Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Penn National
Friday - August 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
PEN-1   WIN (7/5/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3)-(7/5/1/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/5/1/3)-(6/8/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (7/5/1/3)-(6/8/7)-(8/4/5/9) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
PEN-2   WIN (6/8/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/8/7)-(6/8/4/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/8/7)-(6/8/4/7)-(6/8/4/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/8/7)-(8/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/8/7)-(8/4/5/9)-(7/3/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-3   WIN (8/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/5/9)-(8/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/5/9)-(8/4/5/9)-(8/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/5/9)-(7/3/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/5/9)-(7/3/6)-(6/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-4   WIN (7/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3/6)-(7/3/6)-(7/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/3/6)-(6/4/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/3/6)-(6/4/2)-(10/2/8/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-5   WIN (6/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/2)-(6/4/2)-(6/4/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/2)-(10/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/4/2)-(10/2/8/3)-(4/1/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
PEN-6   WIN (10/2/8/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/8/3)-(10/2/8/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/8/3)-(10/2/8/3)-(10/2/8/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/8/3)-(4/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
PEN-7   WIN (4/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/6)-(4/1/6)-(4/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
PEN-1   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HOT FUDGE WARRIOR Aug03 Jul07 Jun20 May24 Apr20 (beattie m)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 11% 8.20    
2  BOWTOTHEQUEEN Aug03 Nov29 Nov02 Oct12 Sep27 (stites w)CONNER TYLER 120 10.00    
3  RAINBOW TROUT Jul16 Jun02 Mar27 Feb28 Feb08 (lucas bonnie)BEATO INOEL 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  I CAME TO DANCE Aug16 Jul18 Jun28 Jun01 May24 (zalalas mic)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 15.00    
5  MORGANS COVE Jul28 Jul07 Jun22 Mar10 Feb23 (geist w)FLORES E 118 5.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  MORE RANSOM Jun09 May24 May10 Mar22 Feb17 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 120 6.00    
7  TOURING MARYANNE Aug03 Jul03 Jun06 Apr03 Mar21 (moore michae)HERNANDEZ ANDY 120 2.50 41% 1.40    
8  COULD BE A COUGAR Jun22 Apr20 Mar10     (salvaggio)HERNANDEZ A 118 3.50    
 
PEN-2   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Aug08 Jul26 Jul15 Jun28 May19 (borges isra)INIRIO J 122 20.00    
SCR  PURPLE SHIRT Aug08 Jul26 Jul13 Jun22 Jun15 (harigeorgiou ko)RUIZ ELISEO 115 50.00    
3  PUTTHEGLASSDOWN Aug04 Jul24 Jun28 Jun14 Jun06 (moreno ti)HERNANDEZ A 122 6.00    
4  NICE WEATHER Aug10 Jul20 Jul06 Jun15 May31 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 122 4.50 ★    
SCR  I SEE THE STARS Jul20 Jun30 May17 Apr28 Mar30 (graci a)AGUILAR M 122 3.50    
6  BEYOND THE BEND Aug08 Jul20 Jun30 Jun09 May12 (graci kimberly)CONNER TYLER 122 2.50 38% 1.70    
7  FEDERAL CASE Aug08 Jul26 Jul12 Jun21 May17 (kravets m)BEATO INOEL 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR. PETE Jul20 Jul12 Jun15 May27 May13 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.00 37% 1.70    
 
PEN-3   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BUFF AND SHINE Aug04 Jul20 Jul06 Jun14 May17 (salina)SMITH DANIEL 114 5.00    
2  SCYNTZ Aug04 Jul06 Jun20 May04 Mar08 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 20.00    
SCR  SYNONYM Jul27 Jul13 Jun21 Jun02 Apr28 (ferreira fernando)CORA D 118 8.00    
4  LIONESQUE Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 Jun01 (cooper stacey)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00 22% 3.50    
5  COUSIN BOB Jun29 Jun15 May17 Apr26 Apr13 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 10.00 21% 3.70    
6  ABHAR Jul19 Jul06 Jun20 May19 Mar08 (bobadilla)VARGAS L 122 4.50    
7  MISCHIEVOUS JONES Jul05 Jun20 Mar29 Mar22 Mar15 (farro patricia)RUIZ ELISEO 113 3.50    
8  BEAST OR FAMINE Aug04 Jul06 Jun01 May10 Jan28 (graci kimber)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 3.00 27% 2.70    
9  ECLIPTICALS BEAR Jul19 Jul06 Jun16 May18 Apr28 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-4   08/25/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 GOOD Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27.1K) 2 ALL PT- 5:28
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FREE DROP BACH         (dunham berna)TROTMAN KEIMAR 118 12.00    
  (by FREE DROP BILLY out of GOLDEN HEART CITY by FAIRBANKS)
2  REBEL WARRIOR Aug02         (rathman eli)CARRASCO CARLOS 118 10.00    
  (by WARRIOR'S REWARD out of HARBOUR NEWS by ROCKPORT HARBOR)
3  POINT PELEE         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 118 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by GREAT NOTION out of CHANCE DANCE by AMERICAN CHANCE)
4  MUSIC BOX DANCER Aug02         (houghton thomas)CORA D 118 8.00    
  (by PEACE AND JUSTICE out of SILHOUTTE ISLAND by PATTON)
5  POLIE Aug09         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 118 10.00    
  (by NORMANDY INVASION out of REBEL ROSE by SWORD DANCE (IRE))
6  PENTATONIC         (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 118 2.50 11% 8.00    
  (by WEIGELIA out of HARMONIC MISS by SUBORDINATION)
7  SISYPHUS Aug02         (rose j)CULLUM W 118 2.00 47% 1.10    
  (by WEST COAST out of BACK ROAD BELLAMY by BELLAMY ROAD)
 
PEN-5   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($5K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  UNCAPTURED GRACE Jul26 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Apr27 (lingenfelter thom)BAKER J 122 4.50 32% 2.10    
2  SANTAFE EXPRESS Aug04 Jul21 Jul09 Jun30 Jun02 (lucas bonnie)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  MACRELLETTA Aug16 May29 May15 Dec07 Oct25 (montford lesl)TUNON JORDANO 122 15.00    
4  LADYNESS Aug10 Jul26 Jul06 Apr30 Apr12 (graci a)AGUILAR M 120 3.50 10% 8.70    
5  IOANNA Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 Jun15 Mar31 (sinnefia pauli)CONNER TYLER 120 8.00    
6  MRS BELL Aug04 Jul14 Jun22 May12 Apr30 (lucas bonni)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 2.50 26% 2.90    
7  MASKED HEROINE Aug10 Jul12 Jun29 Jun14 Feb09 (martinez jose)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 3.00    
 
PEN-6   08/25/2023 3300ft TURF RC4 YIELDING Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEMPTRESS CALLING Aug04 Jul19 Jul06 Jun17 Jun04 (kravets m)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
2  WISE CHOICE Jul19 Jun16 May25 May11   (salvaggio mark)CONNER TYLER 122 4.00 19% 4.40    
3  OLIVIA DEE Aug03         (martin char)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ARTIE'S PROSPECT Jul19 Jun24       (kelly blake)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 15.00    
SCR  MY HUNNY BUNNY Aug04 Jul10 Jun20 May30   (pattershall ma)ADORNO ABNER 122 4.50    
SCR  PROVIDING Jul19 Aug13 Jul14 Jun02   (gorham michael )MENA E 122 12.00    
SCR  ELLYMARIE Aug05 Jul15 Jun17 May27   (synnefias pana)TORRES JOMAR 122 15.00    
8  HOPE SHE COMES Jul26 Jun12 May22 Oct18 Sep29 (morrell justin )BEATO INOEL 122 6.00 6% 14.90    
9  PRINCESS WIGGY Aug04 Jul21 Jul06     (fenimore elbert)RODRIGUEZ E 122 12.00    
10  TWO SIDES OF LOVE Aug04 Jul07 Jun12 May19   (crook-dem)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  A J'S TOWN         (beattie todd )DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 6.00 16% 5.30    
SCR  CHANTILLY MOON (PER) Jul27 Jun24 May27 May06 Apr27 (brown a)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 10.00    
 
PEN-7   08/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 GOOD Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SASSY MARTINI Aug16 Aug09 Jul21 Jul05 Jun22 (beattie san)INIRIO J 122 3.00 16% 5.10    
2  ONE TOUGH ROSE Aug04 Jul05 May31 May12 Apr27 (beattie c)HERNANDEZ A 122 4.00    
SCR  FIVE DAYS IN MAY Aug03 Jul05 Jun14 May17 May04 (beattie c)RODRIGUEZ R 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
4  SEAMIALAUGH Jul17 Jun20 May02 Apr19 Mar20 (santaella-calde)RUIZ ELISEO 115 2.50 44% 1.30    
5  MISS ALEX Aug03 Jul17 Jun26 Jun09 May23 (chacon gustavo)CHIAPPE R 122 6.00    
6  RISQUE'S JEWEL Jul26 Jul19 Jun18 May16 Apr24 (rodriguez mi)HADDOCK DEXTER 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.