Handicappers' Racing Form

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Aqueduct
Sunday - January 08, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

AQU-1   Win (2/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-2   Win (1/4) 2 $2.00 $4.00
AQU-3   Win (5/1/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-4   Win (6/5/2/3/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
AQU-5   Win (2/5/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00
AQU-6   Win (6/5/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-7   Win (4/7/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-8   Win (1/3/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00
AQU-9   Win (8) 1 $2.00 $2.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
AQU-1   01/08/2023 5280ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($40K) Purse ($43K) 3 ALL PT-12:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CONNECT THE BROCKS Dec10 Nov02       (barro)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 120 6.00    
FIRE KING Dec11 Nov02 Sep23 Aug04   (camejo m)FRANCO MANUEL 120 2.50 56% 0.80    
LAUREL VALLEY Dec17         (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 120 2.00 7% 12.60    
CAMPBELITO Dec10         (quick patr)DAVIS A 120 12.00    
SOMAMA BEACH Dec17 Sep22 Sep05     (davis d)HARKIE K 120 12.00    
TWO CHUCKLES Dec17 Dec02 Oct27     (englehart chris)DAVIS DYLAN 120 1.80 15% 5.80    
 
AQU-2   01/08/2023 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($25K) Purse ($36K) 4UP ALL PT-12:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HANG TIGHT Dec02 Oct16 Aug19 Jul25 Jul06 (falcone n)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 49% 1.10    
KONG LOVES A FIGHT Dec15 Nov13 Nov05 Sep03 Aug07 (noda orlando)CANCEL ERIC 123 10.00    
MOONSHININGBRIGHT Nov12 Sep18 Jul24 Jul03 May29 (baker )HUAYAS (JASON) 113 12.00    
MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jan01 Dec18 Dec09 Dec04 Nov20 (cash norma)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 2.50 23% 3.30    
OPEN TIL MIDNIGHT Dec11 Oct30 Feb11     (ryerson jam)VARGAS A 120 4.00    
STRONG LIGHT Dec15 Dec09 Nov25 Oct03 Aug19 (barre)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 123 2.50    
 
AQU-3   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($35K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:18
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKART Dec01 Nov13 Oct14 Aug05 Jul22 (ryerson t)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.00 17% 4.70    
DEVIL'S EDGE Feb11         (hennig mark)HARKIE K 122 8.00    
SCR  SILVER SAMURAI Jan28         (breen kell)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 1.60 26% 2.80    
BRENNAN'S WAR Nov18 Oct07 Jul31 Jul08 Jun19 (gyarmati leah)LUZZI J 122 15.00 13% 6.50    
OUR SON JAKE Dec11 Oct20 Jul09 May29 May14 (miceli)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 1.40 22% 3.50    
TYRANNOSAURUS REX Jul22 Jun21 May21 Apr24   (engle)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 122 8.00    
 
AQU-4   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($40K) Purse ($60K) 4UP M/F PT- 1:50
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DIVA BANKER Dec03 Nov05 Sep02 Jul03 May22 (rodriguez r)DAVIS KATIE 120 5.00    
CUSTOMEREXPERIENCE Dec11 Nov26 Oct27 Oct06 Aug05 (toscano t)CANCEL ERIC 123 2.00 15% 5.60    
HYDRA Dec16 Nov26 Nov08 Oct23 Apr23 (englehart jeffrey)DAVIS DYLAN 123 6.00 10% 9.30    
GAME THEORY Dec16 Dec01 Nov04 Oct13 Sep16 (jones e)HERNANDEZ OMAR 113 12.00    
BABA Nov26 Nov13 Oct20 Aug21 Jul09 (rodriguez )GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 2.50 22% 3.50    
BLUE PAYNT Nov10 Oct28 Aug01 Jun27 May31 (kantarmaci)GONZALEZ SILVESTRE 120 4.00 22% 3.50    
SARATOGA BEAUTY Jul11 Jun06 May09 Apr16 Feb27 (englehart jeffr)FRANCO MANUEL 120 12.00 8% 12.00    
 
AQU-5   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($80K) 4UP ALL PT- 2:22
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAGICAL WAYS Dec15 Nov11       (mott wil)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 3.50    
AMERICAN LAW Nov18 Apr21 Mar20     (gargan danny)CARMOUCHE K 122 1.80 30% 2.40    
SCR  PRICING POWER Oct29         (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 6.00    
NORGAY Dec09 Nov10 Oct26 Sep15 Aug13 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 115 8.00 6% 14.80    
VODKA MARDINI Dec15 Nov18       (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 2.50 28% 2.60    
IMPROPER Dec09 Apr09 Mar05 Feb03 Jan13 (terranova )GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00 11% 8.00    
 
AQU-6   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($45K) Purse ($74K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PATRIA Nov19 Oct01 Aug26 Jul29 May06 (salazar marco)CARMOUCHE K 120 8.00    
SCR  RUVIES IN TIME Dec09 Nov20 Nov13 Sep25 Aug21 (jacobs)HUAYAS (JASON) 111 1.60 29% 2.50    
HAPPY SOPHIA Dec29 Dec11 Nov26 Nov20 Oct23 (persaud randi)LUZZI J 118 6.00    
CARAMOCHA Dec15 Nov04 Oct09 Sep15 Aug17 (friedman m)GOMEZ ANTONIO 115 4.50    
SPIN A YARN Dec11 Nov08 Jul11     (progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 118 10.00 17% 5.00    
RIBOT'S VALENTINE Dec11 Nov18 Oct01 Sep05 Jan08 (handal raymond)DAVIS DYLAN 120 3.50 17% 4.70    
VALLELUJAH Dec11 Nov20 Oct23 Sep24 Aug13 (davis robb)DAVIS A 120 6.00 11% 8.30    
 
AQU-7   01/08/2023 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($72K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:24
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
UNO Nov02 Oct03 Sep05 Aug24 Aug08 (delauro)HERNANDEZ OMAR 116 8.00    
ZIRCON Dec11 Nov09 Nov01 Sep19 Aug29 (progn)WORRIE SHIVNARINE 123 6.00 17% 4.90    
DEE BO Dec10 Nov22 Oct24 Sep20 Sep05 (lynch )HUAYAS (JASON) 116 8.00    
WARRIORS REVENGE Dec11 Nov22 Oct11 Sep05 Aug16 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 123 3.50 36% 1.80    
WRITER'S REGRET Jul25 Jun27 May30 May16 May02 (d'alessandro ralp)CANCEL ERIC 123 4.50    
DAUFUSKIE ISLAND Oct07 Jul31 Jul03 May05 Mar06 (baker charlton)DAVIS DYLAN 123 3.50    
SAFALOW'S MISSION Dec11 Jun11 May14 Apr28 Mar05 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 2.50 18% 4.40    
 
AQU-8   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($100K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:52
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BOY TATE Dec04 Oct30 Oct10 Aug12 Mar20 (nevin michelle)FRANCO MANUEL 124 2.50 33% 2.10    
REGGAE MUSIC MAN Nov26 Nov05 Aug12 Jul01 Jun10 (reynolds p)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 6.00    
BANKIT Dec04 Aug26 Aug12 Feb19   (asmussen steven )LEZCANO JOSE 124 2.00 23% 3.30    
WUDDA U THINK NOW Dec17 Oct30 Sep10 Aug12 Jun21 (rodriguez r)DAVIS DYLAN 124 1.80 21% 3.80    
MARKET ALERT Dec17 Dec09 Nov06 Oct07 Aug12 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 124 6.00    
 
AQU-9   01/08/2023 4620ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:20
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DOWNTOWN CONNECTOR Feb19 Jan22       (morley thomas)OLVER MADISON 112 3.50    
NAKED AND FAMOUS Aug25 Jul20 Jun26     (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
GOLDEN PURCHASE Dec29 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 Oct15 (jones edua)DAVIS A 122 10.00    
PAPI ON ICE Dec17 Dec09 Nov25 Nov10 Aug10 (persaud )MARAGH RAMSAY 122 12.00    
DADS GOOD RUNNER Jun18 May01 Apr01 Feb03   (nevin mich)GOMEZ ANTONIO 117 6.00    
SCR  SHARPOON Dec09 Nov25 Sep30 Aug10 Jul04 (fisher linda)CASTILLO AMIN 122 30.00    
SCR  SUPER QUALITY Dec09 Nov10 Sep30 Aug28 Jul20 (atras rob)CARMOUCHE K 122 2.50 52% 0.90    
CHEEKY TICO Jul29 Jul01 Jun11 May07 Apr21 (noda orlando)FRANCO MANUEL 122 3.00 19% 4.20    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.