Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - March 02, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/6)-(1/5/3/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/5/6)-(1/5/3/4/6)-(1/5/3/4/6) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (1/5/6)-(5/1/2/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-2   WIN (5/1/2/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/1/2/4)-(5/1/2/4/6)-(5/1/2/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-3   WIN NO BET 0 $2.00 $0.00 
    EXA NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD NO BET 0 $1.00 $0.00 
    PK3 NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8/1)-(5/6/7/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/6/7/8)-(10/8/9) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7/8)-(10/8/9)-(5/6/2/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
FG-5   WIN (10/8/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (10/8/9)-(10/8/9/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (10/8/9)-(10/8/9/4)-(10/8/9/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (10/8/9)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (10/8/9)-(5/6/2/3)-(1/7) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-6   WIN (5/6/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3)-(5/6/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/6/2/3)-(1/7) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/6/2/3)-(1/7)-(2/5/7/3) 32 $0.50 $16.00 
FG-7   WIN (1/7) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/7)-(1/7/5/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/7)-(1/7/5/8)-(1/7/5/8) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1/7)-(2/5/7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (1/7)-(2/5/7/3)-(4) 8 $0.50 $4.00 
FG-8   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
FG-9   WIN (4) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (4)-(4/9/1) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI (4)-(4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 2 $0.50 $1.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BANKROLL Feb17 Jan28 Jan07 Dec15 Nov02 (scherer t)MELANCON G 124 2.00 42% 1.40    
2  HEARTTHROB HALO Jan22 Jan06 Dec16 Nov25 Sep24 (jeansonne )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 2.50    
3  INTHEALY Feb03 Jan06 Dec17 Nov25 Jun16 (zeringue w )GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 2.50 ★    
4  HEREWECOMETOGETYOU Feb03 Jan06 Nov26 Sep12 May10 (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 4.50 ★    
5  SIR POKERFACE Jun01 May18 Apr22 Apr07 Mar17 (peterson j)ALBERT S 116 8.00 13% 6.80    
6  NOCOMET Jul14 Jun25       (senegal j)STOKES A 121 15.00 5% 18.50    
 
FG-2   03/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  J B GRAY Feb05 Dec23 Dec01 Aug13   (mckeever andr)MORALES EDGAR 114 3.50 19% 4.20    
2  DUDE DROP KID Feb10 Jan08 Dec17 Sep24 Aug20 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 122 2.50 17% 4.80    
3  COUYONS CAUSE Feb02 Jan05 Sep17 Aug29 Jul23 (austin a)CULP BRIANNE 117 4.00    
4  PUTTHEHAMMERDOWN Jan21 Jan08 Dec09 Nov23 Oct19 (richard russell )MELANCON G 122 10.00 15% 5.70    
5  COURTMAN Jan26 Jan07 Dec15 May21 Apr13 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 2.00 20% 3.90    
6  LONE STAR MAX Feb09 Jan20       (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 114 8.00 ★    
 
FG-3   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($20K) 3 ALL PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  F T W SLAM Jan28 Dec26 Nov25 Nov03   (margolis stephe)COHEN DAVID 120 4.00 ★    
2  MIDNIGHT CROWN Feb17         (breaux samue)BARRERA J 115 6.00 ★    
3  MAIN DUDE Feb02 Jan12 Dec22 Dec08   (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 120 6.00    
SCR  STEAUXLIT Feb04 Jan05       (landry ray)STOKES J 120 2.50 70% 0.40    
5  STARPORT Jan08 Dec17 Dec01 Oct22   (hargrave ken)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 10.00    
6  APRIORITY ROCKET Feb01         (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 115 8.00    
7  RACY BILLE Jan27 Dec01 Oct14 Jul02 Jun18 (briley lonnie)VARGAS P 120 6.00 ★    
8  INSPECTOR ED Feb16 Feb05 Jan12 Dec31   (husak j)GREEN AUBRIE 120 6.00 ★    
 
FG-4   03/02/2023 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SOLID COUNTRY GOLD Jan28 Dec22 Dec01 Oct26 Oct20 (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 ★    
2  UNLEASH THE POWER Feb04 Oct27 Sep01 Jul23 Jun19 (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 10.00    
SCR  ARABIAN PRINCE Feb03 Jan15 Dec08 Nov16 Oct05 (barnett bobb)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 12.00    
4  C FALLS Feb04 Nov27 Oct22 Sep23 Aug25 (casse w)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50    
5  COURAGEOUSLY Feb04 Aug20 Jul24 Jun09 May13 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 3.50 32% 2.10    
6  MAASAI WARRIOR Jan22 Jan01 Dec09 Nov13 Nov03 (leonard georg)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50 20% 3.90    
7  MICROPHONE (IRE) Feb03 Oct21 Aug28 Jun16 Apr15 (west w)PARKER L 120 8.00 18% 4.60    
8  MONARCH MAN Feb04 Sep26 Sep11 Aug07 Jul16 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 8.00 7% 13.50    
 
FG-5   03/02/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MEDITATE (IRE) Feb17 Jan26 Jan11 Dec14 Nov16 (lara jorge)BARRERA J 116 10.00    
2  PRAY IDE SING Feb16 Jan08 Dec19 Sep26 Sep18 (williams kev)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 20.00    
3  GALLANT STAR Feb16 Jan29 Jan01 Dec19 Nov13 (husak j)MURRAY M 121 12.00    
4  MAGEEZ Dec20 Nov19 Nov11 Oct21 Aug20 (broberg kar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 3.00 ★    
5  SOCIAL AFLEET Nov27 Oct19 Aug12 Jul21 Jun29 (delany sarah)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00    
SCR  PAYDAY TOO Feb21 Jan29 Jan15 Dec27 Nov26 (richards corale)LANERIE J 121 6.00 12% 7.60    
7  LUCKENBACHER Dec18 Sep18 Aug08 Jul19 May30 (foster j)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 8.00    
8  HOT LE ROY Feb18 Jan19 Jan05 Dec17 Dec03 (larrosa juan)DOMINGUEZ JOEL 121 5.00 28% 2.60    
9  C'MON VE Feb16 Jan29 Jan12 Jan01 Dec19 (landry jaco)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 10.00 5% 19.00    
10  IMINDYCATBIRDSEAT Jan29 Jan08 Dec18 Nov27 May20 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00 33% 2.10    
11  UNWANTED INTRUDER Feb16 Jan29 Dec18 Nov27 Aug25 (wilson shane)MORALES EDGAR 124 8.00    
 
FG-6   03/02/2023 5490ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($55K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CASH LOGISTICS Jan26 Mar12 Feb14     (catalano m)GRAHAM J 120 5.00 10% 9.10    
2  RIGHTANDJUST Jan26 Dec26 Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 (wilson shan)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 12.00 8% 11.30    
3  FIVE STAR GENERAL Dec26 Nov11 Oct20 Sep04 Aug14 (forster gr)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00 6% 16.00    
4  OLLIEMYBOY Jun04 May01       (stall albert)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
5  ZOZOS Jan21 Dec17 May07 Mar26 Feb11 (cox h)LANERIE J 120 1.20 46% 1.20    
6  MAILMAN MONEY Jan26 Nov27 Oct20 Aug06 Jun25 (calhoun william )PARKER L 120 2.00 10% 8.80    
 
FG-7   03/02/2023 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MO SHIRO Feb05 Dec31 Dec01 Oct30 Sep18 (catalano way)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.50 7% 12.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of SEE YA SIGNE by SEA THE STARS (IRE))
2  SMART IZZY Jan27 Jan14 Sep18 Sep04 Jul19 (hatcher nathan)GREEN AUBRIE 117 20.00    
  (by MO TOM out of SEA OF DREAMS by SMART STRIKE)
3  SALSALITA VERDE Feb09 Jan20       (leonard geo)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 6.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of ADVANCED GREEN by MALIBU MOON)
4  SUMMEROSA Feb05         (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 10.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of INTO SUMMER by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  MAGNIFICENT CODE         (walsh bren)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 ★    
  (by HONOR CODE out of MAGNIFICENT SONG by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  PRIZE DEBATE Feb04 Dec12 Oct22 Sep24   (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 10.00    
  (by MR SPEAKER out of MISS MONEYHENNY by PHILANTHROPIST)
7  FLOWERDEW Feb05 Dec01 Oct22 Sep23 Sep01 (margolis stephe)LANERIE J 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of MARRAKESH EXPRESS by UNION RAGS)
8  GYPSY QUEEN         (stidham michael)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 ★    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of CARNIVAL LASS by DISTORTED HUMOR)
SCR  ACTING Sep10 Jul22       (casse mark)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00    
  (by MENDELSSOHN out of MOANIN (FR) by MEDICEAN (GB))
SCR  CLEVER JOKE Dec03 Aug28       (catalano w)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 65% 0.50    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of LA PIBA by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
SCR  JU JU VIP Feb09 Jan25 Jan13 Dec03 Nov16 (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of ELLE SUENO by STREET CRY (IRE))
SCR  LADY DYNAMO         (tomlinson)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of SEAUXBELLE by DYNAFORMER)
SCR  LURE'EM IN Jan21 Sep06       (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 120 12.00    
  (by TAPIT out of BET SHE WINS by FIRST SAMURAI)
SCR  STAY LOST Nov26 Oct16 Sep08 Aug07   (casse norm )GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00    
  (by BERNARDINI out of DARCI'S DREAM by DARCI BRAHMA)
SCR  JAYLA Feb16 Jan20 Sep05 Aug15 Jun28 (lovell michell)ASHTON GAVIN 120 8.00    
  (by TOURIST out of SUMIZOME by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
 
FG-8   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GUN COLLECTOR         (stidham mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of WEMBLEY by BERNARDINI)
2  WICKED AGAIN         (asmussen st)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 2.50 23% 3.30    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of JUST WICKED by TAPIT)
3  CHITWOOD Sep24         (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 120 12.00 16% 5.10    
  (by FIRST SAMURAI out of PUN by PULPIT)
SCR  BILLY JACK         (asmussen s)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 4.50 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of C. S. ROYCE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
5  SQUIRE CREEK         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 4.00 19% 4.20    
  (by UNCLE MO out of COVENANT by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
6  NO TAKE BACKS         (courville ricky)COHEN DAVID 120 12.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HEAT STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
7  RUSH CENTER Feb05         (forster t)GRAHAM J 120 15.00 19% 4.20    
  (by MCCRAKEN out of SILENT STREET by STREET CRY (IRE))
8  RIVER RAFT         (hargrave kenn)VARGAS P 120 20.00    
  (by CANDY RIDE out of PEARL RIVER by QUALITY ROAD)
9  JULIA'S WARRIOR Jan20 Nov27       (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 120 12.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of MAJESTIC MARQUET by PROUD ACCOLADE)
10  WILD THINKER         (kenneally eddie)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of INVESTED PROSPECT by ABRAAJ)
 
FG-9   03/02/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 6:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEBBIES PASSAGE Aug19 Aug10 Jul08 Jun16 May14 (larrosa juan)BARRERA J 116 6.00 ★    
SCR  HALF KOO KOO Jan16 Jan01 May11 Apr15   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 37% 1.70    
3  A. K. A. GRAMS Feb04 Jan19 Dec09 Sep06 Aug06 (landry allen)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
4  BLONDIE LOX BABE Feb09 Jun18 Apr13 Mar20 Mar01 (zenon charles)CHAVEZ ORIEL 121 30.00 14% 6.00    
5  THEBOYZGALAXY Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Sep13 (dandridge c)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00    
6  KICK N KISS Jan13 Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 Jul30 (patt roland)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 15.00    
7  POINT OF VICTORY Feb20 Jan19 Dec29 Dec04 Nov19 (alfortish sean)HEBERT J 121 10.00    
SCR  CANDY'S PRIDE Feb09 Jan16 Dec26 Nov25 Sep25 (morrell cynthia)STOKES A 121 30.00    
9  PEACEFUL VISION Feb09 Jan19 Dec29 Sep13 Jul30 (thomas lee)CULP BRIANNE 116 4.50 ★    
SCR  ENDURING PEACE Feb17 Jan16 Dec29 Dec10 Nov16 (magnon rylee)FUSILIER C 121 10.00 18% 4.50    
11  KASEN'S SISTER Feb09 Jan16 Dec29 Nov09 Oct21 (leblanc jean)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 10.00    
12  SILK SHAKER Dec29 Nov27 Aug11 Mar18 Feb26 (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.