Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - September 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (4/10/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/10/7/3)-(4/10/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/10/7/3)-(4/10/7/3)-(4/10/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/10/7/3)-(1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (4/10/7/3)-(1/4)-(5) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
BTP-2   WIN (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/4)-(1/4) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (1/4)-(5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
BTP-3   WIN (5) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (5)-(2/1/5)-(3/10/4/11/9) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
BTP-4   WIN (2/1/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/1/5)-(2/1/5)-(2/1/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (2/1/5)-(3/10/4/11/9)-(3/1) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-5   WIN (3/10/4/11/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/4/11/9)-(3/10/4/11/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/4/11/9)-(3/10/4/11/9)-(3/10/4/11/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    PK3 (3/10/4/11/9)-(3/1)-(5/1/4) 30 $0.50 $15.00 
BTP-6   WIN (3/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (3/1)-(3/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (3/1)-(5/1/4)-(7/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-7   WIN (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/1/4)-(5/1/4)-(5/1/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/1/4)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
BTP-8   WIN (7/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3)-(7/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   09/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT-12:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ENDLESS Aug19 Aug02 Jul13 Jul06 Jun10 (adams l)HESS SARA 116 12.00    
SCR  DEISE DELIGHT (IRE) Aug14 Jul10 Jun10 May23 Apr21 (lyster stephen)REYES R 121 10.00    
SILVER SEA Aug26 Mar09 Feb15 Jan26 Jan11 (esquivel )CORREA L 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
CARIBBEAN NIGHT Aug19 Jul22 Jan04 Dec08 Oct13 (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 2.50 45% 1.20    
CELESTIAL SPIN Jul30 Jun04 May18 Apr27 Jan20 (cristel mark)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
CONNECTTHECAUSEWAY Aug19 Aug05 Jun15 May31 May06 (helmbrecht wi)LEBRON VICTOR 121 5.00    
RIBALDRY (IRE) Aug17 Jul06 Jun08 May09 Feb22 (van thoma)COLON H 121 3.50 8% 11.30    
MAMBO KITTEN Aug19 Jul06 Jun15 May27 May06 (andrade hug)MIRANDA ROGELIO 121 6.00    
HONEYBELL Aug22 Aug10 Jul26 Jul08 Jun15 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 116 15.00    
10  GRAN CHEMIN Aug19 Jul26 Jun24 May31 May19 (cline c)OUZTS W 121 4.50 21% 3.80    
 
BTP-2   09/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT-12:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CAROM Aug17 Aug01 Jul08 Jun21 May27 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 124 2.00 47% 1.10    
ZERO TO ONEHUNDRED Jul13 Jun08 May27 May13 Apr29 (howard d)REYES R 124 3.50    
SAVING MAMA Jun08 May25 Feb04 Jan18 Jan07 (morelos ma)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 124 4.50    
BRODYTHEOXMAN Aug19 Aug10 Jul26 Jul01 Oct11 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 124 3.00 26% 2.90    
BIG BOSS MAN Aug17 Aug05 Jul21 Jun10 May18 (mcvickers lam)PANAIJO JORGE 124 4.00    
 
BTP-3   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FUNNY CHIC Aug19 Aug04 Sep20     (chain pearl)PANAIJO JORGE 121 6.00    
SCR  CREATIVE WHIT Aug19 Aug05 May27 May11 Oct06 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.50    
WILL VIRGINIA DARE Aug10 Jul21 Apr06 Feb01 Jan05 (decker anna)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 121 4.00    
LITTLE MIAMI Aug11         (langemeie)CORREA L 121 5.00    
AWESOME MARINA Aug19 Aug04 Jul08 Apr08 Mar22 (ramos rafael)REYES R 121 3.50 46% 1.20    
SCR  SHADY DAISY Aug19 Aug05 Jun29 Jun16 May22 (hamm timothy)LEBRON VICTOR 121 2.50    
 
BTP-4   09/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($9.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAHEZ Jul19 Jun03 May20 Mar23 Mar11 (fernandez edw)PANAIJO JORGE 122 4.50 17% 4.80    
COMMANDER COMPTON Nov10 Oct02 Sep03 Aug12 Jun11 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 6.00 29% 2.40    
VAMOS ANTONIO Jul19 Jun21 Jun07 May24 Oct06 (march william)HESS SARA 117 5.00    
VAMONOS Aug15 Jul25 Jul10 Jun12 Feb14 (kinmon keith)BECKMAN ALICE 116 3.00    
FAST ROY Aug09 Jul27 Jul13 Jun24 Feb03 (short thomas)CANUTO THIAGO 122 2.50 16% 5.40    
FROOME (IRE) Aug19 Aug12 Aug02 Jul13 Jan11 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 3.50    
 
BTP-5   09/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOM GERVASIO Aug17 Jul24 May25 Apr16 Mar24 (engler jeff)REYES R 122 8.00    
COUSIN ODELL Aug12 Aug03 Jul20 Jul01 Jun22 (ramos franc)LAGUNES GABRIEL 119 12.00    
ELIZA'S HONOR Jul22 Jun16 May13 Mar17 Feb14 (cowans d)NAVAS YOEL 114 3.50 36% 1.80    
KICK ROCKS KID Aug17 Aug03 Jul13 Jun23 Jun03 (adams nancy )MARCANO Y 117 6.00 9% 10.00    
LEMONADEATTHELATCH Aug17 Aug03 Jul20 Jun23 Jun16 (mendieta a)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 122 20.00    
YES POINT Aug04 May25 Apr29 Jan19 Jan05 (mckeever andrew)MCKEE J 121 8.00    
MR. CUNNINGHAM Jun15 May08 Apr27 Apr12 Mar30 (meredith ch)MIRANDA ROGELIO 122 12.00    
MORE CHANCES Aug03 Apr22 Apr06 Mar16 Feb25 (roque elis)CANUTO THIAGO 122 12.00    
SOME R BLESSED Aug17 Aug02 Jul21 Mar23 Aug19 (corrigan )CORREA L 122 4.50 8% 11.40    
10  BIG HELLO Aug03 Jul19 Jun09 Dec07 Nov13 (meah anna )VILLARREAL OSCAR 117 2.50 10% 9.40    
11  SILVESTRE Jul14 Jun14 May11 Apr16 Jan28 (cambray igna)CRUZ JUAN 122 5.00 8% 11.30    
 
BTP-6   09/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELLE OF ST. JOHN Aug15 Jul21 Jul01 Jun16 May26 (andrade h)CORREA L 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
PELLETIER Aug20 Jul21 Jul07 Jun22 Jun08 (hernandez ja)MARCANO Y 115 4.50    
MEMPHIS CASH QUEEN Aug05 Jul23 Jul13 Jun30 Jun08 (faircloth av)CALLEJA ANDRES 115 1.60 44% 1.30    
AUNT RUTH Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 Jun10 May25 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 4.00    
MORNING LINE NEWS Aug15 Jul27 Jul01 Jun22 Jun01 (hernandez javi)REYES R 120 5.00    
 
BTP-7   09/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EMPEROR'S GOLD Aug10 Jul26 Jul21 Dec13 Nov28 (lopez carlos )CANUTO THIAGO 124 5.00 25% 3.00    
TOMAHAWK KITTEN Aug18 Aug01 Jul13 Jul01 Mar24 (jarvis ka)CORREA L 124 6.00    
CAPPY HOUR Aug12 Aug04 Jul07 Jun21 May27 (adams l)HESS SARA 119 4.50    
FULCO Aug10 Jul27 Jul08 Jun17 May18 (esquivel jes)MARCANO Y 119 4.00 17% 4.70    
MIDNIGHT BLUE NOTE Aug09 Jul11 Jun21 May28 Apr16 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 124 3.50 31% 2.20    
BAKER'S MAN Aug19 Aug05 Jul19 Jun30 May31 (lauer michael)MCKEE J 124 12.00    
FEELING IT Aug10 Jul21 Jun29 May27 May05 (sherman j)SHERMAN ALEXANDRA 119 2.50    
 
BTP-8   09/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($16K) Purse ($17.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ON PALM SUNDAY Aug17 Aug03 Jun22 Nov06 Oct09 (corrigan jim)OUZTS W 120 6.00    
P K WOOD Aug05 Jul14 Jun23 Jun07 May04 (esquivel )CORREA L 120 4.50 13% 6.90    
SMOKEY LEE Aug11 Jul16 May31 Apr19 Mar31 (cundiff wayl)MARCANO Y 115 5.00 7% 14.30    
FIXITWITHFORWARD Aug20 Jul07 May26 Apr08 Jan28 (cook k)CANUTO THIAGO 117 10.00    
MAGNA RULER Aug20 Jul31 Jul11 May25 May12 (ramos juan)VILLARREAL OSCAR 115 8.00    
BOISE Jun04 May19 May04 Feb24 Jan28 (habeeb donald)LEBRON VICTOR 120 8.00 18% 4.40    
DRIFTWOOD Aug11 Jul27 Jun09 May17 Mar31 (kordenbrock)LAGUNES GABRIEL 120 3.50 36% 1.80    
BASTIEN LE BROWN Aug12 Aug02 Jul19 Jul01 Jun22 (donjuan sergio)COLON H 120 8.00    
ROGUE ELEMENT Aug11 Jul20 Jun24 Jun02 Apr23 (hiles a)MCKEE J 120 2.50    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.