Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Turfway Park
Thursday - March 27, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
TP-1   WIN (5/9/3/4/1) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/9/3/4/1)-(5/9/3/4/1) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/9/3/4/1)-(5/9/3/4/1)-(5/9/3/4/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/9/3/4/1)-(11/1/5/2/10) 25 $1.00 $25.00 
    PK3 (5/9/3/4/1)-(11/1/5/2/10)-(8/3/9/5) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-2   WIN (11/1/5/2/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (11/1/5/2/10)-(11/1/5/2/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (11/1/5/2/10)-(11/1/5/2/10)-(11/1/5/2/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (11/1/5/2/10)-(8/3/9/5) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (11/1/5/2/10)-(8/3/9/5)-(3/5/1/9/4) 100 $0.50 $50.00 
TP-3   WIN (8/3/9/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5)-(8/3/9/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/3/9/5)-(3/5/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (8/3/9/5)-(3/5/1/9/4)-(11/1/9/7) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-4   WIN (3/5/1/9/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (3/5/1/9/4)-(3/5/1/9/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (3/5/1/9/4)-(3/5/1/9/4)-(3/5/1/9/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (3/5/1/9/4)-(11/1/9/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (3/5/1/9/4)-(11/1/9/7)-(4/7/2/9) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-5   WIN (11/1/9/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (11/1/9/7)-(11/1/9/7/3) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (11/1/9/7)-(11/1/9/7/3)-(11/1/9/7/3) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (11/1/9/7)-(4/7/2/9) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (11/1/9/7)-(4/7/2/9)-(9/10/6/2) 64 $0.50 $32.00 
TP-6   WIN (4/7/2/9) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (4/7/2/9)-(4/7/2/9/6)-(4/7/2/9/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (4/7/2/9)-(9/10/6/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (4/7/2/9)-(9/10/6/2)-(5/8/1/3/10) 80 $0.50 $40.00 
TP-7   WIN (9/10/6/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (9/10/6/2)-(9/10/6/2) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (9/10/6/2)-(9/10/6/2)-(9/10/6/2) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (9/10/6/2)-(5/8/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
TP-8   WIN (5/8/1/3/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/8/1/3/10)-(5/8/1/3/10) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/8/1/3/10)-(5/8/1/3/10)-(5/8/1/3/10) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
TP-1   03/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($8K) Purse ($24.7K) 4UP M/F PT- 5:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ARROGANTE Mar08 Feb27 Feb08 Jan15 Dec13 (moreno tit)CORRALES GERARDO 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  SQUASH BLOSSOM Feb27 Jan31 Dec18 Jul24 Jun19 (ward dean)MACHADO LUAN 121 3.00    
3  BELLE BREZING Mar08 Feb26 Feb05 Jan01 Dec13 (hancock dana)FELIX E 121 12.00 11% 8.20    
4  BANNED FROM MIDWAY Mar08 Feb05 Jan16 Jan01 Dec13 (caramori )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  BEECHNUT TROPHY Jan31 Oct19 Aug18 Jul22 Mar30 (grubbs jamie)MONCADA IRVING 116 2.50 50% 1.00    
6  LOTTA ROSES Dec05 Oct26 Oct13 Oct06 Sep22 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 20.00    
7  FLAT DISCOUNT Mar08 Feb05 Jan25 Dec12 Dec04 (ginter ra)CORREA L 121 15.00    
8  STORM CHARGING Mar08 Feb08 Jan16 Jan01 Dec04 (hester haley)BESCHIZZA ADAM 123 8.00    
9  TIZZY JOJO Mar08 Feb05 Jan15 Dec27 Dec04 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 121 5.00 15% 5.50    
10  SYSTEMATIC Mar06 Jan23 Dec13 Oct03 Sep12 (esquivel jes)RAMOS D 121 6.00    
 
TP-2   03/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($5K) Purse ($22.7K) 4UP ALL PT- 6:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  UNSOCIABLE Feb14 Jan24 Dec12 Oct22 Apr25 (kelly blake)JIMENEZ ALBIN 121 3.50 11% 7.90    
2  NOTION Feb21 Jan24 Nov30 Aug31 Jul06 (lovell michelle)ACHARD ALEX 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  CAMPTON Feb14 Jan17 Dec05 Oct10 Oct01 (asmussen ste)RAMOS D 121 3.00    
4  READY PURSUIT Feb23 Jan23 Jan03 Dec18 Dec01 (gonzalez reina)ROMAN A 121 15.00    
5  SOUND THE CHARGE Mar05 Feb13 Jan30 Dec05 Oct23 (donjuan sergio)MOJICA JR 121 10.00 11% 8.40    
6  RANSOMWARE Mar05 Feb05 Jan25 Jan02 Oct16 (bahena ismael)SANJUR SANTO 121 6.00    
7  STAR SHOPPING Feb28 Jan30 Jan01 Nov10 Oct19 (williams c)HERNANDEZ N 121 12.00    
SCR  KING OF KENTUCKY Jan24 Dec19 Oct30 Sep19 Sep04 (brownfield claude)FELIX E 121 12.00    
9  EL FRANCO Oct30 Sep14 Aug08 Jun28 Mar14 (norris mike)MONCADA IRVING 116 20.00    
10  RESIST THE DEVIL Mar06 Jan24 Dec19 Oct22 Oct07 (tom)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 121 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  REAL NAUGHTY Mar04 Feb11 Dec30 Nov16 Sep24 (cline c)MACHADO LUAN 121 5.00 54% 0.80    
12  VALIANTLY DISCREET Dec19 Oct26 Sep03 Aug13 Jul13 (quinonez ma)ARRIETA REYNIER 121 12.00    
13  SWAYBACK JACK Mar07 Feb14 Feb01 Jan17 Sep14 (nocero ca)CORREA L 121 5.00    
SCR  AKAMAI Mar12 Feb07 Jan23 Dec28 Dec05 (west w)ACHARD ALEX 121 15.00    
 
TP-3   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($21.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TIZ BIG MONEY Mar14 Feb13 Jan23 Jan02 Dec06 (mere)PADRON-BARCENAS JAVIER 124 30.00    
2  ODORICO Mar05 Feb22 Feb12     (caramori eduar)MACHADO LUAN 124 15.00    
3  RICKY WANNABE Feb26 Feb05 Dec21 Oct31 Aug27 (foster eric)MORALES EDGAR 124 3.50 21% 3.80    
SCR  ROBERT'S MOON Mar15 Feb26 Jan03 Nov26 Oct19 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 118 15.00    
5  BRIO Mar14 Mar01 Feb08 Jan26 Dec06 (williams c)HERNANDEZ N 124 12.00 9% 10.30    
6  GLYNE BEACH Mar06 Feb05 Dec11 Sep28 Sep11 (nocero ca)CORREA L 124 20.00    
SCR  BEWARE OF PRIDE Mar14 Feb22 Dec21 Nov03 Oct12 (pino michael )JIMENEZ ALBIN 124 2.50    
8  BLEDSOE Apr27 Apr06 Oct08 Sep13 Apr07 (ward wes)RODRIGUEZ A 124 3.00 22% 3.60    
9  MEADOW VALUE Feb26 Feb13 May23 Apr16 Feb09 (elliott mich)CALLEJA ANDRES 124 10.00 18% 4.60    
SCR  HEADLINE REPORT Oct13 Apr12 Jan13 Feb26   (ward wesle)CORRALES GERARDO 124 10.00    
 
TP-4   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC9 FAST Starter Allowance ($50K) Purse ($34K) 3 ALL PT- 7:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALTOBELLI Mar15 Mar07 Feb14 Dec18 Nov13 (alvarez nery)ORANTES CESAR 112 6.00 8% 11.80    
2  RULOOKINFORRAYRAY Feb14 Jan31 Nov08 Jul22   (drury thomas)MONCADA IRVING 115 5.00    
3  GRAYDARIA Mar14 Feb21 Jan16 Dec13 Nov14 (garcia genaro)MORALES EDGAR 120 5.00 35% 1.80    
4  MAGIC FACTOR Mar07 Jan25 Dec13 Nov05 Oct01 (greenhill je)RAMOS D 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
5  SPINBACK Feb12 Jan18 Dec06 Oct06   (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 120 4.50 29% 2.40    
6  STARGAZZERS DREAM Mar14 Feb26 Jan25 Dec19 Oct07 (danner kelsey)ROCCO S 122 3.50    
7  KUNAN Mar06 Jan25       (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 122 3.00    
8  BIGONZETTI Mar14 Feb06 Jan25     (eurton peter)SERPA ANGEL 120 15.00    
9  STASHU Nov08 Oct17 Sep11 Aug24 Jul22 (wainwright )ARRIETA REYNIER 120 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  TAPIZAR'S TEMPER Mar08 Jan03 Dec27 Dec06 Nov07 (vanden britt)EMIGH A 122 30.00    
 
TP-5   03/27/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($41.2K) 3 ALL PT- 7:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUITED AND BOOTED Feb21         (cox brad )CHEMINAUD VINCENT 120 3.00 39% 1.60    
  (by CLASSIC EMPIRE out of COCOANUT ROW by MINESHAFT)
2  OLD TRACE         (sharp joe)RAMOS D 120 12.00    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of ORIGINATOR by ARTIE SCHILLER)
3  SAINT SHANCE         (danner kelsey)DOYLE SOPHIE 120 10.00 ★    
  (by SHANCELOT out of SAINT MOON by THE FACTOR)
4  TAP EM' OUT Oct10 Sep25       (vanden britt)EMIGH A 120 15.00    
  (by TAPIT out of INDIA by HENNESSY)
5  BAZARRO         (granitz an)CORRALES GERARDO 120 12.00    
  (by TAPITURE out of UNION QUEEN by UNION RAGS)
6  SHOULDAWOODACOULDA         (greenhill jeff)SANJUR SANTO 120 20.00    
  (by CITY OF LIGHT out of WARM BREEZE by WILLIAMSTOWN)
7  DIXIE DEVIL Feb14 Nov30 Aug05     (hum)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by DAREDEVIL out of JULIE FROM DIXIE by DIXIE UNION)
SCR  BIG LAMBROS Mar01 Feb07 Jan15 Nov29   (leitch daniel)SAEZ GABRIEL 120 15.00    
  (by PRACTICAL JOKE out of SEVEN FEATHERS by STEPHANOTIS)
9  BACKTRACK         (sharp joe)BESCHIZZA ADAM 120 8.00 5% 19.00    
  (by KHOZAN out of EPHYRA by CORINTHIAN (IRE))
10  CARDINAL UNION         (gowan william)ROCCO S 120 15.00    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CARRERA CAT by COURAGEOUS CAT)
11  BROTHA KENY Feb14 Jan24 Dec05 Oct27 Sep25 (morey william )MACHADO LUAN 120 3.50 39% 1.50    
  (by MO TOWN out of RARAMURI PRINCESS by NORTHERN AFLEET)
SCR  VAYA JEFFE Feb16 Jan17       (arnold r)LANERIE J 120 6.00    
  (by STREET BOSS out of GOTTA HAVE HER by ROYAL ACADEMY)
 
TP-6   03/27/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($84K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TAKE ME TO CHURCH (IRE) Mar05 Feb01 Oct31 Oct03 Aug30 (maker michael )MACHADO LUAN 124 12.00    
2  EVENT DETAIL Dec14 Oct16 Sep15 Aug03 Feb25 (wal)HERNANDEZ MANUEL 124 5.00 14% 5.90    
3  EL KABONG Feb12 Dec27 Nov17 Oct19 Sep01 (esquivel jes)RAMOS D 124 6.00    
4  FIRST STRIKE Feb12 Dec12 Sep22 Apr14 Mar01 (lobo h)BESCHIZZA ADAM 124 4.00 43% 1.30    
5  NATIVE LAND Jan25 Aug11 Jun29 May11 Apr10 (mott rile)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 124 12.00    
6  QUADRA ISLAND Feb26 Dec27 Nov01 Sep05 Jul14 (richard tobi)MONCADA IRVING 119 3.50 ★    
7  ARMY OFFICER Sep08 Aug02 Jun07 May11 Mar30 (cox h)CORRALES GERARDO 124 2.50 14% 5.90    
8  VILLAIN Oct05 Aug30 Aug11 Jul08 Jun02 (schultz lindsa)DOYLE SOPHIE 124 20.00    
9  SAINT IN THE CITY Feb28 Dec14 Nov02 Oct24 Sep22 (van thom)MORALES EDGAR 124 10.00 6% 14.60    
 
TP-7   03/27/2025 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($50K) Purse ($35K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:55
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  TEEN IDOL Mar01 Feb06 Jan16 Dec27 Dec07 (esquivel jes)RAMOS D 125 10.00    
2  GOLDENTOWN Mar01 Feb15 Jan18 Dec04 Sep19 (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 125 8.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  ILLINI Mar22 Feb15 May07 Apr07 Mar16 (heath g)CEDILLO ABEL 125 20.00    
4  EXPLOSIVELY Mar01 Feb06 Jan24 Apr05 Jan12 (moger jr)ROMAN A 125 8.00    
5  BOURBON BOSS Feb15 Dec28 Nov21 Oct24 Sep28 (pino michael )JIMENEZ ALBIN 123 15.00    
6  NOW THAT ICAN ROCK Mar01 Feb15 Jan18 Jul13 Jun13 (michael bria)CALLEJA ANDRES 123 4.00 7% 13.00    
SCR  FROSTY INDULGENCE Feb15 Jun30 May26 May04 Apr05 (davis christop)MACHADO LUAN 125 3.00    
8  ON TAP Feb15 Jan01 Sep09 Aug06 Jun28 (sims a)ACHARD ALEX 125 20.00    
9  PERFECT PRANKSTER Mar01 Jan18 Dec20 Mar08 Dec01 (harty eoin)MONCADA IRVING 120 3.50 43% 1.30    
10  TOWN BARBER Jan18 Dec06 Dec02 Oct25 Oct02 (mott rile)CHEMINAUD VINCENT 125 5.00 24% 3.10    
 
TP-8   03/27/2025 5610ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($15K) Purse ($24.7K) 3 ALL PT- 9:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DARK LUTE         (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 120 6.00 10% 9.20    
2  BOURBON STATE Feb27 Sep11 Aug05     (miller darrin)MILLER CHASE 120 8.00    
3  WILDING LANE Mar13 Feb28 Feb14 Jan26 Nov30 (donjuan sergio)PAULY SUMMER 110 12.00 9% 10.40    
4  SERENADER (IRE) Mar13 Feb20       (tomlinson mich)ASHTON GAVIN 120 8.00    
5  MEMPHIS SLIM Feb27 Jan25 Dec19     (medina robert)CEDILLO ABEL 120 3.50 40% 1.50    
6  BLAKELY'S BOY Mar07 Feb21 Feb07 Jan25 Dec21 (nesbitt amy)SANJUR SANTO 120 30.00    
7  PURDY DARN GOOD Jan30 Dec19 Oct22     (matthews ran)RAMOS D 120 6.00    
8  LAST CHANCE LUIS Mar05 Feb07 Dec13 Oct27   (foster eric)ROMERO M 113 4.50 18% 4.60    
9  WILLINGNESS Feb21 Feb02 Jan10 Dec06   (handal ray)CORRALES GERARDO 118 15.00    
10  ABSOLUTE ZERO         (pittman b)ROMAN CONSTANTINO 120 30.00 5% 19.00    
11  THRACIAN Feb14 Jan15 Dec13 Nov13   (fletcher kevin)SERPA ANGEL 120 30.00    
SCR  HUEVOS D'ORO Mar13 Jan26 Sep29 Sep12   (garcia genar)BARBOSA CARLOS 120 5.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.