Handicappers' Race Results
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The Longshot Hunter!
Saratoga
Sunday - July 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
SAR-1   EXA (6/2/8)-(6/2/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  6-8 $19.50 $10.50 117%
    TRI (6/2/8)-(6/2/5/8)-(6/2/5/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00  6-8-5 $24.87 $15.87 176%
SAR-2   EXA (1/5/4/6)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  5-4 $16.50 $4.50 38%
    DD (6/2/8)-(1/5/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  6-5 $12.50 $0.50 4%
SAR-3   EXA (1/3)-(1/3/5/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00  3-7 $21.10 $15.10 252%
    TRI (1/3)-(1/3/5/7)-(1/3/5/7) 12 $0.50 $6.00  3-7-1 $19.75 $13.75 229%
    DD (1/5/4/6)-(1/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00  5-3 $9.20 $1.20 15%
    PK3 (6/2/8)-(1/5/4/6)-(1/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00  6-5-3 $32.75 $8.75 36%
SAR-4   EXA (6/8/3)-(6/8/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00  6-8 $7.30 $1.30 22%
SAR-6   WIN (2/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $50.00 $44.00 733%
    EXA (2/3/6)-(2/5/3/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-2 $92.00 $83.00 922%
SAR-7   DD (2/3/6)-(1/5/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00  3-1 $254.00 $245.00 2722%
SAR-10   WIN (5/3/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00  3 $13.80 $7.80 130%
Simulator Race results
 
SAR-1   07/20/2025 5940ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($50K) Purse ($55K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
:24 :484 1:131 1:39   1:513   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  MAKES SENSE 5 1 32 31½ 31½ 12 17 (pletcher a)SAEZ LUIS 118 1.60 43% 1.30 1.25 W
8  SCOTTISH STORM 7 5 55 52½ 53 22 27 (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 124 8.00 5% 19.00 6.80 P
5  LAST MAN STANDING 4 4 42½ 41½ 42 34 38¼ (pletcher todd)ORTIZ JR 118 2.00 ★ 4.20 S
2  NO MERLOT 1 3 2½ 2½ 2½ 44 417 (kimmel j)SANTANA JR 118 15.00 19% 4.40 19.90  
1  FREEDOM MAKER 2 2 1½ 1½ 1½ 55½ 518 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 6.00 4.50  
4  CINISTER CIX 3 6 66 63½ 66 612½ 630¾ (brisset rodolp)PRAT FLAVIEN 118 8.00 7.10  
7  PREPOSITION 6 7 76 74 76 713 734¼ (asmussen steven)CARMOUCHE K 118 10.00 10.50  
SCR  DEW               (contessa ga)ALVARADO JUNIOR 118 20.00    
SCR  THE TACO LADY               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 119 6.00    
 
SAR-2   07/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($100K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:44
See original race card.
:213 :443 :56     1:02   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
5  REGALTON (GB) 5 6 42 44½   1nk 12¼ (weaver george)SAEZ LUIS 119 4.00 30% 2.40 2.40 W
  (by ZOUSTAR out of PAULINIE by ROYAL APPLAUSE)
4  FAST MARKET 3 7 86¾ 78¾   62¾ 22¼ (terranova john)ROSARIO JOEL 119 4.50 11% 8.30 4.50 P
  (by VOLATILE out of BETTY DRAPER by STREET CRY)
3  SONJA HENIE 4 3 66 67¼   73¼ 34¼ (proctor)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 119 12.00 25.50  
  (by CURLIN out of THEATRE STAR by WAR FRONT)
2  PANACHE 2 5 54½ 57   5¾ 44¼ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 119 3.50 3.05  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of MOJO MAMA by TAPITURE)
6  TATER TOT 6 4 31½ 32   2nk 54½ (clement migue)FRANCO MANUEL 119 8.00 6% 15.60 5.00  
  (by COMPLEXITY out of STREET MINSTREL by STREET CRY (IRE))
1  MY DIVINE SPIRIT (GB) 1 8 76½ 88¾   83½ 66½ (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 119 2.50 32% 2.10 4.70  
  (by BATED BREATH out of MAID OF SPIRIT by INVINCIBLE SPIRIT)
8  LAUGHING LADY 8 1 2nk 2nk   3½ 77½ (dutrow antho)CASTELLANO J 119 6.00 13.20  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMPIRE LADY by EMPIRE MAKER)
7  MARITAL TRUST 7 2 1nk 1nk   4¾ 810½ (tagg barclay)DAVIS KATIE 119 20.00 33.50  
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of PHILANTHROPIC by MALIBU MOON)
 
SAR-3   07/20/2025 5940ft TURF RC10 FIRM Allowance Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:18
See original race card.
:223 :461 1:102 1:344   1:464   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  THEN 3 6 513 622 517½ 25 12¼ (antonacci phi)ORTIZ JR 123 3.50 23% 3.30 1.00 W
7  BE OF COURAGE 8 1 110 119 115 15 22¼ (pregman john)CASTELLANO J 125 4.50 ★ 11.00 P
1  DEBT LIMIT (FR) 2 8 817 826½ 719½ 58 33 (brown c)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.20 51% 1.00 1.85 S
1A  MOVE TO GOLD 7 3 311½ 320½ 316 68¼ 44¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 1.20 1.85  
4  SNOOKIE BEAR 4 2 210 219 215 36½ 55½ (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 120 20.00 23.10  
5  RAMBLIN' WRECK 5 7 715 724½ 820 79¼ 66 (gargan danny)ROSARIO JOEL 123 6.00 ★ 11.00  
2  CLASSIC CREATION 1 4 412 420½ 416½ 48 79½ (terranova p)SAEZ LUIS 123 15.00 25.25  
6  SLAPINTHEFACE 6 5 613 521½ 617½ 811¼ 811 (dutrow anthony )DAVIS DYLAN 123 5.00 8.20  
SCR  CUT THE CORD               (giangiulio mich)CARMOUCHE K 123 1.80    
SCR  SOLO VENTURI               (walden willia)ORTIZ JR 118 5.00    
SCR  WARRIOR RICHARD               (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 123 1.40    
 
SAR-4   07/20/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($30K) Purse ($48K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:52
See original race card.
:222 :454 1:103     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
6  ELIMINATE 4 6 63¾ 41½   12 16½ (pletcher a)CARMOUCHE K 124 1.40 52% 0.90 0.75 W
8  CHARLIE'S EXPRESS 6 1 1nk 1nk   22 26½ (sacco g)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 20% 4.00 6.10 P
1  KIGALI 1 3 2nk 2nk   32 39¼ (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 8.00 3.30  
7  SCHEDULING DUDE 5 2 31 3½   43½ 49¾ (dutrow richard)ORTIZ L 120 6.00 6.10  
3  TRADE IMBALANCE 3 5 53¼ 65   510 522 (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 124 12.00 5% 19.00 10.30  
2  CAMM' DUKE 2 4 41¼ 53   617 641 (ryerson t)CANCEL ERIC 124 15.00 31.25  
SCR  CONFABULATION               (rice linda)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00    
SCR  SCAT TU TAP               (arriaga )VILLA FAVINHO 124 15.00    
 
SAR-5   07/20/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:27
See original race card.
:242 :483 1:123 1:381   1:512   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
8  STANDOUTSENSATION 8 4 21 2½ 2½ 11½ 12½ (amoss m)ORTIZ L 125 5.00 3.70  
5  CATHERINE WHEEL 5 2 42½ 42½ 32 21½ 22½ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 1.60 38% 1.60 3.70 P
2  INDY LABEL 1 8 88 88 810 66½ 34¼ (shirer a)SAEZ LUIS 123 20.00 21.70  
6  CASSIAR 6 5 64½ 64 55 33½ 45¼ (mcgaughey claud)DAVIS DYLAN 120 6.00 13% 6.80 5.60  
1  JUST MUSIC 4 3 32 31½ 42 44 56½ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 123 8.00 19.10  
4  SAVE TIME 3 7 76 76 77½ 78 610¾ (joseph saffie)ORTIZ JR 125 6.00 2.60  
3  BA DEE YAH 2 6 54½ 54 65½ 88 713¼ (amoss m)PRAT FLAVIEN 123 10.00 5% 19.00 6.40  
7  INTO AMORE 7 1 11 1½ 1½ 56 819¾ (pletcher todd )ROSARIO JOEL 125 4.00 27% 2.70 7.80  
SCR  MALU               (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 125 8.00    
 
SAR-6   07/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:02
See original race card.
:234 :483 1:134 1:38   1:44   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  MO TRUMP 2 2 11½ 13 11½ 11½ 12¾ (ferraro m )RIVERA R 123 20.00 5% 19.00 24.00 W
2  MIZTERTONIC 1 5 66 66½ 55 52½ 22¾ (brion keri)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.60 67% 0.50 0.85 P
7  CHARLES J 6 6 76½ 77½ 76½ 62¾ 33½ (lee joseph)ORTIZ JR 123 4.50 5.60  
4  OUTTAWATERBURY 3 1 33 34½ 42½ 42½ 45¼ (donk david)SAEZ LUIS 125 8.00 7.00  
5  COACH CASE 4 3 44½ 44½ 32½ 21½ 57¼ (clement miguel)DAVIS DYLAN 120 2.00 ★ 3.15  
8  ALAN TURING 7 7 21½ 23 21½ 32 67¾ (quick patrick )LEZCANO JOSE 120 8.00 19.00  
6  KRIOYO 5 4 54½ 56 65½ 78¾ 712½ (sano antonio)FRANCO MANUEL 118 12.00 5% 19.00 20.50  
SCR  CUMBERLAND BLUES               (quick j)RIDER TBA 123 6.00    
SCR  HEY TOBY               (englehart jerem)CARMOUCHE K 125 2.50    
SCR  MO FOR THE KING               (duggan dav)RIVERA R 120 3.00    
SCR  SUPREME SONG               (englehar)SANTANA JR 123 30.00    
 
SAR-7   07/20/2025 5610ft TURF RC7 GOOD Claiming ($40K) Purse ($68K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:35
See original race card.
:241 :49 1:131 1:37   1:43   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BELOUNI (FR) 1 6 63 64 54 11½ 1¾ (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 125 2.50 35% 1.90 2.20 W
3  ZVEREV 2 5 75½ 76 76½ 42½ 2¾ (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 123 10.00 4.80  
6  FUERTEVENTURA 5 2 32 41½ 32 52¾ 31¼ (maker mi)SANTANA JR 123 6.00 6.50  
8  WONDERFUL JUSTICE (GB) 6 3 21 2½ 2½ 21½ 44 (sharp joe)ROSARIO JOEL 123 12.00 5% 19.00 3.45  
4  SUMMER IN ADRIANE 3 4 52½ 52 42½ 65¼ 56¾ (maker michael )PRAT FLAVIEN 125 6.00 ★ 5.50  
5  TIDAL FORCES 4 1 11 1½ 1½ 32½ 67¾ (abreu fernand)ORTIZ JR 125 5.00 31% 2.20 4.80  
9  WILD BANKER 7 7 42½ 31 64½ 711¾ 714¼ (metiv)HERNANDEZ OMAR 123 50.00 34.00  
SCR  CASTLE ISLAND               (rodrigu)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 125 2.00    
SCR  GASOLINE               (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 125 5.00    
SCR  JOHNY'S FIREBALL               (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 123 3.00    
SCR  TABEGUACHE               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 123 2.50    
SCR  TISQUANTUM               (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 123 8.00    
 
SAR-8   07/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC6 SLOPPY Optional Claiming ($50K) Purse ($63K) 3 F PT- 5:10
See original race card.
:214 :451 :574     1:111   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
2  GEEZ ELOISE 2 5 56 34½   3½ 1¾ (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 122 4.50 ★ 4.60  
1  GOLDEN IRISH 1 4 1½ 1nk   1½ 2¾ (amoss m)DAVIS DYLAN 120 5.00 30% 2.40 2.85 P
3  FEASIBLE 3 2 2½ 2nk   2½ 31¾ (antonucc)SANTANA JR 122 6.00 14.40  
9  MELLE MEL 7 3 43½ 67½   44 42¼ (gidding)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 5.00 3.80  
7  VOLATILE MARKET 5 1 32½ 45½   55½ 57 (asmussen stev)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 5.60  
4  THEPRINCESSFACTOR 4 6 67½ 56½   67 69¾ (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 122 4.00 31% 2.30 2.35  
8  FLATTER FANATIC 6 7 77½ 78   79½ 715¼ (smullen heath)FRANCO MANUEL 122 20.00 5% 19.00 27.00  
SCR  ANOTHER CLEESHAY               (contessa gary )ROSARIO JOEL 120 10.00    
SCR  MOON GATE               (ryerson t)SAEZ LUIS 122 6.00    
 
SAR-9   07/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC13 SLOPPY Honorable Miss Purse ($200K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:44
See original race card.
:214 :443 :564     1:094   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HALINA'S FORTE 1 1 54 33½   21½ 1½ (bauer philip )ORTIZ JR 120 10.00 24.00  
  (by MITOLE out of LUNARLADY by YES IT'S TRUE)
2  R DISASTER 2 3 11½ 1½   11½ 2½ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 4.50 25% 3.10 2.60 P
  (by AWESOME SLEW out of MAKING HAVOC by GOTTCHA GOLD)
4  SCYLLA 3 7 85¼ 65   53 32 (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 124 2.00 39% 1.50 1.25 S
  (by TAPIT out of CLOSE HATCHES by FIRST DEFENCE)
9  JODY'S PRIDE 8 5 32 44   42½ 43½ (abreu r)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.00 5.50  
  (by AMERICAN PHAROAH out of JODY'S SONG by SCAT DADDY)
7  STRIKER HAS DIAL 6 2 21½ 2½   32½ 57¼ (de horacio)CARMOUCHE K 120 5.00 10.10  
  (by DIALED IN out of LOTTA LOLLY by SMART STRIKE)
8  BENEDETTA 7 8 64 76   66 69 (asmussen steven)DAVIS DYLAN 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.90  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of TESSIE FLIP by GRAND SLAM)
5  CARMELINA 4 4 42½ 55   76¼ 711½ (reid e)SAEZ LUIS 122 15.00 25.50  
  (by MAXIMUS MISCHIEF out of COMPLETE ST. by ST AVERIL)
6  LITTLE PRANKSTER 5 6 75 88½   89¼ 818 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 15.00 5% 19.00 17.80  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of GOOD GRAMMAR by EXCHANGE RATE)
SCR  ZADORSKY               (beckman whi)FRANCO MANUEL 120 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of FINGERPRINT by COMPETITIVE EDGE)
 
SAR-10   07/20/2025 3630ft TURF RC10 GOOD Allowance Purse ($95K) 3UP M/F PT- 6:19
See original race card.
:221 :454 :573     1:034   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
3  JUST ADD WATER 3 8 65½ 65   51½ 1¾ (summers chad)ORTIZ L 120 3.50 13% 6.80 5.90 W
7  INFLAMMABELLE 7 4 32 32½   3½ 2¾ (nevin mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 15.00 21.10  
8  TURRIGA 8 2 2½ 2nk   1½ 31 (bond kevin)CASTELLANO J 122 8.00 5% 19.00 8.40 S
1  QUICK POWER NAP 1 9 98 98   84¾ 41¼ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 4.50 ★ 5.80  
6  PHOEBEINWONDERLAND 6 7 76 76   64 51¾ (ward a)ROSARIO JOEL 118 6.00 5.90  
5  YOUGOTTAHAVEHOPE 5 1 1½ 1nk   2½ 63 (de h)SANTANA JR 118 2.00 61% 0.60 1.45  
4  MISS BOURBON 4 6 53½ 54½   41 75¼ (morley thomas)SAEZ LUIS 122 4.50 ★ 5.60  
2  ALETTE D'ORO 2 3 86½ 87½   95¼ 85¾ (ferrar)MARAGH RAMSAY 122 50.00 47.25  
9  SPA CITY ZIPP 9 5 42 43½   74¼ 911 (sells rachel)DAVIS KATIE 124 50.00 31.50  
SCR  GEOPOLITICS               (mott i)ROSARIO JOEL 122 2.50    
SCR  I'M KIDDING               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  LIKA ROLLING STONE               (arriag)MARAGH RAMSAY 124 8.00    
SCR  MOONLIT WEEKEND               (rodriguez r)RIDER TBA 124 4.50    
SCR  NINA KAY               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 118 3.00    
SCR  THIRTEEN RED FLAGS               (chichakly amira)DAVIS KATIE 122 12.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

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