Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (2/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/4)-(2/1/5/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/1/4)-(2/1/5/4)-(2/1/5/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/1/4)-(6/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/1/4)-(6/4/7)-(5/3/1) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
HAW-2   WIN (6/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/7)-(6/4/7/1)-(6/4/7/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/4/7)-(5/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/4/7)-(5/3/1)-(6/5/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
HAW-3   WIN (5/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/3/1)-(5/3/1)-(5/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/3/1)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/3/1)-(6/5/1/3)-(4/7/2/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-4   WIN (6/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3)-(6/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/5/1/3)-(4/7/2/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/5/1/3)-(4/7/2/1)-(5/4) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-5   WIN (4/7/2/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/10/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/1)-(4/7/2/10/1)-(4/7/2/10/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/2/1)-(5/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/1)-(5/4)-(7/2/1/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-6   WIN (5/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/4)-(5/4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/4)-(5/4/1/7)-(5/4/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (5/4)-(7/2/1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/4)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/6/2/8) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
HAW-7   WIN (7/2/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3)-(7/2/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/2/1/3)-(7/6/2/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (7/2/1/3)-(7/6/2/8)-(11/6/10/2/8) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
HAW-8   WIN (7/6/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8)-(7/6/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/2/8)-(11/6/10/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
HAW-9   WIN (11/6/10/2/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/6/10/2/8)-(11/6/10/2/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/6/10/2/8)-(11/6/10/2/8)-(11/6/10/2/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SADE PURSE Apr28 Apr20 Mar17 Nov11 Oct09 (james gerald)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.00 9% 9.60    
2  GO STORMIN GIRL May04 Apr07 Mar31 Jan03 Oct23 (cook brian)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 60% 0.70    
3  SHEZA HOOT May04 Apr20 Mar31 Oct03 Sep16 (perez manny)LOPEZ A 122 15.00    
4  MISS WINDY SLEW Apr28 Apr14 Apr07 Mar23 Mar03 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  KITTEN ROCKS Aug10 Jul30 Jun29 Jun18 Jun07 (cook brian)REYES FRANK 122 3.00 ★    
6  TAP N TWINE May04 Apr20 Apr14 Mar31 Aug16 (ryan chris )BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 4.50    
7  LADY ATLANTIC May04 Apr20 Apr07 Mar23 Mar23 (ryan a)FELIX E 122 6.00    
 
HAW-2   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOPPIN JOHN Apr27 Mar29 Mar09 Sep01 Aug07 (watkins jame)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 ★    
2  STOLICH May11 Apr27 Aug31 Aug09 Jul27 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 12.00    
3  RA'DOM Apr27 Oct31 Oct21 Oct07 Sep09 (castro isid)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
4  BE LUCKY Feb02 Dec14 Oct29     (winebaugh chery)REYES ANGEL 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
5  LAGRUE Apr27 Oct31 Oct14 Sep30 Aug08 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 122 15.00    
6  GETTIN PAID Apr27 Apr13 Mar08 Jul31 Jul07 (vanden britt)FELIX E 122 1.00 64% 0.60    
7  JUST BECAUSE Apr27 Apr20 Mar15 Mar02 Feb10 (litfin veronica)MOJICA O 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-3   05/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAIRO SUMMER Apr28 Apr13 Mar23 Sep03 Aug10 (hughes w)LOPEZ A 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  EMITYAAZ Apr28 Apr13 Dec30 Aug24 Aug03 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50    
3  MIDNIGHT'S GIRL Apr13 Jan06 Dec08 Nov25 Oct28 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.60 36% 1.80    
4  MAIDEN ROCK May05 Sep13 Aug31 Aug24 Aug09 (candelas blanca)COHEN DAVID 122 6.00    
5  SILKY WARRIOR (IRE) Apr07 Feb09 Jan12 Dec06 Oct07 (villa francisco)FELIX E 122 2.00 41% 1.40    
6  LOTTA ROSES May05 Jan18 Dec27 Dec08 Nov15 (quinonez ma)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00    
 
HAW-4   05/19/2024 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANVILLE May04 Apr14 Feb25 Jan10 Oct15 (banks chris)COLON H 122 5.00 13% 7.00    
2  CASCADE CRUISER Apr13 Mar16 Jan20     (roussel loui)CENTENO ALEXIS 116 4.00    
3  BONS TEMPS ROULE Feb24 Dec30 Nov25     (roussel lou)BLANCHE RISHAWN 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  EPIC KNIGHT Mar20 Feb02 Jan18 Dec21 Oct11 (harty eoin)MOJICA O 116 3.50    
5  HERCULES Apr28 Apr13 Apr07 Mar27 Mar09 (james gerald)FELIX E 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
6  HARD TO FATHOM May04 Apr06 Oct27 Sep01 Jul28 (simonovich dani)COHEN DAVID 122 4.50 37% 1.70    
7  SHARP STICK Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 Dec30 Aug28 (hernandez arm)HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
 
HAW-5   05/19/2024 3300ft TURF RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAGGIE E Apr20 Apr06 Mar23 Jan27 Jan05 (quinonez ma)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of PIECES OF SILVER by SILVER DEPUTY)
2  SNOW FLURRY Apr28 Mar23 Feb24     (litfin veronic)LEZCANO ABEL 118 8.00 17% 5.10    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of HI BEAUTIFUL by SNOW RIDGE)
3  MOLLY'S TEMPLE Nov11 Oct17 Oct03 Sep19   (manley steve)FELIX E 124 20.00    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of LADY MOLLY by BROTHER DEREK)
4  HA HA GLORIA (IRE) Oct22         (rosin w)COLON H 124 2.50 36% 1.80    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
5  ROSALINA Sep09 Aug09 Jul22     (litfin veroni)HERNANDEZ K 118 20.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SWAN RIVER ROSIE by TAPIZAR)
6  TAKER BACK Apr28 Apr07 Mar22 Mar09 Feb10 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 6.00    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TAKER HOME by VINDICATION)
7  DI'S SURPRISE Mar31         (rivelli larry)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of CHICKASAW GAL by INDIAN CHARLIE)
8  MADELYN ATTACK May05 Apr06 Mar23 Nov14 Nov07 (childers va)SANTIAGO VICTOR 124 20.00    
  (by FOREST ATTACK out of MAGGIE BEE by BERNSTEIN)
9  MISS HIGH N MIGHTY Apr20 Nov07 Oct17 Sep21 Sep03 (ramirez c)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 15.00    
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of OAK MARSH by FIRST SAMURAI)
10  SUPRISE ME AGAIN         (block chris)MOJICA O 118 5.00 ★    
  (by DIALED IN out of SUMMERLIN by LOST SOLDIER)
 
HAW-6   05/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Third Chance Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOURNEYIST Aug31 Aug10 Jul12 Jun21 Jun01 (boyce michele)COLON H 118 6.00 ★    
  (by TOURIST out of BEEWAY by CHAMPALI)
2  PURR SEA Feb14 Jan12 Dec07 Oct22 Oct08 (boyce michele)FELIX E 121 4.00    
  (by MIDSHIPMAN out of KITTY'S CASTLE by CASHEL CASTLE)
3  COMMISSIONER GULCH Apr14 Nov07 Oct24 Oct03 Sep12 (becker sc)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 116 8.00    
  (by COMMISSIONER out of GUIDDY GULCH by THUNDER GULCH)
4  GO MADI GO Nov18 Nov07 Oct17 Aug26 Jul22 (plasters lori)ORM CORY 116 8.00 7% 13.00    
  (by NEW YEAR'S DAY out of FAST MADI by BELONG TO ME)
5  OEUVRE Apr13 Mar23 Feb13 Jan06 Nov18 (block chris)MOJICA O 128 1.20 64% 0.60    
  (by SHACKLEFORD out of LOVE THIS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
6  RAINY MOUNTAIN Apr14 Jun14 Jun01 May14 Apr23 (kirby frank )CENTENO ALEXIS 114 10.00    
  (by KING'S EMPIRE out of ATLANTIC STORM R N by STORMY ATLANTIC)
7  WHITE LIES Apr14 Aug31 Aug17 Jul06 Jun14 (miller patt)SANTIAGO VICTOR 117 6.00 ★    
  (by PALACE out of MILITARY MAMA by INCLUDE)
 
HAW-7   05/19/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 GOOD Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  READTHECLIFFNOTES Apr28 Apr06 Sep04 Aug17 Jul13 (boyce miche)SANTIAGO VICTOR 122 5.00 8% 11.00    
2  PROTONIC POWER Apr27 Apr06 Mar09 Jan20 Dec23 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00 8% 10.90    
3  CANTSTEALMYTHUNDER Apr28 Mar13 Jan26 Dec07 Oct25 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  SIVAKO Mar08 May28 Apr09 Dec30 Sep30 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 12.00    
5  OCEAN OF STORMS Apr28 Apr06 Feb24 Dec20 Nov29 (arnett g)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00    
6  ICE SHARD May04 Apr06 Oct09 Sep20 Aug16 (perez manny)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 20.00    
7  ANOTHER MYSTERY Oct13 Sep09 May20 Apr22 Mar25 (block chris)MOJICA O 122 2.00 60% 0.70    
8  NOVGOROD THE GREAT Aug17 Jul20 Jun09 May14 Apr29 (goldfine a)FELIX E 122 6.00    
 
HAW-8   05/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNCAPTURED PULSE May11 Apr27 Apr06 Mar31 Oct07 (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00    
2  BAREFOOTBOOTLEGGER Apr27 Apr13 Nov17 Oct31 Oct04 (haran john)FELIX E 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  DEMAND RANSOM May11 Apr21 Apr06 Jun21 Jun04 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
4  HUNKA BURNING LOVE Nov01 Sep24 Aug28 Aug20 Jul23 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.00    
SCR  SLAVA UKRAINI May05 Apr20 Mar24 Oct14 Aug30 (zawitz joel)LEZCANO ABEL 122 5.00    
6  BLAZEN ROAD Apr27 Mar28 Mar01 Feb15 Jan11 (schlenk k)REYES FRANK 122 8.00 14% 5.90    
7  LAKE MILLS Apr13 Mar23 Aug30 Jul26 Jul05 (kirby fran)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 1.80 51% 1.00    
8  BOURBON TEDDY May04 Apr21 Mar31 Mar23 Nov13 (reyes martin)REYES ANGEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-9   05/19/2024 3630ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NIFF Apr14 Mar30 Nov18 Nov04 Oct10 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 30.00    
2  DOCS SEVEN May03 Apr19 Mar17 Feb09 Jan11 (manley steve)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 6% 15.00    
SCR  BALI BABY May04 Apr27 Oct24 Sep21 Aug31 (zawitz joel)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 10.00    
4  STACK SHACK May04 Apr20 Apr13 Mar31 Jan04 (castro isidro)LEZCANO ABEL 122 20.00    
5  SAPPHIRE NIGHTS Apr07 Mar31 Feb23 Feb12 Oct24 (rodriguez eduar)REYES FRANK 116 12.00    
6  GET THE CANDY Feb07 Jan13 Dec24 Oct13 Sep17 (vanden bri)COHEN DAVID 122 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  FRANKEL BABY Apr27 Nov08 Sep24 Aug19 Jul08 (vanden britt)FELIX E 124 6.00    
8  RARE ACTION ATTACK Aug23 Aug09 Jul20 Jun11 May25 (childers vance)MOJICA O 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
9  ESSENTIAL BELLA May11 Apr20 Feb04 Dec18 Dec08 (bahena fer)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 15.00    
10  MOVE IT BABY Mar16 Jan12 Dec08 Oct24 Oct10 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 4.50 13% 7.00    
11  RAMBERT Dec28 Oct12 Sep02 Jul22 Jun15 (villa francisc)COLON H 122 6.00 42% 1.40    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.