Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - January 05, 2023
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
FG-1   WIN (1) 1 $2.00 $2.00 
    EXA (1)-(1/3/7/2/4) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1)-(1/3/7/2/4)-(1/3/7/2/4) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
    DD (1)-(3/6/5) 3 $1.00 $3.00 
    PK3 (1)-(3/6/5)-(2/6/7/1) 12 $0.50 $6.00 
FG-2   WIN (3/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/1/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5)-(3/6/5/1/4)-(3/6/5/1/4) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (3/6/5)-(2/6/7/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5)-(2/6/7/1)-(5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
FG-3   WIN (2/6/7/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/7/1)-(2/6/7/1/5)-(2/6/7/1/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/6/7/1)-(5/2) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (2/6/7/1)-(5/2)-(5/6/3/7/9) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-4   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2/6/1/4) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    TRI (5/2)-(5/2/6/1/4)-(5/2/6/1/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/2)-(5/6/3/7/9) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(5/6/3/7/9)-(4/1/7/3) 40 $0.50 $20.00 
FG-5   WIN (5/6/3/7/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/3/7/9)-(5/6/3/7/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/3/7/9)-(5/6/3/7/9)-(5/6/3/7/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/3/7/9)-(4/1/7/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/6/3/7/9)-(4/1/7/3)-(3/1/6) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
FG-6   WIN (4/1/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/1/7/3)-(1/4/7/3/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/1/7/3)-(1/4/7/3/6)-(1/4/7/3/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/1/7/3)-(3/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/1/7/3)-(3/1/6)-(6/4/9) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
FG-7   WIN (3/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/1/6)-(3/1/6)-(3/1/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/1/6)-(6/4/9) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
FG-8   WIN (6/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/9)-(6/4/9/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/4/9)-(6/4/9/8)-(6/4/9/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BET ON BOURBON Dec18 Nov26 Aug27 Jul20   (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 69% 0.40    
2  ENOUGH HEART Nov25 Aug19 Jul28 Jul06 Jun16 (bernard jo)ALBERT S 116 5.00 ★    
3  RESPOSADO Nov25 Aug26 Aug06 Jul23 Jun09 (thomas lee)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 ★    
4  BEAUTIFULANDWILD Nov25 Oct28 Sep20 Aug21 Aug08 (zenon charle)THERIOT J 121 5.00 ★    
5  EYESEEMONEY Dec23 Nov26 Sep12 Jul17 Jun28 (schmidt de)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 5.00    
SCR  SPECTACULAR IZZY Dec16 Nov12 Oct28 Jul16 Jun25 (ingram steve)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00    
7  THE MISSING PIECE Nov25 Sep20 Aug07 Jul16 Jun04 (hargrave kenne)CULP BRIANNE 116 8.00 ★    
8  ALLSTAR MAGIC Dec23 Dec04 Nov25 Aug12 Jul09 (ladner chad)MELANCON G 121 10.00    
 
FG-2   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($25K) 4UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SWEET BEAUTY Nov03 Oct08 Jul20 Jul03 Jun25 (tomlinson michae)PARKER L 122 4.50 ★    
2  MA CHERIE Dec15 Oct29 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 (cohn g)CULP BRIANNE 117 6.00    
3  SHANIAH Dec15 Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 Aug16 (tomlinson )LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 2.50 29% 2.50    
4  MISS G G Dec15 Aug28 Jul28     (faucheux ron)GEROUX FLORENT 119 6.00 ★    
5  DREAM STREAK Nov23 Nov08 Sep29 Sep12 Aug23 (shirer ma)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50 16% 5.20    
6  JOAN'S WAY Nov18 Oct29 Oct01 Mar19 Feb18 (silva carlo)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 3.00 27% 2.80    
 
FG-3   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BEULAH K Dec10 Nov16       (snodderl)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TENPINS out of AHORITA by WOODMAN)
2  ENTITLEMENT Dec09 Aug20       (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by TAKEOVER TARGET out of SPRING MAMBO by KINGMAMBO)
3  DAT GUITAR Dec09 Nov18       (deroussell)ALBERT S 115 10.00    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of CAT WHO DAT by FIRE SLAM)
4  YOCKEY BETTERFLY         (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 120 8.00    
  (by YOCKEY'S WARRIOR out of MISS MARIPOSA by ZARBYEV)
5  PURSUIT L'HARMONIE Dec02 Nov18       (camejo )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.00 ★    
  (by STAR GUITAR out of SAFARI CALAMARI by HALF OURS)
6  VISIONISTA Dec23         (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 6.00 27% 2.60    
  (by COURT VISION out of MISS PITTY PAT by DATA LINK)
7  KYLE BEAUTY         (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 3.50 6% 14.70    
  (by CALIFORNIA CHROME out of HEART OF MINE by PEPPERED CAT)
 
FG-4   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($32K) 4UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEBRIJE Oct27 Oct06 Sep18 Sep01 Aug15 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 8.00 ★    
2  SIERRA HOTEL Dec17 Oct22 Oct08 Sep23 Sep17 (rodriguez )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 5.00 16% 5.30    
3  LIGHTNING STRUCK Dec17 Nov17 Nov02 Aug28 Jul10 (asmussen m)GRAHAM J 122 4.50    
4  SUMMER SPLASH Nov23 Nov16 Oct15 Sep17 Aug13 (amoss tho)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.00 ★    
5  KENNESAW Oct30 Oct02 Aug12 Jul24 Jul16 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 120 4.50 61% 0.60    
6  TANGO CHARLIE Dec10 Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 Aug25 (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 ★    
 
FG-5   01/05/2023 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  COLOR FAST Sep20 Sep03 Aug01 Jul17 Jun20 (balderas alfonso)RIQUELME J 121 8.00    
2  EAST LEX Dec15 Nov24 Jun28 May15 Mar18 (cuccia j)MELANCON G 121 12.00    
3  COUNTER OFFER Nov27 Oct28 Oct15 Oct04 Aug02 (lopez eli)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 2.50 16% 5.40    
4  TIO BLAS Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 Jul02 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 4.50    
5  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Dec15 Nov24 Sep12 Aug02 May13 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 6.00 27% 2.70    
6  OVERTHOUGHT Dec19 Dec11 Nov03 Oct19 Sep26 (govea cesar)GRAHAM J 124 3.50 18% 4.70    
7  WOMAN WITH A BOOK Nov24 Oct19 Jul05 Jun06 May09 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 20.00 12% 7.10    
8  THE GRAY BLUR Dec15 Dec02 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 119 6.00    
9  MISHKO Nov24 Nov07 Aug31 Jul31 Jun09 (delany sarah)PARKER L 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
FG-6   01/05/2023 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 4UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN PALACE Dec10 Nov24 Nov10 Sep05 Aug20 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 ★    
1A  BINDING AGREEMENT Dec15 Nov17 Aug17 Jul20 Jun25 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 3.50 18% 4.50    
2  G'WILDCAT Nov24 Sep18 Aug12 Jul14 Jun09 (bourgeois keith)MELANCON G 120 6.00    
3  SCARLETTSBLACKJACK Dec17 Nov19 Aug21     (delany )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 3.50 7% 14.20    
4  HOORAY AUSTIN Dec15 Nov24 Sep20 Jul28 Jul02 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 3.00 32% 2.10    
5  MISTER DON Jun28 May24 Mar19 Feb04 Jan02 (schmidt den)BARANDELA SOFIA 115 15.00    
6  BOOTSIE'S GALAXY Dec23 Dec03 Nov24 Sep05 Aug04 (ducoing s)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00 ★    
7  GRAVY HOUND Dec04 Feb21 Feb04     (felks r)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 18% 4.60    
 
FG-7   01/05/2023 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 3 ALL PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DUAL MONARCHY Dec03         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 4.50 16% 5.30    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of SURFER'S PARADISE by CONGRATS)
2  MEANT TO BE LUCKY Nov24 Oct18 Sep11 Aug19   (barkley j)PEDROZA MARCELINO 120 6.00    
  (by LOOKIN AT LUCKY out of MEAN IRENE by SCAT DADDY)
3  WILLAKENZIE         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 23% 3.30    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ROAD TO VICTORY by QUALITY ROAD)
4  ICE TIME Dec03         (sharp joe)ASHTON GAVIN 120 10.00    
  (by KEEN ICE out of SIRENUSA by TIZNOW)
SCR  FORTUNE Dec08 Oct01 Sep01 Aug12   (walsh brenda)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 4.00    
  (by EMPIRE MAKER out of MAGICAL MOOD by FORESTRY)
6  SIR Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Oct07 Sep08 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 120 4.50 5% 17.60    
  (by MUNNINGS out of TAYLOR A. LITTLE J by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  GEM COLLECTION Dec26 Dec03 Nov24 Oct29   (dorochenko genna)RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
  (by COLLECTED out of SOMETIMESADIAMOND by VOCALISED)
SCR  SAM STORMY Oct30 Sep08       (kenneally e)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 4.50    
  (by GET STORMY out of MIDNIGHT MANGATA by MAXIOS (GB))
SCR  MYREDWHITEANDBLUE Nov18 Sep10       (roussel lo)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 6.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of PARTISAN POLITICS by MORE THAN READY)
SCR  GORDY'S LABEL Dec03 Oct30       (stall alb)HERNANDEZ J 120 8.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MYBROKENHOME by BROKEN VOW)
SCR  HUNTER'S DRIVE Nov23 Nov16 Oct30 Sep03 Aug19 (desormeaux)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of SPARKLE FACTOR (IRE) by UNKNOWN)
SCR  FUJIN Nov23         (devaux cherie)PARKER L 120 4.00 26% 2.90    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of SEASONED by PULPIT)
SCR  CAFE RACER Nov27         (stall m)RIQUELME J 120 6.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of LAURA'S PLEASURE by CACTUS RIDGE)
SCR  DECCAN PRINCE (IRE) Dec09 Oct28 Sep24 Aug14 Jul30 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 6.00 5% 17.30    
  (by KINGMAN out of DECCAN QUEEN by FLATTER)
SCR  DESERT DUKE Dec16         (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 120 8.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of DESERT DUCHESS by HARD SPUN)
SCR  FOE         (rubley kelly)PARKER L 120 8.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of MUNNIAN by MUNNINGS)
 
FG-8   01/05/2023 5490ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JAYS HOLIDAY Dec16 Dec02 Oct29 Aug18 Jul13 (zenon shel)ALBERT S 116 10.00    
2  COUYONS CAUSE Sep17 Aug29 Jul23 Jun27 Jun04 (austin kei)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
3  SCORING DRIVE Dec19 Nov26 Jul16 Jun18 Jun03 (richards cor)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 15.00    
4  BOULDERING Mar19 Mar03 Jan30     (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 24% 3.20    
5  RUNNINGINTHEMONEY Dec11 Nov24 Oct28 Oct15 Sep11 (balderas alfonso)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
6  TAMBOURINE STAR Dec15 Mar26 Mar05 Feb10   (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 121 4.50 29% 2.40    
SCR  COMMANDER SCOTT Nov24 Oct06 Aug26 Jul20 Jun22 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 121 6.00 15% 5.60    
8  SUNDAY BREEZE Nov24 Sep17 Aug11 Jun25   (devaux cherie)PARKER L 121 5.00 ★    
9  DUVEE Dec11 Nov24 Mar16 Feb12 Jan29 (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 3.50 10% 8.60    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.