Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Belterra Park
Saturday - July 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

BTP-1   WIN (6/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/2/5)-(6/2/5)-(6/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/2/5)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5)-(5/1/4/2)-(4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-2   WIN (5/1/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2)-(5/1/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/1/4/2)-(4/5)-(3/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-3   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/4/5)-(9/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
BTP-4   WIN (3/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/5)-(3/4/5)-(3/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/4/5)-(9/6/2/4)-(4/3/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
BTP-5   WIN (9/6/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/6/2/4)-(9/6/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/6/2/4)-(9/6/2/4)-(9/6/2/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    PK3 (9/6/2/4)-(4/3/6)-(7/12/11/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
BTP-6   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(7/12/11/2/9)-(5/8/4/2/6) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
BTP-7   WIN (7/12/11/2/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/12/11/2/9)-(7/12/11/2/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/12/11/2/9)-(7/12/11/2/9)-(7/12/11/2/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/12/11/2/9)-(5/8/4/2/6) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
BTP-8   WIN (5/8/4/2/6) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/4/2/6)-(5/8/4/2/6) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/4/2/6)-(5/8/4/2/6)-(5/8/4/2/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
BTP-1   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($27.1K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEDIA DARLING May05 Apr06 Feb16 Dec30 Dec19 (gorostieta )LAGUNES GABRIEL 116 1.80 42% 1.40    
MUSTANG WILLIE Jun22 May15 Dec12 Nov22 Oct29 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
OL' NED Jun21 Jun07 May17 Nov10 Aug16 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 121 6.00    
RAVEN MOON Jun02 Oct29 Aug13 Jun02 May24 (hobson doug)CANUTO THIAGO 121 5.00    
WILLIE JONES May11 Jan05 Dec06 Sep27 Sep01 (greenhill jeff)OUZTS W 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
CHIEF BUCKEYE May17 Jun03 May06     (drury jr)MCKEE J 121 3.00 32% 2.10    
BLAZING BURROUGHS Jun24 May26 Oct24 Sep28 Aug24 (dillion jimmy)REYES R 121 4.50    
 
BTP-2   07/08/2023 5610ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YA BEAUTY (GB) May06 Mar15 Dec04 Oct27 Aug20 (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50    
1A  CASCADE PARK May09 Mar02 Dec22 Sep28 Sep06 (reed r)JIMENEZ ALBIN 120 4.50 16% 5.20    
DANCE THE DAY AWAY Jun21 May24 Feb23 Feb10 Jan04 (decker anna)MOJICA JR 120 12.00 12% 7.10    
AUNT RUTH Jun10 May25 May06 Mar18 Feb04 (riley barbara)OUZTS W 120 8.00    
ALMADRINA (GB) Jun15 May25 May06 Mar09 Feb16 (west ethan )LAGUNES GABRIEL 122 4.00 16% 5.30    
BRITTLE AND YOO Jun13 May04 Apr07 Feb17 Jan18 (hess b)MCKEE J 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
ADDISON Jun22 May25 May12 May02 Mar11 (evans michae)ARAGON ROLANDO 120 12.00    
BACKYARD HEN Jun10 Mar24 Aug18 Aug02 Jul12 (shifflett che)CANUTO THIAGO 120 12.00    
SCR  KICK OUT THE JAMS Jun10 May19 Mar15 Feb15 Jan05 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 122 3.00    
 
BTP-3   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($9K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YOU'RE A DANDY Jun29 Jun10 May27 May11 Apr27 (ramos franci)TAPARA BRANDON 120 2.00    
LA CHAPEAU Apr27 Feb05 Jan06 Dec15 Nov17 (esquivel )CORREA L 125 3.00    
SCR  VIVI BRASS Jun29 Jun16 May27 May08 Apr25 (calderon en)JIMENEZ J 120 4.00    
FABULOUS PHILLY Jun10 May27 May12 Mar29 Apr29 (tomlinson e)BUSH V 125 3.50 50% 1.00    
AWESOME MARINA Apr08 Mar22 Jan04 Dec10 Nov20 (ramos rafael)GOMEZ AGUSTIN 120 4.50 10% 9.00    
 
BTP-4   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($17.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
NANA ROZE Jun23 Jun08 May25 May06 Apr27 (morelos m)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 123 4.50    
JUST ZOEY Jun22 Oct05 Sep22 Aug30 Aug24 (lowry kathleen)MCKEE J 123 3.50    
TALE OF THE LYON Jun05 May24 May06 Oct25 Oct04 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 123 2.50 53% 0.90    
SHADY BABY Jun23 Mar08 Feb13 Jan24 Jan04 (skeens jeremy)CANUTO THIAGO 123 1.80 20% 3.90    
ZACHS GOLDEN OLDIE Jun23 May18 Sep27 Sep09 Aug24 (hernandez d)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
BTP-5   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
EIDA'S STORM Jun22 Jun07 May17 May05 Apr27 (aguirre r)HESS SARA 115 20.00    
GENERAL GINNY Jun15 Jun03 May24 Apr28 Jan20 (dillion jimm)TAPARA BRANDON 120 4.50 12% 7.00    
LIVE IT UP Jun21 May27 May17 Apr28 Feb06 (shifflett cheryl)MCKEE J 120 6.00    
KNELCOCK Jun08 May12 May04 Apr19 Mar18 (quezada ino)JIMENEZ J 120 20.00 9% 10.80    
SCR  EMBARRASSING Jun21 Jun04 Nov20 Oct08 Sep24 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 120 5.00    
MIDNIGHT FROST Jun22 Jun07 Feb23 Feb02 Jan19 (estvanko)MARTINEZ LUIS 120 3.50 21% 3.80    
WARIS Jun21 May25 May04 Mar24 Feb22 (beck rowena)MOJICA JR 120 10.00    
SCR  DAIGLE Jun13 Feb02 Jan20 Dec30 Dec17 (andrade hugo)CANUTO THIAGO 120 10.00    
FORGLO Jun22 Jun08 May17 May05 Apr19 (fletcher )CORREA L 120 2.50 33% 2.10    
 
BTP-6   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($18K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LUCKY TUESDAY Nov30 Nov14 Oct26 Oct19 Sep16 (zircher rob)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
KNOT WILD May05 Feb14 Jan21 Jan07 Dec11 (sandy stephe)MARCANO Y 116 10.00    
HONEYBELL Jun15 May31 May19 Apr28 Apr03 (donjuan sergi)CANUTO THIAGO 116 5.00 21% 3.70    
CAMI CAT Jun21 Jun03 Apr27 Mar30 Mar11 (claire alexis)MCKEE J 121 2.50 42% 1.40    
MISS FOXANN Jun14 May31 May18 Aug19 Jul02 (chavez manue)CRUZ JUAN 121 6.00    
ROLLESTON May19 May04 Feb24 Dec30 Dec15 (smith larry)OUZTS W 121 3.00 15% 5.70    
ROCK THE NILE Jun21 May13 May05 Apr07 Mar02 (enni)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 116 4.50    
 
BTP-7   07/08/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WHERE'D THE DAY GO Jun21 Jun14 May21 May07 Apr13 (rodriguez hugo)COLON H 121 15.00    
CAROM Jun21 May27 May06 Apr19 Apr01 (anderson susa)LEBRON VICTOR 121 6.00 13% 6.90    
AUTHORITARIAN Jun03 May25 Feb25 Feb04 Dec30 (vosler eugen)WISEMAN ISAIAH 121 10.00    
DOWN HOME KITTEN Jun17 May25 May04 Mar24 Mar04 (anderson )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 121 12.00    
VASILEVSKIY (IRE) Jun08 May19 Apr27 Mar15 Feb11 (bahena isma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 121 20.00    
HOLIDAY DANCER Jun03 Apr29 Dec14 Dec06 Nov27 (march william)HESS SARA 116 20.00    
PAYNTED Jun17 May31 Dec28 Nov02 Oct11 (cannon steve)OUZTS W 121 4.50 27% 2.70    
FULCO Jun17 May18 May08 Mar18 Feb09 (esquivel )CORREA L 121 8.00    
EL CHEAPO Jun17 Mar24 Mar04 Feb18 Feb04 (jarvis kathy)ARAGON ROLANDO 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ESTILO PELIGROSO Jun09 May20 Mar23 Feb22 Jan27 (kordenbrock m)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 12.00    
11  TOE TAPPIN LUKE Jun15 May25 May08 Mar30 Mar11 (hernandez deb)CANUTO THIAGO 121 2.50 17% 4.90    
12  HEMP HEMP HURRAY Jun09 May18 Apr01 Mar14 Feb09 (cline robert)TAPARA BRANDON 121 3.50 17% 4.80    
13  SILENT CHAOS Jun23 May12 May06 Mar24 Feb23 (figueroa ces)MARCANO Y 116 8.00    
 
BTP-8   07/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($16.2K) 3 F PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YANIRA Jun17 May20 Sep03     (lynch a)MCKEE J 123 4.50    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of BOAT'S GHOST by SILVER GHOST)
KINGMAKING (GB) Jun29 Jun10 May22 May06 Apr19 (chavez manue)CRUZ JUAN 123 8.00 8% 11.00    
  (by UNKNOWN out of LA DOROTEA by LOPE DE VEGA (IRE))
SAD CAFE         (drury thoma)LAGUNES GABRIEL 123 5.00    
  (by FLATTER out of TIZ TWICE by TIZNOW)
MAMBA OUT Jun18 May02       (hill f)COLON H 123 2.50 9% 10.40    
  (by MOR SPIRIT out of INNYMINNIEMINEYMOE by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
ANN KOR Dec22 Dec07       (waltz brian)MOJICA JR 123 6.00 39% 1.60    
  (by ANCHOR DOWN out of WINTER FESTIVAL by BODEMEISTER)
DELANEY'S GRACE Jun08 May19 Apr21     (howard d)BUSH V 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by ACCELERATE out of WHENISLIFEAHOLIDAY by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
HOP SNIP ANDA JUMP Jun23 Mar15       (hale jr)CANUTO THIAGO 123 20.00    
  (by LEA out of HOP THE SIX by ARTIE SCHILLER)
DIVINE GRACE Jun07 May12 Jan24 Dec11 Nov12 (ewing michael)JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by MUNNINGS out of CONSECRATE by SILVER CHARM)
CHIP'S LLITTLE SIS         (hernandez re)MARCANO Y 118 6.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of THERE IS NO LIMIT by JOHANNESBURG)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.