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
PID-7   WIN (2/5/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 12 $2.00 $24.00 
    TRI (2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8)-(2/5/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/1/8)-(7/5/4/9/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
PID-8   WIN (7/5/4/9/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/5/4/9/1)-(7/5/4/9/1) 20 $2.00 $40.00 
    TRI (7/5/4/9/1)-(7/5/4/9/1)-(7/5/4/9/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PID-1   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MUTTLEY Mar21 Sep05 Aug10 Jul09 Sep19 (rojas eduardo)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50 45% 1.20    
DUKE SKYWALKER Nov25 Oct28 Sep30 Sep16 Jul14 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 10.00    
WORTHTHEMONEY Apr12 Mar16 Oct19 Aug28 Jul22 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 15.00    
SCR  ROCK WITH YOU May20 Feb22 Feb07 Dec28 Dec07 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 1.60    
FLIGHT CATCHER Jan06 Nov12 Sep16 Aug06 Jul16 (s)CARPIO JAIME 118 2.50 21% 3.70    
PARTNER TOURS May20 Oct20 Sep02 Aug20 Jul30 (fennessy john)FOX CHRIS 122 3.00    
 
PID-2   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CROWNED JEWEL Apr24 Apr05 Mar15 Feb28 Dec31 (connelly)GALLARDO A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HIGH HEADED May01 Mar20 Feb01 Jan06 Nov19 (harty eoin)MORALES PABLO 118 2.50    
LESLIE CHOW May07 Mar07 Jan21 Nov30 Nov03 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
PREGAME Apr05 Oct11 Sep27 Aug28 Aug07 (martin william)ALLEN D 122 5.00    
PROPHETS VOICE (IRE) Nov12 Oct11 Sep21 Aug09 Aug02 (hendriks rich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00 23% 3.40    
MACKENZIE'S NOVVA May20 Mar14 Feb23 Feb14 Jan24 (brooks geral)AYALA J 122 3.00    
 
PID-3   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIGHT IN THE DOG Oct25 Oct16       (fennessy john)WALKER M 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
XERCES May18 Apr16 Apr02 Mar13 Feb27 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 6.00    
KAGERO Oct26 Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug23 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 124 3.50 36% 1.80    
OUTFACTORED Jan12 Jan05 Dec02 Nov12 Aug02 (brooks geral)AYALA J 120 10.00    
SCR  JAZZ TIME GIRL Oct10 Sep27 Aug15 Jul31 Jul18 (morrell )RODRIGUEZ O 124 4.50    
HOPE SHE COMES Sep26 Sep06 Aug25 Jul26 Jun12 (morrell justin)LOPEZ DERECK 114 6.00    
SUNSET VIBES         (valdez m)GALLARDO A 120 8.00 8% 12.20    
CHEERFUL TROUT Mar26 Mar14 Feb29 Feb01 Aug23 (valdez moises)BAYS BROOKE 110 20.00    
SLAINTE MHATH Mar14 Sep25 Jun17 May04   (wismer s)STANLEY O 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PID-4   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
TRIPLE R RATED Oct18 Oct03 Jun26 Jun12 May24 (russell )MARTINEZ A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
SERENADE A KITTEN Apr20 Mar30 Mar16 Feb11 Dec15 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 2.50    
WILD DELIGHT Nov02 Sep11 Aug16 Jul24 Jun21 (rogers mich)ROJAS MARTINA 117 4.50 13% 6.70    
BATH AND TENNIS (IRE) Oct12 Sep27 Sep12 Aug21 Aug07 (valdez moise)AYALA J 122 6.00    
QUEEN WIGGY Oct18 Oct03 Sep06 Aug02 Jun26 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.50 25% 3.00    
SOLAIR Dec27 Dec06 Oct28 Oct01 Sep03 (allen lisa)ALENCAR WALBER 122 8.00 23% 3.40    
FOREVER UNCAPTURED Apr24 Mar15 Mar02 Jan21 Dec02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 122 4.50    
 
PID-5   05/27/2024 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($24K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
VALENTINE BUG May04 Apr19 Mar17 Feb18 Jan21 (herrington ca)MORALES PABLO 122 4.50    
SILENT SUNDAY Apr21 Mar30 Feb11 Jan12 Nov11 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 5.00    
SCR  BOURBON THUNDER May21 Nov01 Oct12 Sep03 Aug11 (valdez moises)BAYS BROOKE 112 15.00    
HEY PADRE Oct23 Oct09 Sep18 Aug29 Aug09 (rogers j)MARTINEZ A 122 3.50 45% 1.20    
FOUNDER Mar22 Mar13 Feb16 Jan31 Dec07 (valdez moises)MARTINEZ W 122 3.00 22% 3.60    
DELTA RIDGE Apr05 Mar15 Feb21 Jan10 Sep15 (ruberto )RODRIGUEZ O 122 20.00    
RECYCLE Apr21 Mar16 Feb28 Dec24 Dec08 (fennessy joh)ALENCAR WALBER 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
EPIC LUCK Apr26 Apr13 Mar17 Mar03 Feb11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 2.50    
 
PID-6   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIAMOND DUST Oct28 Sep18 Aug12 Jul19 Jul03 (davis scooter)MARTINEZ W 122 3.50    
SPIRITED SOL Sep02 Aug18 Aug10 Jul25 Jul03 (depasquale ki)WALKER M 122 10.00    
MOLTO VIVACE Apr05 Mar14 Feb28 Jan31 Jan04 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 122 6.00    
SHE'S FIRE Nov04 Oct15 Sep26 Sep16 Aug20 (rice kev)MARTINEZ A 113 15.00    
NICE ACE Aug21 Jul25 Jul03 Jun06 Oct23 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 1.80 72% 0.40    
CAPTIVATING BOY May01 Mar30 Feb25 Jan26 Dec03 (morey wi)GALLARDO A 122 2.00 5% 18.30    
PAYNTED WARRIOR Oct18 Sep12 Aug22 Aug10 Jul12 (girten tim)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
 
PID-7   05/27/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MITOLE MAGIC Mar30 Jan14 Dec16 Nov05 Sep16 (davis christop)DOYLE SOPHIE 118 10.00 15% 5.50    
WHEELINGNDEALING May04 Apr17 Mar23 Mar02 Jan20 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 122 2.50 22% 3.50    
RIGHT NOW Apr26 Mar27 Jun19 May24 Mar25 (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 122 3.00    
SCR  MISCHIEVOUS DOLL Apr20 May20 Mar25 Feb18 Feb01 (motion graham)MARTINEZ W 122 6.00    
AIR ONE Sep03 Aug18 Jul14 Jul05 Jun12 (dickey keith)BAYS BROOKE 112 5.00 17% 4.90    
CIDSTAYINURLAINE Mar19 Feb27 Feb12 Jan30 Dec18 (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 117 12.00    
GOOGLY EYES Jan19 Dec09 Oct29 Sep28 Sep02 (kintz ma)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 122 15.00    
CARLOTUK Oct24 Oct11 Jul24 Jun28 Jun05 (lake a)ALLEN D 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
RED WREN Apr21 Mar09 Jan03 Nov29 Sep25 (rice kev)GALLARDO A 118 6.00    
 
PID-8   05/27/2024 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SISTER EVE         (girten t)MARTINEZ A 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of SKY MYSTIC by SKY MESA)
SCR  LITTLE LAMB CHOP May02 Apr01 Feb21 Dec13   (beattie cody)SPIETH S 120 3.50    
  (by DIALED IN out of TWO WONDERS by THREE WONDERS)
DROWNINGNCHOCOLATE Apr16 Mar27 Mar04 Feb19 Jan03 (pappada micha)WALKER M 124 8.00    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of DEATH BY CHOCOLATE by ARTS AND LETTERS)
PHONE EATS FIRST         (trombetta michae)MARTINEZ W 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of WHAT AM I GONNA DO by PARTNER'S HERO)
EASY SEVEN         (girten tim)MORALES PABLO 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of MAJESTIC LADY by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
SHE'S GOT RHYTHM Sep26 Sep06       (russell randal)ALLEN D 124 12.00    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of CHAMPAGNE RHYTHM by EDDINGTON)
OPHELIAS DREAM Oct18 Sep26       (wismer s)STANLEY O 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
  (by SOCIAL INCLUSION out of HOLY HEARTLY by LION HEART)
SHEZ UNTAPPABLE Jul26         (russell rand)AYALA J 124 10.00    
  (by RACE DAY out of SHEZA MAGIC MATCH by ZULU MAGIC)
BESS' CANDY         (delacour)GALLARDO A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of BILLESDON BESS by DICK TURPIN)
10  R PENELOPE Jul26         (rojas eduardo)ROJAS MARTINA 119 6.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of LA GREY ZULIANA by BORREGO)
SCR  SENSIBLE MARRIAGE Mar27 Mar13 Mar01 Feb07 Jul26 (valdez moi)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 124 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARY BERNICE by BERNARDINI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.