Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Sunday - March 12, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (3/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/5/4)-(3/5/4/6)-(3/5/4/6) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/5/4)-(2/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/5/4)-(2/4/5)-(1/7) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-2   WIN (2/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/4/5)-(2/4/6/5/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/4/5)-(2/4/6/5/3)-(2/4/6/5/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/4/5)-(1/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/4/5)-(1/7)-(1/4/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-3   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/3/8/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/3/8/5)-(1/7/3/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/7)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(1/4/5)-(4/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-4   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5/3/7)-(1/4/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(4/1)-(3/1/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
FG-5   WIN (4/1) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/1)-(4/1/6/3/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/1)-(4/1/6/3/2)-(4/1/6/3/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/1)-(3/1/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/1)-(3/1/4)-(1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
FG-6   WIN (3/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/8/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/1/4)-(3/1/4/8/2)-(3/1/4/8/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/1/4)-(1) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (3/1/4)-(1)-(6/1/5/8/4) 15 $0.50 $7.50 
FG-7   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/6) 1 $1.00 $1.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1)-(6/1/5/8/4) 5 $1.00 $5.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/1/5/8/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (6/1/5/8/4)-(6/1/5/8/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (6/1/5/8/4)-(6/1/5/8/4)-(6/1/5/8/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($24K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ATOMIC ROSE Jan21 Jan06 Dec14 Dec02 Oct22 (lorefice matt)SINGH R 121 5.00 ★    
2  FIRINGTOTHEFRONT Sep24 Jul30 May28 Mar19 Feb13 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 121 4.50    
3  SUMMERJUSTBET HER Jan28 Dec30 Oct27 Oct12 Sep11 (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.50 39% 1.50    
4  CHAMPAGNE AFFAIR Jan16 Jan01 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 (foley greg)LANERIE J 121 4.00 6% 16.90    
5  WHY BEHAVE Feb09 Jan13 Dec08 Nov16 Oct14 (shirer a)PARKER L 121 2.00 29% 2.50    
6  MELODY ROSE Dec16 Sep25 Aug13 Jul05 Jun12 (mouton )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 6.00 ★    
 
FG-2   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($22K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BROKE FINANCING Jan27 Aug19 Jul20 Jun18 Jan07 (jackson dwayne)CULP BRIANNE 120 20.00    
2  VARSITY FLYGIRL Feb11 Dec09 Oct15 Sep04 Aug05 (bernard john)POMPELL L 120 1.60 37% 1.70    
3  FASTED Feb11 Jan28 Jan13 Dec02 Nov19 (mojica e)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 12.00 ★    
4  DIANNA'S JET Feb23 Feb11 Jan28 Dec30 Dec14 (pomier chase)BARRERA J 115 2.00 33% 2.00    
5  CAVE CREEK Feb23 Feb11 Jan27 Jan13 Jan01 (dussette a)ALBERT S 115 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  WHATS UP SWEETS Feb20 Jan29 Jan15 Nov23 Nov01 (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 2.00 ★    
 
FG-3   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DREWSILLA Feb12 Jan01 Dec08 Sep27 Sep12 (mouton patri)NIEVES EMANUEL 125 2.00 37% 1.70    
  (by COSTA RISING out of MILITARY MISS by MILITARY)
2  BAYOU BEAUTY Feb12 Jan21 Dec09     (faucheux ron)LANERIE J 117 8.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of FASHIONED GEM by OLD FASHIONED)
3  ENTITLEMENT Jan27 Jan05 Dec09 Aug20   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 117 4.50 ★    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of SPRING MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
4  YOCKEY BETTERFLY Jan21 Jan05       (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 117 8.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MISS MARIPOSA by ZARBYEV)
5  QUEEN OF THE MOON Feb24 Jan01 Dec08 Nov18 Oct06 (antwine mich)BARRERA J 120 8.00 ★    
  (by MOONSHINE MULLIN out of IMPERIAL QUEEN by IMPERIALISM)
6  STARSHIP NOLA Feb12 Jan01 Oct12 Aug17 Jul14 (gelner scott)PARKER L 125 8.00    
  (by EXAGGERATOR out of MUTAKAWAY by MUTAKDDIM)
7  CALLING Feb18 Jan27 Dec29     (stall albe)HERNANDEZ J 117 4.00 36% 1.80    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CARE by TRAPPE SHOT)
8  STRAWBERRY SUNDAE Dec23 Nov18 Aug26 Aug10 Jul19 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 117 8.00 ★    
  (by CREATIVE CAUSE out of SPARKLING DIAMOND by FINEST HOUR)
 
FG-4   03/12/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($53K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VENN Feb03 Dec30 Dec10 Nov03 Jul14 (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 121 2.50 51% 0.90    
2  MAGEEZ Mar02 Dec20 Nov19 Nov11 Oct21 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 124 6.00    
3  PACIFICISLANDTIME Feb21 Jan08 Dec09 Nov11 Oct13 (ducoing)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 4.50 ★    
4  BLUE CHEESE Jan26 Jan12 Dec22 Dec01 Nov16 (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 121 4.50 13% 7.00    
5  DRILLING REPORT Feb20 Jan26 Jan08 Dec04 Jun21 (cuccia j)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 6.00 12% 7.20    
6  WOODS N WATER Feb16 Feb02 Jan12 Dec16 Dec01 (thomas lee)POMPELL L 124 6.00    
7  COSMIC TRAIN Feb25 Jan25 Dec10 Nov19 Aug06 (delhomme jerry)GRAHAM J 121 4.00 ★    
 
FG-5   03/12/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($21K) 3 F PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARDI GRAS ALARM Feb02 Jan12 Dec10 Nov16   (breaux samuel)LANERIE J 122 4.50 33% 2.10    
2  CUSTOM CANDY Feb18 Nov30 Nov05     (ramirez e)HERNANDEZ J 119 5.00 ★    
3  CAJUN NINJA Feb04 Oct14 Aug20     (silva miguel)PARKER L 119 6.00 ★    
4  MAEMAEMAY Feb02         (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 119 4.00 44% 1.30    
5  VODKA SUNRISE Feb10 Jan12 Dec30 Dec02 Nov22 (landry ray)STOKES J 117 12.00    
6  TAKEN IT Feb04 Jan07 Dec10 Nov12 Sep04 (tracy greg)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 3.50 ★    
SCR  WHERE'S THE PUMPS Feb10 Dec23 Oct29     (heitzman eric)COHEN DAVID 119 12.00    
8  DOLLY'S GUITAR Feb10 Jan13 Dec22 Nov18 Sep17 (schwandt emi)BESCHIZZA ADAM 117 15.00    
9  COPPER MOON Feb10 Jan14 Dec22 Aug26 Aug10 (richards co)BARANDELA SOFIA 114 20.00    
10  HEY MADALYN CLAIRE Feb10 Dec08 Aug26 Aug10   (delahoussaye g)GREEN AUBRIE 119 20.00    
11  DECORATED LADY Jan07 Dec02 Nov12 Oct08   (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 114 10.00    
 
FG-6   03/12/2023 5280ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($30K) 3 ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IDRATHERBEBLESSED Jan29 Dec18 Nov23 Oct23 Sep25 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 119 3.50 27% 2.80    
2  BIG BEEMSTER Feb20 Jan28 Jan06 Dec19 Nov09 (hartman )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 119 6.00 ★    
3  COUNTERSPY Feb20 Dec19 Nov26 Sep16 Aug21 (casse mark)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 4.00 43% 1.30    
4  FIGHT FIERCELY Feb10 Jan11 Nov17 Sep30 Aug28 (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 119 4.00 8% 11.30    
5  GLUCKSTADT Mar01 Feb10 Jan07 Dec11 Oct28 (alonzo howa)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 8.00    
6  SOFT PANTS Feb12 Jan19 Dec11 Nov09 Oct03 (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 119 6.00    
7  KLIMTOMANIAC Mar01 Jan13 Dec19 Dec11 Nov16 (govea cesar)GREEN AUBRIE 119 6.00    
8  LUNAR MODULE Feb17         (wilson shane)PARKER L 122 8.00 ★    
 
FG-7   03/12/2023 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CHARMONTE Dec22 Sep05       (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 125 3.00 48% 1.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of LOVEMEORLEAVEME by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
2  LADY DYNAMO         (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 117 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
3  LURE'EM IN Jan21 Sep06       (block chris)GRAHAM J 117 5.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
4  LYNNA         (cohn g)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00    
  (by SUPER SAVER out of CORINTHIAN'S LARK by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
5  MOST EMPRESSIVE Feb08 Jan21 Sep26 May21 Apr27 (lovell mich)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 4.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of INSPEIGHT OF US by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  JADE D'AMORE         (jeansonne justin)PARKER L 117 6.00 ★    
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of STRATEGIC MISSILE by STRATEGIC MISSION)
7  PARKER EVA Jan19 Nov27 Jun13 May28 Feb24 (camejo jos)ALBERT S 120 6.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of HEART OF PARADISE by MORE THAN READY)
8  RAGTIME BELLE May15 Mar12       (robertson)PEDROZA MARCELINO 125 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of BELLE HILL by SKY MESA)
SCR  MYSTIC CREED Feb23         (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 117 4.00 5% 18.80    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MYSTIC CHARM by WAR PASS)
SCR  MARMO MOON Oct29 Oct13 Sep14 Aug14   (zeringue j)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of REBALITE by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  ROSIE'S ANGUS         (breaux sa)HERNANDEZ J 117 8.00 ★    
  (by THE PLAYER out of LIGHTNING ROSIE by STORMY ATLANTIC)
SCR  CALM COOL Feb26 Feb09       (stall m)LANERIE J 117 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of PORT CHARLOTTE by BLAME)
SCR  EXPECT A DANCER Jan14 Dec10 Oct06 Jul30 Jun29 (robbins ray)THORNTON G 125 8.00    
  (by EXPECT A LOT out of DANCINGOVERTHELINE by EXCLUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  IDDY BIDDY Feb26 Dec07 Nov08     (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 20.00    
  (by JUSTIN PHILLIP out of BEST EXPECTATIONS by VALID EXPECTATIONS)
SCR  BLAME NELLIE Feb19 Jan30 Jan15     (roussel j)GRAHAM J 125 8.00    
  (by BLAME out of CURLY NELLIE by CURLIN)
SCR  ANGORA DEB         (stall m)LANERIE J 117 3.50 26% 2.90    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PLAY BALLADO by SAINT BALLADO)
 
FG-8   03/12/2023 3630ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  INSPECTOR ED Mar02 Feb16 Feb05 Jan12 Dec31 (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 117 4.00 23% 3.40    
2  AMANDAS NEW MAN Feb16 Jan21 Oct19 Mar03 Jan26 (west henry)VARGAS P 125 50.00    
3  FRIEND'S DO CARE Feb21 Dec08 Nov27 Oct22 Aug27 (pennino frank)CULP BRIANNE 125 6.00    
4  MINE YOUR BIZ Mar01 Feb09 Jan16 Dec16 Nov27 (peterson j)ALBERT S 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  LORD HELP ME         (ladner herman)CHAVEZ ORIEL 125 10.00 15% 5.50    
6  REECEMANIA Feb16 Jan18       (landry ray)STOKES J 125 3.00 29% 2.40    
7  HARD KINGS Feb21 Feb09 Jan07 Nov26 Mar20 (ladner herma)BESCHIZZA ADAM 125 6.00    
8  ROYAL UNLIMITED Feb16 Jan01 Jul22     (faucheu)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 125 8.00 9% 10.30    
9  IRON FORTUNE Feb09 Jan16 Apr13 Mar17 Feb20 (zenon charles)MURRAY M 125 8.00    
10  CHECKULATER Feb10 Jan21 Jan12 Jun11 May06 (woodley c)HERNANDEZ J 125 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.