Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fort Erie
Tuesday - May 23, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FE-1   WIN (1/2/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/5)-(1/2/5)-(1/2/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/5)-(4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-2   WIN (4/3/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/2)-(4/3/2)-(4/3/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/2)-(4/1/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-3   WIN (4/1/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (4/1/7)-(4/1/7/3)-(4/1/7/3) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (4/1/7)-(7/4/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FE-4   WIN (7/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/4/3)-(7/4/3/2)-(7/4/3/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/4/3)-(1/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-5   WIN (1/8/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7)-(1/8/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/8/6/7)-(6/3/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
FE-6   WIN (6/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/5)-(6/3/5)-(6/3/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/5)-(8/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
FE-7   WIN (8/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (8/4)-(8/4/5/3/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (8/4)-(8/4/5/3/7)-(8/4/5/3/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4)-(4/3/1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
FE-8   WIN (4/3/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/3/1/5)-(4/3/1/2/5)-(4/3/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FE-1   05/23/2023 2970ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEST AND FINAL Aug14 Aug02 Jul11 Jun07 Jan14 (robillard josh)MAILHOT P 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
2  PAPA'S SILVER Oct24 Oct04 Sep20 Sep06 Aug23 (maynar)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 115 4.50 24% 3.20    
3  MIMI'S HOLIDAY Dec08 Nov18 Sep29 Aug25   (maynard desmond)CHAU JAMES 110 8.00    
4  JOE CHROME May07 Nov10 Oct02     (desruisseaux d)BYNOE DESEAN 113 1.00    
5  BLACK BUZZARD         (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 10.00 11% 8.20    
6  EL BANDOLERO Oct11         (humber joseph)SALLES LEO 118 10.00    
 
FE-2   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($19.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SANTIAGO SALSA Nov04 Oct24 Oct04 Jul26 Feb09 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 12.00    
2  THY KINGDOM Oct24 Oct03 Sep20 Sep12 Aug30 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 8.00 11% 8.30    
3  GUNZIG STINGER Aug08 Jul25 Jul12 Jun16 May07 (rabstein claudia)SALLES LEO 120 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  CANT GLIDE BY KATZ May09 May01 Apr07 Mar26 Mar15 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 2.00 35% 1.90    
5  NO MORE May14 May01 Dec06 Nov23 Nov09 (ceccat)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 2.50    
6  FOUR BOUNCE Oct24 Oct15 Sep25 Sep11 Aug13 (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 120 3.50    
 
FE-3   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.75K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CRUMLIN BIRD Dec10 Nov10 Oct24 Oct10 Sep27 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 4.50 22% 3.60    
2  MORE SAVVY May14 Apr22 Dec01 Oct17 Sep27 (robillard josh)MORENO OMAR 122 5.00    
3  JUNGLE GODDESS May01 Dec13 Nov27 Nov09 Oct26 (ceccato sharon)CRAWFORD J 120 3.50 ★    
4  SNELL FLICKA Jul17 Jul05 May31     (blake michael )JOHNSON KIRK 122 6.00 33% 2.00    
5  EASY ACCESS Sep19 Sep06 Aug08 Aug02 Jul19 (newlan)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 117 6.00    
6  PLUIE D'AVRIL Nov10 Oct28 Sep29 Sep09 Aug18 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 122 2.50    
7  FUN COOL Oct24 Oct17 Oct10 Aug22 Aug16 (warner k)MAILHOT P 122 8.00 13% 7.00    
 
FE-4   05/23/2023 3300ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  WESTLODGE INTRIGUE May09 May01 Mar29 Mar13 Feb12 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 4.50    
2  HASN'T HIT ME YET May14 Apr29 Oct29 Oct03 Sep13 (maynard desmond)CRAWFORD J 122 5.00 ★    
3  MS. P'S BELLA Apr30 Nov03 Oct10 Sep27 Aug22 (robillard juli)JOHNSON KIRK 120 3.50 9% 10.30    
4  FRESH DREAMS Dec10 Dec01 Oct24 Oct04   (loescher pau)CHEYNE A 122 3.00 15% 5.90    
5  NEW YORK MINT Oct10 Aug29 Aug14 Aug01 Jul17 (bennet)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 12.00    
6  SAVVY'S SISTER Nov04 Oct01 Sep13 Aug14 Aug02 (loescher pa)WENC C 120 6.00    
7  FRERET Nov03 Oct06 Sep13 Aug30 Aug02 (fournier mark)MORENO OMAR 122 4.00 49% 1.00    
 
FE-5   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Summer Solstice Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MENAGERIE Nov19 Oct08 Sep22 Aug27 Jul30 (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 35% 1.80    
  (by VIOLENCE out of HOLY FLAME by PULPIT)
2  LOKI'S LIGHTNING May07 Apr29 Sep17 Sep03 Jul16 (chudobiak )KING MARIE 118 10.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of BEAR'S LIGHTNING by MARIA'S MON)
3  DONNARUMMA Apr05 Feb20 Jan12 Dec21 Nov28 (buttig)VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 120 3.50    
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUBBLES AND BABIES by A.P. INDY)
SCR  JIMMY IS A BREEZE Dec09 Sep29 Sep09 Aug21 Jul21 (si)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of DYNA'S A BREEZE by DYNAFORMER)
5  CHARMING AFFAIR         (gilifo)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 120 5.00    
  (by LEMON DROP KID out of MAGICAL AFFAIR by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
6  FEEL LIKE GUESSING Mar29 Feb25 Feb04 Dec30 Dec09 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 3.00 12% 7.30    
  (by FEELS ALL RIGHT (IRE) out of GUESSTIMATE by DRAKENSBERG)
7  BEA MAJESTIC G G Oct11         (robillard julie)SALLES LEO 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BOYS AT TOSCONOVA out of MAJESTIC LORI by GOLD FEVER)
8  HEADING WEST Mar18 Feb24 Jan22 Dec18   (neubauer mich)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
  (by KLIMT out of NAPLES DREAM by UNCLE MO)
 
FE-6   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($22.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  VENOMOUS STATE Feb24 Feb01 Nov25 Nov04 Sep23 (mileni nic)KING MARIE 122 2.00    
2  WONNEFRAC May07 Oct17 Oct04 Sep06 Aug22 (humber joseph)MUNOZ LARRY 122 15.00    
3  READY TO MARCH Mar15 Feb07 Jan28 Dec28 Dec10 (voyce )VANDERMEERSCH AMANDA 115 4.00 12% 7.30    
SCR  HALF LIT Oct17 Oct11 Oct04 Sep06 Aug23 (ke)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 20.00    
5  ALICIA'S KID Oct21 Sep16       (martin scott)SALLES LEO 120 15.00 9% 9.80    
6  SHAKOO MAKOO Nov10 Oct17 Oct04 Aug23 Jul19 (alders)ALDERSON IAN 122 3.00 47% 1.10    
7  BAHAMIAN DUDE Apr23 Feb17 Jan22 Oct24 Oct10 (davis richard)DAVID MICHAEL 122 8.00    
8  BIG TIME LOUIE Nov26 Oct28 Sep27 Sep12 Aug22 (agostino)BUCHANAN Z 122 6.00    
SCR  DOINGGOODTROUBLE Nov11 Oct24 Oct15 Sep23 Sep04 (humber)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00    
 
FE-7   05/23/2023 4620ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($21.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAYITO May14 Apr30 Nov27 Nov19 Nov03 (loescher paula)SALLES LEO 120 15.00    
2  AM PREPARED Nov03 Oct02 Sep05 Aug09 Jul11 (cathcart ste)CHEYNE A 120 12.00    
3  DOT'S VISION May14 Dec02 Nov18 Nov06 Sep05 (fairlie sc)SLEVINSKY RACHEL 110 5.00 ★    
4  BEN LOMOND May07 Dec10 Nov18 Oct28 Oct02 (adamo anthony)JOHNSON KIRK 120 4.50 8% 11.20    
5  HIATUS Dec03 Oct24 Sep12 Aug29 Aug04 (voyce je)BUCHANAN Z 120 3.50 ★    
6  FADE AWAY Apr30 Oct03 Aug09 Jul11 Jun19 (davi)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 8.00    
7  BEYOND MY DREAMS Apr04 Mar20 Feb13 Feb01 Jan19 (robillard jul)PINTO MELANIE 120 12.00 ★    
8  VETTORI KIN (BRZ) Mar24 Mar04 Jan25 Dec29 Dec01 (adamo anthon)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 3.00 68% 0.50    
9  FOUR KNIGHTS Nov04 Sep27 Sep05 Aug16 Aug02 (bl)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 8.00    
 
FE-8   05/23/2023 3300ft DIRT RC11 FAST Sprint Into Summer Cup Purse ($30K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RELOAD BULLET         (albu ken)JOHNSON KIRK 120 6.00 5% 19.00    
  (by RELOAD out of MISCHEVIOUS MIA by FORESTRY)
2  AMEN TO THAT         (humber jo)SEECHARAN A 118 15.00 ★    
  (by CHART TOPPER out of GENUINE FAITH by REGAL CLASSIC)
3  ONE MORE RING May07 Mar22 Feb22 Feb08 Dec30 (buttig)HUSBANDS CHRISTOPHER 118 3.00 6% 15.00    
  (by WHERE'S THE RING out of KAVIKA by NIIGON)
4  BAJAN BULLET May01         (squires a)PINTO MELANIE 118 4.00 61% 0.60    
  (by SPEIGHTSTER out of PREYING MANTIS by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
5  EL GUERO         (humber joseph)MUNOZ LARRY 118 30.00 5% 19.00    
  (by BLACK EAGLE out of MARE FORD by COURT VISION)
6  GUS'S GAMBLE Sep27 Sep06 Aug22 Jul26 Jul19 (albu ken)SALLES LEO 120 4.50    
  (by GAMBLE'S EXCHANGE out of TREE POSE by OLD FORESTER)
7  GREY DECEPTION         (humber joseph)MORENO OMAR 118 10.00    
  (by SEATTLE SERENADE out of TRUE TO ME by YES IT'S TRUE)
8  AUTUMN'S SO FLASHY May12 Apr20 Mar26 Mar08 Jan29 (ca)BOULANGER CHANCE 120 10.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of FLASHY WAYS by BO JINSKY)
9  CORE Oct24 Oct11 Oct04 Sep05 Aug23 (warner k)MAILHOT P 120 20.00    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of COLBRA by SILVER TRAIN)
10  PRINCE FOR A DAY Nov20 Oct30 Oct02 Sep18   (must)MOSQUEIRA ELUID 120 20.00    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of FAIR HUNTRESS by TIZNOW)
11  EIN WAHRER SOLDAT         (robillard julie)CRAWFORD J 118 8.00    
  (by SOLDAT out of JO JO JENNA by PURGE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.