Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Monmouth Park
Monday - September 04, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MTH-1   WIN (4/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/2)-(4/7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2)-(4/7/5/2)-(4/7/5/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
MTH-2   WIN (5/1/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/9)-(5/1/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/9)-(5/1/9)-(5/1/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-3   WIN (2/4/11/6/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/4/11/6/3)-(2/4/11/6/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (2/4/11/6/3)-(2/4/11/6/3)-(2/4/11/6/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MTH-4   WIN (6/3/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1)-(6/3/5/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-5   WIN (2/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3)-(2/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-6   WIN (5/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/3)-(5/7/3) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (5/3)-(5/7/3)-(5/7/3) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
MTH-7   WIN (6/2/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/4)-(6/2/4)-(6/2/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-8   WIN (2/6/5/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/5/8)-(2/6/5/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/5/8)-(2/6/5/8)-(2/6/5/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
MTH-9   WIN (4/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/8/7)-(4/8/7)-(4/8/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
MTH-10   WIN (6/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/7)-(6/3/7)-(6/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MTH-1   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($15K) Purse ($71.875K) 3UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CASSATION Aug27 Aug06 Jul16 Jun24 May28 (margotta ant)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 4.00    
2  SAND DUNE Jun24 Jun09 Dec28 Oct22 Sep18 (abrams jack)CAMACHO SAMY 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MAGICAL JAIME Aug27 Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 Apr16 (delgado j)RODRIGUEZ A 120 6.00    
4  GROUCH Aug27 Aug06 Jul14 Jun25 Jun10 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 115 3.00 64% 0.60    
5  HELLO POP Aug27 Jul23 Jul16 Jun24 Jun10 (huston ro)VARGAS A 120 4.00 ★    
6  SUNSHINE CHARLIE Jul16 Jun24 Jun03 May21 Oct26 (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
7  HERE COMES BILLY Aug27 Aug06 Jul14 Jun18 Oct21 (nunn douglas)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 ★    
8  DR. DOYLE Aug27 Jul16 Jun16 May21 Oct21 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 120 6.00    
 
MTH-2   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BINOCHE Aug17 Jul28 Jul12 May27 Mar01 (delgado jorg)BATISTA A 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  ELARY Mar01 Jan01 Dec14 Nov04 Aug07 (delgado jorg)LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00    
3  STEPHANIE MY LOVE Aug12 Jul28 Jul09 Jun25 Mar03 (ciamei mat)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 6.00    
4  ANGELIC GAL Aug12 Jul28 May05 Mar11 Feb05 (o'connell kath)COTTO L 117 15.00    
5  BET OF THE CENTURY Aug12 Jul24 Jul04 Jun14 May15 (lucas bonnie)MARIN SAMUEL 120 3.50 35% 1.90    
6  LIL' LATE LUCK Aug13 Jun17 Apr30 Apr14   (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 6.00    
SCR  DANCE STEP Aug19 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 Apr15 (simone micha)ARROYO S 120 5.00    
8  BABY SOX Aug02 Jul02 Jun03 May12 Mar19 (rodriguez rud)OLVER MADISON 110 4.50    
9  THROWBACK Jul08 Jun09 Apr07 Jan20   (camejo jos)RIVERA R 112 10.00 15% 5.80    
 
MTH-3   09/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($55K) 2 F PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MASTER JANE Aug19         (sweezey kent)LUZZI J 117 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of QUEENIE'S SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  BLUE HORSESHOE         (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.00 29% 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of LEMON LIQUEUR by EXCHANGE RATE)
3  SUMMER'S COMIN Aug27 Jul21 Jun30     (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 110 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of EMIRATES GIRL by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
4  UNSEEN Aug19         (camejo jos)RIVERA R 112 6.00 27% 2.70    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of INSIDE OUT by COLONEL JOHN)
5  FACTORBELLA Aug13 Jul15       (wilson tony)MARIN SAMUEL 117 10.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of MARIGLIANELLA by STEPHANOTIS)
6  MARINA VILLAGE Aug05 Jul15       (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 117 4.00 9% 9.90    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of FOUR WISHES by MORE THAN READY)
7  BYRD OF EDEN Aug05 Jul02 Jun16     (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 117 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of MY REDBYRD by ROYAL ACADEMY)
8  FLOGE Aug19         (servis c)RENDON JAIRO 117 15.00    
  (by KLIMT out of HAKA'S SISTER by DECLARATION OF WAR)
9  CHARLUCHE Aug19 Jul29 Jul15     (crowell s)RODRIGUEZ A 117 30.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SCREWGIE by SMART STRIKE)
10  FEELING BEACHY         (sweezey j)VARGAS A 117 15.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of FEELING BOSSY by COURAGEOUS CAT)
11  LACONIA Jul15         (delgado jose)ARROYO S 117 5.00 12% 7.70    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SPA TREATMENT by BERNARDINI)
SCR  IT'S HOT IN HERE (IRE) Aug06         (brown c)RENDON JAIRO 117 2.50    
  (by TOO DARN HOT out of JANICELLAINE by BEAT HOLLOW)
SCR  PROMISE TO APPEAR         (clement c)VARGAS A 117 5.00    
  (by MITOLE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
 
MTH-4   09/04/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($34K) 2 ALL PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DON'T LISTEN         (duarte j)RENDON JAIRO 115 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  ABRAMS         (foglia m)JUAREZ NIK 118 15.00    
3  NEIGH NEIGH NOW         (david car)RODRIGUEZ A 118 3.50 25% 3.00    
4  FIDELIGHTCAYUT Aug13         (avila carl)OLIVERO A 118 6.00    
5  CENTZ         (sacco greg)RIVERA R 113 4.00 18% 4.50    
6  VOLPE Aug26         (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 118 5.00 36% 1.80    
7  BACK BAYOU Jul22         (rodriguez ru)ARROYO S 118 4.50    
8  LORD KNOWS         (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 116 8.00    
9  SHAKE THE GOLD         (farro patric)HERNANDEZ ANDY 118 6.00    
 
MTH-5   09/04/2023 7260ft TURF RC8 FIRM Starter Handicap ($16K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROUGH SEA Jul30 Jun25 May29 May06 Apr19 (wilson faith)MARIN SAMUEL 122 3.00 15% 5.50    
2  BODE'S MAKER Jul30 Jun25 May24 May06 Aug07 (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 2.00 53% 0.90    
3  FATIMA'S BLESSING Aug17 Jul30 May19 Apr13 Mar25 (dini mike)CAMACHO SAMY 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  SUMMER SILENCE Aug18 Jul21 Jun24 May18 Oct15 (voss elizabeth)JUAREZ NIK 116 20.00    
5  SIX MINUS Jul30 Apr27 Feb03 Jan01 Oct29 (pletcher todd )RENDON JAIRO 118 3.50 7% 13.40    
6  BEE MAJOR Aug10 Jul08 Jul27     (de horacio)CENTENO E 117 30.00    
7  FOOD BANK HELPER Jul30 Jul08 May28 Apr28 Mar22 (mcburney patri)LUZZI J 116 30.00    
8  JIMMY DAN Jul21 Jun18 May29 Mar31 Mar15 (schultz l)VARGAS A 117 6.00    
9  READY TO FLY Jul30 Jul21 Jun25 May29 May14 (mcburn)MARAGH RAMSAY 117 8.00    
 
MTH-6   09/04/2023 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Charles Hesse III Purse ($125K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LEMON CREEK LOUIE Aug27 Jul23 Jul16 May29 Nov21 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 117 10.00    
  (by BEAUTYINTHEPULPIT out of SWIMMER by ROCK SLIDE)
2  AMATTEROFTIME Aug27 Jul23 Jun17 Jun11 May21 (ramirez silv)LOPEZ PASCACIO 119 4.00    
  (by ESKENDEREYA out of VICTORY POOL by VICTORY GALLOP)
3  LAST ROMANCE Aug05 Jun11 May21 Sep17 Aug28 (lynch cat)CRISPIN ALEXANDER 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FAKE ROMANCE by NOT FOR LOVE)
4  POGI Aug27 Aug12 Jun16 May21 Oct15 (falcone ro)RIVERA R 116 5.00    
  (by DAAHER out of MURPHY STYLE by TOMORROWS CAT)
5  SMITHWICK'S SPICE Aug23 Jul30 Jul09 Jun09 Jan21 (nunn douglas)CENTENO E 120 2.50 68% 0.50    
  (by FROST GIANT out of SPICY MCHAGGIS by GOOD AND TOUGH)
6  IRISH BOOLUM Jul09 Jun11 Mar01 Jan15 Nov26 (lynch cathal)ARROYO S 119 3.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of IRISH SCORE by EVEN THE SCORE)
7  GREAT NAVIGATOR Jul23 Jun16 May14 Apr15 Mar16 (owens jr)RENDON JAIRO 116 3.50 ★    
  (by SEA WIZARD out of ALL EVEN by STEPHEN GOT EVEN)
 
MTH-7   09/04/2023 5280ft TURF RC11 FIRM Red Bank Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DOUBLE CROWN Aug25 Aug13 Jul23 Jun17 May29 (ginter raymond)RENDON JAIRO 120 12.00    
  (by BOURBON COURAGE out of TWO COLUMBUS by TWO PUNCH)
2  PRINCIPLED STAND (GB) Dec22 Jul21 Jun23 May13   (brown c)CAMACHO SAMY 118 3.00 19% 4.20    
  (by KINGMAN (GB) out of TOUJOURS L'AMOUR by AUTHORIZED)
3  MEGACITY Jul28 Jul07 May04 Mar31 Feb26 (rodriguez dari)MARIN SAMUEL 118 10.00    
  (by CITY ZIP out of COZY GAIN by COZZENE)
4  BELGRANO Jul22 Jun18 Mar18 Feb11 Dec24 (russo fra)VARGAS A 118 8.00 16% 5.30    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ASK THE MOON by MALIBU MOON)
5  WICKED FINN Aug11 Jul14 May24 Apr22 Apr02 (kelly blake)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
  (by WICKED STRONG out of LIMERICK by BLACK MINNALOUSHE)
6  THERE ARE NO WORDS Aug13 Jul09 May27 Sep11 Aug20 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 118 2.50 27% 2.70    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of WAY WITH WORDS by SEFAPIANO)
7  ST ANTHONY Jul28 Jul04 May11 Dec03 Nov11 (drysdale nei)LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 2.00    
  (by NOBLE MISSION out of AMNESIA by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
 
MTH-8   09/04/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:59
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OSCAR GAZE Jul14 Jun25 May14 Apr29 Apr15 (dini mike)MARIN SAMUEL 117 15.00    
2  THREE CARATS Aug06 Jul21 Sep17     (ward dan)RIVERA R 115 3.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  JET SET JULIET May21 Apr29 Feb25 Jan28 Oct22 (arriaga anto)ARROYO S 119 6.00    
4  SISTREN Aug25 Jul08 Jun25 May27 Apr29 (gonzal)ROJAS EDUARDO 117 8.00    
5  GUARDIAN ANGEL Jul09 Jun16 Apr29 Feb22 Jan18 (david carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 5.00 18% 4.70    
6  KILMALEY Aug03 Jul08 May31     (pino michae)VASQUEZ WILFRED 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
7  SHINY SLAM Jul29 Jul08 Jun24 May27 Jan03 (gonzalez claud)TORRES JOMAR 117 5.00    
8  ONE TOUGH DAME Jul29 Jul08 Jun18 May03 Apr01 (plaza alb)VARGAS A 118 5.00 12% 7.20    
9  BELMAR SUMMER Aug20 Jul28 Jul09 Jun18 May20 (camejo m)OLVER MADISON 110 8.00    
 
MTH-9   09/04/2023 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($57.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WORLD TRAVELER Aug16 Jul28 Jul02 Jun09 May27 (sacco greg)RIVERA R 115 6.00    
2  TAPESTRY COLORS Aug20 Jul02 Aug20     (crook-demasi kat)JUAREZ NIK 115 6.00    
SCR  MISS DOMINA Aug19 Aug06 Jul19 May19 Mar26 (weaver ge)VARGAS A 124 5.00    
4  MISS SAKAMOTO Aug20 Jul28 Jun04 Mar15 Feb15 (sweezey kent)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
5  QUEEN KARIMA Jul28 Jun17 May12 Apr02 Jan27 (perez carlos)LOPEZ PASCACIO 115 6.00    
6  EXPLOSIVE EXCHANGE Aug16 Jul28 Jul14 Jun04 May20 (dini mike)FERRER C 117 8.00    
7  VINGATIVA Aug05         (o'connell kath)CAMACHO SAMY 119 10.00 8% 10.90    
8  FREE TO ROAM Aug20 Jul02 Jun03 Mar30 Feb15 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 108 4.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  CANDY MONET Jul08 Jun17 Aug12 Jul08 Jun05 (persaud ed)MITCHELL RICHARD 120 15.00    
SCR  PARISIAN VIBE Aug11 Jun30 Jun24 Jun09 May27 (sacco gregory )MARIN SAMUEL 120 12.00    
 
MTH-10   09/04/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WELCOMETOMYWORLD Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 Jun17 May18 (david carlos )OLVER MADISON 113 4.00    
2  SMART RED Jul15 Jun30 Jun02 Oct07 Sep02 (captan bassam)PARISH R 121 15.00    
3  MO TOWN ANNIE Aug11 Jul21 Jul08 Jun25 Jun17 (wilson tony)CAMACHO SAMY 117 3.50 5% 19.00    
SCR  ACCEL ROSE Aug18 Jul21 Jun17 May18 Apr20 (atras rob)RENDON JAIRO 120 3.50 21% 3.70    
5  BALI HAI Jan15 Dec29 Nov12 Oct21   (gonzalez c)ROWLAND MADELINE 117 6.00    
6  SAVE GRACE Jul30 Jun17 May21 Mar18 Feb24 (maker michae)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 3.00 50% 1.00    
7  GUN OF GOLD Aug12 Jul28 Dec16 Oct21 Sep23 (ward dan)RIVERA R 112 10.00 5% 19.00    
8  ZIPPY ZINNY Aug18 Jul30 Jul09 Jun25 Jun17 (dini mike)IORIO MELISSA 113 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.