Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - September 18, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-7   WIN (1/3/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $10.30 $4.30 72%
    EXA (1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $2.00 $12.00  3-7 $76.62 $64.62 539%
    TRI (1/3/7)-(1/3/7)-(1/3/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00  3-7-1 $40.15 $37.15 1238%
Simulator Race results
 
CD-1   09/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
See original race card.
:222 :444 1:091     1:154   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUNTTHEBRAVE 1 2 1½ 1½   13 12¾ (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 5.00 2.35  
2  RISK IT 2 4 54 66   55½ 22¾ (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 2.00 51% 1.00 2.16 P
6  TIMING DIFFERENCE 6 7 64½ 43½   34½ 32¾ (knippenberg br)MACHADO LUAN 121 4.00 21% 3.80 12.55 S
5  FULLY VOLATILE 5 3 2½ 2½   23 43¼ (heitzman eri)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00 8.05  
4  PERFECT MAGIC 4 5 43 54   44½ 55½ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 8.00 5% 19.00 11.82  
7  VASA 7 1 3½ 31½   67½ 69½ (sweezey ken)ORTIZ JR 121 2.50 2.61  
3  REDACTED 3 6 77 79   710½ 712¼ (hancock dana)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 12.00 15.96  
 
CD-2   09/18/2025 5610ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
See original race card.
:233 :481 1:112 1:353   1:414   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  COPP 2 6 41½ 42 31½ 2½ 12 (mccarthy mich)ORTIZ JR 120 2.50 38% 1.70 1.02 W
  (by BLAME out of SIERRA OLIVIA by PULPIT)
4  ALTIPLANO 3 4 2½ 2½ 2nk 1½ 22 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 120 4.50 5.16  
  (by CANDY RIDE out of AYMARA by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
8  PIRANDELLO 7 7 63¼ 63½ 54½ 54 34¾ (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 6.00 3.23  
  (by STREET SENSE out of MARJAYOUN by GHOSTZAPPER)
1  THUNDER ROLL 1 1 1½ 1½ 1nk 31 45¼ (mott william)TORRES A 120 5.00 14% 5.90 7.21  
  (by HARD SPUN out of CHARGED by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  COURAGEOUS CLAY 5 2 31½ 31½ 42 43½ 57¾ (lovell mi)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00 40.90  
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SCATTERED THOUGHTS by SCAT DADDY)
7  BESTBALL 6 3 53 53½ 64¾ 65½ 610 (heath destin )CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00 5% 19.00 31.50  
  (by JUSTIFY out of WEMBLEY by BERNARDINI)
5  REVELLER'S CHEER 4 5 73¼ 73¾ 78¼ 710 716¾ (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 120 2.00 18% 4.50 5.95  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of AMERICAN QUEEN by QUIET AMERICAN)
SCR  KING LEE               (romans dale)LANERIE J 120 12.00    
  (by BALANCE THE BOOKS out of SKY WILLOW by EMPIRE MAKER)
 
CD-3   09/18/2025 4950ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($62.5K) Purse ($89K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:00
See original race card.
:223 :451 1:093 1:212   1:28   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  CAN'T HUSH THIS 1 3 54 32½   11½ 14 (foley greg)ORTIZ JR 121 4.50 6.61  
3  ZAMBEZI 2 2 32½ 22   21½ 24 (wilkes ia)LEPAROUX R 121 6.00 5% 19.00 3.50 P
5  BUSHIDO 4 1 12 12   33 310½ (jacobson )TORRES A 121 6.00 30% 2.30 8.80 S
4  CLASSIC LEGACY 3 4 64½ 65   45½ 410½ (moquett ro)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00 20% 4.00 2.88  
6  CONDEMN 5 5 42½ 53½   57½ 514¾ (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 121 10.00 10.04  
8  GUNNER BAY 6 6 22 43½   610 625½ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 121 2.50 1.44  
SCR  ARCHIE THE GIZA               (medina robert)LANERIE J 121 15.00    
SCR  HEART HEADED               (jacobson dav)TORRES A 121 5.00    
 
CD-4   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 2 ALL PT- 6:30
See original race card.
:221 :451 :572     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  SUPER KICK 6 4 1½ 13½   14½ 15¾ (harty eo)RODRIGUEZ A 119 8.00 6.03  
  (by MITOLE out of AWESOME OMI by AWESOME AGAIN)
5  CHAYTON 5 6 87¼ 89¾   58½ 25¾ (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 119 15.00 21.65  
  (by WEST COAST out of SWEETER THAN WINE by NOBLE MISSION (GB))
12  PROJECT ACE 11 12 1212½ 910¾   68½ 36 (romans dale)LANERIE J 119 12.00 27.22  
  (by WAR OF WILL out of PLENTY O'TOOLE by RAISE A CUP)
3  MO BEACH TIME 3 3 42 23½   24½ 48 (goodwin n)WILLIAMS JO 119 4.50 15% 5.80 11.70  
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of IT'S MO TIME by UNCLE MO)
4  RACE READY 4 11 109¾ 69   79 59 (casse w)ORTIZ JR 119 6.00 14% 6.20 1.92  
  (by READY'S IMAGE out of COME ON GET HAPPY by MR. GREELEY)
13  CRYPTO CORY 12 2 2½ 33½   36 610¾ (von donn)CEDILLO ABEL 119 10.00 15.29  
  (by GAME WINNER out of SOCIALITE by DISTORTED HUMOR)
11  MAXXUS 10 5 32 44½   46½ 711½ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 15% 5.50 5.69  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of SUPER DIVINE by DIVINE PARK)
2  ORVILLE'S MAP 2 8 1110 1112¼   912½ 813¼ (stewart d)LEPAROUX R 119 12.00 ★ 22.41  
  (by LIAM'S MAP out of BOY CRAZY by SKY MESA)
1  LEX GO HONEY 1 7 77¼ 1011¼   1113¾ 920¾ (devaux cher)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 12.00 5% 19.00 7.93  
  (by LEXITONIAN out of HONEY TRAP by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
7  CHATTERFIELD 7 1 52¼ 79½   812 1023 (mcguire kara )CANNON DECLAN 119 10.00 29.33  
  (by MAXFIELD out of JUST TALKIN by MIDSHIPMAN)
9  THUNDER MURPHY 8 10 64¼ 58   1013½ 1127¼ (desormeaux k)ROCCO S 119 6.00 15% 5.50 10.29  
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of DERBY BRAVE by STREET SENSE)
10  THOUSAND SPIRITS 9 9 99¼ 1214¾   1218¾ 1230¾ (chapman be)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 10.00 11.10  
  (by THOUSAND WORDS out of LIGHT CAT by INDYGO SHINER)
SCR  KINGOFSOMEWHEREHOT               (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 119 12.00    
  (by BEAU LIAM out of SNAP CAT by TALE OF THE CAT)
SCR  NO BEES               (ennis john)MORALES EDGAR 119 10.00    
  (by BEE JERSEY out of NO EXTENSIONS by NOT BOURBON)
SCR  VINO SUBITO               (vanden britt)EMIGH A 119 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of TIZ JOSSELYN by TIZNOW)
 
CD-5   09/18/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($20K) Purse ($76K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:59
See original race card.
:214 :442 1:09     1:16   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  UNCASHED 6 1 11½ 12   13½ 12 (rivelli )RODRIGUEZ A 121 3.50 0.78  
7  PAYNE 7 4 610 610½   56 22 (foster er)TORRES A 121 2.50 3.86  
2  AMERICAN LAW 2 3 34½ 34½   35 32¾ (shaffer e)JUAREZ NIK 121 12.00 22.74  
4  GLOBAL SENSATION 4 7 712½ 711   67½ 44 (esquivel jes)TORRES A 121 6.00 40% 1.50 4.82  
1  CHISELER 1 2 21½ 22   23½ 54½ (vanden britt)EMIGH A 121 15.00 5% 19.00 22.27  
3  BURNINHUNKOFLOVE 3 6 47 48   46 69½ (summers chad)ORTIZ L 121 4.00 21% 3.70 5.06  
5  MR. MELO 5 5 57½ 58   710½ 719¼ (hernandez rey)MORALES EDGAR 121 20.00 5% 19.00 37.49  
SCR  AIR COMBAT               (d'angelo jose)ORTIZ JR 121 3.00    
 
CD-6   09/18/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 2 F PT- 7:28
See original race card.
:224 :453 1:104     1:241   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KENZ 1 7 85¼ 75½   33½ 1½ (asmussen s)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 1.40 72% 0.40 0.99 W
  (by MCKINZIE out of MO KNOWS by UNCLE MO)
7  RASPBERRY 7 3 1½ 1½   13 2½ (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 119 8.00 7.82  
  (by MONARCHOS out of HEART WARMER by DEVIL'S BAG)
2  DANCIN IN OLD TOWN 2 9 97¼ 87   44½ 32¼ (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 119 20.00 5% 19.00 49.72 S
  (by TAPIT out of ABINGDON by STREET CRY)
9  TIFFANY CROSS 9 10 1011¾ 1011   77½ 42¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ JR 119 8.00 11.59  
  (by CURLIN out of TIFFANY'S GAL by LIAM'S MAP)
6  BOURBON NOTES 6 2 42 32½   23 54¾ (wilkes ian)HERNANDEZ J 119 6.00 ★ 5.01  
  (by CHARLATAN out of DEFY by INTO MISCHIEF)
5  NO TIME LEFT 5 4 73¾ 44   55 68¾ (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 119 15.00 5% 19.00 14.37  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GAMBIARRA by QUALITY ROAD)
8  BOUNCE 8 1 2½ 2½   65½ 79½ (mott william)TORRES A 119 6.00 19.69  
  (by TWO PUNCH out of WUMPS by OH SAY (IRE))
4  AMENDED DREAMER 4 6 63¼ 54   910 815¼ (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 6.00 ★ 30.28  
  (by CONSTITUTION out of WINDMILL by STREET SENSE)
3  STATUTORY 3 8 53 64½   810 920¼ (damato philip)SAEZ LUIS 119 8.00 4.89  
  (by TIZ THE LAW out of AGREEABLE MISS by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
10  SUPERSONIC AGENDA 10 5 3½ 97½   1018 1028¾ (bailey ricardo)EMIGH A 119 30.00 59.39  
  (by KNOWN AGENDA out of CONCORD ECLIPSE by TIZNOW)
 
CD-7   09/18/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
See original race card.
:241 :484 1:124 1:363   1:491   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  BERNIN HOT 2 1 11½ 1½ 1½ 1nk 1hd (crichton g)SAEZ LUIS 122 3.00 30% 2.40 4.15 W
7  RESILIENCE 4 2 21½ 2½ 2½ 2nk 2hd (mott william)TORRES A 122 8.00 5% 19.00 2.83 P
1  SIR GREYLIND 1 5 54 52½ 54 32½ 3½ (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 2.50 44% 1.30 1.49 S
6  STOWAWAY 3 3 32½ 31½ 32 43½ 43 (beckman d )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 10.00 10.03  
8  DUKE OF DUVAL 5 6 43 42 42½ 54½ 54¾ (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 122 12.00 11.06  
9  MONEY SUPPLY 6 4 64½ 63 64½ 64¾ 64¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ JR 122 5.00 4.46  
SCR  EL MAGNIFICO               (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 122 3.50    
SCR  MACKMAN               (shirer matt )BESCHIZZA ADAM 122 15.00    
SCR  WINTERS LION               (shorter a)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 122 30.00    
 
CD-8   09/18/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($127K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:26
See original race card.
:223 :444 :561     1:084   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
10  TAYLOR'S VERSION 7 1 11 12½   15 13¼ (romans dale)LANERIE J 118 10.00 6.14  
12  HYMN (IRE) 9 3 32 34½   25 23¼ (moquett e)SAEZ LUIS 118 15.00 5% 19.00 11.73 P
7  FAUST 4 7 53 47   48 38¼ (asmussen stev)ASMUSSEN ERIK 118 6.00 7.11  
3  MAP TO THE STARS 2 4 84¼ 910½   710 48¾ (mcgee paul)HERNANDEZ J 121 8.00 5% 19.00 4.89  
9  MO QUALITY 6 9 98¼ 810   810 59¼ (davis christop)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 ★ 5.82  
11  MCDUDE 8 8 74 68½   69½ 69¾ (ortiz john )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 30.00 22.44  
6  AMOR PATRIAE 3 6 64 78½   58½ 79¾ (divito jam)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 2.50 24% 3.10 2.01  
1  MITTY'S GRIDDY 1 2 42½ 58   910¼ 812½ (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 4.00 35% 1.80 5.64  
8  MATH TUTOR 5 5 21 22½   37½ 914¼ (antonucci je)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 10.00 32.80  
SCR  GOLDENTOWN               (jones s)TORRES A 121 20.00    
SCR  JACK'S PROMISE               (romans da)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 20.00    
SCR  MAJORITY OPINION               (johnson h)HERNANDEZ J 118 30.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.