Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Colonial Downs
Wednesday - July 16, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

CNL-3   DD (8/1/4/3)-(11/6/9/10/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00  8-11 $21.20 $1.20 6%
CNL-4   WIN (1/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00  2 $12.80 $4.80 60%
    TRI (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2/6)-(1/4/5/2/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00  2-4-1 $28.50 $4.50 19%
    SFT (1/4/5/2)-(1/4/5/2/6)-(1/4/5/2/6)-(1/4/5/2/6) 96 $0.10 $9.60  2-4-1-6 $34.82 $25.22 263%
    DD (11/6/9/10/1)-(1/4/5/2) 20 $1.00 $20.00  11-2 $35.20 $15.20 76%
    PK3 (8/1/4/3)-(11/6/9/10/1)-(1/4/5/2) 80 $1.00 $80.00  8-4/11-2 $161.50 $81.50 102%
CNL-5   WIN (7/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00  7 $7.20 $1.20 20%
    DD (1/4/5/2)-(7/6/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-7 $25.10 $13.10 109%
    PK3 (11/6/9/10/1)-(1/4/5/2)-(7/6/1) 60 $1.00 $60.00  4/11-2-7 $146.60 $86.60 144%
    PK4 (8/1/4/3)-(11/6/9/10/1)-(1/4/5/2)-(7/6/1) 240 $0.50 $120  8-4/11-2-7 $404.05 $284.05 237%
CNL-6   DD (7/6/1)-(10/2/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-10 $17.90 $5.90 49%
    PK3 (1/4/5/2)-(7/6/1)-(10/2/1/5) 48 $1.00 $48.00  2-7-10 $176.80 $128.80 268%
CNL-7   WIN (7/4/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00  2 $91.00 $85.00 1417%
    EXA (7/4/2)-(7/4/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00  2-7 $181.70 $172.70 1919%
    TRI (7/4/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.50 $9.00  2-7-5 $368.05 $359.05 3989%
    SFT (7/4/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2)-(7/4/5/2) 18 $0.10 $1.80  2-7-5-4 $297.73 $295.93 16441%
    DD (10/2/1/5)-(7/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00  10-2 $146.20 $134.20 1118%
    PK3 (7/6/1)-(10/2/1/5)-(7/4/2) 36 $1.00 $36.00  7-10-2 $1332 $1296 3602%
CNL-8   DD (7/4/2)-(7/5/2/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00  2-5 $155.00 $143.00 1192%
    PK3 (10/2/1/5)-(7/4/2)-(7/5/2/1) 48 $1.00 $48.00  10-2-5/6 $957.50 $909.50 1895%
CNL-9   PK3 (7/4/2)-(7/5/2/1)-(5/2/12/11) 48 $1.00 $48.00  2-5/6-1/4/5/6 $581.40 $533.40 1111%
    PK4 (10/2/1/5)-(7/4/2)-(7/5/2/1)-(5/2/12/11) 192 $0.50 $96.00  10-2-5/6-1/4/5/6 $2022 $1926 2006%
    PK5 (7/6/1)-(10/2/1/5)-(7/4/2)-(7/5/2/1)-(5/2/12/11) 576 $0.50 $288  7-10-2-5/6-1/4/5/6 $3483 $3195 1110%
    PK6 (1/4/5/2)-(7/6/1)-(10/2/1/5)-(7/4/2)-(7/5/2/1)-(5/2/12/11) 2304 $0.50 $1152  2-7-10-2-5/6-1/4/5/6 $2121.90 $969.90 84%

Simulator Race results

 
CNL-1   07/16/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($12.5K) Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT-12:30
See original race card.
:223 :452 :572     1:04   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LOST RIVER 7 2 11 1½   11 1¼ (flores ir)CARRASCO R 118 12.00 15.80  
ON A PROUD NOTE 8 3 21 2½   21 2¼ (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 118 5.00 2.90  
COUNTRYCLUB COUPLE 3 7 32 41   3 3 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 2.50 39% 1.60 2.30 S
GENUINE PERIL 1 5 5 5   4 4 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 122 2.00 24% 3.20 2.50  
BELLY DANCE 2 1 6 6   64 5 (ochoa )ROJAS EDUARDO 122 20.00 45.00  
SOMETHINGWONDERFUL 5 6 7 7   54 6 (aguirre a)BETANCOURT R 122 4.50 9% 10.00 3.20  
THIRD TUESDAY 6 8 42 31   7 7 (maldonado )SANCHEZ J 124 6.00 17.00  
MOONSHINING 4 4 8 8   8 813¾ (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 122 20.00 5% 19.00 50.40  
 
CNL-2   07/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($87.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
See original race card.
:254 :512 1:15 1:264   1:391   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GAS ALLEY 8 3 2 2 21 2 1¾ (lauer mi)GALLARDO A 118 5.00 33% 2.00 3.10 W
  (by STREET BOSS out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
POTCAKE 7 1 1 1 11 1 2¾ (nagle sarah)RUIZ JORGE 118 15.00 10.40  
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BELLA PROMESSA by BROKEN VOW)
EARL OF GODIVA 2 4 32 3 32 33 3 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 6.00 18.20  
  (by LEOFRIC out of SILVER HUSTLER by POLITICAL FORCE)
HOPE'S ALIVE 4 8 6 6 53 46 4 (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 118 2.00 21% 3.80 1.20  
  (by GIFT BOX out of GALLUS MAG by CAIRO PRINCE)
I LIKE IKE 3 2 7 7 64 67 54 (delacour )CARRASCO R 124 8.00 5% 19.00 7.60  
  (by MUTAKDDIM out of LADY XENA by LORD AT WAR (ARG))
YANCEY 6 5 42 4 42 57 6 (aguirre anthony)CENTENO E 124 20.00 23.20  
  (by TAPITURE out of CHALICE BEARER by VICAR)
LONESOME ROAD 1 7 8 8 7 78 76 (trombetta )SANCHEZ J 118 3.50 22% 3.50 6.10  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of WALK OF STARS by STREET SENSE)
RHYTHM 'N BLUES 5 6 53 5 8 8 8 (cibelli jane)CURTIS BEN 118 4.50 10.30  
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of MISS KATIE BUG by POINT OF ENTRY)
 
CNL-3   07/16/2025 3630ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:30
See original race card.
:222 :45 :563     1:03   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
11  NOBLE JON 10 4 21 1nk   1nk 1 (mcclellan erin)CONNER TYLER 122 5.00 59% 0.70 2.70 W
CACTUS 3 3 4 5   3½ 2 (magee ki)GALLARDO A 122 2.50 3.50  
BY THE SEY SHORE 5 8 8 7   6 34 (trombetta mic)KARAMANOS A 122 6.00 13% 6.60 4.20 S
KATIE'S NOTION 6 10 9 9   42 4 (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 122 15.00 21.10  
10  RETAINED 9 1 11 2nk   2nk 5 (dilodovic)CARRASCO R 122 12.00 5% 19.00 8.50  
UPSIDEDOWN MAN 1 9 10 1011¾   106 6 (magee kieron)CENTENO E 122 8.00 5% 19.00 17.10  
ALL JOKES ASIDE 8 6 5 31   5 7 (meah m)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00 6% 16.30 9.10  
ISLAND D'LITE 2 2 3 42   7 8 (mcmahon tho)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 15.00 8.30  
BATI KING 4 7 7 8   95 97 (ochoa gera)SANCHEZ J 122 15.00 30.40  
MAXWELL ESQUIRE 7 5 6 6   8 10 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 6.00 9.20  
SCR  CECIL THE GREAT               (clement rola)CASIQUE UBARDO 122 30.00    
 
CNL-4   07/16/2025 5610ft TURF RC4 FIRM Maiden Claimer ($16K) Purse ($32K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:00
See original race card.
:232 :463 1:111 1:364   1:432   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
PALACE LIGHTS 2 5 8 9 7 2½ 1 (vargas an)CHUAN MARTIN 124 15.00 5% 19.00 5.40 W
DARK POOL 4 8 6 6 4 1½ 2 (brion keri)CENTENO E 124 4.00 29% 2.40 1.80 P
OUR FINEST HOUR (FR) 1 4 5 3 31 32 36 (bourke m)ASHTON GAVIN 124 5.00 44% 1.30 3.00 S
CAMEO ROSE 6 2 7 7 8 54 411½ (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 15.00 11.60  
LADY LYLA 7 1 1nk 2nk 11 44 515¾ (paramo mart)BURNHAM MATILDA 117 30.00 88.30  
12  TERRIE T 9 6 3 4 5 67 616¾ (lusk r)LOPEZ PASCACIO 124 30.00 8.30  
PRETTY GEISHA 3 9 9 8 6 78 717½ (boniface kevi)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 30.00 52.10  
11  JESS'S VISION 8 3 2nk 1nk 21 813 828½ (yanez r)RIQUELME J 124 30.00 43.40  
MOONSCAPE 5 7 4 5 9 916 935½ (hemingway michel)CURTIS BEN 118 6.00 5% 19.00 3.40  
SCR  AMERICAN KESTREL               (thomas jona)RUSSELL SHELDON 124 2.00    
SCR  MOON LACES               (rodriguez m)LOPEZ E 118 20.00    
SCR  QUEEN ROCKET               (aro michae)SANCHEZ J 124 8.00    
SCR  SILLY LILY               (boucher lil)HAMILTON WESTON 124 20.00    
 
CNL-5   07/16/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:30
See original race card.
:22 :44 :561     1:092   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
AUGUSTA MELODY 7 2 3 1nk   11 11 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 123 2.00 35% 1.90 2.60 W
RADICAL RIGHT 3 3 4 3.2   31 21 (allen ferr)LOPEZ PASCACIO 121 4.50 5.60  
CALL ME ANDY 5 5 11 2nk   21 3 (walsh p)CURTIS BEN 121 4.00 8.50 S
CATAHOULA MOON 1 6 69 6   64 4 (robb j)PEREZ XAVIER 121 12.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
EXPLORATION 4 7 716 7   76 53 (russell britt)TOLEDO JEVIAN 121 5.00 5.80  
UNCAPTURED WARRIOR 6 1 21 4¾   42 6 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 123 2.50 35% 1.90 1.20  
FREE SOUL 2 4 53 5   53 7 (munoz carlos)ASHTON GAVIN 121 30.00 21.80  
 
CNL-6   07/16/2025 5940ft TURF RC7 FIRM Claiming ($16K) Purse ($34.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:00
See original race card.
:233 :473 1:112 1:361   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  FALFURRIAS 8 6 5 5 42 1 1 (klesaris ste)LOPEZ PASCACIO 123 3.50 27% 2.80 3.10 W
GOOD MEDICINE 4 3 43 4 5 5 2 (morris r)CONNER TYLER 123 15.00 19.90  
INCHON 2 2 22 23 32 2 3 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 123 3.00 18% 4.60 1.40 S
OLD FLAG (IRE) 1 4 65 6 64 3 44 (mcgoey monica)KARAMANOS A 123 15.00 17% 5.00 11.00  
BOOKITWITHHADDAD 6 7 8 8 87 6 5 (de horaci)TOLEDO JEVIAN 118 10.00 9.20  
FIRST SHOT FIRED 7 5 33 34 21 4 6 (gallegos)GALLARDO A 123 10.00 20.30  
ADDICTED TO YOU 3 8 7 7 7 8 711¾ (de hor)SANCHEZ J 123 5.00 6.50  
ENAHM 5 1 12 13 11 7 816½ (schoentha)CARRASCO R 123 8.00 15% 5.60 5.10  
SCR  MIKE THE BOMB               (mancilla carlo)ROSADO JOHAN 125 15.00    
SCR  MY GREAT ILLUSION               (crichton rohan)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00    
 
CNL-7   07/16/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($50K) Purse ($74K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:30
See original race card.
:232 :46 1:093 1:214   1:342   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
BAILINTIN 2 5 42 42 31 2nk 1¼ (maldonado jon)TOLEDO JEVIAN 122 30.00 5% 19.00 44.50 W
WILLOW BEND 6 2 3 31 1nk 1nk 2¼ (ness jamie)LOPEZ PASCACIO 122 2.00 38% 1.60 2.50 P
RUNAWAY DIVA 4 6 63 6 4 3½ 3 (hemingway michel)CURTIS BEN 122 2.50 3.10 S
DANCING MAGIC (IRE) 3 3 11 11 2nk 4 4 (campbell m)SANCHEZ J 118 4.50 19% 4.30 3.20  
ASPEN DAWN 7 4 5 5 5 6 511 (casse ma)GALLARDO A 124 5.00 7.40  
NAVANI 1 7 73 7 6 55 611¾ (allen ferri)KARAMANOS A 124 6.00 7.00  
DULCE DESPERTAR (ARG) 5 1 21 21 7 7 728 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 122 10.00 4.10  
SCR  GIRVINIZED               (allen ferris)CONNER TYLER 124 30.00    
 
CNL-8   07/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($72K) 3 ALL PT- 4:00
See original race card.
:23 :462 1:103 1:224   1:35   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ANTISOCIAL 5 2 3 3 2 11 1½ (duarte jorge)LOPEZ PASCACIO 120 3.00 23% 3.40 2.00 W
ENGLISH LAW 2 7 8 8 8 31 2½ (casse ma)GALLARDO A 120 4.00 14% 6.40 3.60 P
RUNNER EYES 3 5 5 5 6 43 3 (casse mark)SANCHEZ J 120 5.00 9.80  
MISCHIEF RIVER 1 1 11 11 1 21 4 (caramori caio)TOLEDO JEVIAN 120 10.00 5% 19.00 5.90  
MAGIC PATHWAY 6 4 4 73 7 56 513½ (trombetta micha)CENTENO E 122 3.50 40% 1.50 4.20  
HEAVEN'S CHAMPION 7 8 7 6 5 6 615¼ (kelly blake)CHUAN MARTIN 122 12.00 12.30  
CHRIS'S REVENGE 8 6 6 42 3 7 720½ (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 120 6.00 6.60  
PEDIATRICIAN 4 3 21 21 42 817¼ 836¾ (salazar m)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 120 30.00 23.70  
SCR  BIG TANKNESS               (ness jamie)RUIZ JORGE 120 10.00    
 
CNL-9   07/16/2025 5280ft TURF RC9 FIRM Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:30
See original race card.
:231 :454 1:092 1:213   1:343   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
LEO TORO 3 1 2½ 1½ 1 16 1 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 123 2.50 49% 1.10 1.20 W
ROYAL PRINCESS 1 3 43 4 2 26 2 (russell bri)RUSSELL SHELDON 118 4.00 14% 6.20 5.10 P
PRECIOUS MEDLEY 4 4 3 3 3 36 310 (danner kels)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 6.00 4.30  
EVELYN LOUISE 6 5 55 5 57 48 411½ (oliver victori)ASHTON GAVIN 118 20.00 18.00  
11  ROCIO 8 8 88 710¾ 7 610 513¼ (munoz carlos)CONNER TYLER 118 30.00 5% 19.00 40.10  
FORCE OF LAW 2 6 6 6 68 59 614 (meyers madi)HAMILTON WESTON 118 20.00 26.40  
KOBE'S SMILE 5 9 911 912¾ 910¼ 710¼ 714½ (boniface kevi)TOLEDO JEVIAN 123 30.00 21.20  
12  LADY ENSIGN 9 2 1½ 2½ 43 812¾ 827 (mcmahon i)CENTENO E 123 8.00 11% 8.00 5.50  
10  SASSY ALLIE 7 7 7 810¾ 8 916¾ 934¼ (falcone n)CURTIS BEN 123 6.00 7.00  
SCR  LOU ANNA               (mccutchen)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 123 30.00    
SCR  MAINSTREAM SELLOUT               (saville nia)BURNHAM MATILDA 116 30.00    
SCR  MOMMA'S LINO               (brion keri)RUIZ JORGE 123 5.00    
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.