Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Louisiana Downs
Saturday - June 17, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
LAD-1   WIN (6/1/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5)-(6/1/4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/1/4/5)-(6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/1/4/5)-(6/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
LAD-2   WIN (6/5/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/5/3)-(6/5/3)-(6/5/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(4/1/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
LAD-3   WIN (8/1/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3)-(8/1/5/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/5/3)-(4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/1/5/3)-(4/1/3)-(3/4/7/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-4   WIN (4/1/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/1/3)-(4/1/3)-(4/1/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/1/3)-(3/4/7/11/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/1/3)-(3/4/7/11/8)-(4/5/7/2/1) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-5   WIN (3/4/7/11/8) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/4/7/11/8)-(3/4/7/11/8) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/4/7/11/8)-(3/4/7/11/8)-(3/4/7/11/8) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/4/7/11/8)-(4/5/7/2/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/4/7/11/8)-(4/5/7/2/1)-(7/5/4) 75 $0.50 $37.50 
LAD-6   WIN (4/5/7/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/7/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/7/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/1)-(4/5/7/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/7/2/1)-(7/5/4) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/5/7/2/1)-(7/5/4)-(8/9/7/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
LAD-7   WIN (7/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/4)-(7/5/4)-(7/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/4)-(8/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
LAD-8   WIN (8/9/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/9/7/6)-(8/9/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/9/7/6)-(8/9/7/6)-(8/9/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
LAD-1   06/17/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:05
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROSALIE'S DESTINY May30 May13 Apr30 Mar03 Feb18 (gonzalez jaime)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00 29% 2.40    
2  BISTINEAU BELLE May20 May07 Apr07 Feb23 Jan28 (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 121 3.50    
3  LEXINGTON DIAMOND Apr28 Nov20 Nov02     (gibson)GUERRERO ANDRES 119 3.00    
4  DR. WOODS MIRACLE May27 Apr22 Mar30 Mar16 Mar03 (hornsby )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 10.00 9% 10.60    
5  DANCING TRICK May30 May13 Feb28 Feb10 Dec22 (ward ronnie)MEDELLIN ERICK 111 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  OLD SCHOOL FLASH May21 Apr30 Mar30 Mar19 Feb24 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 2.50 38% 1.60    
7  SENSING GOLD May20 May07 Apr19 Feb10 Jan11 (vincent jar)BALTHAZAR JARED 124 12.00    
 
LAD-2   06/17/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($18.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAYOU SARGE Jun05 Apr15 Mar11 Mar04 Feb19 (borel renay)BOREL H 122 10.00    
SCR  GUITARTUITION PLZZ May27 Apr14 Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00    
3  WESTERN STAR May20 May07 Apr29 Apr21 Mar26 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  GENERAL EISENHOWER Jun01 May10 Apr26 Apr12 Feb23 (fuselier j)ALBERT S 117 12.00    
5  THROWIN' SHADE Jun04 May05 Apr14 Feb11 Jan20 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 117 8.00 25% 3.00    
6  CHIEFWEAVE May30 May14 Mar23 Mar05 Feb11 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 51% 1.00    
SCR  ANYOTHERQUESTIONS Mar15 Jan01 Sep24 Sep05 Jul09 (duhon joseph )LOZADA CARLOS 122 4.00    
8  MR. TIN MAN Jun05 Nov26 Sep17 Aug15 Jul26 (romero gera)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 3.00    
 
LAD-3   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET VIDALIA May18 May05 Apr19 Mar22 Mar11 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 4.50 20% 3.90    
2  INAWIC May28 Apr27 Mar18 Feb11 Jan29 (ward ronnie)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 8.00    
3  MISS PRIORITY May29 Feb22 Feb01 Jan04 Dec22 (duhon paul)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  DROP DEAD SEXY May08 Mar26 Feb04 Jan12 Nov18 (wilson shane)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 6.00    
5  G'S SQUEEZE May28 Mar26 Mar01 Jan16 Dec01 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 5.00 13% 6.90    
6  GOLDEN SMILES May28 Apr19 Jan19 Dec01 Oct28 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 124 2.50    
7  MISS KENNEDY May21 Mar08 Feb20 Jan22 Dec31 (duke steven)LOZADA CARLOS 122 12.00    
8  ZYDECO MUSIC May28 Apr27 Mar04 Feb04 Jan06 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 3.50 40% 1.50    
 
LAD-4   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($16.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAPIT'S SPIRIT May27 Apr29 Apr01 Mar03 Feb10 (villafranco ma)SUAREZ ANGEL 122 2.00 15% 5.70    
2  FAR BEYOND May22 May07 Apr29 Feb17 Jan26 (ward ron)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 3.00    
3  STOMPING HOTROD May30 May05 Apr23 Mar23 Feb23 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 122 8.00 14% 6.30    
4  D TWO May14 Mar03 Dec31 Nov19 Sep18 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 2.50 48% 1.10    
5  CARL G Apr30 Apr23 Mar18 Mar04 Jan20 (swearingen to)BAILEY CHEL-C 122 10.00    
6  TRAPPE VALLEY May30 May13 Apr30 Mar30 Oct27 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 124 4.50    
 
LAD-5   06/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SHE TOLD YOU SO Mar18 Feb25 Jan13 Sep04 Jul19 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 114 3.50    
2  HALF SCOUT Jun03 Apr14 Jan22 Dec11 Sep14 (borel renay)TORRES HUGO 115 20.00    
3  KITIARA May20 May05 Apr21 Mar17   (martin kevin)NIEVES EMANUEL 117 4.50 38% 1.60    
4  SUE'S LITTLE ZING May29 May08 Apr22 Feb24 Feb15 (nelson r)LOZADA CARLOS 114 5.00 23% 3.30    
5  DANZIG UP A STORM May05 Mar26 Mar03 Feb11 Nov14 (cravens ronnie)GREEN AUBRIE 122 6.00    
SCR  TIZ SWEET CANDY May27 Apr28 Apr15 Mar19 Mar10 (milligan all)MEDELLIN ERICK 114 20.00    
7  HONEST ANGUS May26 May05 Mar19     (breaux samue)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 12.00 9% 10.50    
8  STORMY SUNRISE Jun03 Sep26 Sep17 Aug16 Jul25 (nelson eric)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
9  ZEEROCK May29 May15 Mar19 Mar05 Feb23 (tillis e)BURNINGHAM J 119 30.00    
10  AVENDORE Apr26 Feb24 Feb01 Jan06 Jul18 (gonzalez isai )SUAREZ ANGEL 122 15.00    
11  SWIZZLECITY Apr26 Jan29 Dec03 Sep10 Aug08 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 8.00 6% 14.90    
12  THAT YOU MARGARET May20 Oct15 Jun25 Apr28 Apr09 (silkwood charl)GREEN AUBRIE 122 30.00    
 
LAD-6   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RESPECT ALL May27 Apr27 Nov03 Aug25 Jul28 (mojica edith)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00 5% 19.00    
2  OUR CLOVER GAL Feb28 Jan19 Jan05 Dec21 Jun06 (gonzalez isa)MEDELLIN ERICK 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  SODDY DAISY Mar16 Feb19 Feb12 Jan21 Jan04 (villafranco)RODRIGUEZ JAIRO 124 3.50    
4  JAZLA May13 Dec02 Sep05 Jul11 Jul02 (nicks ra)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 124 3.00 67% 0.50    
5  KANCANCUTIE Jun03 May13 Apr14 Mar11 Feb12 (cates al)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 9% 9.60    
6  THURSDAY MORNING Jun03 Feb28 Feb17 Jan20 Jan04 (espinoza edgar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 15.00    
7  ICONIC BONNET May30 Apr28 Apr15 Mar17 Feb25 (gonzalez jaime)SUAREZ ANGEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  PREACH IT GIRL Jun04 May03 Apr24 Apr05 Mar20 (dixon )GUERRERO ANDRES 119 10.00    
9  GUEST IN MY HEART Jun03 May05 Apr14 Mar18 Mar10 (altamirano elue)TORRES HUGO 119 6.00    
10  SIMPERING SMILE May13 May05 Mar11 Jan25 Dec11 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 119 8.00    
 
LAD-7   06/17/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($33K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COHERE May07 Mar19 Feb16 Jan08 Dec23 (meaux h)GREEN AUBRIE 122 10.00    
SCR  SUMITUP May28 Mar23 Mar01 Feb04 Jan12 (dandridge )ALBERT S 112 8.00    
3  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK May06 Apr20 Feb25 Jan26 Jan05 (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 122 6.00    
4  PICKENS May27 Apr30 Feb22 Feb04 Dec10 (bryant george)LOZADA CARLOS 124 4.50 11% 8.30    
5  KINGOFBROKENHEARTS May08 Mar22 Mar03 Feb11 Dec22 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 2.50 18% 4.60    
6  OUR FREDDIE MAC May20 Mar22 Feb16 Jan08 Feb28 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 122 4.00    
7  G'WILDCAT May15 Mar25 Feb16 Jan26 Jan05 (foster josep)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 3.00 42% 1.40    
 
LAD-8   06/17/2023 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  POP LIFE Feb17 Feb10 Jan14 Oct19 Sep25 (govea cesar)SINGH R 120 20.00    
SCR  ITS A CITY DAY May29 Dec14 Nov23 Sep12 Aug14 (lara jorge)MEDELLIN ERICK 112 20.00    
3  CROQUE MONSIEUR (GB) May08 Mar10 Feb23 Feb09   (larrosa )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
SCR  DOC IRWIN May29 Apr08 Mar10 Feb17 Jan20 (broberg karl)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
SCR  INDY TOURIST Apr02 Feb19 Jan28 Jun28 May21 (duhon paul)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 3.50    
6  STEAL IT BACK May18 Mar24 Mar04 Feb21 Jan29 (west patric)BALTHAZAR JARED 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
7  FIFTEEN LOVE BACK May12 Apr22 Apr13 Mar31 Feb10 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 122 8.00 22% 3.50    
8  SEIZE THE TREASURE May27 May05 Apr16 Apr02 Mar11 (asmussen ste)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 122 5.00 26% 2.90    
9  WAR COUNT May08 Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 Dec17 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 117 12.00 23% 3.30    
SCR  COUNTERFEIT May18 Apr28 Jan12 Dec15 Nov24 (thomas lee)FUSILIER C 117 12.00    
11  FREIGHTRAINFREEMAN Jun03 Mar08 Jan20 Oct07 Sep20 (balderas alfon)SUAREZ ANGEL 124 4.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.