Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Penn National
Friday - December 16, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI


Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
PEN-1   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($20K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  WAHOOWA WAHOOWA Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Aug31 Jul27 (beattie cody)DIAZ VLADIMIR 120 4.00 16% 5.10    
KING'S HOUSE Oct25 Oct11 Sep13 Sep01 Aug04 (gonzalez-mi)RAMOS C 115 8.00    
SIR ROCKPORT Nov29 Nov04 Oct14 Sep22 Sep01 (synnefias pana)CONNER TYLER 122 8.00    
JAYJAYDEE Nov25 Aug20 Jul14 Jun03 May11 (kreiser tim)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 3.00 45% 1.20    
BAILEY Nov29 Nov19 Nov05 Oct26 Oct14 (simone mi)HERNANDEZ A 124 2.50 13% 6.70    
SCR  SPOTTED BULL Nov26 Apr21 Apr01 Mar19 Mar04 (magee kieron)BARBOSA JEIRON 115 12.00    
ROCKET BLAST Nov23 Oct25 Sep23 Aug10 Jul15 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 122 3.50    
 
PEN-2   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRITESIDEOFTHEROAD Nov25 Oct19 Sep21 Sep02 Jul21 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 122 6.00    
MEMPHIS MAFIA Nov25 Nov02 Oct10 Sep21 Aug31 (o'callahan )SALGADO ANTHONY 122 4.00    
NORA RADD Aug12 Jul13 Jun23 Jun10 Apr08 (albright amy)VILLEGAS JERRY 122 5.00 39% 1.60    
STARSHIP REINA Nov25 Nov01 Oct07 Sep28 Jul30 (lucas bonni)INIRIO J 122 12.00    
POLISHED GAL Sep23 Sep01 Jul29 Jul17 Jul01 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.00 19% 4.40    
SCR  TORN JEANS Nov18 Oct20 Sep23 Aug27 Jul09 (johnston rob)CORA D 124 6.00    
SHATTER ME Nov25 Oct26 Sep07 Aug05 Jul07 (kulp bran)RODRIGUEZ R 122 6.00    
RAECHEL'S RISK Nov25 Oct26 Oct12 Aug31 Aug05 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 6.00 18% 4.60    
 
PEN-3   12/16/2022 5490ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ECONOMIC POWER Nov25 Nov01 Oct11 Sep14 Sep02 (ramirez r)RODRIGUEZ R 120 3.50 20% 4.00    
BLUEBERRY MASH Nov22 Oct25 Oct04 Sep14 Aug18 (stites w)AGUILAR M 124 8.00    
SCR  COUSTEAU Nov18 Sep04 Jul04 Jun04 Apr07 (kreiser c)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 15% 5.90    
MUCHO MACHO EDDIE Oct28 Oct09 Sep24 Aug25 Jul07 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 6.00 40% 1.50    
DEB'S GUNFIGHTER Nov16 Oct25 Oct07 Sep02 Jul22 (kreiser tim)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 5.00    
AWESOME LAUNCH Nov23 Nov01 Oct14 Sep27 Sep13 (huston k)TORRES JOMAR 120 8.00    
COMBATING Oct07 Sep15 Aug24 Jan07   (moreno tito)SALGADO ANTHONY 120 50.00    
SCR  SPARTAK Nov29 Nov14 Nov01 Oct11 Oct04 (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 120 30.00    
HERE'S WALDO Nov25 Oct05 Sep07 Jul27 Jun14 (sinnefia )HERNANDEZ A 120 8.00    
10  KAZ SUGAR BANK Nov23 Nov11 Oct11 Sep15 Aug25 (synnefias dimi)CONNER TYLER 119 8.00    
SCR  SPEIGHTSTER RED Oct17 Oct01 Sep15 Sep02 Aug17 (lake a)WHITNEY G 120 12.00    
SCR  UNCLE JEROME Nov26 Oct15 Sep30 Aug27 Aug06 (smith la)DAVIS A 120 15.00    
 
PEN-4   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($10K) Purse ($14.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAKARI Nov30 Nov09 Oct29 Oct15 Oct02 (carpio erin)TUNON JORDANO 121 3.50 38% 1.60    
SCR  VAN HAVEN Nov16 Oct29 Oct06 Sep15 Aug30 (beattie m)WHITNEY G 122 3.00 38% 1.70    
SCR  MOVING IN STEREO Nov30 Oct10 Sep03 Aug05 Jul13 (crook-demasi k)CONNER TYLER 121 4.50    
SHASHKA Apr20 Mar11 Feb18     (albright ge)INIRIO J 121 8.00    
BO RUNKLE Nov30 Oct12 Sep23 Aug24 Aug10 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 121 10.00    
SHOYYOOKH Nov23 Nov09 Oct25 Oct12 Aug31 (carpio erin)CORUJO LEONARDO 122 8.00    
RUN LAURA RUN Nov30 Nov02 Jan28 Jan07   (king lawrence)DIAZ VLADIMIR 122 2.50    
 
PEN-5   12/16/2022 5280ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($6.25K) Purse ($13.1K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
INSTINCTIVE Nov06 Oct18 Sep21 Aug30 Aug14 (moore mic)RODRIGUEZ R 122 2.50 43% 1.30    
PERKEO Nov15 Oct15 Sep24 Jul13 Jun23 (rathman elisha)WHITNEY G 121 8.00    
EIFS Nov24 Oct28 Sep17 Aug25 Jul23 (mcmahon deme)BARBOSA JEIRON 117 3.50 20% 4.00    
HOLMDEL PARK Nov22 Nov01 Oct14 Sep19 Aug20 (sells rac)VARGAS L 122 4.50    
MIKEY'S JEWEL Dec07 Nov15 Oct25 Oct14 Oct05 (salinas jose)AGUILAR M 120 10.00    
HAY BUCK Sep09 Aug05 Jul13 May30 May03 (rathman eli)SALGADO ANTHONY 122 10.00    
WICKED T Nov01 Oct19 Oct05 Sep16 Sep08 (bobadilla f)CORA D 120 8.00    
TIME TO TWO STEP Nov14 Oct31 Oct10 Sep14 Aug20 (castillo sanc)RIVERA D 120 5.00 6% 15.20    
 
PEN-6   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 SLOPPY Allowance Purse ($28K) 2 ALL PT- 8:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MY BLUE EYES Nov23 Nov09 Oct07     (kravets m)AGUILAR M 122 4.00 29% 2.40    
NEON SIGN Nov09 Oct18       (lucas bon)RODRIGUEZ R 120 5.00 11% 8.00    
TREJO Nov25 Oct27 Oct06 Aug28 Jul24 (perez ernest)VILLEGAS JERRY 120 8.00    
UPSTATE AND BACK Nov02 Sep24 Aug22 Jul28 Jul13 (agnew naoise)CONNER TYLER 120 4.50    
KAZ PALACE Dec02         (synnefias dim)PANAIJO JORGE 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
SLIPPERY WHEN WET Nov25 Nov08 Oct11 Sep22 Sep12 (cheeks katy)WHITNEY G 120 6.00    
LORD UHTRED Nov19 Oct31 Oct12 Sep24 Sep05 (ness jamie)SILVERA RUBEN 120 3.50    
BRENTFORD Nov25 Oct25 Sep22 Sep02   (agnew naois)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 10.00    
 
PEN-7   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HIGHWAY QUEEN Dec02 Oct25 Oct10 Sep27 Sep05 (rojas eduardo)TUNON JORDANO 122 2.50 10% 9.00    
LOOP THE LOOP Dec02 Nov16 Oct19 Oct07 Sep21 (shea lydee)CORA D 120 8.00    
FALL CAMPAIGN Dec02 Nov18 Oct21 Oct12 Sep21 (diaz jorge)MONTANEZ ROSARIO 121 8.00 6% 16.50    
CAPE COD SALLY Nov18 Oct19 Oct07 Sep23 Sep08 (maroun doug)CORUJO LEONARDO 120 15.00 9% 10.20    
LADY BERNADETTE Dec07 Nov28 Nov08 Oct24 Sep27 (diaz jorge)MILAN GERARDO 119 12.00    
LIL H Nov18 Oct19 Sep16 Sep02 Aug12 (lovato patricia)WHITNEY G 120 5.00    
SCARLET LILY Aug12 Jun24 May26 May11 Apr22 (johnston rob)CHIAPPE R 120 3.00 49% 1.00    
SEA PINES Nov28 Oct24 Oct12 Sep21 Sep05 (wyner harol)OCASIO JONATHAN 119 4.00    
 
PEN-8   12/16/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Claiming ($4K) Purse ($10K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:10
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  ORIGINALY FROM DOT Nov18 Sep07 Aug11 Jul21 Jul07 (moreno tito)CORUJO LEONARDO 124 12.00    
HIPNOTIZADA Nov25 Nov04 Oct12 Aug25 Jul27 (graci kim)HERNANDEZ A 124 1.60 48% 1.10    
MAGICALLYDELICIOUS Nov18 Nov01 Oct05 Sep07 Jun16 (kravets bru)SALGADO ANTHONY 124 15.00    
LIMONATA Nov18 Nov01 Oct17 Sep29 Sep22 (boyer jr)CORA D 124 10.00    
SUSIKIN Nov04 Oct12 Sep21 Sep01 Aug19 (moreno tito)AGUILAR M 124 8.00 6% 16.90    
SCR  CALL ME JELLY ROLL Dec02 Oct14 Sep21 Sep07 Aug01 (dunham g)HO WESLEY 124 4.50 19% 4.20    
SCR  HILL VALLEY Nov18 Nov01 Sep09 Apr29 Apr08 (rodriguez f)INIRIO J 124 3.50 6% 16.50    
SCR  ADABEL Dec08 Nov23 Nov02 Sep28 Sep03 (garrido)NUNEZ ANAHI 124 10.00    
SLEEPY N JOYFUL Oct05 Sep16 Aug05 Jul01 Jun09 (harigeorgiou)VILLEGAS JERRY 124 12.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.