Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Friday - October 31, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/8/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/3/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/8/5)-(2/8/5/3/7)-(2/8/5/3/7) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (2/8/5)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/8/5)-(5/7/6/4)-(6/7/8/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (5/7/6/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4)-(5/7/6/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/7/6/4)-(6/7/8/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/7/6/4)-(6/7/8/5)-(2/3/5/6) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (6/7/8/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5)-(6/7/8/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/7/8/5)-(2/3/5/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/7/8/5)-(2/3/5/6)-(4/9/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-4   WIN (2/3/5/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6)-(2/3/5/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/3/5/6)-(4/9/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5/6)-(4/9/1)-(7/4/8/9/3) 60 $1.00 $60.00 
CD-5   WIN (4/9/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/9/1)-(4/9/1)-(4/9/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/9/1)-(7/4/8/9/3) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (4/9/1)-(7/4/8/9/3)-(13/1/6/5/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CD-6   WIN (7/4/8/9/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (7/4/8/9/3)-(7/4/8/9/3) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (7/4/8/9/3)-(7/4/8/9/3)-(7/4/8/9/3) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (7/4/8/9/3)-(13/1/6/5/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (7/4/8/9/3)-(13/1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/4) 100 $1.00 $100 
CD-7   WIN (13/1/6/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (13/1/6/5/7)-(13/1/6/5/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (13/1/6/5/7)-(13/1/6/5/7)-(13/1/6/5/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (13/1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (13/1/6/5/7)-(1/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-8   WIN (1/6/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4)-(1/6/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/11) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/6/5/4)-(10/2/8/11)-(5/6/7/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-9   WIN (10/2/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/2/8/11)-(10/2/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/2/8/11)-(10/2/8/11)-(10/2/8/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (10/2/8/11)-(5/6/7/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CD-10   WIN (5/6/7/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8)-(5/6/7/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   10/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTERED SHOT Sep19 Aug01 Jul25 Jul13 Jun27 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 121 4.00    
2  DEMI Sep19 Aug03 Jun27 May24 Apr25 (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 3.00 28% 2.60    
3  ARGAN Sep25 Aug23 Jun22 May08 Mar14 (newton troy)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 ★    
4  RED HOT JEANIE Sep19 Aug11 Jun22 May22 Mar13 (drury tho)TORRES A 121 3.50    
5  CALTHA Oct10 Sep25 Aug24 Aug02 Jul06 (bahena is)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 20.00 18% 4.70    
6  WE'LL DO IT LIVE Oct16 Oct07 Aug24 Aug02 Jun07 (salas ma)RODRIGUEZ A 121 10.00    
7  PROGENY Oct10 Sep17 Aug17 Jun14 May15 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 ★    
8  SMART WITH HEART Oct09 Oct01 Aug15 Jun21 Jun06 (bahena ismae)CALLEJA ANDRES 121 8.00 26% 2.90    
9  SCOOT ALONG Oct09 Sep21 Sep01 Aug18 Jul25 (martinez kel)TERRAZA GERMAN 121 15.00    
 
CD-2   10/31/2025 5280ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($83K) 2 F PT- 1:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  QUINCE Oct08         (danner kelsey)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
2  HIT PARADE Sep20 Aug28       (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 5.00    
3  FINAL SHIPMAN Oct03 Sep15 Aug16     (deville j)GRAHAM J 120 15.00    
4  TIZIANNA Sep11 Aug16       (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  REVEL TOAST Sep27 Aug27 Aug07     (amoss thomas)TORRES A 120 1.60 42% 1.40    
6  MISS CALL Oct11 Sep14 Aug27     (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 2.50 11% 8.20    
7  GRAND LUXX Sep17 Aug21       (walden will)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 3.50 27% 2.70    
 
CD-3   10/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($37K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:01
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  GOVENOR HANK Oct04 Aug19 Jul26 Jul08 Jun21 (manley st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 118 15.00    
2  LOBO SALVAJE Oct10 Sep27 Sep17 Feb12 Jan24 (salas mar)LEPAROUX R 121 15.00    
SCR  TEXAS TOWN Sep08 Sep21 Aug05 Feb11 Dec08 (hartman ch)MURRILL MITCHELL 121 3.00    
4  TIVERTON (GB) Oct17 Sep24 Sep06 Aug27 Aug18 (cunningham s)GEROUX FLORENT 121 6.00    
5  FLOTATION STATION Sep26 Sep12 Aug01 Jul03 Jun21 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 121 6.00 6% 15.40    
6  VERTRAUEN Sep26 Aug18 Jul26 Jul12 Jun20 (knippenberg b)CANNON DECLAN 121 5.00 37% 1.70    
7  GOLD SEARCH Jun26 Jun01 Apr29 Feb15 Nov13 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 3.50 21% 3.80    
8  STRING THEORY Sep26 Jul12 Jun15 Apr24 Apr06 (casse nor)TORRES A 121 8.00 13% 6.50    
9  CALL THE CAVALRY Oct10 Sep11 Aug20 Jul12 Feb06 (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 121 6.00    
 
CD-4   10/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($127K) 2 F PT- 2:33
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CELEBRITY QUEST Sep20 Aug31       (amoss thomas)TORRES A 122 5.00    
2  BARACCA Sep13         (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  MY SWEETHEART Oct03 Aug17 Jul04 May22   (casse mar)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 4.00 27% 2.70    
4  TIZ IN SIGHT Oct03 Aug27 Aug03 Jun25   (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 122 3.50    
5  LADY CAPTAIN Sep27 Aug15 Jul25 Jun27   (anderson doug)BACON W 122 15.00 12% 7.60    
6  PROWESS Oct03 Sep07 Aug10 Jul03   (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
7  CAROLYNCAROLINE Oct03 Sep07 Jul12     (schultz l)LEPAROUX R 122 2.50    
 
CD-5   10/31/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($141K) 3 ALL PT- 3:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CLASSY WAR Oct17 Aug08 Jun29 May17 Apr26 (casse mark)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  CAIRO CAPER Oct19 Sep01 Aug09 Jun27 Apr26 (schoentha)LEPAROUX R 122 12.00    
SCR  SEMPER PRIMUS Sep20 Aug17 Jul06 May11   (divito j)RODRIGUEZ A 118 5.00    
4  LITIGATION Oct09 Aug04 Jul13 May30 Mar29 (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 120 3.00 41% 1.40    
SCR  CAN'T DENY IT Oct09 Mar14 Feb17 Jan18 Dec19 (rivelli la)LOVEBERRY JARETH 120 2.50    
SCR  MISCHIEF RIVER Oct09 Sep10 Aug22 Jul16 Apr24 (caramori c)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 15.00    
SCR  CHEVAL DE GUERRE Oct09 Aug24 Jul24 Apr25   (mott riley)TORRES A 118 15.00    
8  HIT THAT REVIEW (IRE) Sep10 Aug04 Jul04 May16 Mar29 (walsh brend)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 12.00    
9  POSEIDON'S LAW Jun29         (d'angelo )ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 15.00 34% 1.90    
SCR  OPERATION SUNRISE Oct09 Aug30 Aug09 Apr25   (mott william)GEROUX FLORENT 118 10.00    
 
CD-6   10/31/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ONE MOR STORY Sep13 Aug23 Jul24 Jun20 May23 (wiggins lo)MURRILL MITCHELL 118 20.00    
2  PUTTING EAGLE Sep24 Aug03 Jun27 Jun11 May02 (von donn)ROCCO S 118 15.00    
3  ARMY HERO Oct09 Sep13 Aug16 Jul26 Jun26 (manley st)PEDROZA MARCELINO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
4  PROTECTIVE Aug31 Jan05 Oct25 Sep21 Aug21 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 3.00 25% 3.00    
SCR  YOU BELONG HERE Sep28 Aug11 Jun14 May26 Apr19 (garcia ge)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 8.00    
6  STRUMMIN Aug16 Jul03 May17 Oct12 Sep14 (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 30.00    
7  TAUNTING Oct05 Sep07 Aug07 Jul13 Jun08 (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 118 4.00 37% 1.70    
8  ASK ARTHUR Jun13 May23 Apr19 Mar05 Jan26 (sims matthe)GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 8.00 9% 10.00    
9  BRILLIANT MAN Sep13 Jan24 Nov28 Nov07 Sep05 (shorter a)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 6.00 7% 14.00    
SCR  MCDUDE Sep18 Feb07 Dec13 Nov02 Sep28 (ortiz )GRISALES DANILO 118 3.50    
11  EXPRESS LINE (FR) Sep26 Aug16 Jun21 May16 Apr18 (forster t)LANERIE J 122 10.00    
 
CD-7   10/31/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 4:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EYE CATCHER         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
  (by MR. GREELEY out of WILD HEART DANCING by FARMA WAY)
2  COVE SPRING Oct03 Sep04       (danner kelsey)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 12.00    
  (by PRESERVATIONIST out of DIVINE BEAUTY by DIVINE PARK)
3  MISS IDA B         (combs bentley)TREJOS JOSEPH 119 20.00    
  (by ALTERNATION out of SECONDHAND by MIZZEN MAST)
4  JOLLY JOLENE Oct05         (schultz l)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 119 12.00    
  (by GIRVIN out of THE SHADY LADY by QUALITY ROAD)
5  ALL ABOUT YOU Sep28 Aug31 Aug16     (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 3.50 17% 4.80    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DUFF ONE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
6  RASPBERRY Sep18         (beckman wh)TORRES A 119 4.00 19% 4.40    
  (by MONARCHOS out of HEART WARMER by DEVIL'S BAG)
7  ROMULAN Sep23         (lobo h)ROMAN A 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MAXFIELD out of LUCAS STREET by SILVER DEPUTY)
SCR  FAITH SO STRONG Aug09         (cobb carol)POSTON K 112 20.00    
  (by CODE OF HONOR out of INITIATION by DEPUTY MINISTER)
9  QUEENSTOWN         (harty eoin)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 15.00    
  (by STREET SENSE out of WHERE by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
SCR  GRAZIE PREGO Sep28 Aug30 Aug01     (block chris)MORALES EDGAR 119 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of INGRASSIA by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
11  KOPIANA         (moquett ronal)CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of ANFIELD ROSE by WILBURN)
12  RAGING CURRENT Oct05         (stewart da)ASMUSSEN J 119 15.00    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of ACQUA FRESH by ECCLESIASTIC)
13  PAIGE TURNER Aug31         (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 3.50 24% 3.10    
  (by ARMY MULE out of SOPHIA MIA by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
 
CD-8   10/31/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($30K) Purse ($62K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COOL ANDY Oct08 Sep12 Jun14 Dec28   (amoss thoma)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 2.50 40% 1.50    
2  POLAR BEAR PLUNGE Oct08 Sep20 Aug27 Feb12 Jan29 (hiles a)LANERIE J 122 4.50    
3  PATTON'S TIZZY Sep12 Apr28 Apr06 Mar17 Feb19 (contreras)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 122 12.00    
4  SINGLE DOT YAHT Sep19 Jul21 Jun14 May17 Dec01 (crichton )TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  BAYTOWN BRUISER Oct16 Sep26 Sep14 Aug09 Jun20 (king bar)RODRIGUEZ A 122 6.00 5% 18.30    
6  FINE VINO Sep17         (santamaria car)CEDILLO ABEL 118 5.00 26% 2.80    
7  ULTIMATE STRIKE Oct08 Sep11 Aug14 Jul25 Jun25 (casse w)TORRES A 122 3.00    
8  SPRINT OUT PASS Oct23 Sep19 Aug29 Jul18 Jun15 (martinez kell)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
 
CD-9   10/31/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  FORESEEN Jun22 Jun05 May11 Apr10 Feb15 (arnold george )ASHTON GAVIN 122 15.00    
2  STORM MIAMI (IRE) Oct06 Aug29 Jul05 Jun06 Apr30 (walsh brendan )SHEEHY DANNY 122 4.00 16% 5.10    
3  PRETTY LAYLA Oct19 Jun13 Mar07 Feb15 Jan31 (hartman chris)ROMAN A 122 20.00    
SCR  TRIAL Jul28 Mar19 Feb14 Jan01 Dec05 (drury tho)TORRES A 122 20.00    
5  LUCKY SPEECH Sep28 Aug28 Jun18 Apr26 Oct17 (sharp joe)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 5.00    
6  YAMILE'S Oct05 Sep04 Aug13 Jul27 Jul04 (miller da)HERNANDEZ J 122 20.00    
7  PRETTY SASSY Sep27 Aug19 Jul15 Feb15 Jan19 (walsh brendan)MORALES EDGAR 118 8.00    
8  GOLDEN SUNSHINE Sep27 Aug22 Jul06 May31 Apr19 (harty eoin)TORRES A 118 3.00 12% 7.10    
SCR  TAKE MY PICTURE May02 Mar22 Mar14 Feb15 Jan17 (dalton mic)ASMUSSEN J 122 20.00    
10  SWEET TREASURE Sep27 Nov07 Aug17     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
11  CHEETAH LADY Oct09 Sep06 Aug06 Jul01 May28 (beckman d)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   10/31/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($67K) 2 ALL PT- 6:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TREBLEWITHTHECURVE Sep27         (pitts helen)GRAHAM J 119 15.00    
2  SAINT ROBERT'S ROW Oct04         (huffman pat)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 15.00    
3  ORVILLE'S MAP Oct11 Sep18       (stewart d)TORRES A 119 12.00    
SCR  VINO SUBITO Oct03         (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 10.00    
5  PRIME SUSPECT Sep26         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 119 2.00 23% 3.30    
6  BOSS' DEED Sep19         (morey willia)TORRES A 119 4.50 23% 3.30    
7  FULMINE Sep13         (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 119 3.00 20% 4.10    
8  HUCKABY         (moquett ronald)ROMAN A 119 15.00 7% 13.80    
9  CATTLE BARON         (morse l)SAEZ GABRIEL 119 15.00    
SCR  REBEL WITH A CAUSE Oct11         (robson l)RODRIGUEZ A 119 15.00    
SCR  TALMADGE         (ennis john)LANERIE J 119 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.