Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Saturday - May 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (6/3/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8)-(6/3/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-2   WIN (1/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/8/5)-(1/8/5)-(1/8/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (5/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/7/4)-(5/7/4)-(5/7/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-4   WIN (9/5/3/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/5/3/4/7)-(9/5/3/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/5/3/4/7)-(9/5/3/4/7)-(9/5/3/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/8/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/8/1)-(2/8/1)-(2/8/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-6   WIN (1/4/9/6/13) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/4/9/6/13)-(1/4/9/6/13) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/4/9/6/13)-(1/4/9/6/13)-(1/4/9/6/13) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-7   WIN (1/6/2/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5)-(1/6/2/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-8   WIN (5/4/9/8/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/4/9/8/3)-(5/4/9/8/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/4/9/8/3)-(5/4/9/8/3)-(5/4/9/8/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-9   WIN (2/1/5/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/10)-(2/1/5/7/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/10)-(2/1/5/7/10)-(2/1/5/7/10) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MTH-10   WIN (1/2/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7)-(1/2/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JOHN JAY Mar29 Feb17 Jan21 Dec27 Nov22 (mcburney patr)IORIO MELISSA 117 6.00    
2  DEPOLI Apr23 Apr09 Mar25 Dec12 Nov08 (cole-davis tina)BOWMAN ADAM 121 20.00    
3  JEOPARDY JAMES Apr14 Mar09 Feb11 Jan13 Dec17 (alvarado diane)CENTENO E 121 4.00 22% 3.50    
4  LITTLE NI Oct20         (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 117 4.00 19% 4.30    
SCR  RUNNING RIGHT BY U Sep09 Aug27 Jul29 Jul16 Jun24 (moore mic)VARGAS A 121 10.00    
6  VESPUCCI Apr06 Mar09 Jun11     (reynolds patri)CAMACHO SAMY 121 2.00 29% 2.40    
7  CAUSES TROUBLE Apr23 Mar27 Mar04 Jan31 Jan08 (wyner harold)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.00    
8  GOT THUNDER Apr27 Mar21 Mar10 Mar02 Feb09 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-2   05/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REAL SENSATION Apr27 Mar23 Mar17 Jan28 Jan10 (sacco gre)MALDONADO GABRIEL 115 1.20 47% 1.10    
2  PRINS FIRE Apr26 Mar24 Mar17 Mar03 Jan27 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 20.00    
3  MCMAGIC Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 Feb12 Jan02 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 119 5.00    
SCR  EL DE LEO Mar24 Mar03 Dec24 Nov26 Nov05 (gonzalez )BOCACHICA J 116 6.00    
5  FIRST PLACE G Mar24 Mar08 Feb21 Feb07 Dec29 (schistl rafael)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00 9% 10.10    
6  SUCCEED Apr26 Apr07 Mar17 Mar10 Feb11 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 15.00    
SCR  JERSEY PERFECTION Apr14 Oct26 Aug27 Jul29 Jul08 (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 6.00    
8  RANSEUR Apr27 Apr07 Mar01 Feb21 Feb07 (carvajal luis)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
MTH-3   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ASH WEDNESDAY Mar03         (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 1.00    
  (by MOHAYMEN out of BOLD PRINT by READ THE FOOTNOTES)
2  SWAN         (potts way)BOCACHICA J 114 5.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of VENOM GIRL by STEVIE WONDERBOY)
3  FOOLISH CHALLENGE         (spina charles)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of DARESAY by DECLARATION OF WAR)
4  MY HONEYBUNCH Aug13         (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SHE'S FLATTERING by FLATTER)
5  MONEY MAGNETTES Mar31         (pompay terri)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MAGNETTES by MINESHAFT)
6  ALI'S JERSEY GIRL Apr15         (hogan w)GONZALEZ LUIS 119 20.00    
  (by ALI out of TECHNO GIRL by FLATTER)
7  NO TRICKS         (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 119 4.50 15% 5.80    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DANCE TO BRISTOL by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
 
MTH-4   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Apr27 Apr19 Mar15 Feb16 Feb07 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 119 8.00    
SCR  CANDY KINGDOM Apr21 Jul27 Jul15 Jun24 Jun18 (foglia )GONZALEZ LUIS 121 20.00    
3  LOOKIN AT ROSES Apr24 Mar30 Jan31 Nov26 Nov03 (preciado guada)RENDON JAIRO 121 6.00 8% 11.50    
4  GRADED ON A CURVE Apr12 Mar24 Feb18 Dec01 Nov10 (delgado jorge)CAMACHO SAMY 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  WINNING FACTOR Apr21 Aug19 Jul29 Jul08 Jun17 (suarez wlaim)ARROYO S 121 4.00 25% 2.90    
6  MAJESTIC EAGLE Apr06 Mar07 Oct14 Sep04 Aug13 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 119 4.50    
7  BIG BEAUTIFUL WALL Mar16 Feb15 Feb01 Dec13 Jan16 (dunham b)MARTINEZ FRANCISCO 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  COLPO D'ORO Apr21 Mar24 Mar06 Feb14 Jan05 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 116 6.00    
9  FATIMA'S BLESSING Apr21 Mar24 Feb16 Jan27 Dec09 (dini mike)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
10  HEY PORTER Apr26 Apr16 Mar11 Feb12 Jan29 (castillo )VARGAS A 121 20.00    
SCR  CHEEKY TICO Mar22 Mar02 Feb18 Feb10 Dec31 (noda orlando)OLVER MADISON 121 4.50    
SCR  GOLD RUSH KIZZIE Jul30 Jun07 Oct21 Sep30 Sep23 (hawthorne bo)HERNANDEZ ANDY 116 10.00    
 
MTH-5   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($19K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KINGDOM ON PAWS Mar23 Feb15 Feb07 Jan19 Dec24 (schistl r)MALDONADO GABRIEL 116 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  DRAMA'S PRAYER Apr12 Nov12 Oct21 Aug26 Aug04 (delgado jorge)OLVER MADISON 122 6.00 53% 0.90    
SCR  COUNTRY MILES Oct06 Sep09 Aug27 Aug18 Jul14 (sweezey ke)ARROYO S 121 10.00    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Oct20 Oct05 Sep04 Aug11 Jul04 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 121 4.50    
5  FIGHT FIERCELY Apr28 Apr12 Mar22 Mar15 Feb10 (arenas ma)BOCACHICA J 116 15.00    
SCR  RASCALLY REBEL Apr26 Apr19 Apr06 Mar15 Feb24 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
7  MY MAMBA May05 Feb24 Jan07 Dec16 Dec01 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 121 6.00    
8  AWESOME PRINCE Apr21 Mar27 Mar16 Feb24 Mar22 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 121 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  SOUTH STREET Apr28 Apr18 Mar29 Mar16 Feb29 (jacobson dav)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.00    
 
MTH-6   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESTORED ORDER Apr12 Feb24 Feb10 Oct13 Aug04 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 116 4.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  MERU Apr24 Apr08 Mar27 Mar20 Feb21 (rosado robe)VASQUEZ WILFRED 117 20.00    
SCR  MIDNIGHT CHROME Nov01 Oct10 Aug28 Jun28 Jun07 (servis jo)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
4  GLIDING AFLEET Apr18 Mar20 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 (preciado guada)RENDON JAIRO 121 3.00 23% 3.30    
5  MT SURIBACHI Nov08 Oct17 Oct10 Sep18 Sep02 (smylie timothy)MOYA F 121 10.00    
6  KENTUCKY COOL Mar30 Aug05 Jul19 Jun21 Jun06 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 121 20.00 6% 16.00    
7  MY BOY COLTON Dec29 Dec02 Nov18 Oct12 Aug20 (serey ma)HERNANDEZ J 119 8.00    
8  EDDIE THE GREAT Feb24 Jan13 Dec10 Nov26 Nov05 (gorham michael )CENTENO E 121 8.00    
9  BATTALION Dec02 Nov18 Sep08 Aug19 Aug12 (iannotti t)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 4.00 15% 5.50    
10  BARLEEWON Feb24 Feb10 Jan24 Dec15 Nov25 (delgado jose )JARA FERNANDO 121 6.00    
SCR  LORD GATLING Mar17 Feb09 Jan27 Jan01 Dec01 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 116 4.00    
SCR  RERALLY May04 Apr08 Mar25 Feb19 Jan29 (padilla-p)VARGAS A 121 8.00    
13  OHANA EMPIRE Apr03 Mar16 Feb16 May29 Mar31 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-7   05/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC11 FAST Long Branch Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HEARTENED Apr10 Mar09 Feb10 Jan06 Oct26 (pletcher tod)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 1.80 45% 1.20    
  (by STREET BOSS out of RARE FIND by BERNARDINI)
2  SUGAR BOY Mar24 Oct05       (d'angelo jose )CAMACHO SAMY 117 6.00 8% 10.80    
  (by KHOZAN out of E B RYDER by BLUEGRASS CAT)
SCR  RAPTURE BAY Apr12 Mar02 Feb10 Jan06 Dec17 (delgado jorge)CENTENO E 117 12.00    
  (by FLATTER out of SPINDLE by MARI'S BOOK)
4  MISSION READY Mar20 Mar02 Jan18 Dec22 Nov25 (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 119 30.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of GRANBY GIRL by BADGE OF SILVER)
5  CRAZY MASON Mar09 Feb10 Jan14 Dec02 Oct14 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by COAL FRONT out of IZSHELEGAL by MARIA'S MON)
6  SEA STREAK Mar28 Feb03 Jan01 Dec09 Oct01 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50 16% 5.30    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of HIGH NOON NELLIE by SILVER DEPUTY)
7  LONESOME BOY Apr06 Mar05 Feb19 Jan28 Dec19 (padilla o)BOWMAN ADAM 123 3.50    
  (by NATIONHOOD out of ATTA GIRL PEARL by ATTA BOY ROY)
8  EVENING NEWS Apr06 Mar08 Feb10 Jan18 Dec21 (pino v)BRAVO J 119 6.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of PRIETA by BERNARDINI)
 
MTH-8   05/11/2024 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POSTINO'S PROPHECY Sep10 Aug27 Aug11 Jul16 Jun24 (einhorn kim)CENTENO E 121 20.00    
2  JUDGEMENT TIME Nov23 Oct12 Sep16 Aug18 Aug05 (thompson gle)ARROYO S 121 30.00    
3  THE CLASSY ONE Sep10 Aug19 Jul08 Jun17 Nov27 (breen j)CAMACHO SAMY 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  HIGH STICK Apr14 Jul02 Jun10 May14 Aug18 (mcgaughey cl)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.50 18% 4.60    
5  GRAY VIXEN Apr27 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 Feb01 (ryan s)MARIN SAMUEL 121 6.00 29% 2.40    
6  LOST MY SOCK Apr27 Nov05 Oct12 Sep02 Aug18 (ryan s)IORIO MELISSA 116 10.00    
7  DEA MATRONA (FR) Sep16         (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 117 3.50    
8  MAMAN JOON (IRE) Apr06 Dec26       (brown cha)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 3.00 10% 9.30    
9  LADY MADONNA Apr06 Feb16 Jan07     (pletcher a)BRAVO J 117 3.50 11% 7.80    
SCR  RAW POWER Dec08 Sep15 Aug25 Jul22 Jun30 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 121 5.00    
SCR  LOVELY CHARM Apr10 Mar26 Feb24 Feb03   (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 5.00    
SCR  GUN RUNNIN' GAL Mar10 Feb23 Jan06 Dec15 Sep20 (gonzalez clau)JARA FERNANDO 121 4.00    
SCR  MILES OF SMILES Apr10 Mar20 Jan24 Dec22 Nov25 (orseno josep)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50    
 
MTH-9   05/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($68.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELLA FAST Oct06 Aug27       (perkins jr)MARIN SAMUEL 117 3.50 33% 2.00    
2  MY TWO SOPHIA'S Jul21         (sacco gregor)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 3.00 34% 1.90    
3  VIOLETS SMILE Oct08 Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 Jul09 (ryan s)ARROYO S 121 5.00    
4  RANDOM LUCK Jan29 Jan03 Nov29 Oct02 Sep09 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 121 12.00    
5  BUSTIN DOWN DOORS Apr16 Feb29 Feb08 Dec22 Dec08 (moore mich)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 3.50 12% 7.50    
6  CHARLIZE CHUB Dec06 Nov07 Oct25 Oct06 Sep20 (wyner harold)BOWMAN ADAM 121 20.00    
7  SUMMER'S COMIN Apr20 Jan03 Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 (dini mike)CENTENO E 117 6.00 ★    
8  DELIGHTFUL AVA Oct06 Sep22 Sep02 Aug27 Jul28 (frangella jam)OLVER MADISON 121 15.00    
9  RACHEL CAROLINE Oct08 Sep22 Sep09 Sep02 Aug11 (frangella j)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 121 15.00    
10  EXCLUSIVE CHAMPION Sep15 Sep02 Aug27 Aug11 Jul23 (sweezey ken)JARA FERNANDO 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
MTH-10   05/11/2024 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WANDERING WEST Apr24 Apr06 Mar08 Feb14 Jan26 (potts wayne)CAMACHO SAMY 124 3.00 48% 1.10    
2  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Mar03 Jan27 Jan10 Aug02 Jun25 (sacco gregor)CASTILLO ISAAC 124 2.50 16% 5.20    
3  ASSEMBLY POINT (BRZ) Apr24 Apr08 Mar20 Feb10 Jan12 (abrams jack)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 6.00    
4  EMPIRE RIDE Oct09 Sep12 Jul21 Jun24 May21 (potts way)BOCACHICA J 119 5.00    
5  GONNA BE EPIC Apr27 Apr19 Mar29 Feb28 Feb14 (delgado h)TORRES JOMAR 124 6.00    
6  DUBBY DUBBIE Apr12 Feb24 Feb09 Dec08 Oct13 (breen j)IORIO MELISSA 119 8.00 12% 7.20    
7  EVENT PARTY Apr12 Mar22 Mar15 Feb22 Jan19 (mcmahon i)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  COCO SHELL Mar26 Mar11 Dec15 Nov23 Nov05 (gonzalez )VARGAS A 124 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.