Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Mahoning Valley
Wednesday - February 05, 2025
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
MVR-1   WIN (4/2/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/2/6)-(4/2/6)-(4/2/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/2/6)-(1/4/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (4/2/6)-(1/4/5)-(2/3/5) 27 $0.50 $13.50 
MVR-2   WIN (1/4/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/5)-(1/4/5)-(1/4/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/5)-(2/3/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/5)-(2/3/5)-(5/4/6/3) 36 $0.50 $18.00 
MVR-3   WIN (2/3/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/3/5)-(2/3/1/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    TRI (2/3/5)-(2/3/1/5)-(2/3/1/5) 18 $0.50 $9.00 
    DD (2/3/5)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (2/3/5)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/6/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-4   WIN (5/4/6/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3)-(5/4/6/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (5/4/6/3)-(5/6/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (5/4/6/3)-(5/6/1/2/4)-(6/3/1) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-5   WIN (5/6/1/2/4) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (5/6/1/2/4)-(5/6/1/2/4) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (5/6/1/2/4)-(5/6/1/2/4)-(5/6/1/2/4) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (5/6/1/2/4)-(6/3/1) 15 $1.00 $15.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1/2/4)-(6/3/1)-(7/6/1/5) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
MVR-6   WIN (6/3/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (6/3/1)-(6/3/1)-(6/3/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (6/3/1)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1)-(7/6/1/5)-(3/7/4/6) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
MVR-7   WIN (7/6/1/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5)-(7/6/1/5) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (7/6/1/5)-(3/7/4/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
MVR-8   WIN (3/7/4/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6)-(3/7/4/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
MVR-1   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.8K) 3UP M/F PT-12:15
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  PERFECTINGTHEVIEW Jan28 Jan13 Dec16 Sep17 Aug19 (urieta johan)AYALA J 126 2.00    
2  ANGEL WINGS Jun24 Jun03 May14 Mar13 Feb26 (flores israel)DIAZ I 126 3.50 16% 5.40    
3  STATE OF GRACE Jan13 Oct13 Sep04 Aug21 Jul17 (norris ste)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
4  TALE OF THE LYON Jan13 Dec18 Nov12 Oct29 Sep30 (poole m)BRACHO A 126 1.60 57% 0.80    
5  WOLFIE'S PRINCESS Jan13 Nov18 Sep30 Sep04 Sep04 (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 6.00    
6  MERE BAG OF SHELLS Jan15 May04 Feb26 Feb13 Jan24 (szczepanski e)TOLEDO S 126 8.00 6% 16.60    
 
MVR-2   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($15.4K) 3UP ALL PT-12:43
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SALTA Jan23 Nov21 Oct28 Oct07 Sep16 (radosevich justin)STOKES J 126 3.50 72% 0.40    
2  MY MAN VITO Jan16 Dec26 Dec12 Apr11 Mar20 (bernardini ja)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
3  TAPSOLUTION Jan16 Dec26 Dec10 Nov17 Oct24 (bernardini j)TAPARA BRANDON 124 4.00    
4  SOUTHERN SENSE Nov27 Nov18 Nov12 Oct22 Oct13 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 124 8.00 5% 18.50    
5  SCRATCHOFF Jan16 Dec02 Oct23 Sep25 Sep15 (poole c)BRACHO A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  ABE HONESTLY Nov20 Oct08 Sep11 Aug28 Aug20 (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 124 2.00    
 
MVR-3   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($25K) Purse ($18.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 1:11
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SPICEY VALENTINE Aug19 Jul21       (barret)RODRIGUEZ A 121 6.00 ★    
2  ROSE'S WISH Jan16 Dec05 Nov11 Sep20 Jul31 (castillo )GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 118 2.50 48% 1.10    
3  ORDERLY TRANSITION (GB) Dec28 Oct25 Sep13 Aug24 Jul11 (acevedo israe)BRACHO A 126 1.60 30% 2.30    
4  GRAN ROXY Jan16         (s)RODRIGUEZ SAMUEL 126 10.00    
5  PRINCESS OPAL Jan16 Dec26 Nov02 Sep26 Aug29 (casalinova tina)VEGA L 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  ATHENA'S GHOST Jan16 Dec26       (lopez jacinto)CEDILLO MAURO 126 8.00    
7  MERCY OTIS Nov07 Oct07 Sep19 Aug25 Jul21 (barret)BATISTA ALBERTO 118 4.50    
 
MVR-4   02/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($7.5K) Purse ($14.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 1:39
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROYALLY FLUSHED Jan13 Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 Oct22 (short travis )SIMPSON JASON 124 20.00    
SCR  PUFF'SMAGICDRAGON Jan24 Jan01 Nov30 Nov13 Oct02 (farrior antho)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50    
3  FOOD FOODIE Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 Dec04 Nov18 (sondej amy)TOLEDO S 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEYOND TALENTED Jan23 Dec09 Nov25 Oct29 Sep30 (inman robe)WEATHERLY BAILEY 124 3.50 26% 2.90    
5  LAST COOKIE Jan09 Dec23 Dec10 Nov25 Nov11 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 124 2.00 37% 1.70    
6  CHAPS KNIGHT Jan24 Jan06 Dec19 Dec09 Nov18 (pappada a)STOKES J 124 6.00 15% 5.70    
7  MASTER OF THE NITE Jan07 Dec09 Nov21 Nov04 Oct22 (juarez-mendoza)DIAZ I 126 8.00    
8  GRAND DEAL Jan24 Jan07 Dec19 Nov07 Oct22 (juarez-mendo)HALDAR J 124 20.00    
 
MVR-5   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC4 FAST Maiden Claimer ($5K) Purse ($10.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 2:07
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DROPPING LEMONS Dec17 Nov28 Nov17 Nov03 Oct05 (sweeting craig)PEREZ E 126 4.50 15% 5.80    
2  SILVER MATY Dec01 Jun10 May28 May13 May07 (poole jami )BRACHO AUGUSTIN 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
3  MISS MELODRAMATIC Nov26 Nov10 Oct21 Jun01 May10 (lopez )RODRIGUEZ A 121 20.00    
4  LIME TREE Dec26 Nov19 Nov02 Oct02 Sep11 (vazquez ivan)PEREZ A 126 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  DAME MAUDE CHARDIN Jan02 Oct05 Sep19 Aug19 Jul22 (gowan william)BARBARAN ERIK 126 2.50 47% 1.10    
6  POSITIVELY Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Oct02 Sep11 (sweeti)BATISTA ALBERTO 126 6.00 15% 5.80    
7  ZULLY BELLA Dec17 Dec04 Nov19 Nov02 Sep11 (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 20.00    
SCR  ABSOLUTELYSTUNNING Dec26 Oct24 Sep26     (robillard jul)CEDILLO MAURO 126 10.00    
9  KATNAPPING Dec26 Nov18 Nov03 Oct16 Sep12 (aguirre juan)TAPARA BRANDON 126 12.00    
10  NO BODY LOVES ME Dec21 Aug29 Jul24 Jun27 Jun11 (medina to)BERMUDEZ E 126 3.00    
 
MVR-6   02/05/2025 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($25K) Purse ($27.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 2:35
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  OAKS HONEY Dec05 Aug22 Jul16 Jun10 May14 (castillo jabdi)DIAZ I 124 8.00 10% 9.10    
2  NEED TO KNOW BASIS Jan23 Jan13 Dec18 Nov25 Nov05 (rivera nest)NUNEZ Y 124 3.50    
3  HITSVILLE Jan23 Dec03 Nov19 Oct30 Oct03 (brown gl)FERNANDEZ R 124 5.00 28% 2.60    
4  GEAUX YOSHKA Jan27 Jan09 Sep18 Aug28 Jul25 (rivera ne)GONZALEZ SANTIAGO 124 6.00    
5  GO EMI Dec27 Nov24 Sep15 Aug08 Jul06 (gonzalez)MARTINEZ A 124 2.50    
6  CRABS N BEER Nov17 Oct24 Oct12 Aug30 Jul14 (lawrence james )VEGA L 124 2.00 30% 2.30    
 
MVR-7   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($33.7K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:03
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  COUSIN MINNIE Nov25 Oct23 Sep06 Aug07   (smith larry)DIAZ I 116 8.00 5% 19.00    
2  THISTLE QUEEN Nov25 Nov07 Sep06     (poole m)AVILES YAN 116 4.00    
3  IAMAMASON Oct08 Sep12 Aug22 Aug06 Jul01 (rone penny)BARBARAN ERIK 116 6.00    
4  MISS SIX Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 Aug26 Aug07 (urieta joh)CHAVEZ ALEXANDER 126 12.00    
5  BEAUTIFUL SCORE Dec26 Dec05 Nov05 Sep18 Sep04 (winters michelle)PEREZ A 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
6  BE KOZY Jan06 Nov25 Nov11 Sep05 Jul19 (smith lar)HERNANDEZ LUCIANO 116 1.60 10% 8.90    
7  NAKSU Jul24         (bailey ricardo)HOUGHTON D 124 2.50 67% 0.50    
 
MVR-8   02/05/2025 3960ft DIRT RC5 FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($31.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 3:31
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SHEMITEBEAPORCHE Jan24 Dec18       (bird danny)NUNEZ Y 126 6.00    
  (by ITSTHESAMEOLDSONG out of TIDALOVE by TIDAL VOLUME)
2  BIONIC SAINT Dec26 Dec09 Nov21 Nov07 Oct23 (faulkner r)WEATHERLY BAILEY 118 20.00    
  (by BIONDETTI out of DENIRO'S SAINT by SAINTS N' SINNERS)
3  GOGO NEV'S Jan24 Oct05 Sep25 Sep11 Aug21 (campos paulo)TAPARA BRANDON 126 1.60 39% 1.60    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of VAN GOGO GIRL by VAN NISTELROOY)
4  SHARP LADY Jan15 Dec26 Nov21 Nov07 Aug06 (vazquez ivan)HALDAR J 118 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by JAC'S FACT out of STRUMMING by CURE THE BLUES)
5  RIVER HUSTLER Jan24 Feb05 Jan11 Dec28   (cline ro)FERNANDEZ R 126 4.00    
  (by RIVERS RUN DEEP out of I'M READY by MORE THAN READY)
6  RAVEN'S HONOR Jan24 Jan06 Dec18 Nov24 Nov17 (holton reb)SMITH DIOGDINABI 126 15.00 5% 19.00    
  (by TWINSPIRED out of REBECCA'S RAVEN by GRINDSTONE)
7  DRILL BLITZ Dec26 Dec09 Nov21     (radosevi)MARTINEZ A 118 2.50 38% 1.60    
  (by DRILL out of GOLD INK by INVISIBLE INK)
8  DRILLING Jan08 Dec18 Nov20 Oct19   (faulkner c)STOKES J 126 20.00    
  (by DRILL out of EAST AND UNION by INTO MISCHIEF)
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.