Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Thursday - August 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-4   WIN (2/1/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  1 $13.80 $7.80 130%
    EXA (2/1/6)-(2/1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00  1-2 $13.30 $7.30 122%
    DD (4/6/7)-(2/1/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  4-1 $21.20 $12.20 136%
SAR-7   EXA (5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 6 $1.00 $6.00  5-2 $6.50 $0.50 8%
    TRI (5/2/8)-(5/2/8)-(5/2/8) 6 $0.50 $3.00  5-2-8 $7.70 $4.70 157%
SAR-9   WIN (1/9) 2 $2.00 $4.00  1 $7.00 $3.00 75%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   08/14/2025 5940ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:24 :491 1:142 1:401   1:533   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DANZIT 3 5 21 2½ 2½ 2nk 1¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 124 1.80 46% 1.20 1.70 W
  (by TAPIT out of DANZATRICE by DUNKIRK)
ABSOLUTE HONOR 6 2 11 1½ 1½ 1nk 2¼ (joseph s)SANTANA JR 118 3.00 5.70  
  (by NYQUIST out of ELUSIVE CHECKERS by QUALITY ROAD)
BON VIVANT 2 1 32 3 3 3 3 (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 118 4.00 24% 3.20 2.00 S
  (by UNION RAGS out of SIMPLY CONFECTION by CANDY RIDE (ARG))
RAGHBA 4 4 6 53 54 511¾ 411¾ (pletcher todd)VELAZQUEZ R 118 4.50 5.90  
  (by CURLIN out of TAKREES by DAAHER)
STONE COLD KELLY 1 6 5 64 65 411½ 512 (lawrence james)LEZCANO JOSE 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by LAOBAN out of FLY THE FLAG by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
GREEN JOBS 5 3 4 42 4 618¾ 622½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 118 5.00 8.70  
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of GENTLE RULER by COLONEL JOHN)
 
SAR-2   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:224 :462 1:12     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
RIYADH MOON 5 1 6 67   22 1 (ryan s)CAMACHO SAMY 124 8.00 8.70  
TIZMARKUS 2 4 21 2½   12 2 (casse no)SANTANA JR 124 3.00 16% 5.30 3.45 P
FIRST TRUMPET 3 6 5 55   5 3 (delauro edward)ROSARIO JOEL 124 15.00 25.25  
GOLDEN SYMPHONY 1 5 11 1½   4 410 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 51% 1.00 1.45  
HEAVYWEIGHT CHAMPS 6 2 3 31   33 510¼ (rodrig)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 6.00 5% 19.00 6.10  
CONFABULATION 4 3 43 4   610 610¾ (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.00 2.55  
 
SAR-3   08/14/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:222 :451 :563     1:023   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OUR STARRY NIGHT 4 2 1½ 1nk   1 1 (bauer a)CANCEL ERIC 119 2.00 46% 1.20 1.30 W
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of BERNCREDIT by BERNSTEIN)
CUANDO 6 6 4 31   2 2 (levine bruce)CARMOUCHE K 124 2.50 24% 3.10 3.80 P
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of FOX HUNT by SAINT LIAM)
HELLACIOUS 3 3 63 5   45 3 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 4.50 4.10  
  (by VIOLENCE out of BUSY BEV by NOT FOR LOVE)
IN THE DARK 2 4 5 6   55 4 (barker edward )ROSARIO JOEL 119 3.50 5.70  
  (by AIR FORCE BLUE out of SHE'S RIGHT AGAIN by DISCREETLY MINE)
EXTRAORDINARY ONE (GB) 1 7 7 7   66 54 (davis d)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 33.00  
  (by MAYSON out of UTRINQUE PARATUS by SEA THE MOON)
LEADING ROLE 5 5 3 4   79 610 (morey e)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00 5.90  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of WILD SILK by STREET SENSE)
LOUGH CURRANE 7 1 2½ 2nk   3 711 (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 119 15.00 5% 19.00 23.00  
  (by WIN WIN WIN out of BRENNAN by FORESTRY)
SCR  DR. INSEL               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of STEIDLE by PETIONVILLE)
 
SAR-4   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3 ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:104     1:24   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAKES SENSE 1 5 45 33   1½ 1½ (brown r)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00 31% 2.20 5.90 W
RANGER BATTALION 2 6 6 56   4 2½ (rice linda)ORTIZ L 122 3.50 32% 2.10 0.95 P
BEAR CLAW NECKLACE 4 2 31 2½   2½ 32 (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 120 4.00 6.90  
SHIFTY GOLD 6 3 59 69   56 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 122 4.00 4.10  
BOB'S CARROT 3 1 11 1½   3 5 (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 122 4.50 6.00  
AERO STAR 5 4 21 44   623 642 (potts wa)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 12% 7.60 12.10  
SCR  TACTICAL TRACKSTAR               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50    
 
SAR-5   08/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($17.5K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:241 :473 1:12 1:251   1:382   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
STILL A SOLDIER 1 5 4 4 3 3.2 1 (antonacc)SANTANA JR 125 3.00 5.00  
GOTTA GUY 6 6 6 510 4 4 2 (sciacca gary)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 5.80  
DARK VECTOR 3 1 1 11 2nk 2nk 35 (brion keri)ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 75% 0.30 4.40 S
TRUE CONNECTION 2 2 2 21 1nk 1nk 4 (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.50 2.35  
ULTIMATE STRIKE 8 8 7 711¼ 710¼ 610¾ 513¾ (casse w)DAVIS DYLAN 125 8.00 7.80  
LANDAUER 5 7 910¾ 610¼ 6 510¼ 616¾ (sciacca ga)RIVERA R 125 15.00 33.50  
ALWAYS BE SMART 7 9 810¾ 912¾ 812¼ 712¾ 718½ (rodriguez rudy)LEZCANO JOSE 125 8.00 5% 19.00 8.00  
BURN RUBBER 9 4 3 3 5 815¼ 823 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 15.00 5% 19.00 23.10  
DARK MAGIC 4 3 5 811¾ 914¾ 921¼ 932¼ (rice linda)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 12.00 8.60  
 
SAR-6   08/14/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 2 ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:033   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BELGIAN 1 2 3 2   1 111 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 119 8.00 2.30  
  (by CANDY RIDE (ARG) out of ANGEL GIFT by ALLEN'S PROSPECT)
AUGUSTINIAN 3 3 2 32   34 211 (casse mark)DAVIS DYLAN 119 3.50 54% 0.80 2.25 P
  (by GALILEAN out of ROYALE MICHELE by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
THROCKMORTON 2 1 1 1   2 312¼ (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.50 24% 3.20 1.80 S
  (by CARACARO out of WHATAROCKET by GOLDENCENTS)
SILVER SNIPER 4 4 4 410   417 425¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 15.00 3.30  
  (by SILVER STATE out of NAUGHTY SISTER by ARCHARCHARCH)
SCR  HAWKEYE STATE               (summers )ELLINGWOOD A 119 30.00    
  (by ROCK YOUR WORLD out of KRISTELLA by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  IT'S OUR TIME               (amoss m)RIDER TBA 119 4.00    
  (by SEEKING THE GOLD out of LEO'S LUCKY LADY by SEATTLE SLEW)
SCR  PEACE NEGOTIATOR               (zito ni)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 20.00    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of INTELYHENTE by SMART STRIKE)
SCR  SANTINA               (ward a)ESPINOZA V 116 4.50    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SANTA GUAPA by EMPIRE MAKER)
SCR  GYPSY ART               (ward wesl)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 10.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of THE GIRL HERSELF by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
SCR  SCHWARZENEGGER               (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 119 1.60    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of SOOTHSAYING by LEMON DROP KID)
SCR  GO GRACE GO               (ward a)ESPINOZA V 116 8.00    
  (by SEFAPIANO out of MADEMOISELLE D by PROUD TRUTH)
SCR  DONEGAL NOW               (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 119 10.00    
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of THE NOW CROWD by TIZNOW)
SCR  GREEN SCREEN               (motion grah)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of PENJADE by AIR CHIEF MARSHAL)
 
SAR-7   08/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC11 SLOPPY New York Stallion Series Purse ($150K) 3 ALL PT- 4:36
See original race card.
:241 :472 1:12 1:25   1:381   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GEORGE BRIGGS 3 3 32 34 22 2 1¼ (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 1.60 72% 0.40 1.25 W
  (by FOG OF WAR out of BAMBOISELLE by MUHTATHIR)
BUTTAH 1 1 11 13 12 1 2¼ (sciacca gary)LUZZI J 122 12.00 5% 19.00 2.10 P
  (by LEOFRIC out of SALTY LITTLE SIS by CHIEF SEATTLE)
MOE EIGHTY EIGHT 6 6 5 5 32 33 3 (ortiz ale)ROSARIO JOEL 120 15.00 5% 19.00 4.70 S
  (by SOLOMINI out of AUTUMN ASH by TAPIT)
CAST A COIN 4 5 6 68 6 415 416 (falk jacqueline)CANCEL ERIC 124 30.00 26.25  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIGHT THE DYNAMITE by INTO MISCHIEF)
I'M DUE 5 4 4 44 5 517 525 (atras ro)SANTANA JR 120 15.00 13.10  
  (by WAR DANCER out of CANDELABRA by PURGE)
RIVER OF TIME 2 2 21 23 4 623 647¾ (summers cha)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 8.00 5.60  
  (by FOG OF WAR out of PASSAGE OF TIME by EL CORREDOR)
SCR  COACH CASE               (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00    
  (by SLUMBER out of INTO THE SOUTH by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  FRIEND OFTHE DEVIL               (martin )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 1.40    
  (by HONEST MISCHIEF out of FABULEUX by BODEMEISTER)
 
SAR-8   08/14/2025 4620ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($20K) Purse ($38K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:23 :46 1:112     1:242   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEVITATING 4 5 4 41   3.2 1 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 119 5.00 6.00  
TOMORROW'S WISH 6 1 21 2½   2nk 2 (donk david)VELAZQUEZ R 124 8.00 3.25  
10  PREPOSITION 8 2 52 31   1nk 3 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00 7% 12.80 2.15 S
SEEKER'S HOPE 2 7 8 8   6 45 (hennig mark)CARMOUCHE K 119 15.00 14.00  
NANTZ 1 6 63 6   4 56 (rice lin)SANTANA JR 119 6.00 8% 11.80 4.80  
NICE TRY RILEY 3 4 3 53   5 6 (bartkowski lisa)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00 10.90  
STANLEY CAT 5 3 11 1½   7 717 (contes)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 15.00 5% 19.00 16.50  
ROCK CONCERT 7 8 7 7   812¾ 818½ (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 119 6.00 56% 0.80 7.00  
SCR  FREEDOM MAKER               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 3.50    
SCR  GREY ACE               (friedman mitch)LUZZI J 119 10.00    
 
SAR-9   08/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($40K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:244 :474 1:123 1:254   1:393   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BRIT'S WIT 1 1 3½ 31 3 2nk 11 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 125 8.00 48% 1.10 2.50 W
FINAL DENILE 2 2 1½ 11 1 1nk 21 (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 125 10.00 1.00  
HEDGE THE RISK 3 3 2½ 21 2 33 37 (sharp joe)DAVIS DYLAN 125 6.00 18% 4.60 1.40 S
SCR  GEM MINT TEN               (handal)MARAGH RAMSAY 125 12.00    
SCR  HEATHGUARD               (lerman )ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 10.00    
SCR  HERO'S MEDAL               (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 125 8.00    
SCR  INDY MAGIC               (david a)SAEZ LUIS 125 1.60    
SCR  MO KREESA               (hennig mark)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
SCR  STEADFAST RESOLVE               (weaver george)ORTIZ JR 125 3.50    
SCR  FLAT ON               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 125 5.00    
SCR  ENLIGHTEN               (morley t)SANTANA JR 125 1.80    
SCR  FREDO               (sano antonio)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00    
 
SAR-10   08/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 SLOPPY Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($50K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:242 :482 1:134 1:264   1:402   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
13  PRINCE OF DANCE 9 1 21 21 1nk 12 1 (englehart ch)CASTELLANO J 124 2.50 42% 1.40 1.20 W
BLAME IT ON K J 4 7 54 32 32 33 2 (duggan dav)RIVERA R 118 15.00 8.20  
MIZTY FOG 2 2 11 11 2nk 22 36 (falcone)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 113 6.00 24% 3.10 4.60 S
12  CARLIN CONTENTION 8 9 810 913¾ 811¼ 710½ 48 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 118 6.00 8.70  
11  YOHEDA MONEY MAKER 7 5 4 5 4 4 5 (gutierrez luis )ROHENA JR 118 30.00 5% 19.00 25.25  
SOLO DANCING 5 3 64 6 5 5 612 (hennig mark)DAVIS KATIE 118 12.00 10% 9.10 3.80  
MONOMOYS PARTNER 1 8 3 42 6 6 712 (chichakl)VILLA FAVINHO 118 50.00 5% 19.00 41.50  
UNCLE BARRIE 6 4 79 7 7 812 813 (metivier)GOMEZ ANTONIO 118 50.00 18.80  
SOLOMINI'S LEGACY 3 6 912 813¾ 914¾ 915½ 919 (ferraro james )LUZZI J 118 30.00 30.75  
SCR  BLUE PILL               (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 118 20.00    
SCR  DEEMER               (devaux cherie)FRANCO MANUEL 118 1.20    
SCR  NAGUILE               (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 118 2.00    
SCR  WIND DANCER               (donk david)DAVIS DYLAN 124 10.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.