Handicappers' Racing Form
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Turf Paradise
Thursday - April 11, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
Wager Pick Tot Bet Bet Winning Crct Win Pay Pay Profit/
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt Numbers Res Tkts Unit Amt Loss
TUP-3   Win (8/7/5/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-4   Win (3/7/11) 3 $2.00 $6.00
TUP-5   Win (10/4/3/5/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-6   Win (6/5/8/7) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-7   Win (3/6/2/8/10) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-8   Win (2/6/4/5) 4 $2.00 $8.00
TUP-9   Win (5/9/1/2/3) 5 $2.00 $10.00
TUP-10   Win (10/2/5/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
 
TUP-3   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 4:59
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  PLEASANT BOSS         (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 6.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  DIAMANTE ELEGANTE         (evans justin)REYES R 118 15.00    
3  SHESAYSHELLO         (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 118 15.00    
SCR  BACKSEAT HEAT         (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 10.00    
5  LIGERAZO         (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 121 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  MY BUDDY GEORGE         (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 5.00    
7  BY DECREED         (kereluk edwar)MORALES ALLYSSA 121 4.00 25% 3.10    
8  SQUEEZE THE DAY         (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 118 3.00 31% 2.20    
9  INXPRESS         (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 118 6.00    
 
TUP-4   04/11/2024 3960ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($14K) 4UP ALL PT- 5:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ESTEEMED Oct25 Oct15 Sep30 Sep15 May05 (macvittie w)IRONEYES R 119 20.00    
2  RHODIUM RUNNER Mar18 Feb21 Jan25 Jan12 Oct27 (christian billy)ENRIQUEZ D 124 15.00    
3  BIG SCOTT DADDY Mar18 Feb21 Jan24 Jan12 Jan02 (barraza rafae)MORALES ROBERTO 124 3.00 69% 0.50    
4  TRACK BOUND Mar18 Feb29 Feb20 Feb06 Jan18 (alvarez sergio)ARBOLEDA ALDO 124 20.00    
5  ABRAAJ MIRAGE Mar19 Sep17 Aug19 Jul30 Jul16 (toye joe)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 124 4.00 ★    
6  FIGHT ME Mar25 Mar11 Feb26 Feb12 Jan30 (figueroa ju)KELLENBERGER KODY 124 20.00    
7  LIL MIRACLE MAN Mar18 Jan28 Jan05 Nov12 Oct14 (cruz pearm)CRUZ M 124 5.00 6% 16.60    
8  BRICKHOUSE Mar18 Mar05 Feb14 Jan19 Nov13 (leon alexis)MORALES ALLYSSA 124 20.00    
9  HUMBLEBUMBLEFUMBLE Dec10 Nov25 Oct29 Oct13 Sep16 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 6.00    
10  TAINO Mar19 Feb20 Jan30 Dec05 Nov26 (denny travis)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 124 20.00    
11  MORE HONOR Mar25 Mar13 Feb21 Oct25 Sep02 (tate mary)PENA BRYAN 124 4.50 5% 19.00    
12  ARIMONY Apr02 Mar25 Feb21 Jan30 Jan19 (torres-casa)VALENZUELA A 124 15.00 ★    
 
TUP-5   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 6:05
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  RED HOT SERMON         (lucarelli frank)ENRIQUEZ D 118 5.00    
SCR  ROLLING MY EYES         (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 118 12.00    
3  CHASIN A DOLLAR         (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
4  CASCABEL         (silva jose )VALENZUELA A 121 3.50 25% 3.00    
5  T B'S GRAY         (birdwell tena)CRUZ M 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
6  BOTTLE CAPS         (williams de)KELLENBERGER KODY 121 15.00    
7  CACTUS JANE         (evans justin)REYES R 118 8.00 5% 19.00    
8  NARIZON         (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 121 6.00    
9  DANCING PORKY         (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 121 8.00    
10  JUST CALL ME LUCKY         (eikleberry kevin)CORBETT W 118 3.00 28% 2.50    
 
TUP-6   04/11/2024 7260ft TURF RC11 FIRM Wildcat Purse ($60K) 3UP ALL PT- 6:33
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MIDNIGHT JOSTAR Feb11 Apr08 Mar09 Nov04 Oct08 (cerin vladimi)HERRERA A 122 4.00    
SCR  PRIMO TOUCH Apr04 Jul24 Jun28 Nov13 Oct13 (silva l)ARBOLEDA ALDO 120 8.00    
3  DARK MARCUS Mar22 Feb16 Dec30 Dec08 Nov19 (bainum kelly)CONTRERAS LUIS 120 15.00    
4  NASHVILLE SKYLINE Mar28 Mar12 Jan30 Jan06 Dec03 (homer jason)VALENZUELA A 120 12.00    
5  KENNEBEC Mar28 Mar03 Jan28 Dec29 Nov23 (silva jr)PENA BRYAN 124 2.50 20% 4.00    
6  YANKEE DOLLAR Mar14 Feb19 Dec23 Dec02 Nov18 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 119 3.50 32% 2.10    
7  TEXTHELEGEND Mar21 Mar06 Feb12 Jan30 Dec19 (mcfarlane dan)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
8  MR. WHO Mar28 Feb29 Feb12 Feb01 Nov13 (silv)DA FAUSTO 124 5.00 18% 4.50    
 
TUP-7   04/11/2024 2970ft DIRT RC11 FAST nongraded Stake Purse ($30K) 2 ALL PT- 7:01
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STREET GUN         (schnell don)PENA BRYAN 121 5.00    
2  VERN'S SHOWSTOPPER         (evans jus)RODRIGUEZ GUILLERMO 121 10.00 5% 19.00    
3  HOLLYWOOD IMPACT         (silva l)CRUZ M 121 3.00 28% 2.50    
4  ROCKNTHECLUBHOUSE         (mccartney jac)MCGREGOR KIAMAN 121 8.00    
5  CASH ASSETS         (evans justin)REYES R 121 6.00    
6  REBOSO         (silva jos)BRAVO MISAEL 121 4.00 25% 3.00    
7  BIG BOWIE         (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 121 8.00    
SCR  JUST TRUST ME         (williams dewey)AGUILAR DANIEL 121 15.00 5% 19.00    
9  DESERT BREEZE         (guerra jacq)VALENZUELA A 121 8.00    
10  HIGH FEVER         (mendez luis)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 121 12.00 5% 19.00    
 
TUP-8   04/11/2024 5280ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($40K) Purse ($34K) 4UP ALL PT- 7:29
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MARKS HIP Mar08 Feb11 Jan06 Nov18 Oct14 (bainum kelly)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 4.50    
2  GINOBILI Mar08 Jan19 Feb18 Jan14 Nov20 (miller peter)HERRERA A 122 2.50 28% 2.50    
3  DESHAMBEAU Mar14 Feb12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct29 (lucarelli frank)RADKE K 122 10.00    
4  COASTAL KID Mar20 Aug20 Jul23 Jun25 May27 (silva-marti)VALENZUELA A 122 12.00 22% 3.50    
5  KEEN HEIR Mar28 Mar06 Feb20 Feb06 Jan06 (mcfarlane l)LOPEZ KARLO 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
6  TRUTH SEEKER Mar14 Feb15 Jan29 Nov28 Oct21 (barraza s)CORBETT W 122 4.00 25% 2.90    
SCR  MIDNIGHT MAMMOTH Mar23 Feb24 Jan19 Jan07 Nov26 (dollase craig)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 5.00    
8  OVIATT CLASS Mar08 Dec31 Nov11 Aug12 Jun18 (cerin vladimi)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 3.50    
 
TUP-9   04/11/2024 4290ft DIRT RC3 FAST Alw Opt Clm ($20K) Purse ($32.5K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SEA TO SUCCESS Mar28 Mar14 Feb27 Feb01 Dec20 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 122 4.50 7% 14.20    
2  MONGOLIAN MEMORY Feb17 Apr10 Mar07 Feb11 Jan13 (tubbs scott)CRUZ M 122 20.00 6% 15.60    
3  STONE CARVER Mar20 Oct08 Sep24 Aug25 Aug04 (anderson gonz)MORALES ALLYSSA 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  EVER A REBEL Feb01 Dec21 Nov21 Oct14 Aug12 (evans justin)REYES R 122 10.00    
5  PRISONER Feb19 Feb01 Dec29 Nov19 Aug18 (evans justin)CORBETT W 122 5.00 54% 0.90    
6  CLAVICHORD Dec12 Oct04 Sep04 Jul30 Jun16 (dennison h)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
7  MAIUS Sep02 Aug20 Jul09 Jun18 Oct04 (martinez a)CONTRERAS LUIS 122 15.00    
8  IMPOSSIBLE TASK Mar28 Feb12 Jan05 Dec17 Nov26 (ortiz sr)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 10.00    
9  RONAMO Feb12 Dec12 Nov07 Oct04 Aug20 (barraza rafa)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 4.00 7% 13.00    
10  SOL DEL SUR Mar13 Feb18 Jan21 Dec09 Nov19 (belvoir vann)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 124 1.60    
 
TUP-10   04/11/2024 5280ft TURF RC3 FIRM Alw Opt Clm ($12.5K) Purse ($31.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  DRAMATIZER Feb09 Jan13 Dec30 Oct23 Oct02 (tamayo isidro)PENA BRYAN 122 8.00    
2  RIVETING SPIRIT Mar25 Mar06 Feb02 Jan05 Dec03 (silva jr)CRUZ M 122 6.00 11% 8.40    
3  ICE QUEEN Mar01 Feb16 Dec31 Jun16 Jun02 (fuentes rube)FIGUEROA CERAPIO 122 3.00 5% 19.00    
4  SHE'S A BOSSY GIRL Mar25 Mar04 Feb06 Jan04 Oct02 (vitali j)LOPEZ KARLO 122 15.00    
SCR  LORRAINE'S LEGACY Mar19 Jan03 Dec22 Oct19 Aug24 (gangidino lisa)NEGRON LUIS 124 5.00 5% 18.10    
6  CORPORAL VIOLETTE (IRE) Mar15 Jan12 Dec17 Nov10 Oct20 (ortiz sr)CORBETT W 122 10.00    
7  DOLLY MAY (IRE) Mar15 Feb15 Jan12 Nov12 Oct14 (cerin vladimir)AYUSO ARMANDO 122 4.00 ★    
8  INVINCIBELLA (GB) Mar25 Mar18 Feb17 Jan20 Dec16 (martinez es)VALENZUELA A 122 10.00    
9  FLO TIME Oct11 Sep09 Aug07 Jul22 Jul08 (martinez a)MORALES ROBERTO 122 20.00    
10  JEWEL AZUL Mar19 Feb27 Jan31 Aug12 Jul19 (woolley benni)ESPINOZA ASSAEL 122 8.00 59% 0.70    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.