Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Pimlico
Friday - September 15, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

PIM-1   WIN (6/9/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/9/2)-(6/9/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/9/2)-(6/9/5/2)-(6/9/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/9/2)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/9/2)-(4/1/7)-(3/6/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PIM-2   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7)-(4/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(3/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7)-(3/6/2)-(5/2/4/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PIM-3   WIN (3/6/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/6/2)-(3/6/2)-(3/6/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/6/2)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/2)-(5/2/4/7)-(8/1/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PIM-4   WIN (5/2/4/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7)-(5/2/4/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2/4/7)-(8/1/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/4/7)-(8/1/7)-(5/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
PIM-5   WIN (8/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (8/1/7)-(8/1/7)-(8/1/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (8/1/7)-(5/8/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7)-(5/8/2)-(7/4/2) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PIM-6   WIN (5/8/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/8/2)-(5/8/2)-(5/8/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/8/2)-(7/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/8/2)-(7/4/2)-(5/1/4) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
PIM-7   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/2)-(7/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/2)-(5/1/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/2)-(5/1/4)-(8/11) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
PIM-8   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(8/11) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
PIM-9   WIN (8/11) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/11)-(8/11) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PIM-1   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($25K) 35 M/F PT-12:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNFETTERED DIVA Jul21 Jul01       (demario charl)ROJAS MARTINA 117 30.00    
SUPER MONEY Aug27 Aug13 Aug05 Jun23 May27 (haughto)BRICENO GREGOR 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
HONOR THE TRUTH Aug28 Aug20       (barr donal)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 122 15.00    
GOLDEN BLOSSOM Mar17 Feb25 Jan18 Dec29 Dec04 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 118 30.00    
GINAMAYA Jul08 Jun17 Apr02 Feb26   (graham robi)LYAPUSTINA TAIS 126 2.50    
P J'S RIDER Sep08 Aug05 Jun02     (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 1.60 61% 0.60    
CELTIC WAR CRY Aug13 Aug03 Jun16     (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 10.00    
HEY RIRI Aug13 Aug03 Jul02 Jun17 May25 (pickett crystal )ACOSTA D 122 12.00    
SKY BUY Aug03 Jun25 Apr02     (perri gina)ALVELO C 122 3.50 13% 6.80    
 
PIM-2   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($27K) 3UP M/F PT-12:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOVING CUP (JPN) Sep01 Aug05 Jul14 Jul02 Jun16 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 3.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  FESSIN UP Aug31 Aug18 Jul28 Jul17 Jun24 (comi w)PELTROCHE F 122 30.00    
SCR  LADY LANCER Aug24 Aug05 Jul05 Jun22 Jun10 (sepulveda c)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 6.00    
MEETMEATTHEBEACH Aug26 Aug05 Jul02 Jun03 Apr09 (trombetta mi)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 2.50 32% 2.10    
MATTY BO Aug31 Aug18 Aug05 Jul26 May25 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 8.00    
SCR  REVEILLE SONG Sep02 Aug14 Jul24 Jun21 May27 (merryman michael)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00    
THUNDER BOSS Sep04 Aug25 Aug13 Aug06 Jul23 (magee kiero)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 12.00 15% 5.80    
SCR  LADY CAGE FIGHTER Sep01 Aug04 Jul08 May28 Jun12 (lawrence james)CONNER TYLER 122 30.00    
SCR  SASSY ANNIE Jul09 Jun25       (tessore bruno)JUAREZ NIK 122 6.00    
SCR  LITTLE NUTTER Aug24 Nov05 Oct28 Sep10 Aug13 (klesaris robe)KARAMANOS A 122 15.00    
11  DEVIL PAYS IN GOLD Sep04 Jul21 Jul01 May29 Apr29 (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
12  DON DIVA Aug04 Jul19 Jun15 Jun03 Feb24 (shannon jenni)TUNON JORDANO 126 15.00    
SCR  SWEET FACTOR Aug24 Jul29 Jul22 Jun23 Jun09 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 122 20.00    
 
PIM-3   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($17K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SALTY SAUL Aug12 Jul13 Jun16 May06 Apr14 (jones e)BOCACHICA O 123 30.00    
GOLD TIME VIXEN Aug25 Jul21 Jun23 May26 May04 (kee willie )CHATRIE E 113 12.00 5% 19.00    
NEED A MARKER Aug12 Jul22 Jul01 Apr16 Mar11 (albert )ORTIZ ORLANDO 119 2.50 45% 1.20    
IRISH LACE Sep02 Aug04 Jul26 Jul16 Jun23 (sanchez-salomo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 3.00    
SCR  CAGED PIXIE Aug27 Jun17 May26 Feb03 Dec04 (lawrence ja)ASTUDILLO FELIX 113 8.00    
FLAT DISCOUNT Sep02 Aug24 Aug12 Jul29 Jun24 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 5.00 27% 2.60    
SOME IS NINE Aug27 Aug03 Jul13 Jun24 May31 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 123 2.00    
 
PIM-4   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($52K) 2 ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOODBYE NOTE         (smith hamil)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 20.00    
  (by BLOFELD out of MADAM ALEX by NOT FOR LOVE)
CLASSIC JOKE Aug25 Aug12       (sillaman richa)BOYCE FOREST 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of CARAMEL CANDY by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
AMEN MCLAREN         (matz michae)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 4.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of AMEN HALLELUJAH by MONTBROOK)
INVEIGLED         (cibelli jane)BARBOSA JEIRON 122 3.50 16% 5.40    
  (by ENTICED out of KITTY QUALITY by QUALITY ROAD)
REGALO         (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of PERFECT BOURBON by MAJESTICPERFECTION)
HOLD MY STETSON Aug12         (demario charl)KARAMANOS A 122 30.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of STAINLESS KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
SUMMERSTATEOFMIND Aug06         (keefe timot)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 12.00 9% 9.70    
  (by IMAGINING out of SUMMER KISS by SUMMER FRONT)
COUNT DADDY         (howard)LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 20.00    
  (by FLAMEAWAY out of CANARY DIAMOND by ALPHABET SOUP)
KINGDOM FORCE Sep02 Aug05 Jul27 Jul16 Jun30 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 117 20.00    
  (by SKY KINGDOM out of UNION ET FORCE by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
 
PIM-5   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AMPERSAND Feb24 Dec17 Nov19 Oct20 Sep04 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 8.00 18% 4.50    
SCR  PUDGE BOY PALACE Sep04 Aug11 Jul04 May20 Feb04 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 126 8.00    
SCR  SHACKINTHEBOX Sep03 Jul29 Apr15 Apr02 Jan23 (sillaman ri)CONCEPCION AXEL 113 15.00    
ABUELO PAPS Aug20 Jul30 Jun11 May25 Mar31 (salazar ma)BERRUGATE KENEDY 121 12.00    
ELUSIVE AGENT Aug20 Jan06 Dec11 Nov05 Oct08 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 12.00    
CARBONITE Sep01 Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 May29 (ginter raymo)BARBOSA JEIRON 126 8.00    
SCR  CHOCOLATE SHAKE Jul01 Jun10 Dec11 Nov21 Nov05 (gaudet lacey)ACOSTA D 126 2.00    
RUNNING RIVER Aug24 Aug03 Jul02 Jun10 May14 (salzman joh)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 8.00 7% 13.40    
FROG TOWN Aug11 Aug04 Jul14 May18 Apr08 (farrior ant)CARRASCO CARLOS 122 6.00 50% 1.00    
SUPER ROCKER Aug30 Jul08 Jun24 Jun09 May14 (lucas bonnie)CONNER TYLER 118 20.00    
SCR  SWITZER Aug03 Jul07 May21 Mar05 Oct16 (farrior ant)RUSSELL SHELDON 126 4.00    
 
PIM-6   09/15/2023 3300ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($20K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FAST LANI Aug12 Jun25 May27 Oct28 Sep17 (mcmahon hug)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 4.50    
NOBLE BID Aug27 Aug06 Oct30 Oct02 Aug24 (dilodovico da)KARAMANOS A 123 20.00 9% 9.50    
SPEAK YOUR MIND Aug10 Jul15 Apr30 Mar11 Feb10 (cooney susan )TOLEDO JEVIAN 119 30.00    
SCR  SHESASUPERFREAK Aug30 Aug18 Jun18 May22 Apr12 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
MUNDLE OF JOY Jul21 Jun28 May26 Sep24 Aug26 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 126 6.00 49% 1.00    
SCR  AWESOME VIEW Sep04 Aug26 Aug18 Jul30 Jul06 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 119 10.00    
SCR  LENTEN ROSE Aug08 Jul26 Jun20 May31 Apr23 (potts g)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 126 5.00    
SPICY MARGARITA Aug25 May12 Apr15 Mar12 Mar03 (ginter j)ACOSTA D 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
GOLDEN CAN Sep04 Aug20 Aug03 Jul07 May27 (mcmahon t)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
10  BREEZY CONNECTION Sep04 Aug26 Aug16 Aug07 Jul25 (brooks gerald)ROJAS MARTINA 118 15.00    
SCR  PUPPYMONKEYBABY Sep02 Jul07 Jun03 May19 Oct12 (magee kiero)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.50    
SCR  ADIOS BABE Sep06 Aug04 Jul02 Apr22 Mar23 (mcgoey monic)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 5.00    
13  BLAME CATALAYA Aug26 Aug18 Jul14 Jun17 May31 (serey mario )WHITACRE GRANT 118 20.00    
SCR  HOT LOOKIN ROYAL Aug25 Aug03 Jul01 Jun10 May14 (eubanks an)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 119 12.00    
 
PIM-7   09/15/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1A  AEQUOR Jul30 Jul08 Jun03 Apr21 Mar30 (tessore bruno)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.00    
SCR  TENEBRIS Aug31 Jun11 Jun03 May21 Feb11 (tessore bruno)JUAREZ NIK 123 3.00    
FIND FAITH Aug04 Feb05 Jan08 Dec09   (graham l)MONTERREY R 126 6.00 5% 19.00    
INSPIRED IRISH Jul23 Jun02 May06 Mar04 Feb10 (meyers madi)CONCEPCION AXEL 114 30.00    
LIBERTY STAR Aug20 Aug05 Jul07 Jun03 Oct02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 4.00 11% 7.80    
BROTHER CONWAY Sep01 Jul23 Jun24 Sep05 Jul22 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 123 4.50    
DELEGATED Jul16 May05 Apr14 Feb11 Jun18 (salazar mar)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 119 30.00    
MURRAY Jun18 May07 Feb11 Jul22   (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 1.00 63% 0.60    
 
PIM-8   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($55K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE IRISH Oct13 Sep24 Aug19 Aug03 Jul02 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00    
1A  MAGIC MICHAEL Sep24 Aug24 Jul30 Jul09 Jun14 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 123 3.00 32% 2.10    
EVERETT'S SONG Aug06 Jul07 May29 Apr29 Mar17 (mcmahon hu)HUMPHREY WILLIAM 123 3.50    
ALL THREES Aug13 Jul23 Jul08 May25 Apr29 (smith hamil)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00    
OUTLIER Aug30 Aug03 Jul16 Jul08 Jun21 (ginter raymon)ROJAS MARTINA 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
IYWAAN Jul23 Jun28 May20 Apr07 Jan14 (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 126 4.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  OFFALY COOL Sep04 Jul28 Jun26 Jun07 May13 (solis jacinto)ADORNO ABNER 119 5.00    
 
PIM-9   09/15/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:37
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  KOBE'S SMILE Sep01 Aug03 Jul20 Jun24 May27 (boniface kevin)BOYCE FOREST 122 12.00    
SCR  GIRLY THE BUTCHER Sep03 Aug05 Jun30 May29 May13 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 126 1.80    
SCR  DETERMINED LILLY Aug16 Jul13 May24 May04 Dec30 (schoentha)CARRASCO R 122 3.50    
SCR  CALL ME VIVIAN Aug06 Jun23 Nov04 Oct16 Sep10 (merryman ed)CONCEPCION AXEL 117 15.00    
TANKA TOUGH Aug26 Aug18 Jul09 Jun23 May27 (mcdermott sean)RUIZ JORGE 122 10.00    
BROOKLYN GIRL Aug09 Jul05 Jun03 May14 Apr16 (milosevic m)MARQUEZ CHARLIE 122 8.00    
SCR  CUSH EFFECT Aug05 Jul15 Jun25 May27 Jul09 (keefe timothy )ROSADO JOHAN 126 15.00    
OH MRS. MAISEL Mar04 Jan20 Dec03 Nov13 Oct14 (de hora)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
CYNERGY'S ELECTRA Jul22 Jul02 Jun10 May04 Apr15 (cox m)ACOSTA D 122 1.60    
SCR  DOMO ARIGATOU Aug13 Jul16 Jun18 May13 Mar26 (david carlos )TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 6.00    
11  CUMBERLAND FALLS Sep02 Aug05 Jul09 Jun11 May20 (sweezey k)RODRIGUEZ JAMIE 122 2.50 26% 2.80    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.