Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Evangeline Downs
Friday - April 14, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
EVD-1   WIN (2/4/5/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9)-(2/4/5/9) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/4/5/9)-(6/3/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5/9)-(6/3/5/4)-(3/4/2/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
EVD-2   WIN (6/3/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4)-(6/3/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/5/4)-(3/4/2/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/5/4)-(3/4/2/6)-(4/5) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
EVD-3   WIN (3/4/2/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6)-(3/4/2/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/4/2/6)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (3/4/2/6)-(4/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
EVD-4   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/6/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/6/2)-(4/5/6/2) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (4/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(1/7/3/2/5)-(10/2/8/4/1) 50 $1.00 $50.00 
EVD-5   WIN (1/7/3/2/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5)-(1/7/3/2/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (1/7/3/2/5)-(10/2/8/4/1) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (1/7/3/2/5)-(10/2/8/4/1)-(2/6/8) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
EVD-6   WIN (10/2/8/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/2/8/4/1)-(10/2/8/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (10/2/8/4/1)-(10/2/8/4/1)-(10/2/8/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (10/2/8/4/1)-(2/6/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (10/2/8/4/1)-(2/6/8)-(1/9/12/6) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
EVD-7   WIN (2/6/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/6/8)-(2/6/8/5/7)-(2/6/8/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/6/8)-(1/9/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/6/8)-(1/9/12/6)-(4/2/6) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
EVD-8   WIN (1/9/12/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/12/6)-(1/9/12/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/12/6)-(1/9/12/6)-(1/9/12/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/12/6)-(4/2/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
EVD-9   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/10) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6/1/10)-(4/2/6/1/10) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
EVD-1   04/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COURAGEOUS TIMMY Mar26 Mar03 Feb10 Jan20 Dec29 (richard)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
2  MR ELVIN Mar15 Feb23 Jan27 Jan08 Dec01 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 2.50 29% 2.40    
3  MY LITTLE JUNIOR Feb02 Dec30 Dec07 Oct29 Oct08 (zenon shelt)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00    
4  MAJESTIC MANDATE Mar11 Jan07 Dec02 Nov05 Oct14 (gelner jayde)BARRERA J 118 3.50 12% 7.40    
5  MR LIBERTY Feb02 Jan05 Oct19 Sep15 Aug25 (diodoro roberti)MCMAHON J 123 6.00 10% 9.20    
SCR  SHARP CHARLIE Mar11 Feb16 Dec27 Nov30 Aug09 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 120 10.00 10% 9.40    
7  MAD GOLD Feb23 Feb10 Jan27 Jan14 Dec08 (gonzal)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 5.00    
8  ONE TOUGH CHARLIE Mar26 Oct15 Aug20 Jul26 Jun30 (ney john)VARGAS P 120 15.00    
9  VEGAS GUY Feb23 Jan27 Jan06 Dec09 Nov16 (diodoro rob)MELANCON JANSEN 123 20.00 6% 16.00    
10  WAITIN' ON A WOMAN Feb11 Feb02 Dec08 Oct28 Aug11 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
11  GENIUS Mar26 Mar03 Feb16 Jan27 Dec30 (pomier devi)STOKES J 123 15.00    
12  FUNNY ACTOR Nov16 Aug18 Apr30 Apr01 Mar12 (gonzalez isai )GREEN AUBRIE 123 20.00    
13  MEAN CRUISER May26 Apr20 Apr06 Mar04 Feb04 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 8.00    
 
EVD-2   04/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($14K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  AMANDAS NEW MAN Mar12 Feb16 Jan21 Oct19 Mar03 (west henry)STOKES A 120 20.00    
2  SWEET LEVI         (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 120 12.00    
3  ARKANSAS ZONG Mar25 Feb23 Jan18 Dec02 Nov11 (dison m)POMPELL L 123 2.00 12% 7.70    
4  PREMIUM Mar15 Feb03 Oct27 Sep24 Aug19 (husak j)VARGAS P 118 5.00 9% 9.70    
5  WICKED TOUGH Feb16 Jan18 Dec20 Dec08 Sep14 (west henry)ALBERT S 118 2.50 10% 8.60    
6  ROLL ON OUT Dec01 Jul31 Jun26     (kingston karl)LOZADA CARLOS 118 3.00 44% 1.30    
7  CHECKULATER Mar12 Feb10 Jan21 Jan12 Jun11 (woodley carl)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 8.00    
 
EVD-3   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($19K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:24
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIONS NOT SHEEP Mar05 Feb23 Dec02 Nov07 Oct19 (govea cesar)LOZADA CARLOS 123 3.50    
2  BARAHIN Mar17 Feb01 Jan11 Dec31 Dec21 (escobar alis)BARRERA J 118 10.00 18% 4.50    
3  WHITAKER Mar22 Feb10 Jan21 Dec15 Nov10 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 123 3.00 25% 3.00    
4  EYE DEE KAY Mar22 Feb10 Jan11 Oct19 Sep10 (modica oscar)MCMAHON J 123 2.50 23% 3.40    
5  QUARTER RAT Mar15 Jan28 Jan08 Dec01 Nov16 (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 120 15.00    
6  SILENT POWER Mar22 Feb20 Nov04 Jul23 May21 (gelner jayde)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 123 12.00 6% 14.50    
7  MAGAZINE STREET Feb23 Jan12 Dec19 Nov26 Sep10 (jeansonne justi)ROSENDO J 119 4.50    
8  BONUS APPRECIATION Mar22 Feb26 Feb03 Jan12 Nov19 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 8.00    
 
EVD-4   04/14/2023 3300ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 7:51
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DIAL UNCLE JOEY Feb25 Nov30 Nov09     (cormier houston)FUSILIER C 120 10.00    
  (by DIALED IN out of CRYPTO EM by CRYPTOCLEARANCE)
2  JOSIE'S PRIORITY Mar25         (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 3.50 ★    
  (by APRIORITY out of EQUESTRIAN JANET by BRAHMS)
3  HARPES HILL Feb24 Feb05 Dec31     (patt roland )BARRERA J 115 15.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVENIAM VIAM by HALF OURS)
4  A SOLDIER'S WAY Feb28 Feb01 Jan20     (broberg kar)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 2.50 53% 0.90    
  (by SADIE'S SOLDIER out of SET THE BAR by BENCHMARK)
5  STEAUXLIT Mar25 Feb04 Jan05     (landry ra)MCMAHON J 120 1.80 21% 3.80    
  (by COUNTRY DAY out of THREEHITS N A MISS by CONCERTO)
6  RUN CARLOS Mar22 Feb28 Nov09 Oct21 Aug13 (ward ronnie)POMPELL L 120 6.00 ★    
  (by CUSTOM FOR CARLOS out of ALL AMERICAN STAR by QUIET AMERICAN)
7  COLT'S BRIM Mar25 Jul02 Jun18 Jun04   (landry r)THORNTON G 120 8.00    
  (by HALF OURS out of BRUSHFIREFAIRYTALE by NAJRAN)
 
EVD-5   04/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 8:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MR. PRODUCTION Feb21 Jan12 Dec10 Nov19 Oct22 (larrosa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 3.50 52% 0.90    
2  FLUFFPOINT Feb28 Feb09 Jan21 Jan05 Dec07 (gelner scott)BARRERA J 112 6.00 5% 19.00    
3  LAUGHINGSAINTSSONG Feb18 Feb09 Jan04 Dec21 Oct26 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 117 10.00 5% 18.90    
4  PAT ME DOWN Mar15 Feb21 Feb09 Jan27 Jan14 (west henry)STOKES A 117 20.00    
5  BITSY'S CUSTOM C Feb21 Jan01 Dec08 Jul29 Jun08 (magnon jaso)LEDET THEODRICK 117 20.00 5% 19.00    
6  TACTICAL PRIORITY Mar15 Jul19 Jun02     (thomas lee)ALBERT S 112 12.00    
7  MISTS OF TIME Jan25 Dec10 Oct29 Oct15 Sep10 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 2.50 11% 8.20    
8  LOVEU AND PROUDOFU Mar15 Feb16 Jan12 Dec19 Dec02 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 117 15.00    
9  C'MON VE Mar15 Mar02 Feb16 Jan29 Jan12 (ramirez edu)DEL-CID VICENTE 117 12.00    
10  SEMI CHARMED LIFE Feb28 Feb10 Jan29 Jan20 Dec29 (besancon danny)STOKES J 117 20.00    
11  SOURNOIS Feb28 Dec21 Dec09 Nov23 Nov12 (shamsie mike)POMPELL L 117 15.00    
12  FULL POWER Mar15 Feb23 Jan14 Dec30 Dec07 (derousselle p)VARGAS P 117 4.50    
 
EVD-6   04/14/2023 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($32K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:46
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  LIFE IS A BANQUET Feb28 Jan19 Dec31 Nov10 Oct19 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CLARESTOWN Feb26 Jan28 Dec22 Sep24 Sep07 (schwandt emi)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.00 21% 3.80    
SCR  DUVEE Mar10 Feb02 Jan05 Dec11 Nov24 (david b)THORNTON G 117 8.00    
4  COFFEE COUNTY Mar16 Mar03 Feb10 Jan26 Dec15 (cuccia j)DEL-CID VICENTE 115 3.00 9% 9.90    
5  WITCH'S VOW Mar04 Feb17 Dec08 Nov25 Nov02 (alberto ant)MELANCON JANSEN 120 20.00    
6  GUITARTUITION PLZZ Mar22 Mar03 Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 (wilson)GUERRERO ANDRES 115 12.00    
7  AUTUMNS STRONG MAN Mar25 Mar11 Feb18 Jan07 Dec11 (husak j)VARGAS P 115 15.00    
8  FIRST GLIMPSE Mar10 Jan28 Dec18 Nov12 Oct13 (bourgeo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 118 3.50 20% 4.00    
9  BLUERIDGE MOUNTAIN Mar22 Sep15 Aug25 Aug02 Jun29 (richards coral)GREEN AUBRIE 118 20.00    
10  UNCLE FRANK Feb10 Jan11 Dec15 Nov17 Oct12 (sturrock bil)MAGNON H 118 4.50 22% 3.60    
 
EVD-7   04/14/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($18K) 4UP ALL PT- 9:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUITARZAN Feb25 Jan28 Dec28 Dec07 Nov25 (segura)GUERRERO ANDRES 120 15.00    
2  FLASHING ANGELBABY Feb25 Feb10 Jan05 Dec09 Nov23 (brinkman brett)POMPELL L 120 3.00 46% 1.20    
3  TAKEN BACK Feb25 Feb04 Jan14 Dec15 Nov23 (segura kearney)STOKES J 120 12.00    
4  GRIEF Feb15 Dec15 Nov19 Oct06 Sep12 (kingston karl)LOZADA CARLOS 120 15.00    
5  CYPRIANO Feb15 Jan14 Oct27 Sep26 Sep12 (kingston kar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 20.00 ★    
6  BINDING Jan07 Dec30 Dec10 Oct27 Oct14 (broberg karl)MCMAHON J 120 2.50 21% 3.70    
7  MIDNIGHT NIGHTMARE Feb18 Jan26 Jan14 Dec21 Dec14 (larrosa jua)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 10.00 ★    
8  PAYDAY TOO Mar24 Feb21 Jan29 Jan15 Dec27 (broberg karl)THORNTON G 120 5.00 5% 19.00    
9  MAGEEZ Mar26 Mar12 Mar02 Dec20 Nov19 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 120 20.00    
10  FREEDOMFI Feb25 Feb04 Jan07 Dec14 Nov22 (delahoussaye)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 3.50    
 
EVD-8   04/14/2023 3630ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35K) 4UP M/F PT- 9:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CUSTOM DESIGN Feb05 Dec17 Oct12     (pitzer d)THORNTON G 120 3.00 28% 2.60    
2  MISS TARGET Dec17 Nov26 Jul24 Jun28   (shamsie mike)LOZADA CARLOS 120 4.50    
3  DEBBIES PASSAGE Mar02 Aug19 Aug10 Jul08 Jun16 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 115 20.00    
SCR  JACKS RUN WILD Mar22 Feb23       (woodley ca)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
5  SHEZA SALTY GAL Feb22 Feb01 Dec22 Nov10 May05 (delany sara)MELANCON JANSEN 120 12.00    
6  LOVELYREDSTILETTOS Feb18 Dec26 Dec07 Oct27   (thomas lee)MCMAHON J 120 3.50 7% 12.60    
7  HONEYSUCKLEDELIGHT Mar18 Feb05 Jan14 Dec17 Nov26 (zeringue j)MURRAY M 120 20.00    
SCR  BRAVE OLLIE Feb22 Jan26 Dec27 Nov02 Oct14 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 15.00    
9  HALF PAGE Jan06 Dec09 Nov22 Oct28 Oct08 (rubin donal)DEL-CID VICENTE 120 8.00 27% 2.80    
10  ZEATRICAL Feb22 Feb03 Jan14 Jan04 Dec10 (magnon rylee)MAGNON H 120 12.00    
11  MY LITTLE MIA Feb18 Feb05 Jan04 Dec22 Nov26 (perron gerard)STOKES A 120 15.00    
12  BUILDING HOME Feb22 Feb04 Jan14 Dec27 Dec01 (ramirez edua)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 120 6.00 8% 11.10    
SCR  SWEET VIDALIA Mar22 Mar11 Feb12 Jan14 Dec22 (degeyter ran)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 10.00 7% 14.30    
14  RUN NATALIE RUN Feb24 Jan21 Jan04 Dec19 Nov10 (ward ronnie)STOKES J 120 12.00    
 
EVD-9   04/14/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($17K) 3UP ALL PT-10:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OLDER AND WISER Feb10 Jan08 Nov26 Sep05 Aug24 (woodley j)THORNTON G 123 10.00 ★    
2  SILVER CHALICE Feb25 Feb09 Jan26 Jan13 Dec22 (west henry)RIVERA JOSEAN 123 4.50 31% 2.30    
3  R T'S D'ORO Mar04 Feb11 Feb01 Nov19 Oct05 (sam w)STOKES A 123 20.00    
4  JAMAICAN ME Mar26 Feb28 Jan20 Dec16 Dec02 (landry ra)MCMAHON J 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
5  PERFECT STRIKE Mar08 Feb10 Jan11 Dec08 Oct22 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 123 20.00    
6  CHIEF KIMOSABI Feb10 Jan08 Dec09 Oct28 Aug26 (flint steve)MAGNON H 123 6.00 5% 19.00    
7  THROWIN' SHADE Feb11 Jan20 Aug27     (delany sarah)FUSILIER C 118 12.00    
8  K V TARGET Feb10 Jan28 Jan20 Jan07 Dec28 (larrosa a)STOKES J 123 15.00    
9  DARK MATTER Feb28 Feb09 Jan28 Jan18 Jan07 (silva walte)DEL-CID VICENTE 123 20.00    
10  PEANUT N IKE Feb18 Jan28 Nov25 Oct28 Sep17 (rosier )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 12.00 ★    
11  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Mar24 Mar09 Jan27 Jan05 Dec15 (castille rickey )MELANCON G 123 2.50    
12  ASTROLOGYSPROTEGE Mar23 Mar10 Feb21 Feb01 Jan15 (thompson kevin)GREEN AUBRIE 118 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.