Handicappers' Racing Form

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Penn National
Thursday - May 25, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

PEN-1   Win (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-2   Win (6/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-3   Win (4/5/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-4   Win (5/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-5   Win (2/1/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
PEN-6   Win (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00
PEN-7   Win (6/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
PEN-1   05/25/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BROBRO CORMAN Apr27 Feb25 Feb03 Nov30 Nov18 (rathman elish)INIRIO J 117 10.00    
SPEAK OF THE DEVIL (FR) May06 May06 Mar24 Mar11 Mar04 (graci a)BEATO INOEL null      
ON THE EDGE May10 Apr19 Mar24 Mar01 Feb16 (kreiser c)AGUILAR M 119 4.00 13% 6.90    
MIGHTY MINION Apr21 Apr07 Feb25 Feb10 Jan13 (graci kimberly)VILLEGAS JERRY 119 3.50 30% 2.30    
DYNAMITE DUKE Apr26 Apr03 Jan14 Nov27 Oct01 (kreiser timot)VASQUEZ WILFRED 122 2.50    
THE MAN TO SEE May10 Mar15 Feb15 Feb01 Dec03 (dowling wil)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.00 23% 3.40    
COMBATING May10 Mar23 Feb15 Dec16 Oct07 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 8.00    
 
PEN-2   05/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HAY BUCK Apr19 Mar02 Feb17 Dec16 Sep09 (rathman elisha)ROJAS MARTINA 110 12.00    
SCR  SPECTACULLARI Apr28 Mar10 Feb09 Dec07 Oct25 (beattie m)AGUILAR M 120 6.00    
PHANCY PHILLY May11 Apr20 Mar16 Feb08 Jan12 (stites flint )INIRIO J 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
SCHNUER WILL Apr20 Jan02 Nov30 Nov01 Oct10 (dunham bernar)CONCEPCION AXEL 115 2.50 20% 3.90    
SHUTUP AND HANG ON Apr28 Mar22 Mar06 Feb16 Jan26 (houghton thomas)CORA D 120 3.00    
CHELSEA WALL May02 Apr10 Mar21 Feb13 Dec20 (ness jamie)RODRIGUEZ R 120 2.00 50% 1.00    
 
PEN-3   05/25/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($13.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:58
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
YELOMA May03 Mar07 Oct08 Aug28 Jul31 (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
LILYSGOTACLUE Mar15 Feb10 Dec20     (montford leslie)TUNON JORDANO 124 30.00    
WIN FOR LAILA May05 Apr26 Mar30 Mar15 Feb10 (zalalas michael)ROJAS MARTINA 114 8.00    
TELL ME IM AWESOME May11 Apr27 Mar30 Feb15 Feb08 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 1.40 36% 1.80    
GINGER BERRIES Feb03         (morgan carla)WOLFSONT ANDREW 121 3.50 29% 2.50    
WARISHA         (rathman eli)HERNANDEZ A 121 10.00 10% 8.80    
TRECHMO GIRL May05         (kravets m)AGUILAR M 121 6.00    
SCR  SUSANAS LUCKYCHARM May10 Jan22 Dec16 Dec04   (rathman elish)INIRIO J 121 4.50    
 
PEN-4   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:28
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STORMY SPELL May04 Mar31 Mar17 Mar01 Jan26 (zalalas mic)HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
JET FORCE May04 Mar21 Feb28 Feb08 Jan25 (hogan wi)GONZALEZ JR 120 8.00    
TERPEYE Apr28 Mar31 Mar23 Mar03 Feb09 (moreno tito)BEATO INOEL 120 8.00    
MONIQUES DAREDEVIL Apr26 Apr14 Mar29 Mar08 Feb19 (machado ant)RODRIGUEZ A 124 2.00 25% 3.00    
PEAK OF CHIC May04 Mar27 Mar07 Feb15 Jan03 (moore michael )HERNANDEZ ANDY 124 1.20 52% 0.90    
KATY THE CAT Apr28 Mar31 Mar03 Feb09 Jan25 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
PEN-5   05/25/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWITCHRATTLENROLL May11 Mar08 Jan11 Nov22 Oct28 (zalalas mic)RODRIGUEZ R 124 3.00 22% 3.50    
FLOWER'S FORTUNE May04 Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 (kravets bruce)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 2.50 46% 1.20    
ARCTICA May04 Apr19 Mar22 Mar02 Nov15 (flores wand)HERNANDEZ A 124 12.00    
HIT A HOMER HONEY May12 Nov25 Nov14 Oct12 Sep12 (miller a)ROJAS MARTINA 114 15.00 5% 19.00    
MISS MORENO May11 Apr19 Apr07 Mar12 Feb04 (moreno-barban lea)BEATO INOEL 124 6.00 6% 15.30    
RIDGELYSREDHOT May11 Apr19 Dec07 Oct28 Oct05 (johnson m)RODRIGUEZ E 124 12.00    
JUSTIN TIME May04 Mar22 Mar02 Feb17 Dec27 (moreno tito)DIAZ VLADIMIR 124 2.00    
WICKED T May04 Apr19 Mar17 Feb22 Feb02 (bobadilla f)CORA D 124 20.00    
 
PEN-6   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:26
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PERFECT HIDEAWAY Apr27 Mar24 Feb22 Jan19 Nov01 (beattie todd )SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 10% 8.60    
QUEEN'S DREAM Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 Jan19 Dec02 (beattie cody)CHIAPPE R 120 4.00    
MOONBOOTS Apr10 Mar21 Feb21 Nov22 Nov01 (morgan carla)WOLFSONT ANDREW 120 5.00    
SEEKING THE DREAM May06 Mar24 Mar02 Feb07 Jan02 (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 124 2.50 30% 2.30    
MY BEAUTIFUL BELLE May08 Mar07 Jan24 Oct19 Oct03 (spina charles)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
KNICKERSINATWIST May06 Apr21 Mar22 Mar01 Feb08 (stites flin)HERNANDEZ A 122 3.50 38% 1.60    
 
PEN-7   05/25/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:55
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KAZ MUSIC         (sinnefia paul)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
SCR  CHILLIN AT HOME         (ferreira fernan)DIAZ VLADIMIR 121 10.00    
CITY OF LONDON         (coletti j)BEATO INOEL 121 8.00    
INDY'S GOLDEN GIRL May11 Apr20       (kulp brando)RODRIGUEZ R 121 3.50 14% 6.10    
MATTY BO Jul27         (sarson b)CHIAPPE R 121 5.00 21% 3.90    
WISE CHOICE May11         (salvaggio v)CONNER TYLER 121 3.00 40% 1.50    
SCR  DUST BUNNY Apr21 Mar30 Mar09 Feb17 Feb01 (stites flint )VASQUEZ WILFRED 124 10.00    
WARRIOR'S MISS May12 Apr26       (kulp brando)HERNANDEZ A 121 4.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.