Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Churchill Downs
Saturday - June 14, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CD-1   WIN (2/5/4) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/4)-(2/5/4)-(2/5/4) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/4)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/5/4)-(1/3/2/8)-(5/2/7) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CD-2   WIN (1/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8)-(1/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/3/2/8)-(5/2/7) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (1/3/2/8)-(5/2/7)-(6/3/2/8) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CD-3   WIN (5/2/7) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/2/7)-(5/2/7)-(5/2/7) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/2/7)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (5/2/7)-(6/3/2/8)-(2/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-4   WIN (6/3/2/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8)-(6/3/2/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (6/3/2/8)-(2/3) 8 $1.00 $8.00 
    PK3 (6/3/2/8)-(2/3)-(7/5/2) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CD-5   WIN (2/3) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (2/3)-(2/3) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (2/3)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (2/3)-(7/5/2)-(1/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CD-6   WIN (7/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (7/5/2)-(7/5/2)-(7/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (7/5/2)-(1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (7/5/2)-(1/2)-(2/12/1/9/5) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CD-7   WIN (1/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/2)-(1/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (1/2)-(2/12/1/9/5) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (1/2)-(2/12/1/9/5)-(6/1/8) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CD-8   WIN (2/12/1/9/5) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (2/12/1/9/5)-(2/12/1/9/5/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    TRI (2/12/1/9/5)-(2/12/1/9/5/10)-(2/12/1/9/5/10) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
    DD (2/12/1/9/5)-(6/1/8) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (2/12/1/9/5)-(6/1/8)-(3/10/4/8/9) 75 $1.00 $75.00 
CD-9   WIN (6/1/8) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (6/1/8)-(6/5/1/8)-(6/5/1/8) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (6/1/8)-(3/10/4/8/9) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
CD-10   WIN (3/10/4/8/9) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/10/4/8/9)-(3/10/4/8/9) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/10/4/8/9)-(3/10/4/8/9)-(3/10/4/8/9) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CD-1   06/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($92K) 3UP M/F PT-12:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THEPRINCESSFACTOR May16         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 3.00    
  (by THE FACTOR out of ARCINA by ARCH)
2  DAWN AFTER DAWN Nov30 Oct10 Sep15 Aug11 Jul04 (walsh p)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.00 48% 1.10    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of KENCHO by FUSAICHI PEGASUS)
SCR  BUCKEYE BOMBSHELL May24         (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 118 10.00    
  (by HIT IT A BOMB out of THEANA by UNCLE MO)
4  MANY MO KISSES May22 Apr24 Mar28 Mar06 Jan23 (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by MO TOWN out of MOONLIGHT KISS by MALIBU MOON)
5  CHURNING BERNI May22 Apr26 Apr11 Jan25 Dec28 (jacobson )TORRES A 125 1.80 28% 2.60    
  (by BERNARDINI out of ABUNDANT FLURRY by MIDSHIPMAN)
6  MADDIENLIZZYSHONOR May22 Apr26 Mar16 Feb17 Jan03 (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 4.00    
  (by HONOR A. P. out of BUSY LISTENING by DEHERE)
 
CD-2   06/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($12.5K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:14
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED ROYALTY May18 Apr29 Apr16 Mar12 Feb14 (tomlinso)RODRIGUEZ A 113 4.00 29% 2.40    
2  KEVIN'S STRIKE May15 Feb20 Jan17 Dec15 Nov20 (amoss m)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 14% 6.20    
3  MOVING TO KENTUCKY May17 Mar15 Feb05 Jan16 Dec27 (davis christopher)SAEZ LUIS 125 5.00 27% 2.80    
4  STRATEGIST May15 Apr26 Dec01 Oct12 Sep14 (romero greg)MIRANDA ROGELIO 118 8.00    
5  TIZ SALTY May18 Mar07 Feb15 Jan02 Dec05 (thompson mic)MONCADA IRVING 115 4.50    
6  ENCRYPT May12 Apr09 Mar11 Jan28 Dec10 (walden wi)TORRES A 118 3.50    
7  MI COMPADRE May22 Feb20       (williamson b)BARBOSA CARLOS 118 10.00    
8  PED D'ORO May10 Jun23 Apr14 Mar06   (foley greg)MORALES EDGAR 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-3   06/14/2025 4290ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($75K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  SUMMER ADI May19         (mcvickers )HERNANDEZ N 118 15.00    
  (by SUMMER FRONT out of ADALEE by STREET BOSS)
2  DIVINE WIND May15         (arnold george)MORALES EDGAR 118 3.50 9% 10.40    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of EAST MOON by SPEIGHTSTOWN)
SCR  GIRL'S NOT GREY May17         (blair jorda)GUTIERREZ MARIO 118 2.50    
  (by GOOD MAGIC out of RADIANT RUBY by TALE OF THE CAT)
4  FORBIDDEN FRIEND May15 Apr07       (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00    
  (by MCKINZIE out of TABOO by FORESTRY)
5  CLAIRE'S RUN May15         (bauer philip )GARCIA MARTIN 118 2.00 67% 0.50    
  (by SPEIGHTSTOWN out of BALLYKISS by STREET BOSS)
6  TWISTED VIPER May02 Mar22       (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 118 12.00    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of DIAMONDS AT DAWN by LOOKIN AT LUCKY)
7  B D'S ANGEL May10 Apr07 Mar22     (duvall william)ROCCO S 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DEMARCHELIER out of BIG IDEA by ORB)
 
CD-4   06/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($125K) Purse ($134K) 3 F PT- 2:13
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ADMIT Apr07 Mar22 Feb21 Jan26 Dec12 (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 3.00    
2  STUDIO HALL May14 Apr23 Jun25     (walden wi)TORRES A 118 8.00 17% 4.70    
3  MEAN EILEEN May17 Nov06 Oct11 Sep08 Sep01 (sharp joe)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 4.00 24% 3.10    
SCR  AMARTH May16 Apr07 Mar01 Dec21 Nov15 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 118 3.50    
5  JUST RUTHLESS May15 Mar22 Feb21 Dec26 Nov30 (heath g)SAEZ GABRIEL 118 20.00    
6  MILA ROSE May16 Apr17 Mar06     (asmussen steve)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 25% 2.90    
7  MULTIPLICATION Mar29 Feb07 Jan09 Nov21 Oct27 (calhoun willi)MORALES EDGAR 118 5.00    
8  ZEALOUS MOON May14 Mar22 Feb02 Dec06 Nov07 (mott riley)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-5   06/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC11 FAST Monomoy Girl Overnight Purse ($175K) 3 F PT- 2:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRINCESS ALIYAH May16 May02 Apr19 Mar29 Mar09 (lukas wayne)JUAREZ NIK 122 15.00    
  (by INTO MISCHIEF out of SILVER COLORS by MR. GREELEY)
2  IMMERSIVE Nov01 Oct04 Aug31 Jul21   (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 122 0.80 57% 0.70    
  (by NYQUIST out of GAP YEAR by BERNARDINI)
3  ANNA'S PROMISE May02 Mar29 Mar06 Feb05 Nov30 (david a)SAEZ LUIS 118 4.00 9% 10.60    
  (by PROMISES FULFILLED out of CAROLINE LOIS by PAYNTER)
SCR  MINNESOTA MUNNY May21 Apr11 Feb27 Oct18 Sep05 (danner kelse)BESCHIZZA ADAM 118 20.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of BLUE UNION RAGS by UNION RAGS)
SCR  RUNNING AWAY May14 Apr07 Jan18 Nov30 Oct19 (ward a)VELAZQUEZ R 122 4.50    
  (by GUN RUNNER out of ALLEZ MARIE by UNBRIDLED'S SONG)
6  TAKE CHARGE MILADY May02 Apr07 Feb23 Jan25 Jan05 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 122 3.50    
  (by TAKE CHARGE INDY out of PRICE TOO HIGH by SCAT DADDY)
 
CD-6   06/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($78K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:18
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  NEON NIGHTS May18 Apr13 Mar02 Dec13 Nov10 (blair jordan)MORALES EDGAR 124 4.00    
2  BADGE OF WAR May10 Apr12 Feb27 Jan01 Nov13 (dutrow ri)DETTORI LANFRANCO 124 10.00 13% 6.50    
3  PASSING GAME Apr19 Mar15 Jan25 Dec21 Nov13 (eurton peter)ORTIZ L 124 3.00    
SCR  EVENING NEWS May17 Apr26 Mar28 Feb06 Jan17 (diodoro r)TORRES A 124 15.00    
5  CRUSHED IT Apr13 Feb12 Jan04 Nov27 Nov05 (devaux che)HERNANDEZ J 124 5.00 19% 4.10    
6  PRINCETOWN Apr12 Feb01 Dec07 Mar30 Mar16 (mott william)TORRES A 124 2.50    
7  SPECIAL DISPATCH May18 Apr13 Feb12 Jan18 Dec14 (amoss m)SAEZ LUIS 124 4.50 28% 2.60    
 
CD-7   06/14/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($80K) Purse ($82K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MCILROY May09 Mar22 Feb08     (brisset rodolphe)SAEZ LUIS 118 2.50 45% 1.20    
2  LOU'S LEGACY May17 Apr29 Apr08 Mar01 Feb08 (andr)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 10.00 17% 5.00    
3  DJANGO May09 Apr10 Mar02 Dec28 Nov10 (mcpeek kenneth)ORTIZ L 124 3.50    
SCR  REMI'S MOON Jun04 Sep28       (jacobson dav)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 15.00    
5  REAL MEN VIOLIN Jun06 May10 Nov02 Sep14 Aug24 (mcpeek ken)HERNANDEZ J 124 3.00    
SCR  FOOTPRINT Nov28 Oct16 Apr13 Mar23 Feb24 (stall alb)LEPAROUX R 124 4.50    
SCR  NEXT LEVEL May09 Mar16 Mar01 Sep21 Aug24 (desormeaux keith)GRAHAM J 124 5.00    
 
CD-8   06/14/2025 5280ft TURF RC5 FIRM Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($120K) 3UP M/F PT- 4:22
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  HELLO BEAUTY May01 Feb28 Jan02 Dec08 Nov10 (sisterson)DETTORI LANFRANCO 125 3.50 15% 5.70    
  (by STREET SENSE out of MAXIMOVA by DANEHILL DANCER (IRE))
2  RUNNING GAME May15         (sharp joe)ORTIZ L 118 4.00 29% 2.40    
  (by I AM THE GAME out of RUNABOUT by OXBOW)
3  SUN LIGHTNING Jun04 May02 Apr11     (ortiz john )GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 30.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of GREENFIELD D'ORO by MEDAGLIA D'ORO)
4  STAR BLESSING (IRE)         (catalano wayn)MORALES EDGAR 118 10.00    
  (by NO NAY NEVER out of LIKE A STAR by LIKE A SOLDIER)
5  JEWELED CITY Oct27 Sep05 Aug04     (stall alb)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of BE JEWELED by TIZNOW)
SCR  RODINA Aug02         (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 118 10.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of EMMA SPENCER by ZAMINDAR)
7  MO EXPECTATIONS         (cox h)FRANCO MANUEL 118 8.00    
  (by UNCLE MO out of HAVISHAM by BERNARDINI)
8  SHEILA'S LION May10 Aug04       (desormeau)LEPAROUX R 118 15.00    
  (by PERSIAN KING out of LAST KITTEN by CATIENUS)
9  BEMBRIDGE LEDGE Dec04 Nov01 Oct06 Sep01   (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00 15% 5.90    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of ROCKY HEADLAND by GIANT'S CAUSEWAY)
10  CRAWFORD May25 May02 Mar16 Feb14   (oliver victo)TORRES A 118 6.00 ★    
  (by MCKINZIE out of TAPPED by TAPIT)
11  TAKE NOTE OF THIS Apr24 Mar22 Nov30 Oct19 Sep08 (asmussen steven )CURTIS BEN 118 15.00    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of DYNAIRE by DYNAFORMER)
12  THERAVADA Apr12 Feb23       (arnold geo)HERNANDEZ J 118 5.00 18% 4.60    
  (by TAPIT out of CAMBODIA by WAR FRONT)
13  VINO BELLA Mar09 Jan31 Dec26 Nov24   (forster gran)TORRES A 118 12.00    
  (by VINO ROSSO out of ASTRAL FAVOR by ASTROLOGY)
SCR  PLOT         (drury thom)HERNANDEZ J 118 12.00    
  (by BLAME out of SCAPE by WAR FRONT)
SCR  HI'IAKA Jun03 May11 Mar21 Mar13 Feb22 (salas felip)GUTIERREZ REYLU 125 12.00    
  (by MUNNINGS out of HUA MULAN by MALIBU MOON)
SCR  YAMMY YAMMY BELLA May28 May05 Feb14 Feb05 Dec27 (salas marceli)GARCIA MARTIN 125 20.00    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of GREAT MORNING by GALILEO)
 
CD-9   06/14/2025 5610ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($80K) Purse ($134K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  KING RUSSELL May02 Mar15 Feb03 Jan04 Nov10 (moquett ronal)FRANCO MANUEL 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  SINGLE DOT YAHT May17 Dec01 Nov09 Sep15 Aug12 (drury thomas )MORALES EDGAR 122 12.00    
3  WINTERS LION May18 Apr07 Jan27 Jan05 Dec01 (shorter a)TORRES A 122 15.00    
4  DAI VERNON May18 Mar28 Jan27 Dec13 Nov09 (kenneally eddie)SAEZ LUIS 122 5.00    
5  FROSTED DEPARTURE May22 Apr24 Mar21 Jan05 Dec01 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 124 2.50 ★    
6  NOT THIS BOY May02 Aug11 Jul04 May26 Oct03 (cowans wil)HERNANDEZ J 122 1.60 71% 0.40    
7  QUALITY CHIC May03 Mar29 Jan05 Dec01 Nov07 (cook jason )GUTIERREZ MARIO 122 10.00    
8  HOLD MY BOURBON Apr24 Mar22 Jan04 Nov28 Oct04 (joseph saf)HUSBANDS J 117 8.00 5% 19.00    
 
CD-10   06/14/2025 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM Chorleywood Purse ($200K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:26
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LORD BULLINGDON May11 Mar22 Feb08 Dec26 Nov17 (mccarthy michael)CURTIS BEN 118 20.00    
  (by LORD NELSON out of MS SILVER OAK by LEROIDESANIMAUX)
2  TAPIT SHOES May17 Apr29 Mar22 Feb15 Jan24 (moger jr)BEJARANO R 118 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of AWESOME FLOWER by FLOWER ALLEY)
3  UTAH BEACH May17 Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 Dec07 (correas i)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 123 3.50 42% 1.40    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of MY OWN STORY by LASTING APPROVAL)
4  REBEL RED (GB) May17 Apr19 Mar22 Nov09 Oct05 (devaux cherie)ORTIZ L 118 3.00 13% 6.50    
  (by FRANKEL out of WITHOUT YOU BABE by LEMON DROP KID)
5  GOLDENEYE Dec26 Nov29 Oct16 Sep05 Aug20 (mcpeek ke)LEPAROUX R 118 10.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of STREET OF GOLD by BAY STREET STAR)
6  LAMBETH Apr30 Mar28 Feb23 Jan04 Nov24 (sharp joe)HERNANDEZ J 118 6.00    
  (by ARROGATE out of SOUTH BANK by TAPIT)
7  ANGLOPHILE May10 Apr19 Mar01 Jan25 Sep07 (lynch brian )GEROUX FLORENT 118 5.00    
  (by ENGLISH CHANNEL out of TRUSTMORE LOVEMORE by KITTEN'S JOY)
8  HIGHWAY ROBBER May03 Oct11 Sep07 Aug04 Jun28 (lynch bri)TORRES A 118 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by HARD SPUN out of YABBA by LEMON DROP KID)
9  VERSTAPPEN May17 Apr19 Mar22 Jan25 Dec27 (walsh bre)DETTORI LANFRANCO 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by WAR FRONT out of ANDROMEDA GALAXY by PEINTRE CELEBRE)
10  SUGOI May17 Mar01 Jan25 Nov16 Oct11 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 120 5.00 13% 6.40    
  (by KARAKONTIE out of TIMELESS SPIRIT by DEVIL HIS DUE)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.