Handicappers' Racing Form

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Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets

Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss

FG-1   Win (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00
FG-2   Win (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-3   Win (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-4   Win (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00
FG-5   Win (5/6/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00
FG-6   Win (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
FG-7   Win (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00
FG-8   Win (6/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

 
FG-1   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BET ON BOURBON Dec18 Nov26 Aug27 Jul20   (camejo jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 69% 0.40    
ENOUGH HEART Nov25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul06 Jun16 (bernard john)ALBERT S 116 5.00    
RESPOSADO Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jun09 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.00    
BEAUTIFULANDWILD Nov25 Oct28 Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 (zenon charles)THERIOT J 121 5.00    
EYESEEMONEY Dec23 Nov26 Sep12 Jul17 Jun28 (schmidt deni)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
SCR  SPECTACULAR IZZY Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Jul16 Jun25 (ingram steve)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
THE MISSING PIECE Nov25 Sep20 Aug07 Jul16 Jun04 (hargrave kenneth)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00    
ALLSTAR MAGIC Dec23 Dec04 Nov25 Aug12 Jul09 (ladner chad)MELANCON G 121 10.00    
 
FG-2   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SWEET BEAUTY Nov03 Oct08 Jul20 Jul03 Jun25 (tomlinson michael )PARKER L 122 4.50    
MA CHERIE Dec15 Oct29 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (cohn g)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00    
SHANIAH Dec15 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 Aug16 (tomlinson mi)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
MISS G G Dec15 Aug28 Jul28     (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00    
DREAM STREAK Nov23 Nov08 Sep29 Sep12 Aug23 (shirer matt)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
JOAN'S WAY Nov18 Oct29 Oct01 Mar19 Feb18 (silva carlos )GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
FG-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 3:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BEULAH K Dec10 Nov16       (snodderly )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
ENTITLEMENT Dec09 Aug20       (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
DAT GUITAR Dec09 Nov18       (derousselle )ALBERT S 115 10.00    
YOCKEY BETTERFLY         (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
PURSUIT L'HARMONIE Dec02 Nov18       (camejo jo)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00    
VISIONISTA Dec23         (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 27% 2.60    
KYLE BEAUTY         (faucheux ron)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 6% 14.70    
 
FG-4   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALEBRIJE Oct27 Oct06 Sep18 Sep01 Aug15 (lopez elias)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00    
SIERRA HOTEL Dec17 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 (rodriguez ed)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
LIGHTNING STRUCK Dec17 Nov17 Nov02 Aug28 Jul10 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
SUMMER SPLASH Nov23 Nov16 Oct15 Sep17 Aug13 (amoss thoma)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00    
KENNESAW Oct30 Oct02 Aug12 Jul24 Jul16 (rodriguez ed)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 61% 0.60    
TANGO CHARLIE Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 Aug25 (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50    
 
FG-5   01/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLOR FAST Sep20 Sep03 Aug01 Jul17 Jun20 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
EAST LEX Dec15 Nov24 Jun28 May15 Mar18 (cuccia j)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
COUNTER OFFER Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 Oct04 Aug02 (lopez elias)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 16% 5.40    
TIO BLAS Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 Jul02 (scherer gary)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50    
SERMONONTHEMOUNT Dec15 Nov24 Sep12 Aug02 May13 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
OVERTHOUGHT Dec19 Dec11 Nov03 Oct19 Sep26 (govea cesar)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
WOMAN WITH A BOOK Nov24 Oct19 Jul05 Jun06 May09 (wilson sh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 12% 7.10    
THE GRAY BLUR Dec15 Dec02 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 119 6.00    
MISHKO Nov24 Nov07 Aug31 Jul31 Jun09 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GOLDEN PALACE Dec10 Nov24 Nov10 Sep05 Aug20 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50    
1A  BINDING AGREEMENT Dec15 Nov17 Aug17 Jul20 Jun25 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
G'WILDCAT Nov24 Sep18 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Dec17 Nov19 Aug21     (delany sa)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 7% 14.20    
HOORAY AUSTIN Dec15 Nov24 Sep20 Jul28 Jul02 (bourgeois kei)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
MISTER DON Jun28 May24 Mar19 Feb04 Jan02 (schmidt denis)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Dec23 Dec03 Nov24 Sep05 Aug04 (ducoing stu)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
GRAVY HOUND Dec04 Feb21 Feb04     (felks r)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
FG-7   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DUAL MONARCHY Dec03         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
MEANT TO BE LUCKY Nov24 Oct18 Sep11 Aug19   (barkley jas)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
WILLAKENZIE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
ICE TIME Dec03         (sharp joe)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00    
SCR  FORTUNE Dec08 Oct01 Sep01 Aug12   (walsh brendan )BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
SIR Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 Sep08 (mcpeek kenne)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5% 17.60    
GEM COLLECTION Dec26 Dec03 Nov24 Oct29   (dorochenko gennadi)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
SCR  SAM STORMY Oct30 Sep08       (kenneally edd)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
SCR  MYREDWHITEANDBLUE Nov18 Sep10       (roussel loui)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
SCR  GORDY'S LABEL Dec03 Oct30       (stall alber)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
SCR  HUNTER'S DRIVE Nov23 Nov16 Oct30 Sep03 Aug19 (desormeaux j)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  FUJIN Nov23         (devaux cherie)PARKER L 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
SCR  CAFE RACER Nov27         (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
SCR  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Dec09 Oct28 Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 (wilson sh)RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 17.30    
SCR  DESERT DUKE Dec16         (hartman chri)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
SCR  FOE         (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 8.00    
 
FG-8   01/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
JAYS HOLIDAY Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Aug18 Jul13 (zenon shelto)ALBERT S 116 10.00    
COUYONS CAUSE Sep17 Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 Jun04 (austin keith)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
SCORING DRIVE Dec19 Nov26 Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 (richards coral)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
BOULDERING Mar19 Mar03 Jan30     (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Dec11 Nov24 Oct28 Oct15 Sep11 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
TAMBOURINE STAR Dec15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10   (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  COMMANDER SCOTT Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 Jun22 (ducoing j)RIQUELME J 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
SUNDAY BREEZE Nov24 Sep17 Aug11 Jun25   (devaux cherie)PARKER L 121 5.00    
DUVEE Dec11 Nov24 Mar16 Feb12 Jan29 (david b)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.