Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Charles Town
Wednesday - January 31, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CT-1   WIN (5/2/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3)-(5/2/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/6/3)-(5/6/8/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/2/6/3)-(5/6/8/3)-(8/9/4/10/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-2   WIN (5/6/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/1/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/8/3)-(5/6/8/1/3)-(5/6/8/1/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/8/3)-(8/9/4/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/8/3)-(8/9/4/10/11)-(8/5/4/3) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-3   WIN (8/9/4/10/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/9/4/10/11)-(8/9/4/10/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/9/4/10/11)-(8/9/4/10/11)-(8/9/4/10/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/9/4/10/11)-(8/5/4/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/9/4/10/11)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/3/1/7/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-4   WIN (8/5/4/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3)-(8/5/4/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/4/3)-(8/3/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/5/4/3)-(8/3/1/7/4)-(4/6/9/5) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-5   WIN (8/3/1/7/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/1/7/4)-(8/3/1/7/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/1/7/4)-(8/3/1/7/4)-(8/3/1/7/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/1/7/4)-(4/6/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/1/7/4)-(4/6/9/5)-(9/1/3/6/10) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-6   WIN (4/6/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/6/9/5)-(4/6/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/6/9/5)-(4/6/9/5)-(4/6/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/6/9/5)-(9/1/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (4/6/9/5)-(9/1/3/6/10)-(10/5/7/3/1) 100 $1.00 $100 
CT-7   WIN (9/1/3/6/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (9/1/3/6/10)-(9/1/3/6/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (9/1/3/6/10)-(9/1/3/6/10)-(9/1/3/6/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (9/1/3/6/10)-(10/5/7/3/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
CT-8   WIN (10/5/7/3/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/5/7/3/1)-(10/5/7/3/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/5/7/3/1)-(10/5/7/3/1)-(10/5/7/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
CT-1   01/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CORA'S CHOICE Jan06 Dec22 Dec13 Nov26 Nov09 (walters john )CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.50    
WITNESS THE ENERGY Jan18 Dec06 Oct26 Jun02 May14 (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 4.00 17% 5.00    
CASTLE TOY Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Oct13 Sep28 (obed-letts ke)RIVERA JAVIER 124 8.00 6% 16.60    
LA CORONA Dec15 Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 May04 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 15.00    
COWGIRL ATTITUDE Jan18 Dec14 Nov08 Oct21 Sep07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  WINDSOR'S PLAY Jan18 Jan03 Dec13 Nov25 Nov03 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 15% 5.50    
MANITOULIN ISLAND Nov24 Nov02 Oct16 Oct10 Sep26 (garrido r)BOCACHICA J 115 20.00    
ASUE Dec14 Dec01 Nov03 Oct06 Sep07 (stites w)MONTANO JOSE 122 6.00    
BLUESKYSLOOKINATME Nov29 Sep07 Aug24     (locklea)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
 
CT-2   01/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JOOBY DOOBY DOO Jan18 Jan04 Nov24 Oct27 Sep09 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 4.50    
KING OF LUCK Jan18 Dec01 Nov16 Oct27 Oct05 (ramos m)RIOS-CONDE A 122 20.00    
OCEAN STORM Jan04 Dec09 Nov30 Nov11 Jul06 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
CHARITABLE WINDSOR Dec01 Nov11 Nov02 Oct19 Aug17 (hess g)RODRIGUEZ V 122 10.00    
LASTWALKTOFREEDOM Jan12 Dec09 Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.50 54% 0.90    
HAZEDNCONFUSED Jan12 Nov01 Oct16 Sep15 Aug19 (calhoun amanda)CULLUM W 122 5.00 13% 6.70    
MODERN DAY ROMANCE Jan12 Dec16 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 6.00    
BURR HILL BULLET Jan12 Dec16 Nov24 Oct27 Oct11 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50 9% 10.00    
SIENTE EL AMOR Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Aug19 Aug03 (wilhelm)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 8.00    
 
CT-3   01/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHAKIN IT BIG TIME Dec11 Nov22 Sep28 Sep07 Aug19 (shanley timothy)BOCACHICA O 122 15.00    
NIGHT TRAIN WAYNE Jan24 Jan04 Dec06 Nov22 Oct25 (farrior)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 15.00    
LEG UP Jan04 Dec09 Dec01 Nov18 Nov01 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 3.50    
SCOTCH NO ROCKS Jan04 Dec14 Dec01 Nov11 Oct05 (delong ben)HO WESLEY 122 10.00 12% 7.60    
RUN TO DAYLIGHT Nov30 Oct25 Sep29 Sep16 Aug24 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 12.00    
NORLANDER Nov30 Nov04 Oct21 Oct05 Sep09 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 12.00    
SCR  STANDINGINTHEFIRE Jan11 Dec27 Dec03 Oct11 Oct05 (gotera juan)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 10.00    
GET OFF MY CLOUD Jan25 Dec06 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 4.00 31% 2.20    
S S SPARTAN ENERGY Dec09 Nov15 Nov01 Sep30 Sep14 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 2.50 23% 3.40    
10  CHANGE YOUR LUCK Nov29 Oct28 Oct07 Sep02 Jul27 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
11  MIGHTY FROSTED Jan04 Dec03 Nov12 Oct29 Oct04 (gotera car)LEON A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-4   01/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LIFE AT BOTH ENDS Dec22 Nov17       (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
WAY OF APPEAL Dec06 Nov08 Oct12 Sep15 Aug31 (perez ernesto)CHILO MAXIMO 118 20.00    
DREAM OF GOLD Jan11 Nov29 Nov17 Apr28 Dec08 (haynes m)PELTROCHE F 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
NELLY TOO Dec02 Nov15 Oct05 Sep29 Sep02 (joy j)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 2.50 16% 5.10    
SUPER MONEY Dec02 Nov19 Nov03 Oct07 Sep15 (haughton donnovan)HO WESLEY 124 2.00 19% 4.40    
SONGTELLER Jan12 Dec08 Nov03 Jun10 May07 (malgarini mawing)MAWING A 124 12.00    
SCR  SHEZA GRITTY BITTY Jan04         (joy ke)ARAUJO VICENTE 118 15.00    
SELES Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Nov07 Oct04 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 111 3.00 38% 1.70    
 
CT-5   01/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NICK'S LITTLE BOY Dec17 Dec01 Nov01 Oct07 Sep21 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 10.00 8% 11.70    
MINEOLA MIKE Dec31 Nov04 Oct21 Sep13 Aug30 (deiter kelly)TROTMAN KEIMAR 122 2.50    
SIR SMOAK Dec13 Nov25 Nov15 Oct21 Oct05 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 122 10.00 26% 2.80    
CHROME HEIR Dec02 Nov11 Oct21 Jul07 Jun23 (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HIPPODROME Jan25 Jan07 Dec31 Dec09 Nov27 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 3.00    
SPEIGHTS YOUR MIND Jan10 Dec07 Nov11 Oct21 Oct07 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 12.00    
AKINGISALWAYSKING Jan10 Dec13 Dec02 Nov15 Oct28 (murtaugh andrew )MAWING A 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
ALPHA WHISKEY Jan05 Dec04 Nov18 Sep16 Aug03 (joy j)RODRIGUEZ V 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
STAVANGER Jan10 Dec02 Nov15 Oct28 Aug03 (racanelli mark )BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
10  DANNY'S WINKSTER Jan05 Nov30 Nov09 Sep28 Sep14 (jones michael)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/31/2024 2970ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSIDE RISK Jan10 Dec14 Nov29 Nov03 Oct21 (caison l)MAWING A 120 20.00    
MOCEPHUS Dec29 Dec09 Dec01 Nov16 Oct14 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 120 20.00    
SUPER JORDAN Dec02 Aug17 Jun22 May29 May11 (carson la)SANTIAGO WILFREDO 120 6.00    
ELLE'SBIGSEACRET Jan10 Dec13 Dec01 Nov02 Oct20 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 124 0.80 27% 2.70    
PIT STOP MAN Jan18 Jan10 Dec14 Oct06 Sep09 (ginter ra)BOCACHICA J 113 10.00 12% 7.40    
OUR RONNY ALAN Dec28 Dec08 Nov24 Oct27 Jun29 (allard t)CRUZ ANGEL 120 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  JUBAY Jan04 Dec08 Nov30 Nov02 Oct05 (racanelli mark )BOCACHICA O 120 30.00    
COWBOY AT HEART Jan10 Oct20 Sep30 Sep09 Jul28 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 120 20.00    
MONTAUK DADDY Jan05 Dec15 Nov29 Nov03 Oct20 (spriggs tos)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00 15% 5.80    
 
CT-7   01/31/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($27.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SNEAKY LYNK Jan03 Dec04 Nov09 Oct26 Sep16 (boggs )LOPEZ EDUARDO 120 3.50 12% 7.30    
SPARKLEINYOUREYE Jan04 Dec14 Nov29 Nov04 Oct13 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 5.00    
VERY VENUS Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 4.50 11% 8.50    
PHILMARY CASTLE Nov29 Oct13 Sep23 Aug12 Jul01 (bourne)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 10.00    
PRINCESS MARGARET Jan11 Dec09 Nov29 Nov02 Oct13 (grams c)PELTROCHE F 120 12.00    
MISS ARGENTINA Jan04 Dec09 Nov17 Nov04 Oct13 (gomez ana)BOCACHICA J 115 12.00 6% 15.20    
DIVA ROSE Jan10 Dec06 Nov08 Sep16 Aug05 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 10.00    
FREYA'S BLESSING Oct27 Aug19 Jul07 Jun18   (rofe jean)RIOS-CONDE A 120 20.00    
FRENCHIES GOLD Nov04 Oct13 Sep09 Aug03 Jun10 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 3.00 47% 1.10    
10  CASTLE OF CAYLEE Jan13 Dec07 Nov17 Oct19 Oct07 (rideout anthony)RODRIGUEZ V 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  PURE NONSENSE Jan18 Jan03 Dec14 Nov22 Nov02 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 120 5.00    
 
CT-8   01/31/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUGARFREE ROOTBEER         (rangel ricard)ADAMS L 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
OUTCAT Nov07 Oct10 Jul15 Jul02   (greaves vernon)REAP E 116 20.00    
UNCLE CHINITO Dec30 Dec08 Nov03 Aug03 Jul16 (aguirre antho)ALVELO C 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
AGAIN WE MEET Jan10 Dec13 Nov10 Oct20 Aug19 (sewell lenwort)CHILO MAXIMO 124 20.00    
ICETECA Nov18 Oct21 Oct07 Aug18 Aug05 (hunt ja)NUNEZ MAURICIO 124 2.50 32% 2.10    
RUN ROCKY RUN Jan10 Dec13 Nov10 Oct14 Oct07 (reynolds jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.50    
CORRECTED PEDIGREE Jan05 Nov25 Nov02 Oct13 Jun03 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 117 4.00 8% 10.90    
LET'S EAT Jan18 Jan10 Dec13 Nov22 Oct05 (gillespie ryan )PELTROCHE F 124 15.00    
COURT TUDOR Jan10 Dec02 Jun01 May13 Apr22 (kirlew)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 30.00    
10  ALLIGATOR ARMS Jan22 May04 Apr16 Mar31   (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  PRINCIPE Jan24 Dec18 Nov08 Oct23 Sep29 (sanchez-pinero )RODRIGUEZ V 122 30.00    
SCR  SIMON'S CHOICE Dec23 Dec02 Nov16 Oct28 Oct12 (wolfen)LOPEZ EDUARDO 118 12.00    
SCR  SHEA D CAPTURE Jan10 Dec13 Nov14 Oct16 Oct02 (sanchez-p)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.