Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Wednesday - January 03, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/2/1)-(3/2/1/6)-(3/2/1/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/2/1)-(3/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/2/1)-(3/1/8/7)-(5/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7)-(3/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/1/8/7)-(5/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/1/8/7)-(5/3/6)-(4/5/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (5/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (5/3/6)-(5/3/6/2)-(5/3/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (5/3/6)-(4/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/3/6)-(4/5/6)-(5/6/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-4   WIN (4/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5/6)-(4/5/6)-(4/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/5/6)-(5/6/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/5/6)-(5/6/7)-(2/7/3) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-5   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/10/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/10/1)-(5/6/7/10/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(2/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(2/7/3)-(6/7/3/2/5) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-6   WIN (2/7/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/7/3)-(2/7/4/3)-(2/7/4/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/7/3)-(6/7/3/2/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/7/3)-(6/7/3/2/5)-(3/6/4) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
TAM-7   WIN (6/7/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/7/3/2/5)-(6/7/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/7/3/2/5)-(6/7/3/2/5)-(6/7/3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (6/7/3/2/5)-(3/6/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/7/3/2/5)-(3/6/4)-(1/9/2/10/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
TAM-8   WIN (3/6/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/6/4)-(3/6/4/1)-(3/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/6/4)-(1/9/2/10/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/9/2/10/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/9/2/10/7)-(1/9/2/10/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/9/2/10/7)-(1/9/2/10/7)-(1/9/2/10/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($25K) 3 F PT-12:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RETIRED KATHY Dec08 Sep02 Aug09     (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
2  MY LORDS LADYNESS         (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
3  LETS GO KOKO Dec16 Nov19 Oct01 Sep15 Aug13 (miller c)CAMACHO SAMY 120 1.60 29% 2.50    
4  PINK ROSE         (vanwinkle dav)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 12.00    
5  CHIEF LADY Dec08         (sacco grego)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 6.00    
6  VERINA         (garcia rodolfo)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 ★    
7  DANNEEL Dec20 Dec02 Oct21 Oct08 Sep22 (laurato )GALLARDO A 120 10.00    
 
TAM-2   01/03/2024 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($20K) 3 F PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISTYMORNINGSGIRL Dec02         (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 5.00 20% 4.00    
2  FUTURE FORTUNE Oct28 Oct08 Sep15 Aug18 Aug05 (dobber arnoud)LUGO D 119 15.00    
3  TURBO MILLIE Nov09 Oct12 Sep09 Aug12   (mcgoey monic)BATISTA A 119 2.50 35% 1.80    
4  HOLY KINGDOM Dec15 Nov17 Oct21     (garcia r)CAMACHO SAMY 119 6.00    
5  JERSEY FACTOR Dec02         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 119 4.50    
6  GULF COAST GIRL Sep02 Jul14       (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 112 12.00    
7  PAMZ PALACE Dec22 Dec02 Oct22 Oct01 Sep10 (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 3.50 11% 8.20    
8  RITZ ON BROADWAY Dec02 Nov22 Oct18 Sep29 Sep09 (potts way)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 6.00 12% 7.30    
 
TAM-3   01/03/2024 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($53K) 3 F PT- 1:19
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  A PRIMERA VISTA Dec02 Nov05 Oct08 Sep09 Aug17 (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 118 12.00    
2  ALCOHOL Dec15 Nov03 Oct13 Sep08 Aug20 (orseno joseph )CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 ★    
3  RED WREN Nov29 Sep25 Sep05 Aug23   (harty eo)GALLARDO A 118 3.50 6% 14.50    
4  FACTORBELLA Sep04 Aug13 Jul15     (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 15.00    
5  YOUKNOWNOTHING Nov19         (clement c)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 1.00 64% 0.60    
6  MAIDEN LANE Sep21 Aug21 Jul17     (hamm timothy)SOSA LAUREANO 111 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  SUMMER'S COMIN Nov29 Nov10 Oct06 Sep04 Aug27 (dini mike)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
 
TAM-4   01/03/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($21K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  A KISS FOR KHOZAN Dec16 Nov24 Oct21 Aug04 Jun10 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 122 2.50    
2  DIVISIBILITY Dec20 Mar29 Mar03 Jan20 Dec31 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 118 4.50    
3  FABULOUS CANDY Dec20 Aug09 Jul13 May25 Feb04 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 118 10.00    
4  LADY FRIJOLES May20 Apr19 Dec30 May06   (baxter georgi)CARDOSO DAVID 118 2.00 37% 1.70    
5  NEW WAYS TO DREAM Oct18 Oct06 Sep22 Aug29 Aug02 (kintz matthew)MARTINEZ W 118 10.00 34% 2.00    
6  THE SWEATY FOX Dec20 Oct21 Oct09 Sep22 Aug06 (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 118 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  MOON ROSE Dec20 Oct06 Sep09 Jul14 Jun30 (dobber arnoud )CEDENO CAROL 118 20.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTFUL SIS Sep17 Jul01 Jun02 Apr19 Jan21 (richar)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 8.00    
 
TAM-5   01/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($32K) Purse ($24K) 3 ALL PT- 2:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAY MIRAGE         (manning dennis)MARIN SAMUEL 120 10.00 ★    
2  BAHAMIAN NATIVE Dec22         (smith g)HIRALDO JOHN 120 15.00    
3  HYDROLOGIST         (laurin roger)BATISTA A 120 10.00    
4  ALOHA MAN Dec22 Oct27 Sep04     (pickett cry)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 120 10.00    
5  EHSAAN Dec24         (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 120 1.40 41% 1.40    
6  PURPLE AURA Sep25 Aug22       (granitz anthon)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
7  LIFE IS PRECIOUS         (raven kerri)CEDENO CAROL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  SPECTACULAR LUCK Dec22 Jul15       (dini mike)MENESES MARCOS 120 20.00    
9  ZEN AIR         (lerman s)JARA FERNANDO 120 12.00    
10  LATE NIGHT LIVING Dec13 May31       (granitz a)MALDONADO GABRIEL 113 10.00 ★    
SCR  BEYOND REPROACH Dec27 Nov24 Nov12 Oct15 Sep08 (seale)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MOHAY PLEASE Dec17 Nov04       (baker shaun)ORTIZ A 120 12.00    
SCR  GIANNO Nov24         (rivelli )GALLARDO A 120 4.50    
SCR  A G DIAMOND Nov18 Sep09 Jul27 Jun17 Jun03 (casca)DOMINGUEZ G 120 10.00    
 
TAM-6   01/03/2024 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($23K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRIKING CHROME Dec15 Sep16 Jul30 May06 Apr07 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 118 10.00    
2  CHEM MAJOR Dec16 Nov25 Oct26 Oct04 Sep15 (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
3  CHESS NOT CHECKERS Dec15 Nov25 Jun23 May25 Apr30 (arriagada juan)CEDENO CAROL 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  AFERDITA Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Oct06 Sep06 (rigattier)MALDONADO GABRIEL 111 6.00 ★    
SCR  EXPLOSIVE SKIES Dec16 Nov16 Oct24 Oct07 Sep30 (rarick lynn)SANTOS ADEMAR 118 10.00    
6  WICCA WISDOM Nov29 Nov02 Oct10 Aug22 Jun16 (orantes r)GOMEZ KEVIN 118 4.50    
7  KAEKO Nov03 Sep30 Aug27 Aug12 Jul15 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 1.80 18% 4.40    
8  WOODS HOLE Dec27 Oct07 Aug25 Aug04 Jul22 (sepulveda c)MARIN A 118 20.00    
 
TAM-7   01/03/2024 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($25.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RENTAL POOL Aug20 Jul30 Jul13 Jun11 May28 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 10.00    
2  FRENCH FRANC (FR) Dec22 Sep22 Jul23 May21 Apr20 (joseph saff)SPANABEL SKYLER 119 8.00 9% 9.80    
3  SHE FLED THE SCENE Dec22 Nov19 Oct14 Aug25 Jul21 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 4.50 13% 6.80    
4  CLOUD STORAGE Nov16 Oct29 Oct05 Sep28 Sep08 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 119 8.00    
5  SPECTACULAR GAL Nov29 Apr20 Mar29 Mar08 Feb25 (mcgoey monic)MORELOS E 119 30.00 5% 17.30    
6  PERFECTLY GOLDEN Dec22 Nov25 Sep21 Aug22 Aug11 (sacco gregory )CAMACHO SAMY 119 2.00 26% 2.90    
7  SING SCAT Dec13 Nov29 Nov10 Oct14 Sep04 (ness jamie)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 3.00 22% 3.50    
8  CHICA BOOM Nov29 Sep03 Aug24 Jul09 Jun03 (rhone berne)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 10.00    
9  DREAMING BIZ Nov29 Sep02 Aug03 Jul13 Jul03 (vanwinkle davi)LINDSAY CHAD 119 30.00    
10  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Dec22 Oct19 Aug24 Jul13 Jun08 (clay pat)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 20.00    
SCR  SOCIAL ENGAGEMENT Dec07 Nov18 Oct26 Oct06 Sep06 (stormfelt)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 119 6.00    
 
TAM-8   01/03/2024 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALVY Dec24 Nov22 Nov03 Oct20 Aug19 (moysey chelsey)HIRALDO JOHN 119 10.00 ★    
SCR  FALCONS FURY Jul06 Jun22 Apr11 Mar21 Feb23 (roque elis)LOPEZ E 119 12.00    
3  PASSAGE OF LINES Dec16 Nov25 Oct27 Sep30 Aug10 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.00 58% 0.70    
4  GOLD N SILVER Dec16 Nov20 Nov07 Oct09 Sep14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 15.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  PROVERB Dec02 Jun17 May20 Apr22 Mar23 (joseph saffie)JARA FERNANDO 119 1.60    
6  RARE JEWEL Dec16 Nov12 Oct15 Sep23 Sep03 (agostini art)MENESES MARCOS 119 6.00 11% 8.20    
7  HARPOON HARRY Aug26 Aug06 Jul22 Jun25 May27 (bennett s)FERRER C 119 8.00    
8  ARIES REIGNS Dec15 Oct15 Aug06 Jul12 Jun25 (rarick lynn)SOSA LAUREANO 112 30.00    
9  STRONGER TOGETHER Nov24 Nov03 Oct20 Sep21 Aug11 (wright michae)SANTOS ADEMAR 121 15.00    
 
TAM-9   01/03/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($32K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE JUDGE AND JURY Dec01 Nov24 Nov05 Sep06 Aug04 (ness jamie)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.50 46% 1.20    
2  MEGACITY Dec09 Sep04 Jul28 Jul07 May04 (rodriguez)MALDONADO GABRIEL 112 8.00 9% 9.90    
SCR  FATIMA'S BLESSING Dec09 Nov12 Oct19 Sep22 Sep04 (dini mike)CENTENO E 119 6.00    
4  ONE TIME WILLARD Dec13 Nov18 Oct13 Sep03 Aug04 (mcburney patri)CASTANON L 119 10.00    
5  MAGICAL MARRIAGE Dec09 Sep15 Jul21 Jul07 May29 (mcburney patri)MARIN SAMUEL 119 8.00    
6  ZATIP Nov23 Oct21 Sep10 Aug01 Jul01 (motion graham)GOMEZ KEVIN 119 12.00    
7  SAMYAZA Dec09 Sep14 Jul16 May21 Nov12 (robertson mcle)CEDENO CAROL 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
8  ALABAMA SLAMMER Dec09 Oct23 Sep12 Aug17 Aug02 (bowersock mari)ALLEN D 119 15.00    
9  SPACE RUNNER Dec13 Nov18 Oct21 Dec03 Nov06 (d'ange)VASQUEZ ANGEL 123 3.00 14% 6.10    
10  HAPPY RUNNER Dec01 Sep24 Sep02 Jul08 Jun16 (orseno j)GALLARDO A 121 5.00 5% 18.50    
SCR  MY MAN VITO Dec27 Dec01 Oct20 Oct04 Sep08 (mcgoey m)VILLALOBOS ISMERIO 119 10.00    
12  SOUPER ENERGIZER Nov05 Sep02 Aug13 Jul28 Jul01 (perkins jr)CEDENO CAROL 119 12.00    
SCR  KING OF HOLLYWOOD Aug02 Jun25 May27 Apr08 Mar24 (sacco gregory)SOSA LAUREANO 112 10.00    
SCR  MR. KRINGLE Aug03 Jun09 May14 Apr13 Feb12 (orantes r)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.