Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Zia Park
Monday - December 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
ZIA-1   WIN (4/2/8/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/2/8/10)-(4/2/8/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/8/10)-(4/2/8/10)-(4/2/8/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/2/8/10)-(8/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-2   WIN (8/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/4/1)-(8/4/1)-(8/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/4/1)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
ZIA-3   WIN (7/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4)-(7/3/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/3/1/4)-(7/6/10/1/5)-(7/4) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
ZIA-4   WIN (7/6/10/1/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/6/10/1/5)-(7/6/10/1/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/6/10/1/5)-(7/6/10/1/5)-(7/6/10/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (7/6/10/1/5)-(7/4)-(7/5/1) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
ZIA-5   WIN (7/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/4)-(7/5/12/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4)-(7/5/12/4)-(7/5/12/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/4)-(7/5/1)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
ZIA-6   WIN (7/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/1)-(7/5/1)-(7/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
ZIA-7   WIN (7/2/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5)-(7/2/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
ZIA-8   WIN (1/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/3)-(1/5/8/11/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/3)-(1/5/8/11/3)-(1/5/8/11/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3)-(2/3/1/4)-(5/4/7/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
ZIA-9   WIN (2/3/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/7/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/3/1/4)-(2/3/1/7/4)-(2/3/1/7/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/3/1/4)-(5/4/7/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
ZIA-10   WIN (5/4/7/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/7/9)-(5/4/7/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/7/9)-(5/4/7/9)-(5/4/7/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
ZIA-1   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DANDY DANDY DANDY Nov13         (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 120 20.00    
  (by PLUM DANDY out of CONCHIS MONCHIS by PROUD IRISH)
2  LATIGO ELLIS Sep01 Aug06 Jul21 Jun25 Jun09 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 2.50 30% 2.40    
  (by LATIGO SHORE out of DOC'S FU PEG by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
3  MARKED CASH         (lambert c)VALENZUELA A 120 6.00    
  (by MARKING out of PAY BACK TIME by MONTREAL RED)
4  MARKING CANYON Nov13         (fincher leroy)CARRENO J 120 3.50 30% 2.30    
  (by MARKING out of STORMY CANYON by SCATMANDU)
5  MAGIC STORM Nov20         (gonzalez sal)VERGARA P 120 4.50    
  (by STORM DANI out of MAGIC TIZ by MR. GREELEY)
6  AX'S BOUNCY CAT         (morales danny)LOPEZ KARLO 120 12.00    
  (by AXIOMATIC out of BOUNCY KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
7  REYNALDO P.         (quiroz filiberto)VALDEZ S 120 15.00    
  (by UNBRIDLED TRUST out of CONQUEST FLATTERME by FLATTER)
8  ATTILA'S ACE Nov13 Aug20 Jul30 Jul09 Jun23 (rondan jesus)VILLANUEVA C 120 8.00 13% 6.50    
  (by ATTILA'S STORM out of DESERT GAMBLER by DESERT CLASSIC)
SCR  LIKA DAGGER Nov13 Aug19       (g)DE CRUZ 120 20.00    
  (by LAUGH TRACK out of PAY FOR PLAY by SONGANDAPRAYER)
10  SINAI         (marr jo)FUENTES T 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by PUNCTUATE out of DESERT STEPPER by DESERT GOD)
 
ZIA-2   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($31K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RUNNING FOR GRACE Nov13 Aug25 Jul29 Jul14 Jan03 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 10.00 10% 9.50    
SCR  ANOTHERBIKINIMODEL Nov13 Sep09 Apr02     (young a)TORRES J 121 5.00    
3  REBEL RYETTE May07 Apr15 Mar28 Feb28 Feb19 (pierce w)VERGARA P 121 20.00    
4  CHARITY WATER Nov20 Nov07 Apr22 Mar21 Mar14 (summers n)VALENZUELA A 121 2.50 31% 2.20    
5  SUERTUDA Nov13 Oct28 Oct13 Sep08 Jul15 (gonzalez carl)JUAREZ J 121 8.00    
6  BELLA BRISA Oct13 Sep27 Sep13 Jun17 Mar26 (aldavaz herm)VILLANUEVA C 123 8.00    
7  MARQUEE'S STORM Oct13 Sep08 Jul29 Jun18 Mar05 (lambert casey)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 20.00    
8  ANNIE GET UR GUNS Apr02 Feb28 Jan24 Nov14 Oct24 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 1.50 35% 1.80    
 
ZIA-3   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 ALL PT- 3:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SCOPELLO Nov13 Sep09 Aug28 Aug13 Jun23 (mcfarl)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 4.00 16% 5.10    
2  BATTLEOF TRAFALGAR Nov07 Oct25 Oct11 Sep17 Aug19 (c)DE CRUZ 121 20.00    
3  PARS AND BIRDIES Nov07 Oct18 Sep15 Aug18 Jul27 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 123 5.00 21% 3.70    
4  EMPERIAL EAGLES Nov14 Sep13 Sep03 Jul15 May14 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  F J COLIMA Nov13 Oct14 Sep10 Aug26 Jun17 (padilla fr)RODRIGUEZ H 121 15.00    
SCR  NORTHERN COCKTAIL Nov13 Jun14 May06 Apr17 Apr05 (woolley benn)VILLANUEVA C 121 6.00    
7  BIG WAY Nov07 Oct25 Aug26 Jul23 Apr26 (cappellucci j)JUAREZ J 121 2.00 26% 2.90    
8  CLASS COMPOUNDS Nov07 Oct25 Oct11 Aug12 Jul30 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 123 10.00    
9  HELLO WALTZ Nov13 Jul31 Mar12     (young a)TORRES J 121 30.00    
10  SAGA (NZ) Nov07 Oct11 Aug27 Jun30 Apr28 (bolen bradley)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-4   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 35 M/F PT- 3:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SILVERS LAST DANCE         (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 121 10.00 11% 8.50    
2  MOONLIT FOREST Nov20 Sep27 Sep14 Aug26   (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 12.00    
3  LA DELHOMME'S SHOW Nov07 Oct08 Sep14 May05 Apr22 (zimmerman)VALENZUELA A 123 6.00    
4  MIDNIGHT SUSI Oct27 Sep07 Jul09 Jun25 Jun03 (cappellucci dick)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00    
5  ANDREABANANAS Nov20 Nov07 Oct20 Sep27 Aug06 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  COWGIRLLOVER Nov07 Oct08 Sep30 Sep07 Aug26 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 5.00 22% 3.60    
7  CORY LOVES RAIN Nov20 Oct27 Sep30 Sep03 Aug13 (gleason m)JUAREZ J 121 4.00 34% 1.90    
8  COMFORTWITHCANDY Sep02         (young don)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 30.00    
9  ROCKETT'S RED CITY Nov20 Nov07 Sep07 Aug19 Jul22 (constant ron)VILLANUEVA C 121 20.00    
10  KATZIE BABY Oct27 Sep30 Sep02 Jul09 Jun24 (pierce thomas)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 3.00 11% 8.30    
11  BRANNY Jul22 Dec20 Dec01 Nov14 Oct23 (lamb)VALDEZ-JIMINEZ ERNESTO 121 15.00    
 
ZIA-5   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($39K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BRAZEN NOW Oct15 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 Apr22 (armstrong)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 12.00    
2  SLY Nov13 Oct22 Apr23 Apr08 Mar12 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
3  LOVE MY JIMMY Nov14 Sep16 Aug20 Jul12 Feb20 (diodoro robertin)VALDEZ S 123 1.80    
4  PUNCH EM Nov14 Oct06 Aug25 Jun17 May27 (ashford tris)JORDAN R 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  IMA BLING CAT Nov06 Oct14 Sep23 Aug31 Jun17 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 121 8.00 ★    
SCR  RECKONING DAY Nov13 Oct21 Sep02 Jul29 Jun21 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 121 4.00 62% 0.60    
7  SANTALUZ DREAMIN Nov13 Oct06 May13 Apr25 Apr15 (crotts ja)VALENZUELA A 123 10.00 11% 8.00    
8  VODKA TWIST Nov06 Sep09 Aug25 Jun04 Jan24 (padilla fr)RODRIGUEZ H 121 30.00    
9  THIRSTY ECHO Nov14 Oct21 Oct13 Sep03 Jul30 (archuleta ada)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 15.00    
10  AVALON KING Oct22 Sep30 Sep02 Aug12 Sep10 (martinez esteban)CARRENO J 121 50.00    
11  EL CHUMELITO Oct29 Oct13 Sep17 Sep07 Aug05 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 15.00    
12  AXEL STEEL Oct08 Jul30 Jun25 Jan28 Jan10 (buechler simon )ROSENDO J 121 6.00 ★    
 
ZIA-6   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ORTH Nov06 Oct01 Sep16 Apr07 Feb19 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 123 8.00 7% 13.60    
2  SHADY EMPIRE Jun10 May06 Mar10 Feb05 Nov13 (diodoro robertin)VALDEZ S 121 1.60    
3  LOCO LUNA Nov06 Oct13 Sep11 Aug26 Jul30 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 15.00    
SCR  I'M A COOL CAT Oct13 Jul22 Jul08 Jun24 May06 (long vaughn)MEDELLIN ERICK 121 15.00    
5  DANZ AT COLFAX Apr16 Jan01 Nov30 Oct25 Oct04 (amparan a)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 8.00 25% 3.00    
6  SEA TO SUCCESS Nov14 Oct21 Aug16 Aug02 Jul20 (martinez )VALENZUELA A 123 4.00    
7  JACKMAN'S RIDE Oct13 Sep23 Aug24 Jun22 Apr16 (caldwell r)DIAZ RENE 123 3.00 38% 1.60    
8  OHHH DADDY Nov06 Oct13 Sep23 Sep08 Jul16 (rojero c)ROSENDO J 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-7   12/04/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GREENBRIER Nov14 Oct22 Oct06 Sep17 Dec01 (hone bart)ROSENDO J 121 15.00 12% 7.00    
2  READS PET ZENON Nov14 Aug18 Dec06 Nov14 Oct24 (barton )FUENTES T 121 5.00 14% 6.30    
3  PANZER PRIDE Nov14 Sep16 Aug06 Jul17 Jul03 (eikleberry kevin)TOHILL S 119 8.00    
4  LEGALLY REDDY Nov14 Oct29 Oct01 Aug18 Jul29 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 10.00    
5  BLUE JEAN BOURBON Nov07 Oct04 Sep15 Aug18 Jul29 (l)DE CRUZ 119 12.00 7% 12.40    
6  THE RONALD Oct28 Oct01 Jul22 Jun19 Apr18 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 119 10.00    
7  CAPITAL JOKE Oct29 Oct01 Sep03 Jun23 May28 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 2.50 42% 1.40    
SCR  LEA ME BE Nov09 Oct19 Sep24 Sep08 Aug11 (ashford tris)JORDAN R 119 1.80    
9  RIO HATO Nov21 Oct22 Oct07 Jul30 Jul22 (meraz jua)ARREDONDO GABRIEL 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-8   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($33.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. BIG RIG Oct13 Sep17 Sep03 Oct11 Sep17 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 3.50 65% 0.50    
2  QUANTUM BULL Nov07 Oct18 Oct06 Sep24 Aug06 (barrios bernade)ROSENDO J 121 8.00    
3  CASH CRUZER Nov07 Oct25 Oct01 Sep14 Sep03 (martinez frankie )CARRENO J 123 30.00 5% 19.00    
4  QUINTON'S CHARMER Jul02 May22 Apr30 Mar20 Feb22 (munoz g)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 121 12.00    
5  HENNESSY LOOKER RF Oct18 Sep20 Sep03 May21 May07 (gonzalez an)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 119 6.00 12% 7.50    
6  I AM THE JUAN Oct28 Oct13 Sep24 Dec19 Dec06 (m)DE CRUZ 121 8.00    
7  DEACON BEACON Aug21 Jul31 Jul03 Jun19 May14 (young a)TORRES J 121 30.00    
8  ARTFUL CRITIC Nov07 Oct08 May21 May07 Apr29 (buechler simon )LOPEZ KARLO 119 10.00 ★    
9  TARDY CAT Nov07 Sep24 Jun17 May29 Mar12 (riddle jacki)JORDAN R 119 20.00    
10  IMATBTHTWHTSHESAID Mar19 Jan24 Dec13 Nov21 Nov07 (barton dallas )CEBALLOS F 121 20.00    
11  TATAS JOE MARK Nov07 Oct08 Sep20 Sep02 Aug06 (cappellucci d)JUAREZ J 119 2.00 ★    
12  FARMER FRED R F Sep17 May29 May06 Mar14 Mar05 (martinez edw)VILLANUEVA C 121 30.00    
 
ZIA-9   12/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($64.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FLAGS FINALE Nov07 Oct08 Sep20 Sep03 Aug18 (aldavaz h)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 119 3.50 21% 3.70    
2  JED Nov07 Aug18 Jun25 Feb14   (marr h)TOHILL S 119 4.00 29% 2.50    
3  CLUE Nov07 Oct20 Oct08 Sep02 Aug18 (g)DE CRUZ 119 4.50 28% 2.60    
4  LUCK IN MY EYES Oct28 Jun18 May06 Apr22 Apr09 (chavez)RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  GATLING GOLD Nov14 Oct22 Sep27 Sep09 Jul14 (gonzale)VAZQUEZ MIGUEL 123 20.00    
6  BIG D W Nov07 Aug18 Jul29 Jun16 Mar12 (riddle jacki)JORDAN R 121 15.00    
7  PLAYTHEMARKER Nov20 Oct08 Sep09 Jul15 Jun16 (armstrong she)JUAREZ J 119 5.00 ★    
8  MY SPECIAL MISTAKE Nov20 Oct07 Sep24 Jul14 Jun16 (valdez-cabr)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 8.00    
9  MUSICS MY VICE Oct07 Aug06 Jul09 Oct30 Sep25 (fincher w)VALDEZ S 119 12.00    
10  JUVAL Oct14 Sep23 Sep02 Aug19 Jul16 (silva lillian)ARBOLEDA ALDO 123 15.00    
11  STYLE BENDER Nov07 Oct21 Oct15 Sep27 Sep09 (martinez frankie )CARRENO J 121 10.00    
 
ZIA-10   12/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WENDY'S SONG Nov13 Sep20 Aug10 Aug03 Jun17 (valdez-ca)AMPARAN FRANCISCO 123 12.00    
2  WON SASSY RIDE Oct28 Oct08 Sep27 Aug05 Jul09 (wheeler t)KELLENBERGER KODY 123 15.00    
SCR  FOOLISH DELIGHT Apr23 Mar26 Mar12 Feb18 Jan29 (green greg)ARBOLEDA ALDO 119 5.00    
4  MANHATTAN CHERRY Nov21 Sep02 Aug02 Jul16 Sep15 (woolley bennie )LOPEZ KARLO 119 4.00 31% 2.20    
5  CHESTERETTE Nov13 Sep03 Apr02 Feb07 Mar11 (hone bart)RAMOS CHRISTIAN 121 2.50 40% 1.50    
6  BRITISH EDGE Sep06 Aug05 Jun28     (bolen )RODRIGUEZ RAMON 121 20.00    
7  DADS ESTRELLA Nov13 Aug13 Jul16 Jul02 Jun11 (alvarez serg)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 10.00 6% 14.90    
8  QUITE LOVELY Apr02 Mar21 Feb28 Feb05 Dec19 (gonzale)FUENTES T 121 20.00    
9  ZANARAZZI Jul09 Mar12 Jan29 Dec19 Nov21 (fincher todd )JUAREZ J 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  HALOSNHEAVEN Nov28 Nov06 Sep29 Sep11 Jul31 (mcfarlane da)JORDAN R 121 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.