Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turf Paradise
Wednesday - February 01, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TUP-2   WIN (1/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (1/3/6)-(1/3/6/5)-(1/3/6/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (1/3/6)-(2/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/6)-(2/1/3/4)-(5/7/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TUP-3   WIN (2/1/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/1/3/4)-(2/1/3/4/6)-(2/1/3/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/1/3/4)-(5/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/1/3/4)-(5/7/1)-(8/4/7/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
TUP-4   WIN (5/7/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/1)-(5/7/1/3/4)-(5/7/1/3/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/7/1)-(8/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1)-(8/4/7/2)-(4/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-5   WIN (8/4/7/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2)-(8/4/7/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/7/2)-(4/5) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (8/4/7/2)-(4/5)-(3/7/10) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-6   WIN (4/5) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (4/5)-(4/5/7/1/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (4/5)-(4/5/7/1/2)-(4/5/7/1/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (4/5)-(3/7/10) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (4/5)-(3/7/10)-(1/8/7/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
TUP-7   WIN (3/7/10) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/7/10)-(3/7/10/4) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/7/10)-(3/7/10/4)-(3/7/10/4) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/7/10)-(1/8/7/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TUP-8   WIN (1/8/7/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/6/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/8/7/4)-(1/8/7/6/4)-(1/8/7/6/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TUP-2   02/01/2023 3960ft DIRT RC2 FAST Mdn Opt Clm ($30K) Purse ($20.4K) 3 F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEPPER MILL Nov29 Nov04       (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 121 1.60 20% 4.10    
2  GLIMPSE OF GOLD Jan10         (toye joe)ANAYA V 121 6.00    
3  COASTLINE HOTTIE         (sepich edwa)HERNANDEZ HARRY 121 8.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  GRACIE'S A TIGER Jan10 Dec10 Nov12 Oct04 Sep13 (martinez a)LOPEZ KARLO 121 2.00 27% 2.70    
5  ANOTHER TEN Jan10         (hone bart)CORBETT W 121 5.00 ★    
6  JAMIES INHERITANCE         (rennie rich)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 10.00 15% 5.50    
 
TUP-3   02/01/2023 3630ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($8K) Purse ($13.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COLLECTING STARS Jan17 Dec19 Nov26 Nov04 Sep17 (person a)ZUNINO L 124 3.50 22% 3.50    
2  DAZZLING MIST Jan11 Dec17 Nov26 Nov04 Sep19 (barraza rafael )VERGARA P 122 4.00 24% 3.10    
3  STRADARI Jan04 Dec14 Nov26 Nov15   (soto antonio)CORBETT W 122 5.00 14% 6.00    
4  RAGING LADY Jan11 Jan02       (torres-casas je)CRUZ M 122 6.00 11% 8.00    
5  SPEEDY GIGI Jan11 Dec15 Nov23 Nov07 Sep12 (kereluk edward)MAWING A 122 2.50    
6  AMAAZA Jan23 Jan04 Nov24 Oct30 Sep23 (ev)DA FAUSTO 124 3.00 ★    
 
TUP-4   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:48
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIBUTE TO AFLEET Jan05 Dec02 Nov06 Oct21 Sep11 (baze robert)ANAYA V 124 10.00 9% 9.70    
2  BEL RAGAZZO Jan11 Dec14 Nov15 Sep03 Aug15 (kereluk e)VALENZUELA A 124 6.00    
3  THIRSTY KISS Jan23 Dec27 Dec08 Nov30 Nov08 (po)MARTINEZ NAHERD 124 4.50 ★    
4  HANKY PRANKY Jan24 Dec20 Dec08 Oct16 Oct02 (ortiz sr)VERGARA P 124 4.00 ★    
5  TRUTH TO POWER Jan05 Dec13 Nov14 Sep12 Aug29 (kenney dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 5.00 35% 1.90    
6  PHILIPIE FAST Jan17 Jan02 Sep18 Sep09 Aug27 (garcia vale)MARTI ALEXANDER 124 3.50    
7  HIGH FLYIN TIGER Jan11 Jan03 Dec14 Nov29 Nov08 (evans justin)LOPEZ KARLO 124 3.00 34% 1.90    
 
TUP-5   02/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC6 FIRM Optional Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON TAN Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Nov05 Sep07 (perkinson c)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 12.00    
2  ARIZONA JEREMY Apr25 Apr11       (laufenberg joyce)ZUNINO L 122 8.00 7% 12.70    
3  OSTINI Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Sep10 Aug22 (weaver go)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00    
4  LOYALTY SPIRIT Nov16 Oct11 Sep18 Aug30 Aug08 (silva juan )WILLIAMS AJHARI 122 10.00 14% 6.30    
SCR  KALINE Jan05 Oct07 Aug28 Aug19 Aug04 (howey quinn)VERGARA P 124 4.00    
6  MY CALL Sep08 Jul19 Jun26 May31 May09 (moreno car)HERNANDEZ ISRAEL 122 8.00    
7  PASSED BY PAUL Jan10 Dec26 Nov04 Oct01 Sep14 (hernandez mig)VALDES ALEXIS 122 6.00 13% 6.60    
8  CHEST CANDY Aug21 Aug10 Jul09 Apr01 Mar14 (woolley ben)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00 20% 3.90    
9  ITS FIVE SOMEWHERE Jan12 Dec15 Nov16 Sep17 Sep05 (elston brent)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 5.00    
10  MANY ROSES Jan12 Dec26 Sep23 Sep16 Aug26 (axmaker w)CRUZ M 122 10.00    
SCR  PILLAR MOUNTAIN (IRE) Jan12 Dec04 Oct21 Sep17   (diodoro rober)LARA EZEQUIEL 122 8.00 19% 4.20    
SCR  RANCHER Jan12 Dec19 Nov23 Oct02 Sep05 (esquibel mar)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 15.00    
 
TUP-6   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4.5K) Purse ($9.9K) 4UP M/F PT- 4:47
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PARTY POLICE Jan09 Nov29 Nov05 Sep17 Sep10 (ke)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00 ★    
2  LADY CREATIVE Jan12 Dec22 Sep28 Sep02 Aug16 (axmaker w)CORBETT W 124 3.00 ★    
3  SHE'S NOT TO BLAME Jan24 Jan07 Dec14 Nov16 Nov05 (perkinson cc)SARMIENTO RIGO 124 8.00    
4  SASSY EINSTEIN Jan12 Dec14 Nov05 Oct21 Oct02 (pierce michael )VERGARA P 124 4.00 48% 1.10    
5  BIGMONEYHUNNY Jan04 Dec15 Nov15 Sep25 Sep11 (eikleberry k)GARCIA ENRIQUE 124 10.00 24% 3.20    
6  EASY DOES IT Jan12 Nov12 Sep10 Aug27 Aug12 (gangidino lisa)ZUNINO L 124 5.00    
7  SKY HIGH VERONIKA Jan17 Nov05 Aug29 Aug06 Jul11 (leon prisci)DISDIER NICOLLE 124 6.00 ★    
8  IMPULSUS Jan24 Dec15 Nov21 Aug18 Jul07 (kenney ryan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 8.00    
 
TUP-7   02/01/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($4.5K) Purse ($9.4K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN MARK Jan24 Dec17 Nov06 Oct21 Oct02 (kenney dan)CONNING CRYSTAL 124 6.00    
2  MANFORALLSEASONS Jan24 Dec17 Nov30 Sep18 Sep03 (mccartney jack)LEON A 124 20.00    
3  HABANERO KID Jan08 Oct21 Sep25     (lucarelli)VALENZUELA A 124 3.00 30% 2.30    
4  HUNTER JUMPER Nov30 Nov12 Sep27 Sep13 Aug21 (eidschun gregor)CRUZ M 124 12.00 ★    
5  BUSTER BURNS Jan24 Dec17 Apr23 Apr15 Feb20 (williams om)WILLIAMS AJHARI 124 6.00    
SCR  DEPUTY KNIGHT Dec17 Nov30 Sep03 Apr14 Mar10 (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
7  SARGE'S SERMON Jan24 Jan07 Dec17 Jan12   (kenney ryan)HERNANDEZ HARRY 124 4.00 22% 3.60    
SCR  SIERRA SNOW STORM Nov28 Aug15 Jul02 May29 May07 (torres-casas)YBARRA MICHAEL 124 20.00    
SCR  SUPER CREATIVE Jan24 Jan07 Oct22 Sep27 Sep05 (gleason m)ANAYA V 124 5.00 5% 18.60    
10  STANFORD INDIANS Jan24 Jun26       (silva jr)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 8.00 22% 3.70    
11  JOE DID IT Dec17         (o'brien)BIRDRATTLER RICHARD 124 20.00    
 
TUP-8   02/01/2023 5280ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($8.5K) Purse ($12.4K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINNTE WINNTE (IRE) Nov14 Aug28 Aug06 Jun04 Mar19 (williams matt)LOPEZ KARLO 122 4.00 51% 0.90    
2  A THOUSAND DREAMS Jan14 Dec26 Nov12 Sep02 Aug20 (chambers mi)HERNANDEZ HARRY 122 3.00    
3  SATURDAY SERVICE Jan15 Dec10 Dec02 Nov12 Oct22 (dennison dan)SARMIENTO RIGO 122 4.50    
4  REALREALGOOD Jan04 Sep12 Aug29 Aug12 Jun12 (perkins fra)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  TOP REFERENCES Jan14 Dec22 Nov12 Oct10 Aug29 (morgan dan)YBARRA MICHAEL 122 8.00    
6  PLUMA Jan11 Dec20 Nov14 Sep01 Aug14 (lund valorie)ZUNINO L 122 5.00 ★    
7  VALUE DANCER Jan24 Jan14 Dec10 Oct28 Sep17 (si)DA FAUSTO 122 8.00 6% 14.50    
8  LADY JADE Jan11 Dec19 May06 Mar22 Mar01 (leon prisci)DISDIER NICOLLE 122 6.00 9% 9.70    
9  DIPLOMATICA Jan14 Dec26 Dec01 Nov04 Oct22 (martinez esteba)VERGARA P 122 8.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.