Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - February 29, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/2/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/2/3)-(1/2/3)-(1/2/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/2/3)-(2/5/6) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/2/3)-(2/5/6)-(1/5/2) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-2   WIN (2/5/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/5/6)-(2/5/6)-(2/5/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/5/6)-(1/5/2) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (2/5/6)-(1/5/2)-(1/6) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-3   WIN (1/5/2) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/5/2)-(1/5/2)-(1/5/2) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/5/2)-(1/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/5/2)-(1/6)-(1/4/3) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-4   WIN (1/6) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (1/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $1.00 $4.00 
    TRI (1/6)-(1/3/6)-(1/3/6) 4 $0.50 $2.00 
    DD (1/6)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (1/6)-(1/4/3)-(5/6/1) 18 $1.00 $18.00 
CT-5   WIN (1/4/3) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (1/4/3)-(1/4/3)-(1/4/3) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (1/4/3)-(5/6/1) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (1/4/3)-(5/6/1)-(2/6/5) 27 $1.00 $27.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/6/1) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (5/6/1)-(5/6/1)-(5/6/1) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (5/6/1)-(2/6/5) 9 $1.00 $9.00 
    PK3 (5/6/1)-(2/6/5)-(1/4/2/3) 36 $1.00 $36.00 
CT-7   WIN (2/6/5) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (2/6/5)-(2/6/5)-(2/6/5) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (2/6/5)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
CT-8   WIN (1/4/2/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3)-(1/4/2/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   02/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MY BALBOA Feb02 Jan12 Dec14 Dec02 Nov10 (racanelli mark )BOCACHICA O 122 1.80 45% 1.20    
2  DE'S CASTLE Feb08 Feb02 Dec01 Nov09 Oct27 (joy j)ACOSTA D 122 1.60 31% 2.20    
3  J. WICK Nov25 Nov08 Oct19 Sep28 Jul13 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 117 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BEAR'S ESTATE Feb08 Jan18 Nov02 Oct16 Aug19 (garrido raul)CHAVEZ ANDRES 113 10.00    
5  S S MIRAGE Feb07 Dec16 Nov29 Nov16   (lucas anthony)CHILO MAXIMO 124 2.00    
 
CT-2   02/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($12.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAYENNE CREEK Feb08 Jan04 Apr01 Mar10 Feb18 (davis e)HO WESLEY 124 6.00    
2  ROYAL THUNDER Feb10 Jan24 Jan03 Dec16 Nov25 (comi w)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.50 55% 0.80    
3  DR. RUSTY RAYMOND Feb08 Dec08 Sep14 Jul06 Jun03 (pickett crysta)MONTANO JOSE 122 2.00    
SCR  LUCKYTOBEINAMERICA Feb01 Dec15 Dec07 Sep20 Sep06 (borges israel)CHILO MAXIMO 122 12.00    
5  GOLDEN APPEAL Jan25 Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 122 1.80 20% 4.00    
6  JAMMIN STILL Feb16 Oct12 Sep22 Sep04 Aug19 (caison l)MAWING A 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-3   02/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  JEFFERSON NATIVE Nov29 Nov16 Oct14 Aug25 Aug17 (dollinger-sthr l)CRUZ ANGEL 124 1.80 35% 1.80    
2  FIBER STRONG Nov30 Aug04 Jul08 Jun22 Apr27 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 8.00 15% 5.50    
3  WOODLINE Jan13 Dec08 Oct05 Jul22 Jun03 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 122 10.00    
SCR  TIZ NO CLOWN Dec22 Nov29 Oct21 Aug27 Jul29 (atkins william )RODRIGUEZ V 120 4.50    
5  TAP SECRET Feb08 Jan25 Dec16 Nov29 Oct07 (sandoval )HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.00 24% 3.20    
6  GOLDEN ARM Feb09 Feb03 Jan24 Jan13 Dec27 (smith l)ORTIZ ORLANDO 122 5.00    
 
CT-4   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.8K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRONG WILLED Feb01 Oct26 Sep09 Jul28 Jun30 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 0.80 73% 0.40    
2  GLOBAL EMPRESS Feb01 Jan10 Dec06 Nov09 Oct21 (couchenour lee)PELTROCHE F 122 5.00    
3  JACKYSINTHECASTLE Feb01 Jan10 Dec14 Dec06 Nov09 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 122 4.50 ★    
4  AMELIA'S DREAM Aug19 Jul28 Jun30 May25 Apr29 (jones michael)RIVERA JAVIER 122 12.00    
5  PRINCESS HALO Feb01 Jan10 Dec07 Nov15 Oct26 (craig lewis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.00    
SCR  WOODSONG'S CASTLE Feb01 Jan10 Nov30 Nov18 Nov09 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
 
CT-5   02/29/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP M/F PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  SUMMERTIME ROSE Feb10 Oct18 Sep30 Jun22 May29 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 115 2.50 25% 3.00    
2  PLANET FROLIC Jan02 Dec15 Nov29 Nov02 Oct18 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.80    
3  CASTLE REVIEW Dec12 Nov15 Aug16 Jun26 Jun13 (shuler r)PELTROCHE F 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
4  BOUNDTOBEOK Nov03 Oct18 Sep30 Feb09 Jan14 (sigler g)LARROSA G 124 6.00 24% 3.20    
SCR  SNOWY JUBA CAT Feb22 Feb02 Dec13 Nov08 Oct13 (bass curt)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 4.50    
6  QUANTICO CREEK Oct21 Sep04 Aug05 Nov02 Oct19 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 3.50    
 
CT-6   02/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($15K) Purse ($18.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
SCR  STAR ATTITUDE Jan05 May28 May20 Apr29 Apr02 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
SCR  MAILMAN'S A FLYER Jun23 Mar31 Mar12 Feb26 Feb18 (ginter raymo)BATISTA A 122 4.00    
3  RUN TO DAYLIGHT Jan31 Nov30 Oct25 Sep29 Sep16 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 124 10.00    
4  TIME THE AVENGER Feb01 Jan11 Jan02 Dec13 Nov19 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 2.00    
5  ALLEN CAN DO IT Feb07 Jan25 Nov29 Nov04 Oct12 (brown ronney )CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 3.50 39% 1.60    
6  REMYS SHOWTIME Feb07 Jan25 Jan12 Dec16 Dec07 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 1.80 32% 2.20    
 
CT-7   02/29/2024 2970ft DIRT RC10 FAST Allowance Purse ($29.4K) 3UP M/F PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MISS BEE BOP Feb10 Jan24 Nov22 Nov02 Oct12 (grams tim)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 2.50    
2  DREAMY SONDE Jan10 Nov10 Sep07 Jul06 May18 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 1.60 42% 1.40    
3  JUBA BABY Feb09 Jan27 Nov04 Oct14 Sep30 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 120 6.00    
SCR  MUSIC LASS Oct16 Oct02 Sep14 Sep02 Aug12 (tuomist)NUNEZ MAURICIO 120 10.00    
5  SAYYESTOTHELADY Feb15 Jan03 Feb01 Jan14 Nov30 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 5.00 9% 9.60    
6  CRAFTY WINDSOR CAT Jan10 Sep07 Jul15 Jun24 Jun03 (bass curtis)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 4.50 22% 3.50    
 
CT-8   02/29/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  STRATEGIC (AUS) Feb08 Dec04 Nov11 Oct15 Aug13 (clouston edward)RODRIGUEZ V 122 4.00 34% 1.90    
2  RAINBOW DAY Feb08 Jan10 Dec01 Nov09 Oct20 (runco c)CULLUM W 118 3.50 12% 7.00    
3  GOLDEN ADAGE Feb16 Jan26 Nov15 Oct13 Sep23 (caison l)MAWING A 122 8.00 5% 19.00    
4  URGENT FURY Feb07 Jan11 Jul28 Aug28 Jul30 (obed-letts ketu)PELTROCHE F 122 2.50 27% 2.70    
5  HERE COMES ELI Feb08 Dec06 Nov22 Nov01 Oct16 (clousto)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 5.00    
6  WATCH THE TRAMCAR Feb16 Jan26 Dec28 Dec06 Sep22 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 116 12.00    
7  NICKEL NICKEL Feb12 Dec26 Nov15 Aug31 Jul15 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 4.50    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.