Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Tampa Bay Downs
Friday - January 27, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TAM-1   WIN (3/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/2/6)-(3/2/6/4/5)-(3/2/6/4/5) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/2/6)-(3/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/2/6)-(3/4/6)-(8/5/7) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
TAM-2   WIN (3/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (3/4/6)-(3/4/6/2)-(3/4/6/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (3/4/6)-(8/5/7) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (3/4/6)-(8/5/7)-(5/4/1/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
TAM-3   WIN (8/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (8/5/7)-(8/3/10/5/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/5/7)-(8/3/10/5/7)-(8/3/10/5/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (8/5/7)-(5/4/1/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/5/7)-(5/4/1/3)-(10/2/4/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
TAM-4   WIN (5/4/1/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/4/1/3)-(5/4/1/3/8)-(5/4/1/3/8) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/4/1/3)-(10/2/4/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/4/1/3)-(10/2/4/1)-(1/5/3/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-5   WIN (10/2/4/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/4/1)-(10/2/4/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/4/1)-(10/2/4/1)-(10/2/4/1) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/4/1)-(1/5/3/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (10/2/4/1)-(1/5/3/2)-(5/7/1/4) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
TAM-6   WIN (1/5/3/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (1/5/3/2)-(1/5/3/6/2)-(1/5/3/6/2) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (1/5/3/2)-(5/7/1/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/5/3/2)-(5/7/1/4)-(7/3) 32 $1.00 $32.00 
TAM-7   WIN (5/7/1/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/2/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (5/7/1/4)-(5/7/1/2/4)-(5/7/1/2/4) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (5/7/1/4)-(7/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (5/7/1/4)-(7/3)-(1/7/5/4/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
TAM-8   WIN (7/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (7/3)-(7/3/5) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (7/3)-(7/3/5)-(7/3/5) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (7/3)-(1/7/5/4/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
TAM-9   WIN (1/7/5/4/2) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/7/5/4/2)-(1/7/5/4/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (1/7/5/4/2)-(1/7/5/4/2)-(1/7/5/4/2) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TAM-1   01/27/2023 3630ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($27K) 4UP M/F PT-12:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OUR LA DOLCE VITA Dec16         (fisher david)VILLA-GOMEZ H 122 20.00    
  (by HE'S HAD ENOUGH out of LOVELY GOLDA by MONTBROOK)
2  YANKEE AGATE Dec11 Nov19 Oct23     (miller david )MARTIN MATTIE 115 3.00 25% 3.10    
  (by GEMOLOGIST out of REVOLUTIONARY ACT by BOSTON HARBOR)
3  SHE'S REDNECKER Jan01 Dec09 Oct20 Oct03 Sep15 (kintz matth)MORALES PABLO 122 0.80 40% 1.50    
  (by KANTHAROS out of SHIRLEY SHE CAN by ROCK HARD TEN)
4  KEENE ON JENNY Nov07 Oct14 Sep14 Sep03 Jun24 (cordero anton)LOZADA CARLOS 122 15.00 ★    
  (by JIMMY CREED out of MY GAL LEXIE by SULTRY SONG)
5  JULIANNA'S RUBY         (cordero antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 122 6.00 ★    
  (by UPSTART out of GLOW RUBY GO by RUBIANO)
6  BAILOUT KELA Oct23 Oct01 Sep10 Aug27 Jul28 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 122 4.50 15% 5.60    
  (by KELA out of BAILOUT BAILEY by CRIMSON CLASSIC)
 
TAM-2   01/27/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($16K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:02
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD BIBLE Dec14 Nov23 Nov06 Oct02 Sep18 (arnett g)CAMACHO SAMY 119 3.00    
2  SIXTY ONE Jan07 Dec09 Nov23 Nov18 Oct30 (romero raf)SANCHEZ LEXANDER 119 8.00 ★    
3  IMTAKINITTOTHEBANK Jan07 Dec21 Dec07 Nov23 Oct05 (torres pablo )ALICEA JEREMY 112 2.00 22% 3.50    
4  CHIMNEY ROCK Jan04 Nov23 Sep20 Jul20 Jun02 (laurato micha)SANTOS ADEMAR 119 6.00 15% 5.50    
SCR  TAPSOLUTION Jan13 Dec22 Dec09 Oct25 Oct11 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 119 3.50 17% 5.00    
6  GOLOVKIN Jan07 Oct25 Oct04 Sep15 Aug30 (guciardo kathy)FERRER C 119 4.50 13% 6.50    
 
TAM-3   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 1:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DYNAMIC STORM Jan07 Oct17 Sep26     (dixon k)COA J 120 12.00    
2  SICILIANO Dec03 Nov04       (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 15.00    
3  FISHERMAN OSCAR Jan08 Nov25 Oct01 Sep10 Aug18 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 ★    
4  DON CINCO Jan08         (gatis chris)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
5  DAD'S ON A ROLL Dec03         (dini mike)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  G. T. OH Dec28         (o'connell kath)ALLEN D 120 4.50    
7  FRENCHY DEPARTED         (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  ROCK CHALK Jan06 Nov27 Oct29 Sep30 Aug31 (weave)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 2.00 69% 0.40    
9  MIRO Jan13 Dec22       (laurato v)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
10  NOBLE AND KIND Jan13 Dec28 Dec03 Oct08 Sep03 (bennett gerald)CAMACHO SAMY 120 4.00 ★    
SCR  PRALINE'S CAT Dec28 Dec07 Nov23 Sep22 Sep09 (posadas pedr)MENESES MARCOS 120 30.00    
 
TAM-4   01/27/2023 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CANT BEAT THE KATZ Nov06 Oct24 Oct04     (robillard jul)SOSA LAUREANO 112 4.00 10% 8.90    
2  MS MAGGIE Jan07 Dec16 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 (granitz anthony)FELICIANO R 119 12.00    
3  WIN OR CELLAR Dec24 Nov25 Oct08 Sep24 Aug28 (richards rena)IORIO MELISSA 109 8.00 6% 15.40    
4  ELUSIVE UNCAPTURED Dec04 Nov12 Sep03 Aug15 May22 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 119 3.50 12% 7.20    
5  DIA DE SOL Jan06 Dec04 Oct28 Sep28 Aug07 (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 119 5.00 46% 1.20    
6  LA BRODY Dec24 Dec09 Nov23 Nov12 Aug10 (cascallares n)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 12.00    
7  R D BLESSING Jan01 Dec23 Dec14     (drake robert)MARIN SAMUEL 119 20.00    
8  YEGUITA QUEEN Dec23 Nov25 Oct21 Oct08 Aug28 (barboza vict)BATISTA A 119 1.80 ★    
 
TAM-5   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC4 GOOD Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($15K) 3 ALL PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SLOW YOUR ROLE         (seale christop)SUAREZ ANGEL 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  THE SWAYZE EXPRESS Jan13 Dec22 Dec07 Nov23 May31 (potts g)ALLEN D 120 6.00 11% 7.70    
3  HE'S CONNECTED Dec28 Dec03 Sep25 Sep04   (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 8.00    
4  CORE FACTOR Jan11         (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 120 3.50 5% 19.00    
5  ICETECA Jan08 Nov05 Oct28     (smith r)JIMENEZ MANNY 120 20.00    
6  HOP AND SCOTCH Jan07 Dec10 Nov27 Nov03 Oct27 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 120 6.00    
7  GO GREEN Jan08 Dec09       (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
8  PERSONAL FINANCE Jan18 Dec28       (carrascojr v)ARROYO S 120 10.00    
9  AWESOME HONOR Jan14 Oct15       (cordero antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 8.00    
10  TUMIGA Jan11 Dec21 Dec03 Oct22 Oct02 (laurin roger)BATISTA A 120 3.00 12% 7.50    
SCR  ARTICO Dec09 Sep29 Sep06 Aug14   (lopez bernardo)CAMACHO SAMY 120 2.50 49% 1.00    
SCR  UNXPECTED TIGER Dec23 Dec04 Oct27 Oct07   (ochoa gerard)HERNANDEZ K 120 10.00    
 
TAM-6   01/27/2023 5400ft DIRT RC6 FAST Optional Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($19.5K) 4UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ HERSELF Dec31 Dec07 Oct26 Oct01 Sep14 (rigattieri jo)MORALES PABLO 119 1.80 28% 2.50    
2  SOUTHERN SMILE Jan06 Dec17 Oct03 Aug24 Jul20 (granitz anth)BATISTA A 119 8.00 7% 13.30    
3  EXPECT TO BE READY Dec31 Dec07 Oct14 Sep22 Sep02 (wilson tony)QUINONEZ ALONSO 119 4.50 10% 8.70    
4  JLO CAN DANCE Jan08 Dec16 Sep19 Aug25 Aug16 (poole jeffrey )MARIN SAMUEL 119 5.00    
5  KERIK Jan20 Dec09 Nov27 Oct28 Oct20 (smith r)JIMENEZ MANNY 119 6.00 23% 3.40    
6  SNEAKY CHEEKY Dec31 Dec02 Sep28 Aug18 Jun04 (arriagada juan)CAMACHO SAMY 123 2.50 ★    
 
TAM-7   01/27/2023 5280ft TURF RC9 GOOD Starter Allowance ($25K) Purse ($24.5K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PEMAQUID PETE Dec24 Sep05 Aug15 Jul19 Jul05 (fennessy john)ALLEN M 119 15.00 8% 11.10    
2  HARPOON HARRY Dec30 Dec09 Oct12 Jul01 Jun10 (bennett s)FERRER C 123 4.50 ★    
3  SOCIALLONGDISTANCE Dec31 Dec09 Nov25 Oct01 Sep07 (lusk brian)ALONSO LUIS 119 30.00    
4  H C HOLIDAY Dec31 Nov04 Oct15 Sep25 Aug20 (wright michae)HERNANDEZ K 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
5  HARROW Jan08 Dec14 Oct04 Sep07 Jun30 (hamm timothy)MORALES PABLO 121 1.20 55% 0.80    
6  VAN DUSEN (GB) Jan06 Dec03 Nov05 Sep22 Aug22 (thoma)DIAZ RAFAEL 123 6.00    
7  OBIWAN Jan08 Dec07 Nov19 Nov09 Oct13 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 4.00 10% 8.70    
8  GREAT BRITAIN Jan14 Dec24 Nov26 Sep01 Aug20 (ward denni)ROWLAND MADELINE 114 8.00    
 
TAM-8   01/27/2023 5400ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GENERAL COMMAND Sep11 Aug29 Aug14 Feb18 Jan29 (bennett geral)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 2.50    
2  BRAVE HILARIO Dec31 Dec23 Nov29 Oct31 Oct19 (escobar alis)SUAREZ ANTHONY 120 20.00    
3  SANDY DUDE Dec28 Nov30 Nov04 Sep17 Aug27 (harney he)CAMACHO JR 120 4.00 5% 17.60    
4  J T'S MY BOY Jan06 Aug27 Aug14 Jul29   (nunez mauricio)MENDEZ KEVIN 123 6.00    
5  BAM BAM WARRIOR Jan13 Dec28 Dec14 Sep28 Aug30 (torres r)SUAREZ JESUS 120 4.00 ★    
6  ROWDY JESS Jan13 Dec23 Sep23 Sep10 Aug01 (fennessy john)MBATHA LUCKY 110 15.00    
7  HAD RIGHT Jan08 Dec02 Sep23 Aug23 Aug10 (ochoa gerard)ARROYO S 120 4.50 8% 10.80    
8  EL ROMANTICO Dec31 Dec15 Oct01 Sep23 Aug06 (lanum crystal)SOSA LAUREANO 113 12.00    
9  GIOVANE'S PROMISE Jan13 Oct19 Oct05 Sep21 Sep08 (gonzalez aldana)SPIETH S 120 20.00    
10  COMMANDER KEITH Jul01 Jun19 Apr08 Mar05 Feb16 (lusk brian)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 30.00    
SCR  SWIFT KID Jan13 Dec28 Dec09 Aug24 Aug01 (machado antoni)MARIN SAMUEL 120 4.50 21% 3.70    
SCR  AWESOME ENOUGH Jan15 Oct02 Sep10 Aug21   (rodriguez da)MENESES MARCOS 120 5.00 42% 1.40    
SCR  TEDDY'S HONOR Jan15 Dec07 Nov23 Jul01 Jun18 (wasiluk peter)IORIO MELISSA 110 20.00    
 
TAM-9   01/27/2023 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($16K) Purse ($16.6K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THE SKIPSTER Jan06 Dec21 Nov25 Sep16 Sep03 (posadas pedr)BATISTA A 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
2  REINER Jan13 Dec09 Dec02 Oct18 Sep28 (ferraro anthon)FERRER C 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  PIVOTAL RUN Nov05 Oct08 Sep10 Aug11 Jun19 (o'con)DIAZ RAFAEL 120 6.00    
4  AIRMAN Jan14 Nov13 Sep23 Jul30 Mar12 (lopez rob)CENTENO E 120 3.50 6% 15.30    
5  BUSTIN UP Jan11 Dec30 Dec14 Oct18 Sep27 (delgado h)SUAREZ ANGEL 123 4.50 12% 7.30    
6  SHIMMERING LEROID Dec21 Dec02 Sep23 Aug29 Aug21 (mccarthy b)ROWLAND MADELINE 115 12.00    
7  ANGEL'S MAGIC Dec02 Oct14 Sep10 Aug25 Aug03 (padilla tim)QUINONEZ ALONSO 120 6.00 15% 5.90    
8  TAPINTOYOURBEER Dec31 Dec21 Dec02 May06 Apr23 (ubide max)SANTOS ADEMAR 120 20.00    
9  JUST PRAISE Jan06 Dec21 Dec02 Oct19 Oct06 (guciardo kathy)CAMACHO SAMY 120 8.00    
10  KINGSTOWN Jan13 Dec04 Nov12 Oct16 Aug24 (o'connel)GALLARDO A 120 12.00    
SCR  LAST SECOND LOUIE Oct22 Sep09 Jul29 Mar18   (alvara)ROJAS EDUARDO 120 15.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.