Handicappers' Racing Form
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The Longshot Specialist!
Charles Town
Thursday - January 25, 2024
Simulator Virtual Bets
The betting guide below is intended for casual racing fans
who do not yet have the confidence to override our picks.
★   FOR CASUAL PLAYERS   ★
Wgr Pick Tot Bet Bet  Winning Pay    
Type Numbers Tkts Unit Amt  Numbers Amt Profit ROI
CT-1   WIN (1/9/4/8) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (1/9/4/8)-(1/9/4/8) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (1/9/4/8)-(1/9/4/8)-(1/9/4/8) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (1/9/4/8)-(8/1/7/6) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (1/9/4/8)-(8/1/7/6)-(2/9/6/1) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-2   WIN (8/1/7/6) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6)-(8/1/7/6) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (8/1/7/6)-(2/9/6/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (8/1/7/6)-(2/9/6/1)-(6/3/1/2) 64 $1.00 $64.00 
CT-3   WIN (2/9/6/1) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/8/1) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/9/6/1)-(2/9/6/8/1)-(2/9/6/8/1) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (2/9/6/1)-(6/3/1/2) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    PK3 (2/9/6/1)-(6/3/1/2)-(4/5/3/6/7) 80 $1.00 $80.00 
CT-4   WIN (6/3/1/2) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (6/3/1/2)-(6/3/1/2/5)-(6/3/1/2/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
    DD (6/3/1/2)-(4/5/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    PK3 (6/3/1/2)-(4/5/3/6/7)-(5/2) 40 $1.00 $40.00 
CT-5   WIN (4/5/3/6/7) 5 $2.00 $10.00 
    EXA (4/5/3/6/7)-(4/5/3/6/7) 20 $1.00 $20.00 
    TRI (4/5/3/6/7)-(4/5/3/6/7)-(4/5/3/6/7) 60 $0.50 $30.00 
    DD (4/5/3/6/7)-(5/2) 10 $1.00 $10.00 
    PK3 (4/5/3/6/7)-(5/2)-(4/3/6) 30 $1.00 $30.00 
CT-6   WIN (5/2) 2 $2.00 $4.00 
    EXA (5/2)-(5/2) 2 $1.00 $2.00 
    TRI NO BET 0 $0.50 $0.00 
    DD (5/2)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    PK3 (5/2)-(4/3/6)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $1.00 $24.00 
CT-7   WIN (4/3/6) 3 $2.00 $6.00 
    EXA (4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $1.00 $6.00 
    TRI (4/3/6)-(4/3/6)-(4/3/6) 6 $0.50 $3.00 
    DD (4/3/6)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    PK3 (4/3/6)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/6/1/10) 48 $1.00 $48.00 
CT-8   WIN (2/5/7/3) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 12 $1.00 $12.00 
    TRI (2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3)-(2/5/7/3) 24 $0.50 $12.00 
    DD (2/5/7/3)-(2/6/1/10) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
CT-9   WIN (2/6/1/10) 4 $2.00 $8.00 
    EXA (2/6/1/10)-(2/6/1/10/5) 16 $1.00 $16.00 
    TRI (2/6/1/10)-(2/6/1/10/5)-(2/6/1/10/5) 48 $0.50 $24.00 
Simulator Race Cards
IMPORTANT: Refresh our race cards before every race for possible scratches.
The handicapping guide below is intended for experts
who have the required skill set to override our picks.
★   FOR HANDICAPPERS   ★
 
CT-1   01/25/2024 5610ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($11.3K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:00
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ROAD SLEW Dec16 Nov30 Oct27 Oct12 Sep25 (carlisle john )CHILO MAXIMO 124 3.00 36% 1.80    
2  ONLY GET'N BETTER Jan04 Dec09 Nov11 Sep30 Sep02 (shanley timo)TROTMAN KEIMAR 120 15.00    
3  DOCTOR PARDO Jan12 Dec05 Nov07 Oct06 Sep15 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 115 4.00    
4  SARGENT KOBE Jan04 Dec16 Dec06 Nov15 Oct25 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 3.50 9% 10.20    
5  MISS YOU AJAX Jan04 Dec13 Nov30 Nov09 Oct19 (knoblau)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 20.00    
SCR  LIL MR MATT Dec03 Oct31 Oct15 Sep25 Sep14 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 15.00    
7  STRONG LIL KOKORO Jan11 Dec05 Nov07 Sep12 Feb09 (collins tim)BATISTA A 122 12.00    
8  NET WORTH Jan11 Dec01 Nov10 Jun22 Jun10 (shanley timothy)RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00 9% 10.50    
9  AIR MEDAL Dec01 Nov18 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 (hanaga)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 19% 4.40    
 
CT-2   01/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC5 WET FAST Maiden Sp Wt Purse ($26.5K) 3UP M/F PT- 7:30
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  BAHITI         (albright geor)TUNON JORDANO 124 10.00 25% 2.90    
  (by CAIRO PRINCE out of TOTAL WAR by WAR PASS)
SCR  TIZZ THE G Dec15 Nov24       (pickett c)BOCACHICA J 117 30.00    
  (by TIZNOW out of JEALOUS WILDCAT by FOREST WILDCAT)
3  VIENNA'S TWIRL Nov29 Oct18 Sep24 Aug17 Apr15 (keller christophe)HO WESLEY 124 2.50    
  (by TWIRLING CANDY out of VIENNA'S WALTZ by FREUD)
4  GRACEFUL UNION Dec15 Oct19 Aug03 Jun03 May13 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 1.60    
  (by UNION RAGS out of CHAUSIE by BLUEGRASS CAT)
5  I LOVE MARIA Nov29 Oct26 Sep30 Sep13 Dec14 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 124 15.00    
  (by RUNHAPPY out of OLGA PAYNE by E DUBAI)
6  STORMIN' ANNA Dec15 Nov04 Jul07 Jun09 Dec08 (pyke jose)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 10.00 5% 19.00    
  (by STORM WOLF out of BEWITCHING ANNA by ALAJWAD)
7  UNFOLDING BEAUTY Nov19 Oct07 May24     (caiazzo corb)WHITACRE GRANT 124 10.00 10% 9.20    
  (by FLINTSHIRE out of EVER SO PRETTY by STORMY ATLANTIC)
8  SOMEBODY LOVES ME Dec23 Dec15 Dec02 Nov02 Oct18 (peltroche vanes)PELTROCHE F 124 3.00 32% 2.10    
  (by MORE THAN READY out of SUCCESSFUL LUCK by SUCCESSFUL APPEAL)
 
CT-3   01/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($5K) Purse ($13.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 7:57
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GRAND FIBER Dec15 Nov09 Oct13 Sep29 Aug31 (mangual manolo)CRUZ ANGEL 122 15.00 5% 19.00    
2  BUSTIN PIETRE Dec10 Nov21 Oct30 Jul18 Jun27 (figgins l)PELTROCHE F 124 2.00 54% 0.80    
3  PROTA Jan03 Dec16 Nov29 Nov03 Oct13 (sanderson wade )RODRIGUEZ V 122 12.00    
4  JAZZ MAN DO Dec15 Nov24 Nov09 Oct04 Sep09 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 122 15.00    
5  LOADED SNIPER Nov22 Oct20 Sep30 Jul27 Jun22 (frock )LOPEZ EDUARDO 122 5.00    
6  CAPE LOOKOUT Dec13 Nov26 Nov17 Oct18 Jul31 (schottroffe )BATISTA A 122 15.00 8% 12.30    
7  THE ILLUSIONIST Dec22 Nov17 Nov02 Sep28 Aug31 (kravets b)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 124 6.00    
8  GRAND ESCAPE Jan05 Dec08 Nov25 Oct06 Sep24 (viands st)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50 ★    
9  STEVETHEVANDRIVER Dec15 Nov24 Nov03 Sep30 Sep03 (brown a)CHILO MAXIMO 122 4.00 11% 7.90    
 
CT-4   01/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC4 WET FAST Maiden Claimer ($7.5K) Purse ($13K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:25
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  ALEXANDER GRADY Sep16 Sep01 Aug11     (contreras javier)HO WESLEY 118 12.00 5% 19.00    
2  LORD CLANCY Dec13 Nov11 Oct19 Sep30 Sep22 (figgins ollie)CHILO JACINTO 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
3  JUST MURPHY (IRE) Dec13 Nov03 Oct13 Sep22 Apr20 (runco jeff )MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 3.00 33% 2.00    
4  LITTLE RICHIE Dec06 Sep30 Sep08 Jul01 Jun03 (gur battu)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 12.00    
5  THUNDERHOUSE Dec22 Nov26 Nov02 Oct13 Sep22 (milose)ARAUJO VICENTE 122 2.50 ★    
6  LOVETHEBAND Jan10 May11 Apr20 Mar30 Mar09 (grams timothy )REYNOLDS C 124 4.50 36% 1.80    
7  BOUNDTONOONE Jan05 Dec16 Jun30     (sigler g)LARROSA G 118 20.00    
8  THEIRREGISTRDIMNOT Jan10 Dec13 Nov30 Nov03 Oct13 (carlisle )SANTIAGO WILFREDO 124 4.00    
9  COLONIAL ROAD Jan10 Dec13 Nov11 Oct20 Sep30 (campbell larr)ADAMS L 115 15.00    
 
CT-5   01/25/2024 4290ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($15.7K) 3UP ALL PT- 8:53
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  FOREVER TAKES TIME Jan04 Oct19 Jul08 Jun02 Apr14 (barber do)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 124 20.00    
2  HUMPTY GRUMPTY Dec07 Nov06 Sep27 Aug16 Jul19 (contre)LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 12.00    
3  KASIMBA Dec14 Nov18 Nov01 Oct20 Oct01 (farrior a)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 122 5.00 9% 10.60    
4  REMYS SHOWTIME Jan12 Dec16 Dec07 Nov29 Nov08 (jones michae)TROTMAN KEIMAR 124 2.00 39% 1.50    
5  HOT FUDGE SONDE Jan12 Dec09 Nov18 Oct28 May12 (johnson ja)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 124 2.50 26% 2.80    
6  BON BUENO Jan12 Dec09 Sep16 Sep09 Jul31 (gillespie)BOCACHICA J 115 4.50 5% 19.00    
7  FEARNOUGHT Jan10 Dec07 Nov22 Nov01 Oct07 (clatterbuck fre)RODRIGUEZ V 124 12.00 5% 19.00    
8  GET OFF MY CLOUD Dec06 Nov11 Oct25 Oct07 Sep07 (adorno jean)MENDEZ MARSHALL 124 20.00    
9  MY HANDSOME MAN Dec09 Nov18 Nov01 Oct04 Sep21 (ovando melvin)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 15.00    
 
CT-6   01/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($10K) Purse ($16.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:21
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  IRISH WARLOCK Jan12 Dec08 Dec01 Nov23 Nov05 (mckenzie )HERNANDEZ F 122 4.00    
2  YOUNG TURK May25 May06 Apr16 Mar17 Feb24 (robb j)HO WESLEY 122 3.50 11% 8.20    
SCR  KBCYA LATER Dec16 Nov23 Nov05 Oct28 Oct19 (mcmahon i)CRUZ ANGEL 122 4.50    
SCR  FORTY STRIPES Jan05 Jul28 Jun24 Jun03 May13 (zook jeff )LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 12.00    
5  HIPPODROME Jan07 Dec31 Dec09 Nov27 Nov08 (ginter ra)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 4.00 55% 0.80    
6  RAGTIME RICHES Jan05 Dec14 Nov30 Nov04 Oct12 (barber donald )REYNOLDS C 122 3.00    
SCR  STAR ATTITUDE Jan05 May28 May20 Apr29 Apr02 (hillega)NUNEZ MAURICIO 122 12.00    
SCR  MR CHANCE ROMANCE Dec13 Nov09 Oct12 Sep07 Aug17 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 117 15.00    
 
CT-7   01/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC6 WET FAST Optional Claiming ($10K) Purse ($19.6K) 3UP ALL PT- 9:49
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  GOLDEN APPEAL Nov22 Nov08 Oct18 Sep29 Aug31 (craig e)RIVERA JAVIER 120 15.00    
SCR  REY O REYES Dec06 Nov18 Nov01 Sep15 Aug18 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 113 6.00    
3  AUBURN MILL Dec06 Nov22 Nov08 Oct28 Oct18 (boggs joa)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 120 4.50 10% 8.80    
4  THEWITCHISGONE Dec09 Nov22 Nov04 Sep29 Sep01 (carlisle jo)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.40 53% 0.90    
5  WINDSOR'S TRACKER Jan04 Dec13 Nov15 Nov08 Oct25 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00    
6  MISSIONSNINETYNINE Nov22 Oct18 Sep29 Sep16 Aug31 (hanagan le)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 120 6.00 10% 9.00    
7  MASTER THIS Dec13 Dec06 Oct21 Sep30 Sep09 (murdock stephen)MAWING A 122 12.00    
SCR  RIP THORN Dec10 Nov08 Oct14 Sep18 Jul31 (collin)ARAUJO VICENTE 120 12.00    
 
CT-8   01/25/2024 4620ft DIRT RC10 WET FAST Allowance Purse ($28.4K) 3UP ALL PT-10:17
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  CAPTAIN CREED Nov18 Oct28 Sep23 Jan06 Nov26 (runco jef)BOCACHICA ARNALDO 120 8.00    
2  O'CONNER SUNSET Dec16 Nov27 Nov14 Oct28 Sep22 (jones micha)MENDEZ MARSHALL 120 1.20 39% 1.60    
3  ROYAL PAIN Dec08 Nov17 Oct28 Jul15 Jun23 (johnson jamey )MONTANO JOSE 124 6.00 5% 19.00    
4  NOBALLSTWOSTRIKES Nov18 Oct14 Sep21 Aug25 Aug04 (runco c)CHAVEZ ANDRES 117 10.00    
5  ALLEN CAN DO IT Nov29 Nov04 Oct12 Sep13 Aug21 (brown )LOPEZ EDUARDO 124 5.00 15% 5.60    
6  MINISTRY OF MAGIC Dec16 Nov29 Nov18 Oct28 Sep28 (rideout m)HO WESLEY 124 10.00    
7  TAP SECRET Dec16 Nov29 Oct07 Sep21 Aug31 (sandoval michae)PELTROCHE F 120 4.00 14% 6.20    
 
CT-9   01/25/2024 2970ft DIRT RC7 WET FAST Claiming ($4K) Purse ($7.8K) 3UP M/F PT-10:45
Try it:   Click any label below to view the performance of a Thoroughbred on the indicated date.
  Past Performances   M/L W/P B/E F/O
1  MAKE IT A DOUBLE Jan12 Dec01 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 (knoblauch-per)ADAMS L 115 6.00 16% 5.20    
2  SCARLET TANAGER Jan12 Dec02 Nov11 Oct07 Sep07 (spriggs toschia)RODRIGUEZ V 122 1.40 35% 1.80    
SCR  SMOKIN LADY Jan03 Dec14 Nov20 Oct26 Sep16 (brown ron)BOCACHICA J 117 8.00    
4  WARRIORINTHEHOUSE Jan12 Oct26 Sep30 Aug11 Jun30 (aylor william )REAP E 124 30.00    
5  LOST ANCHOR Dec03 Oct31 Oct18 Sep25 Sep12 (collins tim)RIOS-CONDE A 122 10.00 ★    
6  VALID REASON Dec02 Nov10 Oct25 Jan21 Jan05 (johnson dewayne)PELTROCHE F 122 4.00 26% 2.80    
7  TINA'S SONG Mar02 Feb16 Jan20 Dec03 Oct19 (aylor william)LOPEZ ANTONIO 122 30.00    
8  REINE SECRET Dec13 Dec06 Sep01 Aug12 Jun11 (babcock r)HIRALDO CHRISTIAN 122 20.00    
9  I'M A TOTAL DIVA Nov16 Oct26 Aug26 Jul14 Apr29 (mckee cynt)LATCHMAN RESHAWN 122 5.00    
SCR  LIME AFTER LIME Jan03 Dec13 Nov30 Jan21 Jan14 (atkins michael)CHILO MAXIMO 122 20.00 5% 19.00    
 
 
  Labels:
  M/L

Morning Line. This is an indirect measure of the Win Probability of this entry as estimated by the Club Handicapper.
  W/P

Win Probability. This is the centerpiece of our technology that separates Thoroughbred Racing Simulator from other selection services. It is the probability that this entry will win the race, as calculated from the outcomes of simulations of the race. Use this to validate and augment your own handicapping.
  B/E

Break-Even Odds. This figure is approximated from the Win Probability. It is the minimum Win odds that should be accepted to make the entry a worthwhile Win bet. Disregard this figure for exotic bets, as the Win Probability in such bets depends on the compounded Win Probabilities of all the entries in the bet.
  F/O

Final Odds. Live track Win odds against which the B/E should eventually be compared to for Win bets.
 
  Two Groups of Contenders:
  Win Contenders
 

The entries in the first group are printed in bold. These are Win contenders and, by extension, also Place/Show contenders.
  Place/Show Contenders
 

The entries in the second group have a star under their (W/P) column. The Simulator estimates that these entries have generally low chances of winning, although some of them might actually be strong Win contenders but are disqualified from the first group because of their low expected Payout-On-Investment (POI). Whichever the case, these are good Place/Show contenders for exotic bets. Also, these entries may be promoted to replace scratched entries in the first group.
 
  Legal:
 

Copyright © 2019 Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. All rights reserved. All information herein is provided for the purpose of entertainment and education. This product is the proprietary property of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC and is licensed to one user. The reproduction, distribution or transfer of this product or the information contained therein is strictly prohibited without the written permission of Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC. The data from which this product is derived is generally accurate. However, errors and omissions may occur occasionally as a result of incorrect data received from other parties, mistakes in processing, and other causes. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC disclaims responsibility for the consequences, if any, of such errors. Thoroughbred Racing Simulator LLC makes no warranties, representations or guarantees, expressed or implied, with respect to the results, outcomes or consequences from the use of this product including, but not limited to, any monetary or other losses.