Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Laurel Park
Saturday - December 16, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LRL-1   WIN (2/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/1)-(2/6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/6/1)-(2/6/4/1)-(2/6/4/1) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/6/1)-(7/2/3/8/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/6/1)-(7/2/3/8/5)-(1/4/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-2   WIN (7/2/3/8/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/2/3/8/5)-(7/2/3/8/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/2/3/8/5)-(7/2/3/8/5)-(7/2/3/8/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/2/3/8/5)-(1/4/5) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3/8/5)-(1/4/5)-(6/1/5) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-3   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(6/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(6/1/5)-(1/6/5/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-4   WIN (6/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/5)-(6/1/5/2)-(6/1/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/5)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/5)-(1/6/5/4)-(9/4/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(9/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/4)-(9/4/2)-(4/1/8/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-6   WIN (9/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/4/2)-(9/4/2/8/11)-(9/4/2/8/11) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (9/4/2)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/4/2)-(4/1/8/7)-(8/1/3/7) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-7   WIN (4/1/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7)-(4/1/8/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1/8/7)-(8/1/3/7) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/1/8/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(7/5/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LRL-8   WIN (8/1/3/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7)-(8/1/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/3/7)-(7/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LRL-9   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/2/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/2/4)-(7/5/2/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LRL-1   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUEEN OF HEARTS Nov30 Oct25 Oct16 Oct02 Jul28 (lucas antho)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  K KAKE POP Nov23         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.20 61% 0.60    
3  CONCRETE FAZE         (schoenthal p)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
4  AMIE'S SYMPHONY         (trombetta)CARRASCO R 122 4.50 ★    
5  MY SUGAR BOO Nov12         (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00    
6  DWELLING LEGACY Oct26         (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 4.00 10% 9.50    
7  TIZ VINNO Oct26 Jul22 Jul01     (cox m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 5.00    
 
LRL-2   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT-12:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MYSISTERNANCY Nov24 Nov04 Oct21 Oct01 Aug25 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 3.00    
2  PLEASE MARRY ME Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 Sep06 Aug17 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
3  MISS FUSSY PANTS Dec01 May26 Apr29 Mar25 Mar10 (farrior antho)ROJAS MARTINA 120 20.00 17% 4.80    
4  MISQUILLO Nov24 Nov04 Sep30 Aug21 Aug09 (perri gin)BOCACHICA J 112 30.00    
5  COAL MINE Nov24 Nov04 Oct27 Aug19 Jul28 (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  HAPPY UNION Nov24 Oct26 Oct11 Sep22 Sep06 (machado a)CARRASCO R 122 5.00    
7  ONE LAS OLAS Nov24 Nov04 Oct21 Sep01 Aug12 (robb john)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 125 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  THENCOMEMORNING Dec03 Nov23 Oct22 May05 Apr13 (howard davi)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 12.00 6% 17.00    
9  SUZY Q THE QUEEN Nov24 Oct26 Sep28 Sep06 Aug23 (troxell)NAVARRO J 123 20.00    
10  PROPER STORM Nov24 Nov04 Oct14 Sep17 Aug11 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 123 15.00    
 
LRL-3   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 1:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GLASS OF COURAGE Oct29 Oct13       (capuano phil)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 32% 2.10    
SCR  D MAJESTICAL Oct21         (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 15.00    
3  GET LIKE MIKE Nov24         (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00    
4  BRYSONS OPTION Oct29 Oct13 Sep23 Aug22   (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 118 3.00 29% 2.40    
5  STARLIFTER Nov11 Oct22 Oct01 Sep01 Aug19 (schoenthal ph)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 5.00 13% 6.60    
6  ROCKET NIGHT Oct26 Sep28 Aug19     (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.80    
7  MALIBU'S BOSS MAN Nov24         (beattie m)CRUZ ANGEL 122 12.00    
 
LRL-4   12/16/2023 5610ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($30K) Purse ($40K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE TEN Dec01 Oct28 Sep24 Sep03 Aug18 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 27% 2.80    
2  SPEARGUN Nov12 Oct04 Sep16 Aug05 Jun17 (ness jamie)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 ★    
3  BOB MARCO Nov04 Sep30 Sep08 Aug19 Jul01 (magee kieron)ROJAS MARTINA 118 1.80    
4  LOOSE GOOSE Nov24 Nov04 Oct20 Sep26 Aug29 (mcmahon hugh)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 12.00    
5  HOME SCHOOL (IRE) Dec08 Nov17 Nov02 Oct12 Aug27 (serey mar)HERNANDEZ F 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHAT DOES IT TAKE Nov24 Oct04 Sep10 Aug04 Jul15 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 126 3.00 43% 1.30    
7  MOSE PERFECT Nov24 Oct19 Feb04 Jan14 Dec16 (trombetta michae)CRUZ ANGEL 123 6.00    
 
LRL-5   12/16/2023 4620ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PATTY CAKES Nov02 Oct14 Sep15 Aug29 Jul27 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 2.50 51% 1.00    
1A  ROWSIE EXPRESS Nov11 Sep21 Sep01 Jul29 Jul01 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 2.50    
2  LOVING CUP (JPN) Dec01 Oct28 Oct07 Sep15 Sep01 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 20.00    
3  WESTERN LANE Nov12 Aug18 Jul19 Jun22 May28 (brion ker)CARRASCO R 123 2.00    
4  GOLD DIGGING BROAD Nov19 Oct14 Sep22 Aug19 Jul14 (vera m)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BELLA BETTINA Nov18 Oct28 Oct14 Sep30 Aug18 (davis samuel )TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 3.00 8% 12.10    
6  EMIRATES AFFAIR Nov21 Oct24 Sep19 Jul17 Jun04 (mosco ro)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 123 5.00 20% 4.10    
7  THE HAUNTED ROOM Dec03 Oct19 Sep28 Sep14 Aug12 (pradenas)RODRIGUEZ L 113 15.00    
 
LRL-6   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NO EASY DAYS Dec08 Oct28 Oct07 Jul21 May14 (dilodovico d)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.00    
2  KBCYA LATER Nov23 Nov05 Oct28 Oct19 Sep17 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  MY MAMBA Dec01 Nov05 Oct22 Sep08 Aug26 (lawrence jame)ROJAS MARTINA 117 8.00    
4  VAIL OF HONOR Nov15 Oct30 Oct15 Oct06 Sep15 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 119 8.00 35% 1.90    
5  GAMBLING TZAR Nov05 Oct19 Oct05 Sep07 Aug04 (alvarado diane)ROSADO JOHAN 123 15.00    
6  FOOD FOODIE Nov23 Oct19 Oct08 Sep16 Aug26 (nazario pedro)MENA E 122 30.00    
7  STEELE MONEY Dec01 Nov15 Nov04 Oct19 Aug10 (sanchez)ORTIZ ORLANDO 121 10.00    
8  RUNNING RIVER Nov16 Oct15 Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 4.50 ★    
9  RUNYONESQUE Nov30 Nov02 Feb09 Jan06 Dec10 (graham edward)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 42% 1.40    
10  LANGLEE AVENUE Dec08 Nov02 Oct13 Oct06 Aug26 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 30.00    
11  CLOUD MUSIC Dec02 Oct28 Sep27 Aug24 Jul14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 125 8.00 ★    
 
LRL-7   12/16/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KADRI Nov23 Oct12 Sep09 Jul30 Apr13 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 5.00 16% 5.40    
SCR  PERFECT DAY Dec02 Nov15 Aug30 Aug04 Jun21 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 119 5.00    
2  TOP BOSS Dec09 Nov23 Nov16 Nov02 Sep22 (mohan r)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
3  MAGIC MULE Nov23 Oct12 Sep22 Jul30 Jun17 (hohlbein kerry)BOYCE FOREST 123 30.00    
4  WITTY Nov18 Oct14 Sep16 Aug21 Jul22 (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 1.40 50% 1.00    
5  OUR PRIDE N JOY Nov23 Jul30 May28 Sep04 Jul30 (martin f)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
6  COMMANDING GENERAL Oct27 Oct14 Sep24 Sep16 Aug12 (tessor)LOPEZ EDUARDO 119 20.00    
7  BACKNTHEWOODS Nov23 Nov10 Sep09 Aug27 Jul02 (corrales jose)CRUZ ANGEL 123 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NORTH HIGHLAND Nov23 Oct28 Oct05 Sep17 Aug25 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 125 3.00 12% 7.40    
 
LRL-8   12/16/2023 3630ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DETERMINED JESTER Oct19 Oct06 Sep02 Aug03 Oct09 (schoenthal phi)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.00 22% 3.50    
2  BOURBON WILDCAT Nov24 Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 May13 (magana j)ROJAS MARTINA 118 12.00    
3  ANONYMOUSLY Nov26 Nov18 Oct19 Sep28 Sep04 (corrales jose)CHAVEZ ANDRES 119 5.00 14% 6.40    
4  SWEET SHUGS Nov18 Oct21 Oct06 Sep09 Aug13 (ginter raym)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 6.00    
5  LASSIE'S NOTION Jun16 Jun02 May13 Feb21 Jan23 (martin f)ROSADO JOHAN 123 30.00    
6  VIOLENT VIXEN Nov04 Oct13 Sep17 Aug27 Jul09 (baker charlton)CRUZ ANGEL 123 3.50    
7  WINKED Nov10 Oct06 Sep16 Aug26 Jun02 (merryma)BRICENO GREGOR 123 20.00 10% 8.80    
8  SUPER RENEE Nov09 Oct06 Sep17 Aug17 Jul13 (magee )LOPEZ EDUARDO 126 1.60 29% 2.50    
 
LRL-9   12/16/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VOODOO PRIESTESS Nov19 Oct07 Aug11 Aug03 Jul02 (smith h)BRICENO GREGOR 121 15.00    
2  AMERICAN ODALISQUE Nov19 Jun23 Jun08 Mar01 Feb10 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 125 2.50 ★    
3  WILD N' SASSY Nov29 Nov15 Oct25 Sep25 Apr20 (cooper st)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 121 15.00    
4  MILLROSE Nov18 Oct29 Oct08 Sep16 Aug20 (shuman mark)CHAVEZ ANDRES 114 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  OPINIONATED Nov19 Oct29 Oct07 Sep16 Aug23 (woolley ti)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 3.50 37% 1.70    
6  OUR BREW Dec09 Nov02 Oct13 Sep15 Aug26 (rawlin)LOPEZ EDUARDO 125 20.00    
7  MARLEY'S GHOST Nov19 Oct12 Sep30 Sep03 Aug16 (trombetta mic)ROJAS MARTINA 120 1.00 39% 1.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.