Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Laurel Park
Sunday - October 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

LRL-1   WIN (9/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (9/1/4)-(9/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (9/1/4)-(9/1/4)-(9/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (9/1/4)-(5/6/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (9/1/4)-(5/6/3)-(2/6/12/4/11) 45 $0.50 $22.50 
LRL-2   WIN (5/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/3)-(5/6/3)-(5/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/3)-(2/6/12/4/11) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3)-(2/6/12/4/11)-(8/4/5/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LRL-3   WIN (2/6/12/4/11) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/6/12/4/11)-(2/6/12/4/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/6/12/4/11)-(2/6/12/4/11)-(2/6/12/4/11) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (2/6/12/4/11)-(8/4/5/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (2/6/12/4/11)-(8/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/11) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-4   WIN (8/4/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3)-(8/4/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/3)-(1/4/5/11)-(11/5/13/2/1) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
LRL-5   WIN (1/4/5/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/5/11)-(1/4/5/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5/11)-(1/4/5/11)-(1/4/5/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/4/5/11)-(11/5/13/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5/11)-(11/5/13/2/1)-(5/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
LRL-6   WIN (11/5/13/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/5/13/2/1)-(11/5/13/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/5/13/2/1)-(11/5/13/2/1)-(11/5/13/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/5/13/2/1)-(5/3) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (11/5/13/2/1)-(5/3)-(1/3/5) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
LRL-7   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/3)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
LRL-8   WIN (1/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/3/5)-(1/3/5)-(1/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
LRL-1   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($36K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PUNKIN Sep24 Aug20 Aug06 Mar10   (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00 28% 2.50    
ROUNDBBALL         (girten tim)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 12.00    
SCR  INTEL AGENT Sep29 Sep17 Aug20     (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 15.00    
DIVINE ROMANCE Oct21 Sep25 Sep10     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00 19% 4.20    
FORGOTTEN GIFT Sep24 Sep16 Aug05 Jul09 Jun17 (frock charles)ROJAS MARTINA 114 20.00    
SCR  VIENNA'S TWIRL Sep24 Aug17 Apr15     (cooney s)MONTERREY R 119 30.00    
GET LOADED Sep16 Aug26 Aug18 Aug05   (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 119 10.00    
SCR  IN HER CUPS Sep08 Aug20 Aug03 Jul19 Jul06 (manchio)BRICENO GREGOR 126 2.50    
LADY BANKER Sep08 Jul23 Jun24 Feb26 Jan28 (weaver george)CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.00 30% 2.40    
SCR  CHALICE Sep17 Aug10 Oct21 Sep11   (merryman eliz)TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 12.00    
SCR  BIZZY BIZZY Sep17 Aug20 Aug05 Jul08 Jun04 (haughto)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
 
LRL-2   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($35K) 3UP M/F PT-12:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FIVECOMMATWO Sep22 Sep01 Aug11 Jul21 Jun23 (corrales )HERNANDEZ F 119 12.00    
TRITONE GAL Sep16 Sep09 Aug26 Aug03 Jul15 (magana )BRICENO GREGOR 126 3.00    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH Oct06 Sep15 Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 8.00 5% 19.00    
MAIL CALL Oct07 Aug12 Jul29 May14 Apr28 (gamber robert)ROJAS MARTINA 121 30.00    
RUN RAEGAN RUN Sep09 May20       (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 2.00 58% 0.70    
MISS GEORGIE Sep22 Aug12 Jul21 Dec30 Nov12 (gaudet lacey)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 2.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  DANCINONTHEBEACH Sep24         (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 123 5.00    
 
LRL-3   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GRECIAN PHAROAH Sep02 Aug20 Jul15 Jun30 May27 (gaudet lac)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 8.00    
VAIL OF HONOR Oct06 Sep15 Aug25 Aug09 May12 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.80 39% 1.60    
PRINCE OF PORTLAND Sep22 Aug24 Aug03 Jul08 Jun24 (aguirre anthon)BOYCE FOREST 119 30.00    
RUNNING RIVER Sep15 Aug24 Aug03 Jul02 Jun10 (salzman john )TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 4.00 7% 13.70    
NEVERFOLD Sep08 Aug25 Jul30 Jun16 Jun04 (ashby randy)ACOSTA D 119 15.00    
PRINCE OF CAPS Sep22 Aug20 Jul08 Jun24 Dec28 (gonzalez )HERNANDEZ F 119 2.50 18% 4.60    
SCR  PURSUING PACE Sep22 Aug26 Aug17 Jul06 Jun03 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 119 12.00    
FUN LOVIN CRIMINAL Sep22 Aug26 Mar24 Feb25 Feb11 (brion )LOPEZ EDUARDO 116 3.50    
ELUSIVE AGENT Sep15 Aug20 Jan06 Dec11 Nov05 (keefe timot)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 8.00    
10  RIPKEN Sep22 Aug05 Jul19 Jun29 Jun05 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 6.00    
11  BODE LYNX Aug20 Jul30 Jun24 May25 May05 (milosevic mil)ROJAS MARTINA 114 20.00 5% 19.00    
12  STAR SHOPPING Sep22 Aug20 Jul29 Jul14 Jun25 (robb troy)RUIZ JORGE 119 5.00 13% 6.50    
SCR  SUPER E Oct05 Sep07 Aug18 Jul29 Jul09 (smith hamilton)BOYCE FOREST 123 4.50    
SCR  MAYBE IT'S TIME Oct05 Aug30 Aug19 Aug02 Jul12 (gorham mich)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 8.00    
SCR  ROAN FOR THE ROSE Sep21 Aug31 Aug09 Jun16 May03 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 123 12.00    
SCR  BOFFO KID Oct14 Sep07 Aug24 Aug04 Jul14 (doran carl)KARAMANOS A 123 8.00    
 
LRL-4   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOOD PENNY Jul20 Apr07 Mar25 Mar05 Jan13 (camejo jose )BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00    
DRY WELL Sep17 Aug19 Jul27 Jun23 Jun03 (walters henry)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00    
CONTINENTALCONGRES Sep29 Sep02 Aug04 Jul15 Jun24 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 4.00 6% 16.30    
PEYTON ELIZABETH Sep29 Sep18 Sep04 Jul17 Jul03 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 6.00 27% 2.70    
I CAN RUN Sep29 Aug27 Jun04 May20 Oct02 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 123 6.00 12% 7.20    
HAINT BLUE (FR) Oct13 Sep29 Aug26 Aug12 Aug10 (smith hamilto)ROJAS MARTINA 115 15.00    
HASHTAG LUCKY Sep28 Sep04 Aug19 Jul22 Jun23 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 10.00    
SILVER CURRENCY Jun03 Apr29 Mar26 Jan07 Nov14 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
CHAMPAGNE TOAST Sep16 Jul27 Jun23 Dec30 Nov12 (gaudet lacey)CEDENO CAROL 123 8.00    
 
LRL-5   10/15/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GATITA SUAVE Sep03 Aug13 Aug03 Jul15 Jun16 (sanchez-salomon )CRUZ ANGEL 123 2.50 44% 1.30    
SCR  GALS GAL Sep22 Jul14 Jun11 Nov06 Oct22 (keefe timothy )BOYCE FOREST 126 10.00    
SCR  MOLLIE TAPPER Oct08 Sep08 Aug20 Jul27 Jul19 (sanchez-salom)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 6.00    
YOOOU KNOW Sep09 Aug03 Jul05 May31 May12 (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.50 20% 3.90    
CAROLINA SUN Sep04 Aug03 Jul15 Jun25 May27 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 6.00 6% 16.30    
NEVER DONE Feb19 Jan28 Jan06 Oct21 Sep18 (capuan)LOPEZ EDUARDO 123 20.00    
WAITTILMIDNITEHOUR Sep06 Aug19 Aug05     (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 123 8.00    
LETITGOTOVOICEMAIL Aug25 Jul14 Feb09 Jan01 Oct28 (perkins ben)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 30.00    
CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Sep15 Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May04 (cox m)ACOSTA D 123 3.50    
10  QUICK POWER NAP Sep22 Sep10 Aug25 Aug11 Jul08 (rodriguez rud)KARAMANOS A 122 3.00    
11  LEVISA Sep07 Jan16 Jan07 Nov19 Oct12 (sillaman richard)CRUZ ANGEL 119 4.50 5% 19.00    
 
LRL-6   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($45K) Purse ($44K) 2 ALL PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  SCRAPPY T LEE         (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BREAK THE CHAINS Sep01 Aug12       (mcmahon hug)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 122 12.00    
ROCKET DRAGON         (rodriguez d)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 8% 11.60    
HYTECK PRINCE Sep08 Aug19       (lawrence jam)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 12.00    
FORMAL AFFAIR         (trombetta mich)ROSADO JOHAN 122 20.00    
JOLLY BOSS         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 2.00 23% 3.30    
HANKSDIVININGROD         (walters henry)CRUZ ANGEL 122 30.00    
SCR  ALWAYS FUN         (perri gina)MONTERREY R 122 30.00    
ALBERT FINNIGAN         (allen a)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 30.00    
THIS IS GOOD         (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
10  RETURN FIRE Sep29 Aug26       (sanchez-salom)ROJAS MARTINA 117 15.00    
11  NEVER GREW UP Sep04 Aug06 Jul16 Jun16   (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
12  NO WORRIES         (cibell)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 15.00    
13  CIRCLE P Sep15         (stites w)CHIAPPE R 122 10.00 21% 3.80    
 
LRL-7   10/15/2023 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($58K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMAZON QUEEN Aug31 Jul16 Jun14 May11 Mar24 (delacour arnaud)CENTENO E 123 30.00    
SCR  TUFANI Sep09 Jul15 Jun24 May24 Apr15 (stidham micha)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 6.00    
SURYA (ARG) Aug31 Jul27 Jul15 Jun03 May13 (russell brittany)CRUZ ANGEL 123 20.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  GUN BOAT Sep06 Jul19 Jun03 Apr15   (mcgaughey clau)BOYCE FOREST 123 3.00    
GALILEI Sep02 Aug12 Jul15 Jun24 May27 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 37% 1.70    
SCR  EIDIKOS (GB) Sep16 Aug13 Jul14 Jun02 May02 (motion gr)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 3.50    
SCR  IN A SPIN Sep09 Aug21 Jul07 Jun02 May11 (matz michael)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 15.00    
SCR  MORGS WORLD Sep02 Aug05 Jul12 Jun18 Nov11 (robertson mclea)GOMEZ KEVIN 123 12.00    
CUPID'S STRIKE Oct07 Aug19 Jul15 Jun18 Oct20 (farrior ant)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 15.00    
SCR  CUSTOMER LIST (FR) Aug12 Jul02 Jun03 Oct29 Aug25 (brown c)LYNCH FEARGAL 123 2.00    
 
LRL-8   10/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($29K) 2 ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BURNINGUPTHEDOUGH Sep02         (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 2.00 50% 1.00    
SCR  BUCKIN' DREAMER Sep04         (mcmaho)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 2.00    
DASHING D'ARTAGNAN Sep29 Sep04       (corrales jose)ARAUJO DENIS 122 6.00    
EYES ELEVEN Sep29         (mancilla carlos )CRUZ ANGEL 122 3.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  RAPID PUNCH         (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 122 4.00    
WAR MASTER         (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 3.50 7% 12.90    
MY ENDEAVOR         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 20.00    
JACK CLOUD Aug31 Aug10       (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.