Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Wednesday - December 20, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (8/5/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3)-(8/5/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/5/2/3)-(7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/2/3)-(7/8/5)-(8/4/2/5/10) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
PEN-2   WIN (7/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/8/5)-(7/8/5/2)-(7/8/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/8/5)-(8/4/2/5/10) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/8/5)-(8/4/2/5/10)-(4/3/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/4/2/5/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/4/2/5/10)-(8/4/2/5/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/4/2/5/10)-(8/4/2/5/10)-(8/4/2/5/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/4/2/5/10)-(4/3/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (8/4/2/5/10)-(4/3/2)-(1/5/2) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
PEN-4   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/3/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/3/8) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/7/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/7/2)-(1/5/7/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/5/3/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/5/3/8)-(8/1/3/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-6   WIN (1/5/3/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/8)-(1/5/3/8/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/8)-(1/5/3/8/6)-(1/5/3/8/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/3/8)-(8/1/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
PEN-7   WIN (8/1/3/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5)-(8/1/3/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWAN POINT Nov22 Nov15 Aug21 Jul21 Jun30 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 8.00    
2  LA CIENEGA Dec06 Nov04 Oct13 Aug21 Jul12 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 124 3.50 17% 5.10    
3  DATE NIGHT KISSES Jul14 Jun21 May29 Apr11 Feb13 (allen ferris)MENA E 120 4.50 6% 14.80    
4  PERFECT HIDEAWAY Nov15 Oct25 Aug18 Jul21 Jun30 (beattie t)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.00    
5  NEW HIRE Nov01 Sep24 Sep02 Aug17 Jul18 (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 120 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  FOXY JUNIOR Nov22 Nov15 Sep18 Aug18 Jul26 (houghton th)INIRIO J 119 8.00    
7  EIGHT DANZAS Nov15 Oct27 Sep16 Sep02 Aug21 (bedard alan)LAPRIDA JEREMY 120 15.00    
8  DOCTOR ABBIE Nov22 Oct31 Oct14 Sep25 Sep12 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 4.50 27% 2.80    
 
PEN-2   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GURT'S WARRIOR Nov08 Oct27 Sep13 Aug22 Aug08 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 123 6.00    
2  PRACTICALLYMINE Nov15 Oct13 Sep04 Aug16 Jul26 (truehart jenni)CORREA JULIO 123 8.00 ★    
3  MOMENT AT SEA Nov22 Oct27 Sep03 Aug25 Jul15 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 123 12.00    
4  SILK PRINCE Dec01 Jul26 Jul09 Jun17 May26 (rose orlando)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00    
5  BACK EAST Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Aug16 Jul11 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 123 8.00 8% 11.20    
6  ROWDY RED GLARE Jun04 Sep15 Sep04 Jun28 May23 (mcclellan c)CORA D 124 12.00    
7  NIEUWENDYK Dec01 Oct28 Oct14 Aug31 Jun04 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 123 2.00 36% 1.80    
8  TWIST OF FAITH Dec01 Oct17 Oct05 Sep20 Sep01 (graci a)AGUILAR M 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  POP SOCKS Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 Oct05 Sep02 (martin cl)HERNANDEZ A 123 4.50    
 
PEN-3   12/20/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 F PT- 6:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOXEY G         (kravets m)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00    
2  MYGIRLSACROWNJEWEL         (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  CONTEMPTUOUS MISS Nov02 Oct02 Sep14 Aug31 Aug23 (albrig)SMITH DANIEL 117 6.00    
4  TOUGH AS NAILS Nov02         (mcclellan)HERNANDEZ A 122 5.00 24% 3.10    
5  WELL HANNAH         (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  DANCING BEAUTY         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 8.00    
7  FORCEZILLA         (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 122 12.00    
8  SOPHIA'S ROSE Nov29 Oct31 Oct03 Sep04   (coletti edw)NUNEZ Y 122 2.00 28% 2.60    
9  DAZZLING DEMELZA Nov09 Oct08       (mcmahon de)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 6.00    
10  SHE'SACHUBBLEMAKER         (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($17K) 2 ALL PT- 7:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORK FROM HOME Nov29 Nov03 Sep13 Aug19   (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
2  DESTINANO         (rathman elisha)BEATO INOEL 122 12.00 16% 5.40    
3  WARRIOR BERNICE Oct16 Sep28       (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 119 5.00 18% 4.40    
4  BIG SMILE Nov29 Nov03       (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 1.80 19% 4.30    
SCR  ST PETE'S PASSION         (martin w)CORA D 122 15.00    
6  CUTADAY         (rathman elisha)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00    
7  DEVINE FLAMEAWAY Dec06 Nov28 Oct23 Sep08 Aug16 (penaloza m)MITCHELL RICHARD 122 1.60    
 
PEN-5   12/20/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHAPA Nov29 Sep22 Aug24 Aug03   (houghton )VARGAS L 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
2  ARROGANTE Nov29 Nov17 Oct27 Sep15 Jul28 (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HAPPYBIRTHDAYCOREY Nov17 Oct18 Aug03 Jun20 May12 (meister wil)INIRIO J 122 10.00    
4  HIDDEN CACHE Nov29 Nov10 Oct11 Aug21 Jun26 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 120 10.00    
5  UNION FOLLY Oct27 Sep15 Aug31 Aug04 Jul13 (houghton thomas)CORA D 122 4.00 34% 2.00    
SCR  OLIVIA DEE Aug25 Aug03       (martin jr)AGUILAR M 120 5.00    
7  COULD BE A COUGAR Nov29 Aug25 Jun22 Apr20 Mar10 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 119 2.00 ★    
 
PEN-6   12/20/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 2 ALL PT- 8:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WARRIOR AT BAT Nov15 Nov03 Sep06     (smith )SMITH DANIEL 117 3.50 51% 1.00    
2  CHIPANDAPUTT Dec02 Oct12 Aug25 Aug04   (woolley tim)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
3  GINO THINKABOUTIT Dec08 Nov16 Oct28     (mcmahon de)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.00 7% 13.60    
SCR  MR. NORMANDY Dec06 Sep27 Sep06 Aug09 May23 (albright ge)INIRIO J 122 15.00    
5  SIR PALACE PRINCE Nov28 Oct31 Oct03     (hawthorne bobbi)BEATO INOEL 122 2.50 15% 5.60    
6  JACK CLOUD Oct15 Aug31 Aug10     (allen ferris)MENA E 122 8.00 ★    
7  PLUOT Nov29         (mcclellan)RODRIGUEZ R 122 12.00    
8  OPENING HOURS Dec02 Oct26       (mcclellan erin)TORRES JOMAR 122 12.00 5% 17.40    
9  POLIE Dec06 Nov15 Nov03 Oct10 Sep27 (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
 
PEN-7   12/20/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPE HEDGE Nov29 Nov14 Oct30 Sep27 Aug17 (soto- martine)TREJOS JOSEPH 124 2.50 10% 9.20    
2  JUST NOD AND SMILE Dec06 Nov16 Nov02 Oct12 May17 (graci a)AGUILAR M 124 15.00    
3  HIGHWAY BOUND Nov15 Nov03 Sep10 Aug04 Jul08 (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 124 4.00 8% 11.30    
4  CARTE BLANCHE Nov16 Nov02 Sep21 Sep07 Jun24 (graci kimberly )BEATO INOEL 124 5.00    
5  ARISTOCAT Dec06 Nov01 Sep21 Sep01 Aug08 (moreno-barb)INIRIO J 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  PECOS BILL Nov29 Nov02 Sep22 Jul13 Jun02 (bartoni wa)WEATHERLY BAILEY 117 30.00    
7  MERU Dec06 Oct26 Oct09 Sep22 Sep07 (flores-coba)VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
8  WENTZ Dec06 Sep15 Dec21 Nov22 Sep19 (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.