Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Sunland Park
Friday - January 19, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SUN-1   WIN (1/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/6/7)-(1/6/7/2) 9 $0.50 $4.50 
    TRI (1/6/7)-(1/6/7/2)-(1/6/7/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (1/6/7)-(7/9/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-2   WIN (7/9/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/5)-(7/9/5/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/5)-(7/9/5/1/10)-(7/9/5/1/10) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
    DD (7/9/5)-(7/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/9/5)-(7/9/8)-(5/9/8/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
SUN-3   WIN (7/9/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/9/8)-(7/9/8/6/1)-(7/9/8/6/1) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-4   WIN (5/9/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/9/8/10)-(5/9/8/3/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/9/8/10)-(5/9/8/3/10)-(5/9/8/3/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
SUN-5   WIN (3/12/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/12/9)-(3/12/9/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/12/9)-(3/12/9/5/2)-(3/12/9/5/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
SUN-6   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (2/3)-(2/3/1)-(2/3/1) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
SUN-7   WIN (7/8/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/6)-(7/8/6/2)-(7/8/6/2) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    PK3 (7/8/6)-(2/7/5)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
SUN-8   WIN (2/7/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/5)-(2/7/5/9)-(2/7/5/9) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/5)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
SUN-9   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
SUN-1   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($19.1K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIABOLICAL RULER Nov27 Nov06 Oct15 Sep17 Jul14 (valdez-cabral ma)MEDELLIN A 124 2.00 57% 0.70    
TSUNAMI GOLD Dec05 Nov14 Oct21 Sep27 Sep14 (pierce thoma)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 6.00    
GOLDEN MERGER Dec19 Dec11 Nov20 Oct27 Sep30 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 124 3.50    
HOT CHARLIE Dec05 Nov20 Jun10 May29 Apr23 (aldavaz hermeng)LOPEZ KARLO 124 20.00    
DECK HUMOR Nov14 Oct20 Sep15 Sep01 Aug26 (lambert casey)JUAREZ J 124 12.00    
HENRY ON THE RUN Dec11 Nov27 Nov06 Oct20 Sep08 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 1.80 13% 6.60    
RIG RIDER Dec05 Nov14 Oct22 Sep15 Aug26 (valdez-cabra)FUENTES A 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-2   01/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FLOWER POWER Dec19 Dec11 Nov14 Oct18 Oct06 (trujillo jeffrey)MEDELLIN A 124 4.50    
SHELL GAME Dec19 Nov14 Oct11 Sep15 Jun24 (constan)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 12.00    
LAS TRES MARIPOSAS Dec19 Nov14 Oct20 Oct01 Aug20 (lavanway day)MEDELLIN ERICK 124 15.00    
DOUBLE STORM Dec19 Nov14 Oct20 Oct01 May21 (gonzalez c)CARRENO J 124 12.00    
ANNA B Dec19 Nov21 Oct18 Sep15 Aug19 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 7% 14.20    
PRINCESS JAYLEEN Dec19 Oct29 Oct06 Oct01 Sep11 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 121 20.00    
FOR FUN Jan11 Dec19 Nov01 Oct18 Sep30 (green greg)PEREZ A 124 3.50 56% 0.80    
SCR  PEGGY B FAST Dec19 Jul30 Jul10 Jun18 May07 (rust terri)TOHILL S 124 4.00    
SHE HIT A HOMER Jan11 Dec12 Nov06 Oct18 Oct01 (chavez )FUENTES T 124 8.00 15% 5.50    
10  REAL ME Dec19 Dec11 Oct20 Sep02 Apr30 (munoz gua)VALENZUELA A 124 5.00    
 
SUN-3   01/19/2024 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($8K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MOZART J Jan05 Dec18       (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 3.00    
R K KAIROS Apr02 Feb19       (fourni)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
HAPPY SLAPPER Dec20         (constant ron)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 12.00    
SCR  RECKLESS HOT ROD         (lambert t)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
EL ZARAPE Aug26 Nov21 Oct25 Sep25 Aug20 (rojero c)CEBALLOS F 121 10.00    
HELLO WALTZ Dec04 Nov13 Jul31 Mar12   (young a)TORRES J 121 8.00    
EL JOKER Dec05 Nov14 Sep13 Nov21 Oct24 (lambert t)LOPEZ KARLO 124 4.50 62% 0.60    
SEA OF INDY Oct01 Aug04 Jul29 Jun16 Jun03 (megariz)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
IFFY ASSET CLASS Apr27 Apr02 Feb10 Jan06 Dec15 (pierce w)MEDELLIN A 121 6.00 14% 6.10    
10  SLOWDOWNTOGOFAST Oct18 Apr04 Oct11     (acosta gabriel )ROSENDO J 116 20.00    
 
SUN-4   01/19/2024 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
POOF HE'S GONE Oct04 Aug25 Jul22 Jun16 Mar21 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 124 8.00    
ARIMONY Jan12 Dec19 Nov21 Oct25 Oct15 (torres-casa)MORALES ROBERTO 124 4.00    
MASK OFF Oct13 Sep16 Sep02 Jul08 Apr23 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 124 5.00    
LOTTA GUSTO Nov21 Oct20 Sep30 Sep03 Apr29 (hudson je)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
IMA BLING CAT Dec18 Dec04 Nov06 Oct14 Sep23 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 124 2.50 41% 1.40    
EMPEROR'S CHOICE Oct29 Oct13 Sep16 May07 Apr02 (leon alexis)CARRENO J 124 15.00    
BRICKHOUSE Nov13 Oct28 Oct18 Sep30 Sep16 (leon alexis)MEDINA ANTHONY 124 20.00    
PATRIOT Dec19 Nov21 Oct27 Jul08 Jun16 (rojero luis )MEDELLIN ERICK 124 10.00 10% 8.80    
AWESOME BID Nov20 Oct07 Sep01 Jul23 Jun25 (armstrong)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 124 8.00 24% 3.10    
10  TAINO HOUSE Dec19 May14 Mar11 Mar01 Feb06 (alvarez sergio)HEBERT J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
SUN-5   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($39K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GRIFTER Dec11 Nov14 Oct28 Sep24 Jul08 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 124 15.00    
MAXIMUM BULL Dec12 Oct08 Sep03 May21 Apr29 (cross gary)HEBERT J 124 8.00    
JED Dec04 Nov07 Aug18 Jun25 Feb14 (marr h)TOHILL S 121 2.50 69% 0.40    
STACKERS Jan05 Dec19 Nov27 Nov07 Oct18 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 8.00    
BEAU VERO Dec20 Nov27       (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 124 6.00    
OL' MCCLINTOCK Jan12 Dec20 Nov07 Aug18 Jun25 (lambert cas)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
SCR  SIMPLY ELEMENTARY Jan11 Dec12 Nov21 Nov06 Oct20 (wheele)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
CHARLIE DYNASTY Dec12 Nov21 Sep30 Sep02 Aug17 (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 124 15.00    
B R KIDD ROCK Dec20 Nov07 Sep20 Aug18 Jul14 (buechler j)MEDELLIN A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MICKEYS TRAIL Jan05 Sep14 Sep02 Aug06 Jul09 (cross gar)VALENZUELA A 121 20.00    
11  NACHO GRANDE Dec12 Jul29 Jul09 Sep25 Sep10 (quiroz filib)MEDINA ANTHONY 121 10.00    
12  READS PET ZENON Dec04 Nov14 Aug18 Dec06 Nov14 (barton )FUENTES T 124 5.00 7% 14.20    
 
SUN-6   01/19/2024 4290ft DIRT RC11 FAST Borderplex Purse ($65K) 3 F PT- 4:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ONLY ONE AMERICA Dec12 Nov28 Nov06 Sep30 Sep10 (fincher w)HEBERT J 116 5.00    
  (by MARKING out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
CANDY AISLE Nov28 Oct14 Aug06     (fincher w)VALDEZ S 121 0.60 47% 1.10    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ROSALIE ROAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
OGALLALA Dec19 Dec14 Nov14 Oct28 Sep30 (green greg)PEREZ A 116 6.00 15% 5.80    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CLARA ALLEN by CURLIN)
RASPBERRY WINE Jan12 Dec19 Nov28     (rust terri)TOHILL S 116 6.00    
  (by CAT BURGLAR out of GIVEN STAR by ANY GIVEN SATURDAY)
ILLUSIVE STAR Dec17 Nov21 Oct30 Sep18   (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 118 4.50    
  (by TAPIT out of SPEEDINTHRUTHECITY by CITY ZIP)
 
SUN-7   01/19/2024 3630ft DIRT RC11 FAST Bold Ego Purse ($65K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  BRASHANKNOWIT Dec12 Nov06 Oct13     (long vaughn)MEDELLIN A 116 12.00    
  (by SHAMAN GHOST out of BOLD BIRDIE by BIRDSTONE)
ALBERTA SUN Dec20 Nov28 Nov01 Oct17 Sep27 (summers nancy)PURCELL KELSI 119 8.00    
  (by MINISTERS WILD CAT out of DRIFA by TABASCO CAT)
RANEEM Nov28 Nov06 Sep03 Jul16 Jun17 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 120 4.00    
  (by FED BIZ out of J P'S FLASHY HONEY by FLASHY BULL)
WORST BEHAVIOUR Dec23 Nov25 Nov02 Sep22 Aug29 (asmussen steven)LOPEZ KARLO 118 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of C J'S LEELEE by MIZZEN MAST)
STACI'S RED DRESS Dec20 Nov06 Apr23 Apr02 Dec20 (green gre)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 117 12.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of RED SPRITE by THUNDER GULCH)
FLYIN FALYNN Dec20 Nov28 Nov06 Sep03 Jul16 (zamora chris)HEBERT J 119 6.00 9% 9.60    
  (by TALE OF THE CAT out of AIR GUITAR by FIVE STAR DAY)
TOPSY Dec30 Nov28 Nov02 Sep17 Aug13 (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 123 2.00 51% 0.90    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of SECRETARIAT HUMOR by DISTORTED HUMOR)
CHESTERETTE Dec04 Nov13 Sep03 Apr02 Feb07 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 117 6.00 11% 8.30    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of JENNY'S SO GREAT by GREATNESS)
 
SUN-8   01/19/2024 3960ft DIRT RC11 FAST Ft. Bliss Purse ($75K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECT DUDE Feb11 Jan23 Dec13 Nov04 Aug13 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 118 4.00    
  (by MAJESTICPERFECTION out of GADGET QUEEN by FLYING WITH EAGLES)
COMPETITIVE IDEA Jan05 Nov28 Nov07 Sep02 Mar11 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 123 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by COMPETITIVE EDGE out of THAT'S THE IDEA by DIABOLICAL)
JUSTICE DEPARTMENT Dec19 Sep01 Aug13 Jun24 May21 (summers nancy)TOHILL S 118 12.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of INDYGITA by INDYGO SHINER)
SMOKE STACK Jan05 Feb05 Jan03 Nov21 Nov07 (gutier)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 118 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PAVATI by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
GOOD WITH PEOPLE Jan05 Nov25 Oct09 Aug26 Sep01 (fincher w)LOPEZ KARLO 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
  (by CURLIN TO MISCHIEF out of GATOR PROWL by ROAR OF THE TIGER)
OHHH DADDY Dec20 Dec04 Nov06 Oct13 Sep23 (rojero lui)RODRIGUEZ H 120 20.00    
  (by DADS CAPS out of WEDDING IN SORANO by PIONEERING)
ESPIONAGE Jan05 Dec12 Nov07 Sep03 Jul30 (fincher ler)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of HARLINGTON'S ROSE by HARLINGTON)
SCR  HOYA PARANOYA Jan05 Dec12 Nov07 Sep11 Aug20 (garrett j)HEBERT J 118 6.00    
  (by MUCHO MACHO MAN out of LOST IN SUCCESS by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
GO WEST Nov26 Nov17 Jul22 May29 Apr28 (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 118 8.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of SUSHI EMPIRE by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
SUN-9   01/19/2024 5280ft DIRT RC11 FAST Riley Allison Derby Purse ($100K) 3 ALL PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DA RINGO Oct28 Oct06 Sep16 Jul28 Jun23 (gonzalez r)LOPEZ KARLO 118 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of PLEASE EXPLAIN by CURLIN)
ALOTALUCK Dec11         (garrett j)CEBALLOS F 118 6.00 7% 13.20    
  (by SIR PRANCEALOT out of COLINDA DAWN by LUCKS MINE)
CRAFTED Dec14         (asmussen ste)FUENTES A 118 2.50 41% 1.50    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of STORM RAVEN by BODEMEISTER)
SCR  HAM SANDWICH Oct14 Sep30 Aug31 Aug13 Jul15 (summers nancy)PEREZ A 118 5.00    
  (by HEART TO HEART out of VOODOO LOUNGE by PLEASANT TAP)
KAE GAE Nov20         (long vaughn)TOHILL S 118 8.00    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of LADY OF HARRODS by DUBAWI (IRE))
LUCKY JEREMY Oct29 Sep29       (morey willi)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 118 2.00 31% 2.30    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of POWDER N BLUSH by WAR CHANT)
SURROUNDEDBYANGELS Jan05         (hone bart)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 118 6.00    
  (by SMILING TIGER out of ANGEL OF BATTLE by DUNKIRK)
SCR  NORWEGIAN CALLUM Dec12         (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 118 8.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SARAH CATALDO by SMARTY JONES)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.