Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Gulfstream Park
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

GP-1   WIN (8/5/3/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/5/3/4/2)-(8/5/3/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/5/3/4/2)-(8/5/3/4/2)-(8/5/3/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/5/3/4/2)-(6/1/2) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
GP-2   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/7/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2/7/5)-(6/1/2/7/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(7/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-3   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/6/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/6/4)-(7/3/6/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (7/3)-(2/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
GP-4   WIN (2/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/6)-(2/6/1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6)-(2/6/1/7)-(2/6/1/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (2/6)-(3/10/6/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-5   WIN (3/10/6/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7)-(3/10/6/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/10/6/7)-(1/2/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
GP-6   WIN (1/2/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/2/7/3)-(1/2/7/3/5)-(1/2/7/3/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/2/7/3)-(1/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
GP-7   WIN (1/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/5)-(1/5/6/7/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/5)-(1/5/6/7/2)-(1/5/6/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/5)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
GP-8   WIN (6/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/4)-(6/3/4)-(6/3/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/4)-(2/7/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-9   WIN (2/7/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/3/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/7/4)-(2/7/4/3/1)-(2/7/4/3/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/7/4)-(6/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
GP-10   WIN (6/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/11/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/5/2)-(6/5/2/11/7)-(6/5/2/11/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
GP-1   03/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT-12:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUBBY DUBBIE Jan21 Nov12 Oct16 Aug27 Aug12 (breen kelly )LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 5.00    
BENELUX Feb17 Jan21 Jan04 Dec10 Nov12 (braddy david)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00 5% 18.50    
CASTAGNO Jan15         (gallegos jos)MORELOS E 120 6.00 13% 6.90    
WICKED GENIUS Dec24 Oct01 Sep01 May19 Apr14 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 120 3.50 8% 11.00    
DRILLOMATIC Feb17 Jan25 Jan12 Aug07 Jun20 (abrams jack)BRIDGMOHAN X 120 8.00 16% 5.20    
CRACK SHOT Jan22 Dec11 Oct30 Aug07 Jul04 (russo j)TORRES JOMAR 120 15.00    
KARTANO Feb11 Jan01 Dec16 Nov06 Aug16 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 122 1.40    
EL SOCIO Feb18 Jan21 Jan04 Dec07 Nov05 (ritvo p)LEON SONNY 120 10.00 28% 2.60    
 
GP-2   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($21K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:09
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA KATZ Feb26 Feb01 Dec29 Nov26 Nov13 (dobles saman)LOPEZ PASCACIO 125 2.00 24% 3.30    
SHAKE YOUR BONES Oct23         (joseph saffi)GUDIEL VICENTE 125 2.50 9% 10.10    
SIR BITESALOT Jan07 Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 Sep25 (campitelli fr)MORALES ANGEL 118 8.00    
FIVEFIVE SIX CHAMP Feb17 Jan08 Dec14     (braddy dav)ZAYAS J 125 6.00    
HEART BOY Feb22 Jan12 Dec24 Dec07 Nov13 (tharrenos willia)RUIZ JORGE 118 12.00    
STRAIGHT TIME Feb17 Jan27 Jan08 Dec11 Oct20 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 125 3.50 44% 1.20    
IMPETUOUS SOUL Feb17 Jan07 Dec17 Nov19 Oct22 (sierra ruben)REYES LEONEL 125 20.00    
TRUE IDENTITY         (pita daniel)SUTHERLAND C 125 30.00    
 
GP-3   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PAPA DEL CIELO Jan14         (ochoa ernesto)LEON SONNY 118 30.00    
  (by GOLDENCENTS out of QUANIQUE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ESCALATION         (jerkens a)SAEZ LUIS 118 8.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of TIA RAFAELA by BERNARDINI)
LUPO'S LEGACY Oct29 Oct16 Sep15 Aug28   (rodriguez dar)ORTIZ JR 125 4.50 22% 3.60    
  (by VERRAZANO out of LUPO'S WAY by HIGH COTTON)
LAST SHIFT         (sano antonio)ZAYAS J 118 15.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of NATALIE VICTORIA by INDIAN OCEAN)
LOCKE AND KEY         (catanese joseph)PANICI LUCA 125 20.00    
  (by MR. Z out of U R KEY by ALBERT THE GREAT)
MR. PEEKS Feb11         (wilkes r)PEREZ EDGAR 118 4.50    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of MS. BUBBETTE by TIZ WONDERFUL)
A LA CARTE Feb03         (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 125 0.60 52% 0.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of LEIGH COURT by GRAND SLAM)
 
GP-4   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($54K) 3 F PT- 2:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SHERLYN GO GO Feb22 Dec18 Oct29 Oct01 Aug03 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 2.00    
HOAX (IRE) Feb23 Jan26 Dec08 Oct29 Oct07 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 25% 3.00    
SCR  KITTY QUICK Dec16 Nov11 Oct21 Sep02   (d'angelo jos)CASTELLANO J 120 4.50 27% 2.70    
SHEA D SECRET Feb01 Dec30 Oct30 Oct09 Sep18 (david )VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 10.00    
ESOTERIC Feb22 Jan25 Nov19 Oct29 Sep23 (spatz b)SUTHERLAND C 120 20.00    
HIHELLOHOWAREYOU Jan25 Dec24       (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50 22% 3.50    
SHE'S A JOY Jan15 Dec28 Dec04 Oct21   (spatz b)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
 
GP-5   03/12/2023 4950ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 3 ALL PT- 2:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY SPIRIT Dec31         (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT (FR) out of CANDY GENOVESA by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
PRACTIKO Jan14         (d'angelo fr)LEON SONNY 118 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SONG OF MELODY by FLAT OUT)
FEARLESS SOLDIER Feb16         (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of HESSIE'S GIRL by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
SHARP PLAY BOY         (david car)LEPAROUX R 118 12.00    
  (by SHARP AZTECA out of LARA by JUMP START)
UNION TRAIL Feb11         (tagg barclay)ROSARIO JOEL 118 12.00    
  (by CONSTITUTION out of FOREST TRAIL by FOREST WILDCAT)
HARRY HOOD         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 3.50 11% 8.10    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of DESTINY UNBOUND by GALILEO (ARG))
RIGHT TO WIN (IRE)         (brown c)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 5% 19.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT out of ENJOYABLE by HOLY BULL)
SCR  INTERSTELLAR Dec10         (breen kelly)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 15.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of TIMELESS TRICK by MAZEL TRICK)
TIGER'S LEGACY Feb01         (davis christ)ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of MY LADY LUCK by HARD SPUN)
10  GIPSY CHIEF (GB) Feb04         (lynch brian )CASTELLANO J 118 5.00 14% 6.10    
  (by UNKNOWN out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
11  CHECKITUP Dec31 Oct18 Sep24 Sep05   (servis john )LOPEZ PASCACIO 118 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of FAYPIEN by GHOSTZAPPER)
12  SPIRITWOOD         (vassilieva k)BRIDGMOHAN X 118 20.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of LEMON EDGE by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  HARDY CHOICE Jan07 Dec10 Oct15 Aug12   (lynch a)KRIGGER K 118 8.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of CRITIC'S CHOICE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  CERTAIN Jan11 Dec08 Nov05     (sisterson )GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 8.00 10% 9.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of IMPECCABLE LADY by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  AMERICA'S GUEST Jan21 Aug27 Jul30     (gargan)VASQUEZ ANGEL 118 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of GAME FACTOR by THE FACTOR)
SCR  CUMBERLAND Jan26         (weaver george)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of PI BELLA by PIONEERING)
 
GP-6   03/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($54K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
J P HELLISH Feb09 Jan12 Dec28 Nov26 Nov05 (de cerda)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50 42% 1.40    
SOUPER COHIBA Feb08 Jan07 Dec11 Nov13 Oct09 (vassiliev)WILSON JAYNE 120 4.00 21% 3.80    
UNCLE ARMANDO Jan25 Dec10 Dec01 Oct21 Aug09 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 5.00 6% 16.60    
THE MAR Feb08 Jan12 Nov05 Oct08 Aug26 (nunez eduardo)RIOS M 120 12.00    
BADBADBOBBY Feb16 Jan20 Jan12 Dec26 Dec02 (garoffalo )GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 8.00    
ADVANCE CASH Feb04 Dec18 Dec01 Oct15 Sep06 (russo j)PEREZ EDGAR 122 4.50    
BACKCHAT Feb11 Jan12 Dec26 Dec03 Nov05 (sweezey kent)LEON SONNY 122 3.50 9% 9.80    
 
GP-7   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($32K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:38
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNCLE B Dec08 Nov11 Oct09 Sep11 Aug12 (cazare)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 3.50 61% 0.60    
FOREST SURVIVOR Feb03 Dec11 Nov13 Oct09 Sep11 (delgado jorge)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.50    
BEE BY THE SEA Feb10 Jan13 Nov27 Oct30 Oct02 (navarro marcial)PEREZ EDGAR 120 12.00    
COTTON Nov19 Oct28 Oct02 Aug11 Jul15 (drexler martin)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
SOUPER SUCCESS Feb03 Jan13 Nov13 Oct23 Sep25 (abreu fern)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 11% 8.30    
CHARMED (GB) Jan19 Jan05 Oct05 Aug27   (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 122 4.00    
HARD COUNT Feb02 Sep13 Aug02 Jul14 Jun27 (o'connell ka)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 6.00    
POWERFULLY BUILT Sep28 Sep05 Aug19 Jul31 Jul10 (abrams jack)REYES LEONEL 120 8.00    
PSYCHEDELIC SHACK Feb10 Jan22 Nov25 Sep30 Aug29 (eppler e)RUIZ JORGE 120 15.00    
 
GP-8   03/12/2023 5610ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($86K) 3 F PT- 4:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ESSAOUIRA Oct07 Sep14 Aug25     (motion gr)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00    
MISS UCRANIA Jan20 Jan01 Nov11 Oct07 Sep09 (duco l)VASQUEZ ANGEL 120 20.00    
ERNA Jan07 Dec11 Oct22     (devaux cherie)SAEZ LUIS 120 4.00 18% 4.50    
TALL GIRL Jan18 Dec16 Nov06 Oct12 Sep11 (clement christ)ROSARIO JOEL 118 8.00 15% 5.50    
CLOUDY BAY Feb12 Dec28 Dec04 Oct26 Sep22 (davis christ)ZAYAS J 118 20.00    
WELL INTO Jan22 Dec11       (thomas jonatha)ORTIZ L 120 2.00 21% 3.70    
BE MY SUNSHINE Jan08         (joseph saf)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00    
TITUBA Jan29 Nov24       (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 8.00    
LADY AZTECA Jan07 Dec10 Oct01 Aug17 Jul13 (sanchez amador)REYES LEONEL 118 20.00    
10  SILVER STRIPES Feb05         (devaux cheri)CASTELLANO J 120 8.00    
11  AROUND THE SUN Oct28 Oct14       (arnold r)PANICI LUCA 120 20.00    
12  OUTOFNOTHINGATALL Feb12 Nov11 Oct09 Sep17 Aug21 (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 120 30.00    
SCR  AMERICAN ROCKETTE Nov26 Oct02 Sep04 Jul21   (mott willia)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 6.00    
SCR  GRACE DARLING (IRE) Mar11 Feb16       (lynch bria)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 5.00 8% 11.80    
SCR  TICKER TAPE HOME Mar11 Feb11 Nov05 Oct08 Sep01 (casse mark)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 15% 5.50    
 
GP-9   03/12/2023 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($62.5K) Purse ($87K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MISH Jan28 Dec08 Jul04 May30 May07 (joseph saffi)ZAYAS J 120 3.50    
IRON WORKS Apr09 Feb04 Jan08     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 120 2.50 42% 1.40    
LOOKIN AT ROSES Feb02 Jan18 Jan07 Nov23 Nov07 (preciado guad)ORTIZ JR 122 10.00    
CLAPTON Feb05 Dec31 Dec08 Nov12 Oct01 (alvarado ju)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 4.00 11% 8.10    
GALT Jun03 Mar26 Mar05 Feb05   (mott william)CASTELLANO J 120 5.00    
COOKE CREEK Jan28 Dec31 Jun18 May14 Feb05 (o'dwyer jeremi)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
MILLIKEN Jan20 Nov25 May04 Apr10 Feb26 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
GP-10   03/12/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($84K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:06
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MS. SOLVEIG Aug25 Jul27       (antonacci)WILSON JAYNE 122 20.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of THEORY OF CHANGE by ARCHARCHARCH)
SAHLABIYA Jul24 Jun17 May01     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 13% 6.70    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ORCHARD BEACH by TAPIT)
FOR THE FLAG         (toner j)RUIZ JORGE 122 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of BATTLE FLAG by WAR FRONT)
SCR  TICKLE MY FANCY Feb03         (orseno f)PEREZ EDGAR 122 30.00    
  (by NYQUIST out of BAY FINN by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
PURE COUNTRY Jun22 May29 May04 Apr08 Mar12 (oliver victori)ROSARIO JOEL 122 8.00 14% 6.40    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of HONEY LAKE by HONEYLAND)
WAR PRINCESS Feb12 Jan14 Nov20     (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 122 2.00 53% 0.90    
  (by WAR FRONT out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
PIMENOVA Jan14 Oct29 Feb27 Jan02   (gargan)VASQUEZ ANGEL 122 20.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of UNKNOWN by UNKNOWN)
LUTE PLAYER Jan14 Oct21 Aug25     (brown c)ORTIZ L 122 6.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of JAZZ FLUTE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
ASPEN Dec28         (walsh brend)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 15.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of DREAMOLOGIST by TAPIT)
10  DOUBLE COSMO GIRL Dec28 Dec15 Nov18 Sep23 Aug14 (hernandez sandin)LEON SONNY 122 20.00    
  (by GORMLEY out of DOUBLESHOT OF GOLD by TOUCH GOLD)
11  MESAORIA Jan04 Nov20 Oct21 Jan30   (motion gra)CASTELLANO J 122 4.00    
  (by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT (IRE) out of RUSTY SLIPPER by LEMON DROP KID)
12  SWEET CURALINA Feb12 Jan21 Nov25     (wilkes r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 20.00    
  (by CURLIN out of SWEET TAPPER by TAPIT)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.