Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Wednesday - February 28, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (3/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/2/4)-(3/2/4)-(3/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/2/4)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/4)-(3/6/2)-(6/7/5/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-2   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/1/2)-(3/6/1/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(6/7/5/3)-(1/6/5) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-3   WIN (6/7/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3)-(6/7/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/5/3)-(1/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/7/5/3)-(1/6/5)-(8/3/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/6/5)-(1/6/5/2)-(1/6/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/6/5)-(8/3/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5)-(8/3/1)-(2/8/4/6/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/3/1)-(8/3/1)-(8/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/3/1)-(2/8/4/6/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1)-(2/8/4/6/5)-(3/7/4/8) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CT-6   WIN (2/8/4/6/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/8/4/6/5)-(2/8/4/6/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/8/4/6/5)-(2/8/4/6/5)-(2/8/4/6/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/8/4/6/5)-(3/7/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/8/4/6/5)-(3/7/4/8)-(1/6/5/4/8) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (3/7/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8)-(3/7/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/7/4/8)-(1/6/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/6/5/4/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4/8)-(1/6/5/4/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4/8)-(1/6/5/4/8)-(1/6/5/4/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PALACIO Feb17 Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 Dec07 (tobin )ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.20    
2  MSSNAP Feb17 Jan11 Dec07 Nov24   (jackson angel)RIVERA JAVIER 122 3.00 29% 2.50    
3  UNALTERED Feb07 Jan13 Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 (stehr j)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 30% 2.40    
4  FROSTY RIA Feb07 Jan13       (grams tim)BOCACHICA J 117 6.00 5% 19.00    
5  RUMORGOINGAROUND Feb07 Jan27 Jan11 Dec14 Nov24 (pickett crystal)BOCACHICA O 124 20.00    
SCR  VIESTE Feb01 Jan11 Jan05 Dec02 Nov24 (tobin l)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00    
 
CT-2   02/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  REY O REYES Feb08 Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 Sep15 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.40 ★    
2  MOON OVER MONTANA Jan18 Jan04 Dec27 Dec06 Nov22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  HAPPY CHARLIE Feb07 Jan24 Dec16 Nov25 Nov04 (adorno jea)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 1.60 35% 1.80    
4  HAPPY CHAMP Jan24 Nov29 Nov19 Nov04 Oct11 (brown ronney )CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 4.00    
SCR  AKINGISALWAYSKING Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Dec02 Nov15 (murtaugh andr)BATISTA C 122 12.00    
6  RRACE DAY WARRIOR Feb14 Feb07 Jan18 Dec13 Dec06 (smith osborne)CHILO MAXIMO 122 10.00 31% 2.20    
SCR  MUSICAL AMERICA Feb07 Jan24 Jan04 Feb17 Jan22 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 30.00    
 
CT-3   02/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCARLET REBEL Feb01 Nov10 Nov01 Sep23 Aug25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00    
2  IHEARTRAINACOMN Feb01 Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 (dollinger)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00    
3  POLISH THE DIAMOND Feb01 Jan10 Nov25 Oct14 Sep23 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  YES TO LOVE Feb15 Jan04 Dec15 Nov08 Oct27 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 120 2.50    
5  LUCKY BOP Feb01 Dec14 Sep30 Sep09 Sep02 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 8.00 13% 6.70    
6  KAALA Jan04 Nov29 Nov02 Sep02   (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.00 46% 1.20    
7  FRENCHIES GOLD Jan31 Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 Aug03 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 18% 4.60    
 
CT-4   02/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3 ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MARSHALL PEANUT Feb02 Dec14 Nov03     (atkins mi)BOCACHICA J 117 0.60 40% 1.50    
2  BAYTOWN CHATTERBOX Oct29 Oct07 Sep04 Aug13 Jul12 (mcentee pau)MENDEZ MARSHALL 118 6.00 ★    
3  ADIOS COOL ARROWS Feb09 Dec01 Nov10 Oct20 Aug20 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 118 12.00    
SCR  BAYTOWN ANGEL Oct23 Oct10 Sep27 Sep11 Aug21 (mcentee paul)WHITACRE GRANT 113 15.00    
5  BECCA BELLE Jul23         (delong ben)ACOSTA D 113 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  HEY BOOTS Feb03 Dec08 Nov16 Sep14   (brown )ARAUJO VICENTE 118 4.00 38% 1.70    
7  IT'S MY RAINBOW Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Oct29 Aug26 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 15.00    
 
CT-5   02/28/2024 5610ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUN ROCKY RUN Jan31 Jan10 Dec13 Nov10 Oct14 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by IRISH WAR CRY out of LA TINA by LABEEB (GB))
SCR  ASPENDOS Feb11 Jan28       (farrior anthony)CRUZ ANGEL 116 10.00    
  (by ENTICED out of EDDY GOURMET by EDDINGTON)
3  SHARP STYLE Feb16 Dec14 Nov22 Nov03 Sep22 (stites w)ACOSTA D 124 5.00 15% 5.90    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of DECORATEDWITHSTYLE by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
4  WILLIAM'S CAUSE Feb16 Dec29 Dec06 Nov13 Oct30 (babcock rebec)BATISTA C 124 30.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of CAUSEY by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
5  MEXICAN KRYPTONITE May19 Apr08       (rangel ricardo)RIOS-CONDE A 124 50.00    
  (by BLANK CHECK out of TACTICAL TESS by MUTAKDDIM)
SCR  RUN FOR REAGAN Dec28 May18 Apr28 Apr13 Apr01 (cooper steve)WHITACRE GRANT 124 1.80    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ROAD OF HONOR by CAHILL ROAD)
7  LET'S EAT Jan31 Jan18 Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 (gillespie)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of NAKED BOOTLEG by PASS RUSH)
8  DR JACK FLYER Feb17 Jan27       (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 116 1.60 60% 0.70    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of TERM PAPER by PRIVATE TERMS)
 
CT-6   02/28/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DOG TOWN ALLEN Feb07 Jan12 Dec06 Nov08 Oct19 (harrison gle)MARRERO CARLOS 122 15.00    
2  EVANESCO Feb07 Jan12 Dec14 Nov25 Nov16 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
3  ARYA CHARMING Feb07 Jan05 Nov16 Oct27 Oct20 (wilhelm tabitha)RODRIGUEZ V 122 3.50    
4  HE'S CLEVER Feb17 Mar18 Feb15 Jan06   (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 6.00 18% 4.40    
SCR  MONKEY WRENCH Feb07 Jan12 Dec09 Nov24 Oct27 (barahona isaac)PELTROCHE F 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  AIM FOR THE CORK Feb17 Jan26 Jan05 Dec16   (sigler ro)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 118 12.00 10% 8.90    
7  BOP ZAPPER Feb09 Feb02 Jan04 Dec09 Nov16 (huet k)CHILO MAXIMO 120 12.00    
8  DR RENDEZVOUS Nov25 Jul15 Jul01 Jun03 May11 (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 122 6.00 22% 3.60    
9  DONNIE B Feb07 Jan12 Nov29 Oct07 Aug26 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 5.00    
 
CT-7   02/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($15K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  TIMELY SECRET Jan11 Dec03 Oct01 Jul22 Jun04 (hetrick kr)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 15.00    
2  EMBERLY Feb21 Jan27 Jan12 Jan03 Dec08 (ramos ago)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 10.00    
3  DIAL HER Feb03 Dec08 Nov15 Sep08 Aug19 (runco c)CULLUM W 120 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  VOLNAY Jan12 Nov02 Oct06 Sep04 Jul08 (perri gina)ALVELO C 120 5.00 9% 10.80    
5  COMPLETE SURPRISE Feb03 Jan24 Dec08 Nov25 Nov09 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 6.00    
6  BELLA PRIMA Jan28 Nov22 Oct09 Aug18 Jul14 (perri gina)ACOSTA D 120 15.00    
7  DULCIMER DAME Feb03 Dec31 Dec16 Nov25 Nov09 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 119 1.40 23% 3.40    
8  TIMEISGOLDEN Jan26 Jan05 Nov18 Oct24 Aug31 (cornwell ja)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-8   02/28/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VICTORY ROYALE Feb03 Jan03 Nov12 Oct16 Oct02 (delong)ARAUJO VICENTE 124 1.40 32% 2.10    
2  APPEALING ROAD Feb07 Dec06 Nov09 Oct26 Oct07 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.50    
3  PUSH Feb17 Feb07 Jan26 Dec08 Nov18 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 6.00    
SCR  KATALIMA Feb07 Jan03 Dec13 Nov18 Oct28 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
5  IN TO THE NIGHT Feb07 Dec12 Nov14 Oct17 Sep24 (shuler r)HO WESLEY 124 12.00 5% 18.00    
6  KNOBIESMAGICSONDE Feb08 Jan03 Nov08 Oct21 Sep16 (murdock stephen)CRUZ ANGEL 122 8.00 28% 2.60    
7  DIVA ROSE Jan31 Jan10 Dec06 Nov08 Sep16 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 124 10.00    
8  BEST VIRGINIA Dec13 Nov25 Oct18 Aug12 Jul22 (contrer)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  CHANNEL SCENT Feb17 Jan27 Dec08 Nov30 Nov11 (mcgill sylvest)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.