Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Fair Grounds
Thursday - December 15, 2022
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
FG-1   12/15/2022 5280ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($30K) Purse ($24K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  DUXONTHEPOND Feb06         (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 5.00 ★    
2  JACKIE FLASH Sep27 Sep07 Jul28 Jul06 Jun04 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 121 3.50 24% 3.10    
3  SURREY Mar09 Feb17 Jan10     (delany s)CASTILLO ALEXANDER 121 4.00 ★    
4  KEEN LADY Oct20 Sep19 Jul04 Jun09   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 121 0.80 51% 1.00    
5  LA CHAPEAU Nov17 Oct13       (williamson b)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 10.00 ★    
 
FG-2   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TOTAL DISCRETION Oct11 Sep15 Aug11 Jul15 Jun30 (shirer a)PARKER L 119 3.00 26% 2.80    
2  ZEEROCK Dec01 Nov03 Aug13 Jul15 Jun29 (carter angelle)RIQUELME J 116 20.00 ★    
3  THINKITASADONATION Oct26 Oct13 Jul23 Jun09 May15 (govea cesar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 5.00 32% 2.10    
4  LATTE DOLCE Aug25 Jul19 Jun23 Apr10 Mar06 (heitzman e)ALBERT S 116 2.50 ★    
5  FIBRILLATOR Sep06 Aug16 Jun27 Jun05 May06 (dandridge cour)CULP BRIANNE 116 5.00 9% 10.50    
6  CAVIAR RESOLUTION Aug16 Jul19 Jun25 Jan28   (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 3.00    
 
FG-3   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS G G Aug28 Jul28       (faucheux r)LOVEBERRY JARETH 115 5.00 ★    
2  DONYA KNOW IT Nov23 Oct20 May26 Feb11   (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 2.50 51% 1.00    
3  MA CHERIE Oct29 Mar17 Feb24 Jan28 Jan03 (cohn g)CULP BRIANNE 115 12.00    
4  PROUD VALENTINE Sep30 Sep02 Jul21     (hodges james)NIEVES EMANUEL 118 4.50 ★    
5  SHANIAH Nov17 Oct21 Oct01 Aug16 Jul27 (tomlinson michae)PARKER L 120 3.00 17% 4.90    
6  H. T. XENA Nov17 Oct21 Aug11 Jun29 May21 (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 3.00 7% 12.40    
 
FG-4   12/15/2022 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAP ROCK MINER Nov24 Sep18 Aug30 Jul19 Jun04 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 124 4.00 11% 8.30    
SCR  DYN O MITE Aug21 Jun22 Mar12 Jan30 Jan22 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 121 3.00 35% 1.80    
3  ROCKDALE Nov18 Oct14 Aug20 Jul13 May30 (faucheux )PEDROZA MARCELINO 121 4.00 12% 7.40    
SCR  TIO BLAS Nov18 Oct15 Sep08 Aug24 Jul02 (scherer gar)BARANDELA SOFIA 116 20.00    
5  SERMONONTHEMOUNT Nov24 Sep12 Aug02 May13 Apr02 (sharp joe)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 4.50 15% 5.60    
SCR  WHEN'S TEE TIME Sep27 Aug07 Jul12 Jun20 Jun07 (jeansonne ju)NIEVES EMANUEL 121 8.00 6% 15.60    
7  THE GRAY BLUR Dec02 Sep03 Aug15 Jul23 Jul09 (hirdes john)CULP BRIANNE 116 15.00    
8  EAST LEX Nov24 Jun28 May15 Mar18 Feb25 (cuccia j)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
9  FEELING DANGEROUS Nov12 Oct22 Oct14 Sep30 Aug05 (rodriguez )MURRILL MITCHELL 121 20.00    
SCR  MY GUITAR Aug06 Jul23 Jul06 Jun22 Jun01 (alonzo howar)THERIOT J 118 12.00    
 
FG-5   12/15/2022 3630ft DIRT RC0 FAST Allowance Purse ($51K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD PUNCH Nov24 Mar24 Mar13 Feb20 Jan29 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
2  BANKROLL Nov02 Sep15 Feb10     (scherer t)GRAHAM J 119 10.00    
3  GRADED VISION Mar17         (foley greg)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 4.50 32% 2.10    
4  CUSTOM BLUE GRASS Oct19 Aug24 Aug10 Jul09 Jun17 (castille ric)THERIOT J 121 15.00    
5  CHROMPTON Jan20 Jan08       (schmidt denise)MURRAY M 121 15.00    
6  HELAIRE Dec01 Sep18 Aug30 Jul23 Jun21 (mouton patrick)LANERIE J 119 8.00 ★    
7  TAMBOURINE STAR Mar26 Mar05 Feb10     (camejo m)COHEN DAVID 119 4.00 13% 6.70    
8  HARD FOUR Nov24         (david b)PARKER L 119 5.00 12% 7.30    
9  COFFEE COUNTY Nov24 Aug09 Jul16 Jun18 Mar23 (cuccia j)LOVEBERRY JARETH 121 8.00    
10  GEORGE ALLEN Nov24 Oct26 Jun04     (brinkman bre)NIEVES EMANUEL 119 12.00    
11  COURTMAN May21 Apr13 Mar19 Feb25   (david sam)PEDROZA MARCELINO 119 10.00    
 
FG-6   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($52K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ZION Nov24 Feb28 Feb06 Jan16   (hatcher )CASTILLO ALEXANDER 120 20.00    
2  BINDING AGREEMENT Nov17 Aug17 Jul20 Jun25 Jun02 (bourgeois keith)LANERIE J 122 4.50 ★    
3  HOORAY AUSTIN Nov24 Sep20 Jul28 Jul02 Jun02 (bourgeois k)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 5.00 15% 5.90    
4  HALF AGAIN Nov19 Oct21 Aug04 Jul12 May21 (faucheux ron)PARKER L 120 5.00 44% 1.30    
5  COACH KENNY Sep12 Aug14 Jun28 May10 Feb24 (ducoing sturges )RIQUELME J 120 12.00    
6  NO PEDIGREE Dec02 Nov05 Sep18 Aug14 Jul17 (jeansonne )LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 8.00 5% 18.90    
7  SCHNELL Nov24 Oct08 Sep05 Aug20 Jul09 (wilson )RODRIGUEZ LUIS 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
8  BRON AND BROW May29 May05 Mar12 Feb17 Jan14 (casse mark)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
9  WISE ANCHOR Dec04 Nov24 Nov11 Oct06 Aug30 (govea cesar)NIEVES EMANUEL 120 12.00    
 
FG-7   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC1 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($50K) 2 F PT- 5:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BLAME DAY Nov16         (calhoun wil)GUTIERREZ REYLU 120 6.00 ★    
1A  VARMLANDER         (sharp joe)GRAHAM J 120 6.00 30% 2.40    
2  CATHERINE BLAZE Nov25 Jul15 Jul04 Jun17 May26 (leonard ge)ALBERT S 115 20.00    
2B  SHE'S JERSEY TUFF Nov25 Sep16 Sep03 Jul29 Jul04 (leonard george)CULP BRIANNE 115 20.00    
3  WHITE CHOCOLATE         (asmussen steven)LANERIE J 120 3.50 9% 10.10    
4  MUNNDIVA Nov19         (desormeaux kei)PARKER L 120 12.00    
SCR  CHARRIERE         (mckeever and)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 6.00 ★    
6  CORNER KICK Nov16         (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 120 6.00    
7  HUGHES CLUES Nov18         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 3.50 ★    
8  MY AUNT SNOOKIE Nov26         (amoss thomas )MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 40% 1.50    
 
FG-8   12/15/2022 3960ft DIRT RC0 FAST Maiden Claimer ($10K) Purse ($15K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  I'D BE RICH Sep25 Sep06 Aug14 Jul12 Jun28 (duke steven)CULP BRIANNE 117 8.00    
2  BLESS D'SOUTH         (schmidt denise)COHEN DAVID 122 8.00 5% 18.00    
3  SADIE'S PORT Aug27 Aug06 Jul08 Jun25 Jun10 (ladner cha)ALBERT S 119 15.00    
4  B B GUN BULLSEYE Sep25 Sep06 Aug28 Aug15 Jul16 (duhon joseph)NIEVES EMANUEL 122 10.00    
5  BAD GAL RIRI Nov25 Sep25 Sep06 Aug14 Jun27 (singh s)SINGH R 124 5.00 ★    
6  HOT PATOOTIE Nov25 Oct06 Aug11 Jul16   (ney john)MURRILL MITCHELL 122 12.00    
7  SHEEZA PRIORITY Sep25 Aug04 Jul20 Jun30 Jun11 (thompson k)LOVEBERRY JARETH 122 12.00    
SCR  GOOD GIRL SHORTY Jul02 Jun10 May25     (ladner chad)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
9  MY ROYAL PRINCESS Nov03 Aug27 Mar10 Feb19   (zenon charles)MURRAY M 122 20.00    
10  JUST ANOTHER WIN Nov25 Oct22 Aug28 Jul08 Jun17 (woodley j)GRAHAM J 122 3.00 51% 1.00    
11  BEANIE Mar05 Feb17 Jan14     (gelner scott)LANERIE J 122 3.50 16% 5.30    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.