Handicappers' Racing Form

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The Longshot Specialist!

Thistledown
Tuesday - May 20, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets

The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★

Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI

TDN-1   WIN (3/4/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (3/4/1)-(3/4/1)-(3/4/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (3/4/1)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (3/4/1)-(8/4/6/5)-(2/5/1) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-2   WIN (8/4/6/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5)-(8/4/6/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/4/6/5)-(2/5/1) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (8/4/6/5)-(2/5/1)-(6/1/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-3   WIN (2/5/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/1)-(2/5/1)-(2/5/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/1)-(6/1/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/1)-(6/1/2)-(1/4/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-4   WIN (6/1/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/1/2)-(6/1/2)-(6/1/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/1/2)-(1/4/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (6/1/2)-(1/4/6)-(4/2/6) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
TDN-5   WIN (1/4/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/6)-(1/4/6)-(1/4/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/6)-(4/2/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/6)-(4/2/6)-(3/6/5/2) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-6   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(3/6/5/2)-(4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
TDN-7   WIN (3/6/5/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2)-(3/6/5/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (3/6/5/2)-(4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
TDN-8   WIN (4/6/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/6/3)-(4/6/3)-(4/6/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 

Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.

The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★

 
TDN-1   05/20/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($16.3K) 3UP ALL PT-12:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
OILER Apr03 Mar18 Feb27 Feb11 Jan13 (faulkner c)PEREZ A 119 20.00 5% 19.00    
GROUP EIGHTEEN Apr03 Mar22 Mar13 Mar01 Feb01 (urieta johanna)RIVERA R 121 3.50    
PANTHERA'S FATE Apr21 Mar18 Mar01 Feb08 Jan23 (rone mike)AVILES YAN 119 3.00 65% 0.50    
SAILOR'S CHANCE May06 Mar04 Feb11 Jan07 Dec23 (hurley mar)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 8.00 5% 17.40    
SCR  FERRARI KID May10 Apr14 Mar31 Mar05 Feb10 (brooks gerald)BARBARAN ERIK 123 4.50    
AUGER May06 Apr11 Mar23 Mar12 Feb14 (feliciano benny)FELICIANO R 119 2.50    
TIME THE AVENGER Apr30 Apr01 Mar25 Mar13 Aug31 (rivera nestor )DIAZ I 119 5.00    
 
TDN-2   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.2K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SAHM TEQUILA Apr29 Mar15 Feb14 Jan31 Jan17 (lopez jr)VIGIL NOEL 123 15.00    
BOURBON ON FIRE Oct01 Sep16 Aug05 Jul16 Jun24 (puhl kim)BOWEN ROCCO 123 6.00    
SCR  DAVID'S GEM Jan29 Dec16 Nov26 Oct27 Sep17 (johnson )FERNANDEZ R 123 12.00    
AMIGO'S AFFAIR Jan29 Dec17 Nov19 Oct07 Sep16 (johnson gary )CEDILLO MAURO 123 4.50 32% 2.20    
VENETIAN DREAM Mar03 Feb11 Nov19 Nov11 Oct19 (bailey ricardo)PEREZ A 123 15.00 5% 19.00    
O ROMEO Oct28 Oct09 Aug29 Aug05 Jul09 (genovese ric)TAVARES JAVIER 123 3.00 13% 6.80    
STAY THIRSTY AMIGO Apr29 Oct09 Sep12 Aug29 Jul25 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 5.00    
AMERICAN PRINCE Aug15 Jun17 May23 Sep13 Aug16 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 123 2.00 34% 1.90    
 
TDN-3   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
MAMAS HOME COOKING Dec09 Nov21 Oct23 Oct08 Sep19 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 119 12.00 6% 16.50    
JACOBI Apr29         (yoder d)CEDILLO MAURO 123 3.50 39% 1.60    
MARQUITOS M Nov26 Nov11 Oct26 Oct09 Sep19 (rettele rich)TAVARES JAVIER 119 15.00    
SCR  DUO Mar27 Mar03 Feb08 Jan15 Dec28 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 115 8.00    
AKIMBO Apr30 Oct09 Sep04 Aug07 Nov15 (wolochuk dav)KEISER CHELSEY 119 2.50 28% 2.60    
GOTTOMAKEITHAPPEN Apr29 Mar31 Jan27 Sep12 Aug19 (johnson l)RIVERA R 119 4.50    
RADIO SILENT Apr29 Apr03 Mar24 Mar04 Feb08 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 119 2.00    
 
TDN-4   05/20/2025 3630ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
KERLO'S CAUSE Apr29 Mar19 Mar01 Feb08 Jan15 (crumley je)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 119 4.50 16% 5.40    
CLEOMENES Feb23 Dec27 Dec07 Nov17 Oct24 (urieta johan)BERRIOS HECTOR 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
KANTBACKOFF Apr22 Apr12 Mar31 Mar22 Mar10 (bailey ricardo)BOWEN ROCCO 119 6.00    
DANCE STEP May03 Oct19 Oct02 Sep03 Aug07 (calder)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 4.00    
MAGICGIRL Aug14 Jul29 Jul08 Jun13 May22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 2.50    
BLUSHING BETTY Mar13 Feb03 Jan15 Dec10 Nov19 (shanyfelt vale)GONZALEZ A 119 1.80 51% 0.90    
 
TDN-5   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
CANDLELIGHT HOURS Aug27 Aug10 Jun19 May09 Apr24 (jackson r)RIVERA R 123 2.50 56% 0.80    
LIBERTY BELLE Apr18 Mar27 Feb26 Feb04 Dec10 (winters mi)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 10.00    
SOCIALBUTTERFLYTAM Oct01 Aug15 Jun22 Apr22 Dec29 (cowans d)AVILES YAN 123 4.00    
THE SWEATY FOX Feb26 Dec10 Nov25 Sep26 Aug13 (skerrett jeffre)BOWEN ROCCO 123 5.00 17% 5.10    
SCR  COMMAND STRIKE Apr30 Aug13 Jul08 Jun11 May22 (jackson r)FELICIANO R 123 12.00    
LIONISTIC Oct26 Sep23 Sep05 Aug27 Aug13 (radosevich je)BARBARAN ERIK 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
LUCKY COUGAR Apr30 Apr08 Apr10 Mar18 Feb15 (da)SALAZAR FERNANDO 123 6.00    
SCR  MISS BETTY Nov23 Nov05 Oct01 Sep09 Aug19 (ramgeet tina)RAMGEET R 123 3.00    
 
TDN-6   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($31.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  LIAM'S LASS Nov18 Sep05 Aug15 Jul09 Jun13 (crumley jevon)FELICIANO R 119 8.00    
CANDYMONIUM Apr28 Apr01 Mar11 Feb26 Nov18 (skerrett jeff)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00 6% 14.60    
DANCE MY WAY Apr11 Mar28 Mar08 Feb01 Jan18 (puhl kim)RIVERA R 121 4.00    
AUSTRIAN NAVY Apr28 Mar28 Mar15 Feb03 Jan03 (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 2.00 56% 0.80    
HARTFUL HOPE Apr28 Mar26 Mar13 Feb10 Jan25 (zielinski )CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 123 1.80    
SHARP AZ CAN BE Apr28 Apr01 Mar17 Feb26 Feb10 (urieta johanna)BOWEN ROCCO 119 10.00 5% 19.00    
 
TDN-7   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($35.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:50
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  JUST A ROCKSTAR Nov21 Oct07       (tumblin andrew)PEREZ A 119 4.00    
STRIKE PLATE May12 Apr30 Apr10 Mar13 Feb26 (langley josh)TAVARES JAVIER 119 12.00 5% 19.00    
JUSTA LITTLE MOORE Jan23 Dec18 Nov30 Nov15 Oct28 (ruberto louis)CEDILLO MAURO 119 3.00 31% 2.20    
MERGER Apr30 Dec19 Nov27 Sep19 Aug31 (hamm timothy)BOWEN ROCCO 115 10.00    
DR. GEORGE Apr29 Aug26       (fadlovich m)NUNEZ Y 119 6.00 15% 5.90    
ROLL ON BIG O May03 Apr03 Mar11 Feb10 Jan27 (ibarra)BATISTA ALBERTO 123 2.50 22% 3.50    
SOULLESS Apr30 Apr10 Mar13 May21 Apr22 (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.50    
 
TDN-8   05/20/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 4:20
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  HIGHTEMP         (urieta johanna)PEREZ A 119 12.00    
  (by UNUSUAL HEATWAVE out of I KNOT by OFFLEE WILD)
PICARO Oct30 Sep30       (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 119 8.00    
  (by MACLEAN'S MUSIC out of SUDDEN HEAT by CONGRATS)
INTERVAL May08 Apr09 Mar14 Jan03 Dec12 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 123 12.00 5% 19.00    
  (by FLATTER out of LENGTH by WAR FRONT)
TOTAL SILENCE Apr24 Apr05 Mar22 Feb21 Jan11 (radosevich je)BRACHO A 119 2.50 32% 2.10    
  (by GORMLEY out of SILENCIA by SILENT NAME)
UNION SWAG Apr24 Nov25       (gorham robert)BARBARAN ERIK 119 5.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of SOLID GOLD by STREET SENSE)
MONTANA CAFE Apr06 Mar01 Feb07 Jan04   (puhl kim)GONZALEZ A 119 6.00 29% 2.50    
  (by COMPLEXITY out of WARRIOR KAT by MAJESTIC WARRIOR)
GHOSTAGAIN         (radosevich justi)AVILES YAN 119 4.50    
  (by GHOSTZAPPER out of STREET NONSENSE by STREET SENSE)
SCR  GUNNER'S GOLD Nov25 Oct19       (radosevich jeff)RIVERA R 119 3.00    
  (by GUNNEVERA out of OLGA PAYNE by E DUBAI)
 

 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.

  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.

  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.

  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.

 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.

  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.

 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.