Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Finger Lakes
Monday - May 13, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FL-1   WIN (1/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/6)-(1/2/6)-(1/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/6)-(2/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-2   WIN (2/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/4/6)-(2/4/6)-(2/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/4/6)-(3/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/4/6)-(3/2/4)-(4/6/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-3   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(4/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(4/6/1)-(1/6/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-4   WIN (4/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/1)-(4/6/1)-(4/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/6/1)-(1/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-5   WIN (1/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/6/3)-(1/6/3)-(1/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/6/3)-(4/5/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-6   WIN (4/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/3)-(4/5/3)-(4/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/3)-(3/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3)-(3/4/1)-(5/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
FL-7   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(5/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FL-8   WIN (5/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/6)-(5/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/2/6)-(5/2/1/6)-(5/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FL-1   05/13/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3 ALL PT- 1:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SKYLER'S ARTEMIS Feb16 Jan13 Oct26 Sep28 Aug19 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 1.60 58% 0.70    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of DANCINGINHERDREAMS by TAPIT)
2  HAL AWAY Oct16 Sep27       (falk jacqueline)FRET STEVEN 122 3.50 14% 6.20    
  (by GIANT SURPRISE out of RENNINA by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
3  SOX FOR DAUGHTERS Apr29         (falk jac)DAVIS A 122 6.00    
  (by GOOD SAMARITAN out of LITTLE BULLET by GREEK ANSWER)
4  THE DELAWARE BOYZ Apr29 Mar21 Feb04 Jan14 Dec08 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 122 2.50    
  (by CLOUD COMPUTING out of WOODFORD TEA by STREET SENSE)
5  MOR VALOR Apr29 Nov20       (fung christo)HARKIE K 122 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of MAKOO by MAJORITY OF ONE)
6  MORTGAGE RATE Apr19 Mar28 Feb25 Jan13   (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of YOUMAKEMEBLUSH by VIOLENCE)
 
FL-2   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  P J'S RIDER Nov08 Oct17 Oct07 Sep15 Sep08 (loa)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 4.50    
2  AMORE FIRE Oct04 Sep06 Jul18 Jun21 May15 (acquilano jam)DAVILA A 122 3.50 26% 2.90    
3  BUSTINROXY Apr30 Nov15 Nov01 Oct17 Aug08 (ferraro anth)COA J 124 1.40    
4  SWEET SUGAR BABY Apr30 Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Sep06 (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MAGNIFICENT MAGS Nov01 Oct04 Sep18 Jul05 Jun20 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 122 10.00    
6  ICE LOVE Mar16 Mar03 Dec31 Nov20 Oct30 (ferraro anthony)PEREZ E 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FL-3   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IMPERMANENCE Nov01         (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 120 4.00    
  (by ENCAUSTIC out of QUEEN BONNIE by BERNSTEIN)
2  EAST HARBOR Mar15 Mar03 Feb19     (sells rache)CAMILO D 120 2.00 36% 1.80    
  (by SOLOMINI out of ACCABONAC HARBOR by CENTRAL BANKER)
3  VROOM VROOM Jul17 Jun26 Jun05 May22 May08 (acquilano jam)NAVARRO KEVIN 124 2.50 40% 1.50    
  (by TAPIZAR out of SPEEDY BIRD by BIRDSTONE)
4  HIDDEN WAR DANCE Apr13 Apr04       (winney melvin)IORIO MELISSA 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR DANCER out of FUNKY MUNKY MAMA by LION HEARTED)
5  SARATOGA SMOKESHOW Apr30 Apr04 Mar15 Oct12 Jul26 (lopez arca)DE EMANUEL 120 8.00    
  (by DESTIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
6  MISS WOBBLES Apr29         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 3.50    
  (by MARKET RALLY out of MAIZELOVESBROWNIES by BIG BROWN)
 
FL-4   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:42
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THIRTY OYSTERS Nov20 Nov07 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAPTAINOFMYHEART Nov20 Oct24 Oct11 Aug28 Aug15 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 124 3.50    
3  PROFITABILITY Apr29 Feb23 Feb02 Jan07 Dec16 (buckley jonat)NAVARRO KEVIN 120 2.00    
4  WAR SMOKE Nov22 Oct16 Jul17     (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 124 2.50 56% 0.80    
5  LOOKIN GRAND Nov20 Oct23 Oct11 Sep27 Sep18 (fung christo)HARKIE K 124 8.00    
6  ESCAPE MISSION Nov20 Oct24 Sep27 Aug28 Aug09 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 5.00 9% 10.30    
 
FL-5   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEE BO Apr30 Mar22 Mar06 Feb16 Jan25 (ronen assaf)DAVILA A 124 1.50 47% 1.10    
2  STONE GUITAR Apr29 Nov21 Oct30 Oct17 Oct03 (bireta donn)FLORES JEREMIAS 124 3.50    
3  ALONGCAMETHEPRINCE Apr30 Sep19 Sep05 Aug07 Jul18 (clarke matthew)BAEZ JOSE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  SNEADS Apr30 Dec06 Nov21 Nov13 Oct25 (murphy timothy)COA J 124 12.00    
5  HOLY COWBOY Apr30 Nov22 Oct25 Oct03 Sep19 (breed deb)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 124 10.00    
6  SON OF DARKNESS Apr30 Mar08 Feb02 Dec14 Nov13 (o'callah)DAVIS A 124 2.50 23% 3.30    
 
FL-6   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYLA Apr29 Mar29 Mar15 Feb15 Dec27 (d'alessand)DE EMANUEL 124 2.50    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
2  DALE AVENUE Apr29 Nov21       (breed ronald )DAVILA A 124 2.00    
  (by REDESDALE out of DEAN AVENUE by PURE PRIZE)
3  KANTBECC Apr29         (dixon k)ALVARADO R 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MARKET RALLY out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
4  SKY'S WINNING BID         (ferraro anth)COA J 120 3.50 34% 1.90    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TIP TOP TAP by TAPIT)
5  AIN'T NO LADY         (eng)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by PALACE MALICE out of BUTTERFLY SOUL by HENNY HUGHES)
6  JOYFUL DEPARTURE Apr29 Mar14 Feb22 Jan24 Dec28 (grusmark karl)CRUZ JOEL 124 10.00    
  (by FREUD out of SKIPPIN' CHURCH by ARCHARCHARCH)
 
FL-7   05/13/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($11K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LUCKY MUCHO MAN Apr30 Nov14 Oct31 Oct18 Sep27 (vasquez ram)FLORES JEREMIAS 122 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MONEY MAKING KAZ Apr30 Mar13 Feb08 Dec22 Nov29 (vasquez ramon)CRUZ JOEL 122 5.00    
2  TAKE THE EDGE Oct30 Oct10 Sep13 Sep05 Aug22 (babcock edwa)BERRIOS C 118 6.00    
3  N Y RIESLING Nov20 Oct11 Sep04 Aug14 Jul31 (dixon k)ALVARADO R 122 1.60 50% 1.00    
4  DEE'S WISEGUY Apr30 Sep20 Aug17 Jun26 Jun12 (ferraro anth)COA J 122 3.50 28% 2.60    
5  THEJIGISUP Nov14 Oct31 Oct17 Oct03 Sep03 (lopez rob)RODRIGUEZ ANTHONY 118 8.00    
6  FIGHTER KITE Oct24 Oct11 Sep04 Aug14 Jul18 (d'alessandr)CAMILO D 122 3.00    
 
FL-8   05/13/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAD CONNECTION Apr30 Nov15 Nov01 Oct16 Oct02 (gutierrez luis)ALVARADO R 122 2.50 ★    
2  UNBRIDLED'S REIGN Nov15 Oct31 Sep06 Aug23 Aug02 (breed ronald )DAVILA A 122 6.00 17% 5.00    
SCR  TRACI'S GIRL Nov01 Oct02 Aug29 Aug02 Jul18 (sparling wayne )ROHENA JR 122 20.00    
4  MADDIE'S SURPRISE Apr30 Jan11 Dec10 Oct31 Oct17 (sells rach)DE EMANUEL 122 4.00    
5  MOTLEY SUE Nov15 Oct04 Jun06 May15 May02 (englehart chr)DAVILA R 122 3.50 57% 0.80    
6  BON FIRE DIVA Apr30 Nov15 Nov07 Sep27 Aug30 (williams omani)FRET STEVEN 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  PALS ALLY Nov22 Nov07 Oct24 Oct11 Oct02 (gutierrez lu)BERRIOS C 122 10.00    
8  QUIET HORIZON Nov15 Nov07 Oct23 Oct11 Sep27 (cabrera )DAVIS A 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.