Handicappers' Racing Form
"A Premier Resource for Horse Racing Picks, Tips and Handicapping"
Thoroughbred Racing Simulator is licensed and powered by Brisnet.
Visit us at tbrsimulator.com.
Contact us at support@tbrsimulator.com.
Follow us on X@tbrsimulator.
Always check Track, Date, Race Number, Program Number and Horse Name before the race.
All Post Times are in EST.
Keeneland Turf Pick 3
Friday - October 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
EQD-1   10/11/2024 3630ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($110K) 3UP ALL PT- 3:08
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  THOUGHTTHATCOUNTS Sep15 Aug31 Aug05 Mar13 Feb16 (brafford michell)MACHADO LUAN 118 8.00    
2  GO CAPTAIN Aug31 Dec31       (briley lonnie)MORALES EDGAR 120 4.50 17% 4.90    
3  ALCOVE Aug27 Jul20 Jun05 Apr26   (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 120 6.00    
4  MR. MELO Sep17 Aug31 Jul18 Jun19 May04 (hernandez rey)MONCADA IRVING 111 30.00    
5  URBAN LEGEND Sep01 Jul06 May24 Dec26 Nov25 (d'angelo f)ORTIZ JR 118 3.50 45% 1.20    
6  BAVARIA ROAD Sep14 Aug29       (rosin w)ALVARADO JUNIOR 120 20.00 5% 19.00    
7  GLACIAL POWER Sep11 Aug05 Jun27 Jun05 May12 (camejo m)ORTIZ L 118 6.00    
8  PENSACOLA Aug04 Jun21 Nov11 Oct15 Sep17 (cowans d)BEJARANO R 121 12.00    
9  ROI SOLEIL Sep22 Aug31 Jul14 Jul07 Jun16 (chircop ste)HERNANDEZ A 118 10.00    
10  AL AMEEQ Sep15 Aug03 Jun09 May24 Apr24 (mckeever andr)CONCEPCION AXEL 118 15.00    
11  SURF CITY Sep11 Jul20 Jun27 May26 Apr24 (oliver victoria)SAEZ LUIS 118 12.00    
12  COMMITTEE OF ONE Aug31 Aug05 Jul04 Jun16 May17 (asmussen st)TORRES A 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
13  KING JULIEN Aug31 Mar30 Feb07 Jan07 Aug12 (lynch a)ORTIZ L 118 20.00    
14  JEFE DE OBRA (CHI) Apr21 Dec02 Oct26     (ward wesley )CORRALES GERARDO 121 10.00 5% 17.50    
15  ALDER Sep21 May26 Mar24 Jan18 Dec22 (maker j)SAEZ LUIS 118 10.00    
16  ONE GIANT LEAP Sep21 Aug19 Jun07 Apr26 Nov10 (hartman chris)BEJARANO R 121 6.00    
 
EQD-2   10/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC10 KEE Purse ($110K) 2 F PT- 4:12
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PRESHA Sep17 Aug14 Jul13     (walden william)VAZQUEZ A 120 20.00    
2  INTO THE FRAY Sep08 Jul21       (arnold r)LANERIE J 122 15.00    
3  SWEET TREASURE Aug17         (cox h)GEROUX FLORENT 122 10.00 19% 4.30    
4  LADY ORIENT Aug28 Jul13       (amoss m)MORALES EDGAR 122 4.50 ★    
5  DEAR LOUISE Aug15         (stidham michael)ORTIZ JR 122 12.00 5% 19.00    
6  SHOTGUN WEDDING Aug23 Jul20 Jun22     (begg james )DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 3.50 21% 3.70    
7  TERRA TOWN Jul14         (kubinova eliska)BEJARANO R 122 30.00    
8  FINE FINISH May26         (calhoun will)HERNANDEZ J 120 15.00    
9  FLIP FLOPS Sep08 Jul06 Jun14 Apr26   (casse mark)MACHADO LUAN 122 12.00    
10  REINING FLOWERS Aug28 Jul28 Jun24 May22   (ortiz alex)VELAZQUEZ R 122 2.50 33% 2.00    
11  LITTLE MO Aug25 Jul21       (eurton pete)TORRES A 122 6.00    
 
EQD-3   10/11/2024 7920ft TURF RC12 Sycamore Purse ($300K) 3UP ALL PT- 5:16
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  VERSTAPPEN Mar23 Jan27 Nov11 Sep09 Jul30 (walsh p)CANNON DECLAN 122 10.00 5% 19.00    
2  CATHKIN PEAK (IRE) Sep07 Aug21 Jun19 Apr27 Mar24 (maker micha)DETTORI LANFRANCO 122 15.00    
3  HIGHWAY ROBBER Sep07 Aug04 Jun28 May18 Sep02 (lynch brian )GAFFALIONE TYLER 122 4.50 41% 1.50    
4  DATAMAN Sep01 Jul20 May25 Apr20 Oct07 (motion graham)RUIZ JORGE 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
5  ALWAYS ABOVE Sep05 Jul20 Sep03 Jun29 May13 (nihei michel)CORRALES GERARDO 122 30.00    
6  UTAH BEACH Sep20 May18 Apr14 Feb28 Jan25 (correas ignacio )ORTIZ L 122 15.00    
7  TAWNY PORT Sep07 Jul20 Jun15 May11 Mar30 (clement christo)ORTIZ JR 122 6.00 ★    
8  BIG BLUE LINE Sep28 Aug23 Jun29 Jun06 Nov04 (walden william)MACHADO LUAN 122 30.00    
9  SUGOI Aug11 Jun15 May18 Apr25 Feb17 (maker michael )GEROUX FLORENT 124 10.00    
10  OHANA HONOR Jul28 Jun08 May11 Apr14 Mar02 (mcgaughey claud)VELAZQUEZ R 122 3.50 ★    
11  BOLD ACT (IRE) Jun15 May18 Apr20 Oct13   (appleby charles)SAEZ LUIS 124 3.00 35% 1.80    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.