Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Thursday - June 26, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (1/4/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/7)-(1/4/7)-(1/4/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/7)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/4/7)-(5/8/3/4)-(6/2/5/4) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-2   WIN (5/8/3/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4)-(5/8/3/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/8/3/4)-(6/2/5/4) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (5/8/3/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/3/4/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-3   WIN (6/2/5/4) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4)-(6/2/5/4) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/2/5/4)-(6/3/4/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/2/5/4)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/9/1/8) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-4   WIN (6/3/4/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2)-(6/3/4/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/4/2)-(6/9/1/8) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/3/4/2)-(6/9/1/8)-(6/4/5/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CD-5   WIN (6/9/1/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/9/1/8)-(6/9/1/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/9/1/8)-(6/9/1/8)-(6/9/1/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/9/1/8)-(6/4/5/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (6/9/1/8)-(6/4/5/2)-(8/3/11/2/1) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-6   WIN (6/4/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2)-(6/4/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/4/5/2)-(8/3/11/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/4/5/2)-(8/3/11/2/1)-(10/4/8/11) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CD-7   WIN (8/3/11/2/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (8/3/11/2/1)-(8/3/11/2/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (8/3/11/2/1)-(8/3/11/2/1)-(8/3/11/2/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (8/3/11/2/1)-(10/4/8/11) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
CD-8   WIN (10/4/8/11) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (10/4/8/11)-(10/4/8/11) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (10/4/8/11)-(10/4/8/11)-(10/4/8/11) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($16K) Purse ($36K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ATLANTIC DANCER Mar14 Jan26 Nov20 Oct23 Sep25 (cook b)BEJARANO R 123 3.00 33% 2.00    
SCR  GLOBAL LEGEND May22 Mar28 Mar07 Dec13 Oct19 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 8.00    
3  GOLD SEARCH Jun01 Apr29 Feb15 Nov13 Sep21 (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 123 1.80    
4  PIERCE ELEVATED May22 May08 Mar07 Feb07 Jan24 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 6.00 25% 3.00    
5  ORTHO STAR May13 Apr13 Mar19 Jan17 Dec07 (granitz anth)MONCADA IRVING 113 10.00    
SCR  GOLDEN PLATE May22 Apr10 May23 May05 Apr20 (rice linda)ORTIZ L 123 3.50    
7  AIR CAV Dec27 Sep18 Aug05 Jun19 Apr26 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 123 15.00 9% 10.40    
 
CD-2   06/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($20K) Purse ($57K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:29
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPEED INSTITUTE May27 Apr23 Apr10 Mar07 Feb21 (salas marceli)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00    
2  QUEBRANCHO Jun01 Apr29 Jan18 Dec19 Nov23 (sweezey ke)MONCADA IRVING 119 20.00    
3  BORN FLASHY Jun08 Mar01 Jan26 Dec29 Dec07 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 124 15.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOURBON OUTLAW Jun08 Apr20 Mar26 Mar06 Feb08 (david a)JUAREZ NIK 124 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ARMY HERO May22 Apr10 Mar05 Feb13 Dec07 (rice anthony)CALLEJA ANDRES 124 6.00 44% 1.20    
6  MUGATU Jun13 May10 Apr10 Jan23 Dec22 (bogle fergus)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
7  SHATTUCK May22 Mar28 Mar09 Feb03 Dec22 (ramsey nolan)SAEZ LUIS 124 2.00    
8  FARLEY HALL Jun05 May16 Apr06 Mar14 Feb17 (manley steve)DIAZ RENE 118 3.50 22% 3.40    
 
CD-3   06/26/2025 4620ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT- 5:58
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TRUSTY TROUTMAN         (schultz lindsa)CEDILLO ABEL 118 10.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of GHOST FLOWER by FORLI)
2  TRULY POSSIBLE Jun06         (oliver victori)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00 19% 4.20    
  (by IMPROBABLE out of VERDAD by STREET CRY (IRE))
3  PEOPLE GET READY Jun07 Apr18 Mar28 Feb23 Jan18 (michael brian)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ROSEE IS COZEE by COZZENE)
4  DARK THIRTY (IRE) Jun06 Sep26       (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by OUTWORK out of SUNNYSIDE GAL by SUNGOLD)
5  ASHES AND DIAMONDS May22 Apr26 Apr09 Sep01   (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.50 7% 14.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of REGAL PASSAGE by VIOLENCE)
6  ORDER RESTORED Jun06 May11 Apr18 Feb15 Jan03 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 3.00 51% 1.00    
  (by TOM'S D'ETAT out of GRAMMAJO by STREET SENSE)
7  CHURNING BERNI Jun14 May22 Apr26 Apr11 Jan25 (jacobson david)LANERIE J 124 1.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
8  DARTY TIME         (stall m)SAEZ LUIS 118 6.00    
  (by NOT THIS TIME out of POETS DREAMED by MACLEAN'S MUSIC)
 
CD-4   06/26/2025 5940ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($100K) Purse ($141K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:27
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BOURBON RESOLVE Jun11 Apr25 Jan25 Dec01 Nov09 (hess b)LEPAROUX R 122 20.00    
2  TALL BOY Apr29 Apr08 May02 Apr12 Mar07 (o'neill doug)BEJARANO R 122 15.00 14% 6.10    
3  OUT OF DEDUCTIONS May29 Apr29 Apr08 Mar06 Jan25 (block chri)HERNANDEZ J 122 4.50 17% 5.10    
4  SKYRO May29 May01 Mar29 Mar05 Jan25 (sharp joe)SAEZ LUIS 122 12.00 15% 5.80    
5  LORD BULLINGDON May11 Mar22 Feb08 Dec26 Nov17 (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 124 6.00    
6  HERCHEE Apr24 Nov23 Oct26 Sep08 Jul27 (pitts helen)MORALES EDGAR 122 1.40 30% 2.30    
SCR  ARRO SMASH May22 May01 Feb13 Jan17 Dec20 (bauer phili)CONCEPCION AXEL 122 10.00    
8  OLE CRAZY BONE Apr19 Mar02 Jan25 Jan03 Nov23 (calhoun will)TORRES A 122 3.50    
9  SANTORINI May25 Apr18 Feb15 Jan25 Dec20 (maker michael )ORTIZ L 122 20.00    
 
CD-5   06/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC7 SLOPPY Claiming ($40K) Purse ($78K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:56
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DEAN MARTINI Jun11 Apr19 Feb15 Sep28 Aug22 (eurton peter)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50 14% 6.30    
SCR  EL REY DORADO May03 Apr04 Mar08 Jan31 Sep14 (hartman chri)MONCADA IRVING 113 5.00    
3  NORWICH May17 Apr30 Feb23 Feb01 Jan03 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 118 12.00    
SCR  EXECUTIVE ACTION Jun05 May11 Apr19 Mar29 Jan05 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 118 8.00    
5  MAN IN THE CAN May03 Mar09 Dec15 Sep11 Aug12 (moquett rona)TORRES A 118 4.00    
6  CAN'T HUSH THIS May18 Sep29 Aug24 Jul22 Jun29 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 27% 2.70    
7  TEXAS RED HOT Jun06 Jun15 May18 Mar16 Mar01 (morse l)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
SCR  OUTLIER Jun11 May16 Apr24 Dec27 Nov28 (hiles rick)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 12.00 7% 13.70    
9  INEXORABLE Jun11 May25 May03 Jun19 May05 (asmussen s)ASMUSSEN J 118 4.50 20% 4.10    
 
CD-6   06/26/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($127K) 3 F PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  CUE THE DUCKBOATS Jun04 May02 Mar29     (mott william)TORRES A 122 8.00    
2  LADY OF SILENCE May02 Mar30 Feb24     (casse w)SAEZ LUIS 120 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  VINO TIEMPO May31 May17 Apr26 Mar30 Mar09 (vance d)LANERIE J 118 20.00    
4  CHASTEN May02 Jan18 Nov30     (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 118 2.50 17% 5.00    
5  LIAM IN THE DUST May16 Apr06 Mar01 Dec07 Nov01 (brisset rodolp)MACHADO LUAN 118 4.50 10% 9.20    
6  GOWELLS DELIGHT Jun06 May02 Mar22 Feb15 Jan25 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 1.20 49% 1.00    
7  DISCO RULES May19 Aug15       (mott riley)ORTIZ L 120 15.00    
8  SCYTHIA Jun04 May16 Apr25     (king l)MORALES EDGAR 118 20.00    
 
CD-7   06/26/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 SLOPPY Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:54
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLD LUCK May16 Feb24 Jan23 Nov17 Nov02 (garcia gena)GUTIERREZ REYLU 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  CASCAIS Mar08 Feb08 May04 Apr06 Jan13 (brown c)GEROUX FLORENT 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
3  BOHEMIAN BO May23 Apr26 Mar29 Mar02 Jan31 (vance d)LANERIE J 121 10.00 26% 2.90    
4  MARKET STREET May26 May01 Mar16 Feb15 Jan18 (shorter a)BEALMEAR C 121 12.00    
5  FORT SAM Apr29 Mar19 Jul28 Jun09   (fawkes david)SAEZ LUIS 123 30.00    
6  BANJO CHRIS Dec14 Nov23 Oct19 Sep18 Aug15 (wismer s)BEJARANO R 121 15.00    
SCR  CAT ON TIME Jun12 May23 May01 Apr19 Mar29 (jacobson david)ORTIZ L 123 3.00    
8  PINFIRE May29 May11 Mar04 Jan30 Jan09 (tomlinson mi)TORRES A 123 4.00 29% 2.50    
9  BARKSDALE Oct18 Sep18 Aug02 Jul04 Jun08 (walden wil)HERNANDEZ J 121 12.00    
SCR  BANNED FOR LIFE May23 Mar08 Jan10 Nov23 Oct04 (stall m)GRAHAM J 121 8.00    
11  MILES AHEAD Jun07 May01 Mar15 Nov28 Apr06 (maker michael)MORALES EDGAR 121 6.00 21% 3.80    
12  BRESLAU May01 Mar22 Feb23 Dec27 May04 (casse w)MACHADO LUAN 121 12.00    
SCR  LUNAR MODULE May11 Mar09 Feb01 Dec15 Nov20 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 121 10.00    
SCR  COMEDY TOWN May26 May11 Mar30 Feb22 Jan18 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 118 6.00    
SCR  GUNNER BAY May18 Mar08 Feb13 Jan10 Nov16 (casse norm )CONCEPCION AXEL 121 15.00    
 
CD-8   06/26/2025 3630ft DIRT RC5 SLOPPY Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:23
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  MR BOBO         (o'dwyer j)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 20.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of LADY JUNE BUG by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
2  HOGIE THE PLAYER         (wismer glenn )MORALES EDGAR 118 30.00    
  (by OMAHA BEACH out of IN JAIL by INTO MISCHIEF)
SCR  BEER RUN Apr10 Aug31 Jun27 Apr19 Sep02 (ward a)ORTIZ L 124 1.60    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
4  WAR LEGEND May11 Mar30 Feb22 Jun09   (casse mar)TORRES A 118 6.00 22% 3.50    
  (by WAR OF WILL out of RARE PERLE by SIYOUNI)
SCR  OPERATION SUNRISE Apr25         (mott william)TORRES A 118 15.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of SHURUQ by ELUSIVE QUALITY)
6  MORE THAN PRADA May10         (spicer t)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of MAGGI O'PRADO by PADDY O'PRADO)
7  ZAPPING STRIKE May09 Apr23 Nov23 Nov04 Oct14 (labra rogeli)BURGOS ALBERTO 124 12.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STRIKING BEAUTY by CURLIN)
8  GAS ALLEY May30 Jul18       (lauer mic)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 8.00 11% 8.40    
  (by STREET BOSS out of THREE SPOKES by DAAHER)
SCR  NO AH A         (block chris)GEROUX FLORENT 118 20.00    
  (by CARAVAGGIO out of FAIRWAY ROAD by CUVEE)
10  MO WORK Jun12 Apr08       (arnold r)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 45% 1.20    
  (by OUTWORK out of OUTRAGEOUS MISS by BERNARDINI)
11  OUTOFPI May09 Apr26 Mar12 Feb23 Jan25 (gonzalez e)BEJARANO R 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JERSEY TOWN out of PAHIATUA by TRIBAL RULE)
12  IL CAVALLINO May24 Apr25       (maker mich)HERNANDEZ J 118 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of DAISY by BLAME)
SCR  TAP ME A SONG Jun06 May10 Apr06 Aug24   (santamaria car)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 15.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of GWITHIAN by STREET SENSE)
SCR  SHADOW COAST Jun06 May15 Apr26 Mar12 Feb15 (stewart dal)GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 20.00    
  (by WEST COAST out of OVERPREPARED by QUALITY ROAD)
SCR  MILITARY CRUISER May09 May04       (vaccarezza nic)MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
  (by CATALINA CRUISER out of VASILISA by SKIPSHOT)
SCR  WINDTALKER May29 Dec22 Aug24     (wojc)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 118 30.00    
  (by VIOLENCE out of AMERICA'S SURPRISE by AMERICAN PHAROAH)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.