Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Keeneland
Thursday - October 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
KEE-1   WIN (7/4/9) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/4/9)-(7/4/9)-(7/4/9) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/4/9)-(7/2/3) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/4/9)-(7/2/3)-(6/4/1) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
KEE-2   WIN (7/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (7/2/3)-(7/2/3/5)-(7/2/3/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (7/2/3)-(6/4/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/2/3)-(6/4/1)-(3/6/5/4/7) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
KEE-3   WIN (6/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/4/1)-(6/4/1)-(6/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/4/1)-(3/6/5/4/7) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (6/4/1)-(3/6/5/4/7)-(10/9/13/2/12) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
KEE-4   WIN (3/6/5/4/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/4/7)-(3/6/5/4/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/4/7)-(3/6/5/4/7)-(3/6/5/4/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/6/5/4/7)-(10/9/13/2/12) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (3/6/5/4/7)-(10/9/13/2/12)-(5/6/7) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
KEE-5   WIN (10/9/13/2/12) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (10/9/13/2/12)-(10/9/13/2/12/7) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
KEE-6   WIN (5/6/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/4/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/6/7)-(5/6/7/4/3)-(5/6/7/4/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (5/6/7)-(7/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/7)-(7/5/2)-(4/2/6) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
KEE-7   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/6/1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/6/1/2)-(7/5/6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(4/2/6)-(1/10/6/12/9) 45 $1.00 $45.00 
KEE-8   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/10/6/12/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
KEE-9   WIN (1/10/6/12/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (1/10/6/12/9)-(1/10/6/12/2/9) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
KEE-1   10/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($49K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  NO TAKE BACKS Oct07 Mar02       (orantes jose)CANUTO THIAGO 124 4.00    
SCR  FARM TEAM Sep13 Jul26 Jun15 May10 Apr11 (jacobson d)GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 6.00    
SCR  STRUMMIN Aug16 Jul03 May17 Oct12 Sep14 (hancock j)ARRIETA FRANCISCO 118 8.00    
4  SHORTSTOP Sep11 Aug18 Aug01 Jul04 Jun13 (cook david )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 6.00 32% 2.10    
5  DAN D'ORO Sep11 Aug30 Aug06 Jul17 Jun19 (desormeaux )CONCEPCION AXEL 118 20.00    
6  ODORICO Sep20 Sep03 Aug16 Aug01 Jun07 (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00    
7  SPRINT OUT PASS Sep19 Aug29 Jul18 Jun15 May23 (diodoro r)TORRES A 118 2.00 35% 1.80    
SCR  PUTTING EAGLE Sep24 Aug03 Jun27 Jun11 May02 (von donn)ROCCO S 118 3.00    
9  CLOUDY HOLIDAY Sep12 Jun09 May25 Apr14 Mar19 (martinez kell)MORALES EDGAR 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-2   10/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 ALL PT- 1:32
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIME FOR MUSIC Sep12 Aug23       (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 119 10.00    
  (by GILDED TIME out of LA DI DA LA DI DA by KEY TO CONTENT)
2  LIKE WATER Sep21 Aug30       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 119 12.00 21% 3.80    
  (by FROSTED out of SUGAR SWEET by MR. GREELEY)
3  ELECTION NIGHT Sep21 Aug17       (radosevich shelly )GRAHAM J 119 30.00 20% 3.90    
  (by ELUSIVE QUALITY out of CAMEO PERFORMANCE by OSCAR PERFORMANCE)
SCR  REFINED DESIGN         (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 119 4.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of STYLE AND GRACE by CURLIN)
5  MAXIMUM EFFORT         (asmussen m)SAEZ LUIS 119 6.00 ★    
  (by SOCIETY MAX out of LOVE CAME TO TOWN by MEDALLIST)
SCR  LEADING CHANGE         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 1.60    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of STARSHIP WARPSPEED by CONGRATS)
7  FLASH OF CHAOS Sep26         (eurton peter)CURTIS BEN 119 3.50 27% 2.70    
  (by BOLT D'ORO out of JOINT RETURN by INCLUDE)
8  FOREVER ROCKET         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ROCKET TWENTYONE by INDIAN CHARLIE)
9  BHATIA         (davis chri)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 12.00    
  (by MEDAGLIA D'ORO out of LANGTRY by STREET SENSE)
 
KEE-3   10/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($150K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:04
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CROWN IMPERIAL Aug28 Aug09 Jul04 May23 May02 (ortiz al)VELAZQUEZ R 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  MS. TART Sep19 Aug18 Jul05 Jun28 May31 (rice kevin)ORTIZ L 125 4.00    
3  TWIRLING QUEEN Sep11 Aug15 Jul19 Jun05 Dec28 (d'angelo fra)SAEZ LUIS 123 2.00    
4  YOUALMOSTHADME Sep19 Jun14 May26 Nov25 Oct30 (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 8.00 17% 5.00    
5  TWIRL AROUND Aug17 Jun29 May24 Apr26 Aug24 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 121 12.00    
6  OUJDA (FR) Aug30 Aug02       (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 125 1.20 30% 2.40    
 
KEE-4   10/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:36
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOOGOL JOKE Sep27 Aug16 Jul06 Jun04 May26 (medina robert)LANERIE J 122 12.00    
2  REMI'S MOON Sep28 Sep17 Aug22 Jul23 Jul06 (weaver george)MACHADO LUAN 122 6.00    
3  PAPA YO Sep28 Sep14 Aug09 Jun22 May18 (hartman chris)CURTIS BEN 122 3.50 29% 2.40    
4  UTOPIAN Sep14 Jul29 Sep09     (camejo jose)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 15.00 6% 14.40    
5  ASKARI Sep27 Sep04 Jul29 Jun12 May18 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.00 21% 3.80    
6  SWEETALKINGBOURBON Aug16 May26 Apr10 Feb15 Jan16 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 122 2.50 22% 3.60    
7  MISSION IMPROBABLE Sep28 Aug25 Jan31 Oct07 Sep25 (brisset rodol)ORTIZ JR 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  WEAPONIZED Sep25 Aug20 Mar22     (mott riley)VELAZQUEZ R 120 15.00    
9  BERMUDA BLITZ Sep28 Aug09 Jul14 Jun11 May08 (quartarolo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 118 6.00    
 
KEE-5   10/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 3:08
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TURKISH PISTACHIO Oct10 Sep12       (david a)SAEZ LUIS 119 12.00    
  (by CATHOLIC BOY out of SPIN CONTROL by HARD SPUN)
2  REAL DRAMA Aug29         (beckman d)DETTORI LANFRANCO 119 4.50 13% 6.60    
  (by FOR REALLY out of DADDYISDOOLEY by SCAT DADDY)
3  ABOUT AND AROUND         (correas ignac)CANNON DECLAN 119 15.00    
  (by BLAME out of FACTOR AROUND by THE FACTOR)
4  CORE MEMORIES         (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 8.00    
  (by YOSHIDA out of HOW UNUSUAL by UNUSUAL HEAT)
5  RIVER WAVENEY Aug11         (ennis john)SHEEHY DANNY 119 30.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of STREET OF GOLD by BAY STREET STAR)
6  LOVE KNICKS HART         (catalano m)CURTIS BEN 119 20.00    
  (by KNICKS GO out of LOVE FOR SCARLETT by NOT FOR LOVE)
7  TEMPLE GODDESS Sep20 Aug28 Aug07 Jul28   (corrigan jim)ELLIOTT JANE 119 15.00 ★    
  (by TEMPLE CITY out of REVELSTOKE by MONASHEE MOUNTAIN)
8  PASEO (GB) Aug28         (wilkes r)MACHADO LUAN 119 20.00    
  (by CHAMPS ELYSEES (GB) out of POSTERITAS by LEAR FAN)
9  AMBERGLEN (IRE)         (cox h)ORTIZ JR 119 3.00 18% 4.40    
  (by NIGHT OF THUNDER out of SEA EMPRESS by SLEWDLEDO)
10  LOVE AND GRACE         (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 119 4.00 25% 3.10    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of ZOFELLE by ZOFFANY)
SCR  EVE         (arnold geor)CONCEPCION AXEL 119 10.00    
  (by KITTEN'S JOY out of SWEET EMMA ROSE by CITY ZIP)
12  COMBUSTIBLE MASS Aug28         (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 119 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by VOLATILE out of CONGREGATION by HOLD ME BACK)
13  LILO LIL Sep06         (mccarthy mich)VELAZQUEZ R 119 8.00 18% 4.60    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of CEDAR'S STARS by SEA THE STARS)
SCR  SUGAR DOLL Sep11         (lynch brian)GUTIERREZ MARIO 119 15.00    
  (by WESTERN FAME out of SINCERELY SWEET by SKYWALKER)
SCR  ACADEMIC FREEDOM         (mott riley)TORRES A 119 20.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CAFE NIGHT by CALIFORNIA CHROME)
SCR  ALL ABOUT YOU Sep28 Aug31 Aug16     (mcpeek kennet)ORTIZ JR 119 4.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of DUFF ONE by HARLAN'S HOLIDAY)
 
KEE-6   10/23/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:40
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CINISTER CIX Sep17 Aug16 Jul20 Jun21 May17 (sands shane)TREJOS JOSEPH 120 30.00    
SCR  WIZARD OF YESTER Sep14 Aug05       (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 12.00    
3  ANTIETAM Sep20 Aug08 Nov03 Sep14 Aug03 (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 ★    
4  NUANCED Sep13         (brown chad)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 3.50 ★    
5  PRIVATE SHOW Nov24         (cox h)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 45% 1.20    
6  CHARISMA Sep14         (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 120 10.00 22% 3.60    
7  BON TEMPS Sep26 Aug11 Jun13 May03 Mar29 (harty eoin)POSTON K 113 15.00 8% 12.20    
8  TROUBLE AHEAD Oct03 Aug17       (meah m)CURTIS BEN 124 12.00    
9  LEGEND OF BOBBY C Sep12 Aug20 Aug01 Jul11 May15 (greenhill jeff)MCKEE J 120 20.00    
10  VOULEZVOUS Sep25 Sep01       (mcpeek ke)ESQUIVEL EMMANUEL 120 8.00    
11  HAMLET Jul14         (mcgee paul)CANNON DECLAN 120 15.00    
 
KEE-7   10/23/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($120K) 2 ALL PT- 4:12
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  EASY WIND (CHI) Sep28 Aug28 Jul21     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50 ★    
2  A MILLION DREAMS Sep19 Aug15 Aug02 Jul11   (rice kevin)TORRES A 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
3  LONGHI Aug16 Jul18       (motion grah)VELAZQUEZ R 120 12.00    
4  COLLECTING Aug28 Aug09 Jul21 May23   (mccarthy mi)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 20.00    
5  KNOTY KNICKS Sep28 Aug23       (engler jeff)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 36% 1.80    
6  EAST VILLAGE Sep28 Aug29       (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 122 5.00 ★    
7  FULLEFFORT Sep10 Aug17 Jul21     (cox h)ORTIZ JR 122 2.50 36% 1.80    
8  COLT FORTY SEVEN Sep03 Aug23 Aug02 Jun16   (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 120 30.00    
9  EXPRESSWAY Oct03 Sep13       (mott i)SAEZ LUIS 120 3.50    
10  BAYTOWN DREAMER Oct03 Sep07 Aug16 Jul06 Jun05 (mcentee paul)CURTIS BEN 122 8.00    
 
KEE-8   10/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($130K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:44
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  XTREME SMOKE SHOW Oct05 Aug23 Jul30 Jul12 Jul04 (robertson)TORRES A 121 12.00    
2  TANYA SHOWERS Mar09 Jan25 Dec22 Nov28 Nov06 (hartman chris)ORTIZ L 121 3.00 36% 1.80    
3  CARESS Aug22 Jul23 Apr25 Mar22 Jun29 (weaver geo)GAFFALIONE TYLER 121 4.00    
4  SAM'S TREASURE Sep21 Jun05 Apr25 Aug29 Jul19 (lobo h)ORTIZ JR 121 1.20 38% 1.60    
5  LOVER GIRL Jan03 Dec06 Oct13 Aug31 Aug10 (williams matt)SAEZ GABRIEL 121 10.00    
6  ERVADEAN Jun29 May24 Feb22 Jan02 Nov14 (stewart dallas)SAEZ LUIS 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
 
KEE-9   10/23/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($110K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:16
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRIUMPHANT SPIRIT Nov30 Sep26 Aug17     (walsh bren)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.00 34% 1.90    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of SWEET CANDY DANCE by TWIRLING CANDY)
2  AUNTIE Aug31 Jul18 Jun07 May18 Mar29 (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 120 5.00 ★    
  (by UNCLE MO out of RUBILINDA by FRANKEL (GB))
3  ALL THE FEELS Aug03 Sep01       (gargan danny)SAEZ LUIS 120 20.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of POSITIVE SPIRIT by PIONEEROF THE NILE)
4  TEXAS QUEEN Aug04 Jun08 May09     (calhoun wil)CONCEPCION AXEL 120 15.00    
  (by SENECA JONES out of ELOQUENT QUEEN by RAJA BABA)
5  SMOKIN HOT BLONDE Sep19 Aug14 Nov23 Nov02   (kelley james )CANNON DECLAN 124 20.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of BIRDLOVER by BYRON)
6  RETHINK Sep10 Aug16       (brown c)ORTIZ JR 120 6.00 20% 3.90    
  (by RAVEN'S PASS out of A CHANGE OF HEART by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
7  THERAVADA Aug31 Jun14 Apr12 Feb23   (arnold ge)TORRES A 120 30.00    
  (by TAPIT out of CAMBODIA by WAR FRONT)
8  THE PALACE GIRL (GER)         (walden willia)VELAZQUEZ R 120 8.00    
  (by AREION out of TRES MAGNIFIQUE by HE'S HAD ENOUGH)
9  PRETTY TAPIT Aug31 Jul20 Jun07 Apr17 Feb27 (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TAPIT out of PRETTY AT WAR by WAR FRONT)
10  LADY IVA Sep19 Aug23       (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 120 3.00 21% 3.90    
  (by UNCLE MO out of IVA by SCAT DADDY)
11  ONE HAPPY ISLAND Aug30 Mar22 Feb06 Jan02 Dec12 (kordenbrock matt)GRAHAM J 120 20.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of FULL SWING by VERRAZANO)
12  THAMES Apr17         (mott riley)TORRES A 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by GIFT BOX out of HENLEY by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
SCR  YOU'RE SO VAIN Aug29         (cruz jesus)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 15.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of LOOK AT ME by FAIR AMERICAN)
SCR  EMMY BLUE Oct06 Sep07 Aug10     (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 120 12.00    
  (by OSCAR PERFORMANCE out of BLUE HEART by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  EVALINA Oct03 Sep15 Jul17 Jun25 May22 (guerrero sa)JIMENEZ J 120 30.00    
  (by MALIBU MOON out of ELUSIVE BITCOIN by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
SCR  LOTS OF KISSES Sep10 Aug23       (maker mich)GAFFALIONE TYLER 120 4.50    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of AGAVE KISS by LION HEART)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.