Handicappers' Race Results

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The Longshot Hunter!

Saratoga
Wednesday - July 23, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bet Results

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

SAR-3   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00  2 $6.10 $2.10 53%
SAR-4   DD (2/3)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00  2-2 $9.70 $3.70 62%
SAR-7   WIN (4/7/1/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00  7 $15.00 $7.00 88%
    EXA (4/7/1/6)-(4/7/1/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00  7-4 $14.30 $2.30 19%

Simulator Race results

 
SAR-1   07/23/2025 12540ft TURF RC14 FIRM Grade I Stake/Handicap Purse ($150K) 4UP ALL PT- 1:10
See original race card.
4:372         4:372   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
HISTORIC HEART (IRE) 6 25 24 27 22 1nk 1hd (brion keri)MULLINS DANNY 150 10.00 10.60  
  (by FRACAS out of IRISH QUESTION by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
PROVEN INNOCENT 5 7 7 710½ 7 2nk 2hd (fisher r)BARGARY JAMIE 152 2.50 23% 3.30 4.50 P
  (by BLAME out of MEGHAN'S JOY by A.P. INDY)
ZARAK THE BRAVE (FR) 2 35 3 3 4 3 3 (garner thomas)DWAN EVAN 158 15.00 9.70  
  (by ZARAK out of TEMPO ROYALE by BORIS DE DEAUVILLE)
WHO'S COUNTING 1 6 5 4 33 42 4 (mcdermott se)MCDERMOTT SEAN 150 8.00 7% 13.20 6.20  
  (by VANCOUVER out of COUNTER MEASURE by HENRYTHENAVIGATOR)
JIMMY P 3 5 6 69 6 6 5 (brion keri)MULQUEEN STEPHEN 156 3.50 3.65  
  (by SLUMBER out of MY LOVE VENEZUELA by SCAT DADDY)
AWAKENED 7 810¼ 8 810¾ 8 7 610 (fisher john )WATTERS GRAHAM 152 2.00 39% 1.50 2.80  
  (by CURLIN out of DAYDREAMING by A.P. INDY)
HOWYABUD (IRE) 4 47 4 5 5 8 710½ (murphy cyri)GALLIGAN GERARD 150 8.00 7% 13.10 6.60  
  (by MILAN out of YOUNGBOROGAL by ANSHAN (GB))
KITTEN AROUND 8 15 14 17 12 5 810½ (brion keri)PROCTER FREDDIE 142 20.00 11.10  
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of BAIL OUT KITTEN by KITTEN'S JOY)
 
SAR-2   07/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:48
See original race card.
:224 :452 1:093     1:224   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
WEIGH THE RISKS 1 4 11 11   1 1 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.40 2.20  
PATRICIA ANN 2 5 21 21   2 2 (martin c)GOMEZ ANTONIO 124 3.50 18% 4.40 4.20 P
ZADORSKY 5 6 54 43   38 3 (beckman whit)ORTIZ L 124 3.00 32% 2.10 1.70 S
SULTRY LASS 3 2 33 33   4 412½ (jacobson davi)ORTIZ JR 124 8.00 5.50  
TOUGH STREET 6 1 4 6   615½ 517½ (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 124 5.00 8.10  
BRAGANZA 4 3 6 5   514½ 619 (abreu ferna)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 16% 5.30 16.70  
 
SAR-3   07/23/2025 5940ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($20K) Purse ($47K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:23
See original race card.
:234 :471 1:11 1:371   1:51   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GASOLINE 1 2 31 32 21 1nk 1½ (david carlos )ORTIZ JR 125 4.00 38% 1.70 2.05 W
MANTA REY 5 5 57 5 5 2nk 2½ (casse no)SANTANA JR 125 4.00 4.80  
SUERTE 4 1 11 1 11 3½ 3 (rodriguez gusta)CARMOUCHE K 123 6.00 6.70  
EMPTY TOMB 3 4 21 2 3 412½ 419 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 125 3.00 1.70  
O P FIRECRACKER 2 3 43 45 4 518 534½ (rodriguez rudy)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 5.00 5% 17.70 3.95  
SCR  BAD LARRY               (jones eduardo )CHANDRA PREM 113 30.00    
SCR  GOOD SKATE               (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 125 2.50    
 
SAR-4   07/23/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:58
See original race card.
:22 :452 :573     1:102   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GARDINER 2 5 21 1½   12 1 (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 120 2.50 36% 1.80 1.75 W
TRUST ISSUES 3 7 6 6   32 2 (atras rob)ORTIZ JR 124 3.00 2.30 P
ZIPPY MARK 5 6 5 5   22 3 (mcpeek kenneth )CARMOUCHE K 124 4.50 17% 4.70 4.60 S
ROAR READY 4 4 7 76   66 4 (barboza vic)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 8.00 5% 19.00 18.00  
REMI'S MOON 6 3 32 3½   43 57 (jacobson davi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 5.00 5.60  
SOCIAL HOUR 7 1 42 41   5 611 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 120 6.00 8.40  
MUAZARAH 1 2 11 2½   716 730 (trites a)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 23.90  
SCR  CONNIVING               (keithan)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 20.00    
 
SAR-5   07/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($12.5K) Purse ($40K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:32
See original race card.
:223 :453 1:112     1:252   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
GONE AND FORGOTTEN 3 2 2 3   3 11 (kantarmaci ilk)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 2.00 2.05  
PROBLEMATICA 2 1 1 12   11 21 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 124 4.50 20% 3.90 3.75 P
APRIL ANTICS 5 6 6 6   44 3 (barker r)DAVIS DYLAN 122 20.00 16.70  
TALKIN IN CURSIVE 1 4 3 22   21 4 (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 124 1.60 31% 2.20 2.05  
TONED UP 4 8 710¼ 710½   68 54 (martin c)SANTANA JR 122 10.00 5% 19.00 7.30  
1A  EQUUS 8 5 5 5   5 6 (potts wayne)LUZZI J 122 12.00 22.10  
CHAMPAGNE SURPRISE 7 7 811¾ 815½   711 7 (gutierrez l)GUTIERREZ REYLU 122 15.00 27.25  
OPEN SOUL AUTISM 6 3 4 43   818 842½ (englehart chri)LEZCANO JOSE 122 10.00 15% 5.80 11.70  
SCR  TRADE SECRET               (potts w)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 12.00    
 
SAR-6   07/23/2025 7260ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:06
See original race card.
:234 :481 1:131 1:38 2:014 2:133   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
FREEDOM'S WAY 2 36 37 37 34 1nk 1 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 123 6.00 4.90  
CRYSTAL QUEST 4 611½ 610½ 611½ 67 4 2 (trombetta mich)PRAT FLAVIEN 125 1.80 33% 2.10 1.60 P
VESTING (IRE) 5 21 22 22 21 2nk 3 (maker michael )ROSARIO JOEL 125 6.00 13% 6.80 4.20 S
CATCH A WAVE 1 4 58 4 45 54 4 (brown c)FRANCO MANUEL 123 2.50 32% 2.20 2.45  
RUNGIUS 6 11 12 12 11 31 5 (levine b)SANTANA JR 123 10.00 14.30  
NOTED 3 5 48 5 5 612 630 (rodriguez gus)ORTIZ JR 125 12.00 9.30  
SCR  COSTA TERRA               (kantarmaci il)FRANCO MANUEL 123 3.50    
SCR  FILM STAR               (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 1.60    
SCR  MUTAAWID               (maker j)CARMOUCHE K 125 4.50    
SCR  UNLIMITEDPOTENTIAL               (kantarmaci ilkay)RIDER TBA 125 3.50    
 
SAR-7   07/23/2025 4620ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:40
See original race card.
:231 :462 1:112     1:244   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
DESPO'S DREAM 7 4 11 1½   1 1¼ (abreu fernando)PRAT FLAVIEN 124 4.50 23% 3.40 6.50 W
DAISY DUKE 3 1 4 64   3 2¼ (moquett ronal)ORTIZ JR 120 2.00 27% 2.70 0.75 P
BEIRA 2 3 63 7   4 3½ (dutrow richard)ROSARIO JOEL 124 3.50 6.80  
LOOKS FIRST 1 8 8 8   6 4 (samsunda)SANTANA JR 124 10.00 9.80  
ELEGANT 8 2 3 2½   2 5 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 122 8.00 10.10  
PAM PAM 5 5 7 4   57 68 (dutrow richar)FRANCO MANUEL 124 8.00 7% 13.60 14.90  
FARM HOUSE 4 7 52 3   7 711¾ (lalman dennis)DAVIS DYLAN 120 12.00 12.60  
1A  CATCHPHRASE 6 6 21 5   824½ 844 (rodriguez r)ALVARADO JUNIOR 124 6.00 20% 4.10 17.30  
SCR  MOONLIT WEEKEND               (rodriguez r)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00    
 
SAR-8   07/23/2025 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($75K) Purse ($115K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:14
See original race card.
:22 :451 1:101     1:17   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
ALL CLASS 2 6 32 31   1 1 (rice linda)CARMOUCHE K 124 4.00 10.80  
CARESS 3 5 11 1nk   2 2 (weaver georg)CASTELLANO J 124 8.00 20.60  
PRINCESS MADISON 1 8 6 53   4 36 (bauer phili)ALVARADO JUNIOR 122 6.00 35% 1.90 2.90 S
GOODNIGHTNGODBLESS 9 1 910 911   711 4 (grusmar)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 122 20.00 5% 19.00 37.50  
2B  EVERYONELOVESLINDA 7 4 43 4   57 5 (dutrow richard)PRAT FLAVIEN 122 1.00 42% 1.40 0.70  
THE BIG CALHOUNA 6 3 21 2nk   3 610½ (dutrow richar)ORTIZ JR 124 1.00 0.70  
C'EST CHEESE 4 7 5 64   68 712½ (beckman whi)FRANCO MANUEL 124 12.00 5% 19.00 14.90  
FLOWERS FOR ME 5 9 75 7   815½ 820 (ryerson james )LEZCANO JOSE 122 30.00 45.25  
MIDTOWN LIGHTS 8 2 8 8   916 924½ (joseph saffie )ORTIZ L 122 5.00 7.60  
SCR  GOLDEN DEGREE               (rice linda)DAVIS DYLAN 122 4.00    
 
SAR-9   07/23/2025 3630ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($90K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:48
See original race card.
:22 :444 :563     1:024   PP ST C1 C2 C3 STR FIN   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KING PUCK 7 1 21 2   1 13 (clement miguel)ROSARIO JOEL 124 1.60 63% 0.60 1.25 W
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of ANDRASTE by PULPIT)
ASKINGFORAFRIEND 6 4 66 6   45 23 (maker michael)ORTIZ JR 119 3.50 7.00  
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of EMOTIONAL WORDS by CURLIN)
LIGHT FANTASTIC 9 9 11 1   2 33 (pugh pe)ELLIOTT CHRISTOPHER 124 5.00 7.50  
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SPOKEN NOT BROKEN by BROKEN VOW)
ROUT 5 3 5 4   34 4 (brown c)DAVIS DYLAN 119 4.00 5.60  
  (by VIOLENCE out of TRUE HISTORY by YES IT'S TRUE)
KLIMT MASTER 2 7 99 911½   7 5 (jones eduar)GUTIERREZ REYLU 119 50.00 62.75  
  (by KLIMT out of NIGHTENGALE MISS by HIGH COTTON)
BLISS STREET 1 6 7 7   6 6 (cash j)LEZCANO JOSE 119 15.00 19.10  
  (by LEOFRIC out of BLISS TO YOU by FREUD)
THE COMMISH 4 2 3 3   5 7 (brion keri)SAEZ LUIS 124 6.00 13% 6.50 3.35  
  (by COMMISSIONER out of NOTHINGBUTASMILE by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
LIBERTY RISING 3 8 88 810½   810 811½ (quick)HERNANDEZ OMAR 119 30.00 5% 19.00 48.25  
  (by CENTRAL BANKER out of LIBERTY FUZE by MASS MEDIA)
GUILTY 8 5 4 5   912½ 922 (barrow p)SANTANA JR 119 20.00 5% 19.00 19.60  
  (by GUILT TRIP out of SAFFLOWER by UNCLE ABBIE)
SCR  CHRIS'S SONG               (rice linda)LEZCANO JOSE 119 2.50    
  (by FLATTER out of THEYPLAYINGOURSONG by SONGANDAPRAYER)
SCR  LONG POUR               (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 119 2.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of PURSUING JUSTICE by TO HONOR AND SERVE)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.