Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Hawthorne
Sunday - May 12, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
HAW-1   WIN (4/6/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3)-(4/6/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/1/3)-(3/7/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/6/1/3)-(3/7/5/6)-(1/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-2   WIN (3/7/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6)-(3/7/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/5/6)-(1/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/7/5/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/7/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-3   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(1/7/8/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(1/7/8/4/5)-(3/5/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-4   WIN (1/7/8/4/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/8/4/5)-(1/7/8/4/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/8/4/5)-(1/7/8/4/5)-(1/7/8/4/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/8/4/5)-(3/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/7/8/4/5)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/4/6/8/9) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
HAW-5   WIN (3/5/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7)-(3/5/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/4/7)-(3/4/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4/7)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(1/10/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-6   WIN (3/4/6/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9)-(3/4/6/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/6/8/9)-(1/10/6) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6/8/9)-(1/10/6)-(3/5/2/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
HAW-7   WIN (1/10/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/10/6)-(1/10/6/12/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/10/6)-(1/10/6/12/11)-(1/10/6/12/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/10/6)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/10/6)-(3/5/2/7)-(13/7/5/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
HAW-8   WIN (3/5/2/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7)-(3/5/2/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/5/2/7)-(13/7/5/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
HAW-9   WIN (13/7/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (13/7/5/10)-(13/7/5/6/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (13/7/5/10)-(13/7/5/6/10)-(13/7/5/6/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
HAW-1   05/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($6.25K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RAISERICHIESRANSOM Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Jan04 Dec27 (hughes ear)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 118 10.00 14% 6.30    
2  MY TENNIS SHOES Apr21 Mar23 Mar02 Feb09 Dec10 (lopez elias)REYES FRANK 124 5.00    
3  LAUREATE Apr27 Apr13 Jul13     (perez man)ULLOA JOAN 124 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  ICE AXE Apr27 Apr06 Oct26 Sep29 Sep08 (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 124 0.60 30% 2.30    
5  GRAY MIKE Apr21 Nov16 Nov01 Oct19 Sep19 (ramirez carlos)LOPEZ A 124 15.00    
6  ANNA AFTER MIDNITE Apr20 Mar23 Jan31 Dec09 Nov07 (vanden be)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 113 3.50 23% 3.40    
7  CHERRY ORCHARD Apr28 Apr07 Mar24 Nov14 Oct28 (hughes earl)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 30.00    
 
HAW-2   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LARRY THE POET Apr21 Mar31 Oct15 Aug27 Jul30 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 124 4.00    
2  BALADINE Apr21 Mar24 Aug30 Jul13 Jun15 (poulos dee)MOJICA O 122 6.00    
3  PHILIPSBURG (IRE) Apr13 Feb28 Jan26 Mar18 Jan05 (rodriguez eduar)COHEN DAVID 122 5.00 59% 0.70    
4  MY CRAZY NEIGHBOR Apr21 Mar31 Jan19 Dec30 Nov21 (berndt joe)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 5.00    
5  TABLE MONEY Apr19 Mar24 Mar10 Feb19 Dec29 (haran john)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 3.50 5% 18.20    
6  YO DAWG Nov22 Nov03 Aug27 Aug05 Jul09 (berndt joe)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  STRANGE ARRANGE Apr27 Mar30 Mar06 Feb01 Sep12 (rodriguez hugo)FELIX E 122 4.50 12% 7.30    
 
HAW-3   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KAELY'S SISTER Apr27 Mar30 Sep25 Aug06 Jul09 (rivelli larry)MOJICA O 124 2.50 44% 1.30    
2  BALI DREAMIN Apr27 Mar30 Feb16 Jan26 Dec22 (hernandez arman)COHEN DAVID 122 4.00    
3  SHEMEANSBIZNESS Dec02 Sep29 Sep15 Sep02 Aug14 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
4  COTTON CANDY ANNIE Apr14 Dec16 Oct27 Oct10 Aug10 (hernandez armando)FELIX E 122 4.50    
5  OFF RAMP Apr28 Apr04 Sep02 Jul26 Jun07 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 3.00    
6  FROSTED ECLAIR Nov14 Oct10 Sep19 Aug31 Aug06 (watkins j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-4   05/12/2024 4950ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN STORM Apr13 Mar29 Feb22 Jan10 Nov29 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 116 2.50 47% 1.10    
2  WALK SOFTLY Apr21 Feb28 Feb03 Sep02 Mar01 (perez mann)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00    
3  MS KS DYNASTY Apr28 Dec01 Oct28 Oct14 Sep12 (banks chris)LOPEZ A 116 15.00    
4  GI GIS MAP Apr27 Apr19 Feb04 Dec31 Jul22 (rosin coty)GALLARDO EDUARDO 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  JOCELYN Apr20 Mar23 Feb16 Jan26 Jan11 (lopez elias)BLANCHE RISHAWN 109 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  GLITTER BOMB Apr20 Mar23 Feb14 Jan20 Dec23 (schlenk jad)ARRIETA REYNIER 116 30.00    
7  LEIPZIG Jul15 May26 Apr27 Mar24 Feb23 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 3.50 11% 8.10    
8  ALEXANDRA'S SONG Mar31 Feb21 Dec26 Nov11 May23 (reavis l)FELIX E 116 12.00 8% 11.00    
9  BLAZE BEAUTY Apr20 Mar30 Nov18 Oct31 Oct14 (essenpreis e)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 8.00    
10  EVIE JEAN Apr28 Apr07 Sep04 Aug20 Aug09 (ryan chri)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
11  SEQUAYA Apr07 Mar31 Oct31 Sep04 Aug23 (cook bria)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 15.00    
 
HAW-5   05/12/2024 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE THUNDER Apr14 Feb17 Jan27 Dec18 Dec07 (young terr)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 4.00    
2  STRONGER TOGETHER Mar27 Mar16 Feb16 Feb02 Jan03 (dizeo dino)GILES EMMANUEL 122 5.00    
3  HUNTERS GHOST Apr06 Jan06 Dec20 Dec02 Oct20 (arnett g)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 4.50 27% 2.70    
4  TRY TRY AGAIN Apr21 Nov18 Nov11 Oct21 Sep30 (zawitz joel)HERNANDEZ K 122 8.00 12% 7.40    
5  GITA'S LAD Apr14 Mar24 Jan03 Dec01 Oct19 (young r)FELIX E 124 3.50 23% 3.40    
6  EVERLOVINGHAND Apr19 Mar29 Jun20 May27 May09 (scalcione)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 15.00    
7  FIRST MASAMUNE Apr13 Aug20 Aug02 Jul12 Jun21 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEEALEA May04 Apr21 Mar31 Feb15 Jan15 (rodriguez eduar)REYES FRANK 124 3.00    
 
HAW-6   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDEA MAN Dec02 Nov17 Nov01 Oct17 Sep20 (reid r)COLON H 122 8.00    
2  PERFECT WAGER May04 Apr20 Apr06 Mar30 Feb14 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 20.00    
3  BREAKING NEWS (GB) Apr27 Apr06 Mar23 Jan21 Dec30 (rodriguez hu)CENTENO ALEXIS 124 1.80 43% 1.30    
4  ROBUST Apr21 Mar30 Mar23 Feb16 Dec15 (rodriguez edu)HERNANDEZ K 122 5.00 18% 4.50    
5  CHICKS FOR FREE Apr27 Apr14 Mar24 Nov30 Nov18 (zawitz joel)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
6  D'ARCHER Sep03 Aug06 Jul16 Jun18 May11 (childers )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 4.00 7% 13.40    
7  MODAZZLE Apr20 Mar30 Feb23 Sep12 Sep02 (watkins ja)GALLARDO EDUARDO 124 12.00    
8  RISKY BOY Apr21 Mar31 Mar23 Nov01 Oct09 (spagnola id)BLANCHE RISHAWN 115 12.00 7% 13.40    
9  ALPINE GHOST Apr28 Apr06 Mar23 Jan22 Jan11 (rodriguez jo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
HAW-7   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC7 YIELDING Claiming ($13.5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COMMAND POINT Sep03 Aug23 Jul27 Jun18 Jun04 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 122 2.50 54% 0.80    
2  ROMANTIC ATTACK Aug23 Jul30 Jun18 May31 Nov25 (childers )ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00    
3  SUMMER AT THE SPA May04 Apr20 Feb07 Dec08 Nov10 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 122 20.00    
4  BAND OF ROSES Dec06 Nov15 Aug31 Aug22 Aug05 (gonzalez agust)SANJUR SANTO 122 8.00    
5  MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Apr28 Apr07 Dec28 Oct25 Sep20 (dizeo dino)GALLARDO EDUARDO 122 30.00    
6  LEA RO Apr06 Feb07 Dec13 Oct05 Aug31 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 8.00 5% 18.00    
SCR  ECONOMIC HANGOVER Mar15 Feb16 Feb03 Dec15 Oct10 (tomlinson)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 10.00    
8  RUNNERS HEAT Apr27 Aug31 Aug06 Jul16 Jun22 (wilson sharo)GILES EMMANUEL 122 20.00    
9  SENSE OF SELF Sep04 Aug23 May25 Apr23 Nov13 (ramirez c)ULLOA JOAN 122 30.00    
10  SUMMER DAY Aug31 Jul30 Jul06 Jun18 May31 (mitchell anthony)MOJICA O 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
11  APRIL'S GEM Apr07 Mar23 Oct23 Sep28 Sep18 (rosas rigo)HERNANDEZ K 122 12.00 ★    
12  QUILTING PARTY Apr14 Aug31 Aug10 Jun18 May31 (kirby fran)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 6.00 ★    
SCR  HOT DAME Apr21 Apr07 Dec30 Dec02 Oct10 (lynch harry)ARRIETA REYNIER 122 15.00    
SCR  TAPERINEA Apr28 Nov13 Oct07 Oct03 Sep03 (meraz antonio)REYES FRANK 122 10.00    
 
HAW-8   05/12/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CALL ME ICE MAN Mar29 Mar02 Jan26 Dec16 Jun25 (campbell michael)FELIX E 122 6.00    
2  CLYDE'S GREEN GO Apr21 Apr06 Mar24 Nov11   (pompell rob)ARRIETA REYNIER 124 10.00 9% 9.90    
3  MOONLIGHT ROAD Apr14 Mar24 Mar07 Jan01 Nov19 (block chris)COHEN DAVID 118 3.50 32% 2.10    
4  GOOD APPLE Apr06 Mar23 Mar07     (block chris)MOJICA O 122 4.50    
5  VALIANT WEST Apr21 Mar31 Jan17 Dec23 Sep17 (clay pat)CENTENO ALEXIS 122 5.00 20% 4.00    
6  ELI'S PROMISE Mar31 Dec08 Oct25 Aug20 Jul31 (divito james )HERNANDEZ K 122 6.00    
7  BOONE'S PATH Sep11 Aug20 Jul27 Jul16 Jun22 (young ter)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  BEEASY Apr21 Nov11 Oct24 Aug30 Aug09 (zawitz jo)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 122 4.00    
 
HAW-9   05/12/2024 5280ft TURF RC5 YIELDING Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OFF THE LAM Feb24 Feb02       (gutierrez faus)COLON H 118 10.00    
  (by CURLIN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
2  DIAMONDS JOY Apr06 Jan26 Dec23     (block chris)MOJICA O 124 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DIAMONDINTHECENTER by GEMOLOGIST)
SCR  ANQA Mar13         (harty eoin)COHEN DAVID 118 2.50    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of MOCKERY by DISTORTED HUMOR)
4  I DID THE MATH Apr20 Mar30 Dec02 Nov07 Oct24 (rednour j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
  (by NOTIONAL out of KARAH'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
5  ELODINE Apr07 Mar08 Feb02     (lopez elias)CENTENO ALEXIS 118 12.00 10% 8.70    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of BELIEVE YOU WILL by PROUD CITIZEN)
6  ABSOLUTE MIRACLE Mar31 Mar02 Jan20     (roussel j)FELIX E 118 8.00 ★    
  (by AUDIBLE out of SPEIGHTLASS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
7  PACIFIC VIEW Apr07 Mar31 Jan05 Dec08 Oct25 (clay pat)BLANCHE RISHAWN 117 4.50 25% 3.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of INDIA'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
SCR  BOLTORO Apr24 Apr07 Feb21 Jan10 Dec17 (vanden be)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 124 6.00    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of ELANDESS by SCAT DADDY)
9  HATTIE BLOOM Apr21 Mar24 Feb25 Feb04   (scherer ga)GALLARDO EDUARDO 118 10.00    
  (by FIRING LINE out of NAOMI RIDGE ESQ. by LAWYER RON)
10  MISS MADALINE         (spagnola ida)REYES FRANK 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by UNIFIED out of MADAGASCAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
11  REALISTIC GOAL Apr07 Aug10 Jul23     (perez manny)LEZCANO ABEL 118 30.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of REALGOODLOOKIN by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
12  VOSTRA May02 Oct04 Sep13 Sep02 Aug17 (jones s)GILES EMMANUEL 124 30.00    
  (by FORT LARNED out of WANDAFUL WANDAFUL by HERO'S TRIBUTE)
13  CROSSANNA         (block chris)MOJICA O 118 6.00 41% 1.50    
  (by CROSS TRAFFIC out of LEADING ASTRAY by BELONG TO ME)
14  COLLIE WRAYS KITTY Apr20 Mar30 Nov14 Oct24   (rednour j)BENDEZU ALEXANDER 124 30.00    
  (by BIG BLUE KITTEN out of MALLORY'S CHANNEL by ENGLISH CHANNEL)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.